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FPS

Forgent Power SolutionsB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 revenue increased 103% year over year, bookings increased 308%, backlog rose to $1.98 billion, and management raised fiscal 2026 guidance, supporting a constructive operating case. [#SEC-8K-2026-05-14]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-10-24.
What can break
Analyst estimate revisions, options data, short interest, and social sentiment were not supplied.
Momentum
11
Value
50
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $29.00 · Bull $36.00 · Bear $22.00Analysis 2026-09-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $54.67
Why
Momentum11 · Δ7d -51.9
Value50 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +31.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-10-24.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +31.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst estimate revisions, options data, short interest, and social sentiment were not supplied.
  • • Backlog conversion may be delayed by project timing, customer execution, or manufacturing constraints.
  • • The strong operating trajectory appears partly reflected in expectations, while the upcoming results must prove backlog conversion and margin expansion.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-15

Fiscal 2026 results scheduled for September 15

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
11
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-51.9
Δ21d
-66.8
Value
50
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
76
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+31.1
Δ21d
+46.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 10.6 / Value 49.8 / Sentiment 76.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$36.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$29.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$7.37B
Beta
-
Shares Out
304.43M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
90.1
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
+103.4%
EPS YoY
+165.9%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
-
Net Debt
$519.16M
Current Ratio
1.64
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data