B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BBWI
Bath Body WorksBNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Digital growth, better new-product pricing and marketplace reach could eventually improve sales and margins. The company raised fiscal-2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $2.60–$2.80 and now expects approximately $650 million of free cash flow.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
What can break
A September 21 CEO performance-stock-unit grant has stock-price hurdles, but those hurdles are incentives, not company forecasts. [#8-K-2026-09-23]
Momentum
82
Value
71
Sentiment
41
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.00 · Bull $24.00 · Bear $10.00Analysis 2026-09-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $21.86
Why
Momentum82 · Δ7d +38.3
Value71 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment41 · Δ7d -3.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • A September 21 CEO performance-stock-unit grant has stock-price hurdles, but those hurdles are incentives, not company forecasts. [#8-K-2026-09-23]
- • Approximately $80 million of second-quarter tariff refunds lifted adjusted EPS from an estimated $0.31 excluding the benefit to $0.62 reported. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-26]
- • Second-quarter sales still fell 2.3%, management said underlying trends remain pressured, and tariff refunds materially boosted reported earnings.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-30
Third-quarter test of underlying demand
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
82
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+38.3
Δ21d
+53.4
Value
71
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-1.3
Sentiment
41
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.3
Δ21d
-36.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 81.6 / Value 70.5 / Sentiment 41.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$4.22B
Beta
1.53
Shares Out
201.65M
P/E (TTM)
6.2
P/S (TTM)
0.56
P/FCF (TTM)
5.33
Rev YoY
-3.2%
EPS YoY
+85.5%
Gross Margin
+43.2%
Op Margin
+15.0%
Net Debt
$4B
Current Ratio
1.38
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data