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MANU

Manchester UnitedD
NYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Consistent UEFA qualification plus a large commercial or broadcast deal (or takeover) drives multiple expansion toward the bull target; improves cash-flow visibility and reduces leverage risk.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-09-15 · BMO.
What can break
Missed European qualification, weaker commercial renewals or adverse refinancing compress multiples and push the stock toward the bear target.
Momentum
47
Value
51
Sentiment
40
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $16.45 · Bull $21.94 · Bear $10.97Analysis 2025-11-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-09-15 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-11-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $23.52
Why
Momentum47 · Δ7d -16.5
Value51 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment40 · Δ7d +6.7
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-09-15 · BMO.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Missed European qualification, weaker commercial renewals or adverse refinancing compress multiples and push the stock toward the bear target.
  • • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-15 · BMO

Quarterly earnings release (upcoming SEC filing)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
47
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-16.5
Δ21d
-22.5
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.3
Sentiment
40
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.7
Δ21d
+14.2
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 46.8 / Value 50.7 / Sentiment 39.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-11-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$21.94
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$16.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.97
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.02B
Beta
0.54
Shares Out
172.43M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-72.2
P/S (TTM)
3.07
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
36.64
Rev YoY
+26.3%
EPS YoY
+364.6%
Gross Margin
+0.2%
Op Margin
+0.1%
Net Debt
$766.49M
Current Ratio
0.37
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data