Calendar

Carnival showed improving operations and had a decent tape into June 23: the last reported quarter beat on both EPS and revenue, the 5-day move was positive, and volume improved on at least one session. But the available evidence still fell short of this screen’s stricter standard because the upside-revision signal was modest, the most recent volume snapshots were below the 1.5x threshold, and the risk/sector checks were not completed tightly enough pre-event.

Fervo had an operational growth story and a confirmed June 22 premarket report, but the available pre-event public estimate trail was too thin for this schema’s required EPS-and-revenue consensus discipline. Without credible street estimate sources and with limited tape verification, it remained a thin-data reject.

Sunbelt had a good-looking operating backdrop from its prior quarter and an official June 23 event, but the public pre-event estimate trail was thin in the sources I could verify quickly. Without credible consensus EPS plus revenue sources and a fuller tape stack, it stayed a thin-data reject despite a decent underlying business tone.

Korn Ferry had a confirmed event date, but the quick pre-event public estimate trail I could verify was too sparse to satisfy the schema’s EPS-plus-revenue consensus requirement. That made it a thin-data reject rather than a true setup call.

FedEx had decent fundamentals into the quarter, with a strong prior report and a respectable Q4 consensus, but the tape was not favorable enough for this screen. Five-day performance was negative, the most direct June 18 volume read was below average, and the required sector/risk checks were not completed with enough confidence to call for a pre-earnings upside surprise.

Cerebras had a compelling AI narrative and a visible June 23 release, but the pre-event setup was too noisy and too thin for this screen. Consensus revenue and EPS were available, yet the business carried meaningful concentration and profitability risk, and I did not verify the required recent accumulation-volume and price-stack details cleanly enough to frame it as a skeptical upside-surprise candidate.

General Mills was also mismatched in the supplied universe. Official company investor-relations materials posted fiscal Q4 and full-year 2026 earnings for July 1, 2026, not June 23, 2026, and recent guidance and revenue trends were weak anyway. That pushed GIS out of the requested window and out of consideration.

KB Home had an officially confirmed June 23 print, a close-location pass, and at least one 1.5x volume session. The issue was that the underlying operating backdrop was weak: the prior quarter had steep year-over-year revenue pressure, preview estimates still called for a large year-over-year EPS drop, and homebuilder fundamentals did not show the kind of positive inflection this screen needs.

Paychex had real positives into June 24: official conference-call timing, an above-average prior quarter, and a strong June 20 volume/close snapshot. But the 5-day tape was weak, prior marketwatch sessions showed only ordinary volume, and I did not confirm a clean positive revision/sector-risk stack, so the stock stayed below the qualifying threshold.

McCormick had one of the clearest recent volume spikes in the universe, and its June 25 timing was officially posted. But the tape trend was poor, the stock had been in a multi-day slide, and the available setup looked more like event-driven churn than constructive accumulation ahead of an upside surprise.

NOVAGOLD is not suitable for this screen because checked public materials did not provide a credible current-quarter revenue consensus and the company remains a project-development story rather than a normal operating earnings setup. That makes surprise probability hard to measure using the rules required here.

Micron had the best fundamental pre-print setup in the window: consensus Q3 EPS and revenue were high and the prior quarter plus company guidance pointed to another AI-memory-led beat, while the stock had strong 5-day and 1-month momentum. The setup still failed this screen because the available pre-event tape checks did not confirm the required 1.5x accumulation-volume signal and I did not find a clean sector-tape/risk source strong enough to upgrade it from a near miss to a qualifying pre-earnings surprise candidate.

Nike was in the supplied universe for June 24, but official Nike investor-relations materials posted the fiscal Q4 2026 earnings release for Tuesday, June 30, 2026 after the close. Because that date sits outside the requested June 22 to June 26 window and conflicts with the supplied calendar, the name is disqualified from this screen run.

Jefferies had okay tape into June 24 and the official release date was clear, but the last reported quarter missed EPS and only met revenue, making the setup less favorable than the better cyclical candidates. The stock’s volume pickup and 1-month performance were positive, yet I lacked a strong revision/whisper edge and did not complete a direct risk/sector check, leaving it as a watch-only reject.

H.B. Fuller had published preview estimates, but the checked earnings-date source explicitly treated June 24 as estimated rather than confirmed. Under this screen’s hard rules, the name must be disqualified because the earnings date could not be independently confirmed pre-event.

Darden had a credible restaurant setup with an official/credible June 25 date, positive revenue and EPS history, and at least one recent above-average volume session. Still, the pre-event tape was only mildly strong and the close-location evidence was mixed, while revision and risk/sector confirmation were not strong enough to meet this screen’s stricter upside-surprise standard.

TD SYNNEX had a solid technical setup into June 25, including official earnings timing, strong recent volume, and prior revenue growth tied to the technology distribution ecosystem. What kept it out was the lack of a clear positive EPS revision/whisper signal and the absence of a completed sector/risk confirmation pass before the event.

Acuity had a respectable industrial-tech setup: official June 25 timing, positive 5-day and 1-month price action, near-high close location, and a clear volume pickup. The problem was that the estimate evidence looked more like steady expectations than a sharp positive revision signal, and I did not complete a clean pre-event sector/risk check, so it remained a decent near miss rather than a qualified upside-surprise pick.

Commercial Metals had enough estimate coverage and a solid volume spike, but the setup was fighting weak near-term price action. With 5-day performance negative and the prior quarter missing EPS, the name looked more like a choppy materials trade than a clean underappreciated upside-surprise candidate.

The tape and headlines were mixed: recent coverage split between an earnings-miss framing and pieces emphasizing record gas sales and e-commerce, while the latest market snapshot had COST at 995.2, about $8.49 below the prior close. No post-print analyst revision or target-change data was present in the packet, so this remains a monitoring update rather than a thesis reset.

T1 post-earnings tape is mixed-to-negative. The company beat on revenue/EPS and highlighted record automotive revenue and strong edge-AI demand, but the stock was reported down about 2.8% after hours as investors focused on the guidance mix. Analyst reaction is early but split, with BofA and Stifel raising targets while Summit cut to Hold on supply-chain risk. Coverage is still thin, so conviction stays moderate and monitoring-oriented rather than aggressively bullish.

This remains a lower-conviction monitoring view. The company source supports the Q1 beat, Aerie strength, and FY26 guidance, but recent news tone is mixed to negative because the stock sold off after the print and the core American Eagle brand remains weak. Analyst revision detail is unavailable in the packet, so the memo should not treat the old median target as confirmation of upside.

High-coverage T+1 follow-up with clear company-source confirmation: the release beat on revenue, EPS, margins, and FCF, and management lifted FY27 guide; however, the immediately emerging market narrative is the $3.6B MaintainX deal and financing risk, with coverage saying the shares were down about 5% in premarket Friday and RBC reportedly trimming its PT to $305 from $335. Revision data remain thin, so this is a monitoring view rather than a full re-rate thesis.

The post-earnings tone is mixed: company-source evidence confirms resilient Q1 profit and balance-sheet action, while guidance and loan-volume trends remain cautious. Secondary coverage indicates at least one positive analyst revision after the print, but broad analyst reaction and durable market-follow-through evidence remain limited, so this is still a tentative monitoring view rather than a strong thesis change.

The post-print tape is constructive around the 166.33 anchor, but verified delayed analyst revision evidence is not available in the packet and social context is empty. Confidence stays moderate: the company source confirms a strong quarter and guide, while peer comparison remains imperfect because packet peers are mostly broad semiconductor infrastructure or supply-chain comparators rather than clean one-for-one operating peers.