B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$260.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CRWD
CrowdStrikeBNasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The bull case is strengthened by record ARR addition, improving retention and module adoption, record cash generation, and the raised FY27 outlook [#SEC-8K-2026-08-26]. Post-print third-party coverage reported Rosenblatt raising its target to $250 from $206 while maintaining Buy [TheFly](https://www.tipranks.com/news/the-fly/crowdstrike-price-target-raised-to-250-from-206-at-rosenblatt-thefly-news).
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
CrowdStrike identifies intense competition, product defects or vulnerabilities, sales-cycle variability, retention, rapid-growth execution, and the July 19 Incident as material risks [#SEC-8K-2026-08-26].
Momentum
78
Value
44
Sentiment
78
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $232.50 · Bull $260.00 · Bear $180.00Analysis 2026-08-31; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $236.07
Why
Momentum78 · Δ7d +1.8
Value44 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment78 · Δ7d +16.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +16.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • CrowdStrike identifies intense competition, product defects or vulnerabilities, sales-cycle variability, retention, rapid-growth execution, and the July 19 Incident as material risks [#SEC-8K-2026-08-26].
- • Direct peer pressure from Palo Alto Networks, SentinelOne, and Microsoft could constrain pricing, retention, or module expansion.
- • The bear case is primarily valuation and execution: the market now expects sustained high-20% growth, continued Falcon Flex conversion, and margin leverage.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-26
Q2 FY27 beat-and-raise reset
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
78
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.8
Δ21d
-17.2
Value
44
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+2.2
Sentiment
78
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+16.7
Δ21d
+18.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 77.8 / Value 44.4 / Sentiment 77.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-31. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$232.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$180.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$217.81B
Beta
1.03
Shares Out
1.02B
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1319.6
P/S (TTM)
25.21
P/FCF (TTM)
104.24
Rev YoY
+25.6%
EPS YoY
-125.6%
Gross Margin
+74.9%
Op Margin
-2.2%
Net Debt
-$4.41B
Current Ratio
1.45
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data