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Earnings documents stored for VVV.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-29JPMorgan upgrades Valvoline after earnings beat improves valuation case
Investing.com
JPMorgan upgrades Valvoline after earnings beat improves valuation case
Investing.com -- JPMorgan upgraded Valvoline to “Neutral” from “Underweight,” saying the stock’s recent pullback has brought its valuation closer to historical averages even as the company faces mounting raw material cost pressures. The brokerage maintained its $35 price target on the automotive services company, noting that shares now trade at roughly 11 times projected fiscal 2026 EBITDA, down from about 12.4 times when JPMorgan downgraded the stock in February. Analyst Jeffrey Zekauskas said Valvoline’s volume growth has slowed as its store network matures, limiting the potential for further valuation expansion. However, the recent decline in the share price improved the risk-reward profile enough to justify a more neutral stance. JPMorgan also raised its 2026 EBITDA estimate to $550 million from $535 million after stronger-than-expected quarterly results. The firm highlighted stronger pricing trends, with Valvoline delivering nearly 6.8% price and mix growth during the March quarter. Still, the bank warned that rising base oil prices could pressure margins in coming quarters. JPMorgan estimates base oil costs may increase by $1 to $1.50 per gallon in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 compared with the prior quarter, driven partly by tighter global supply following disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz. Valvoline has been raising prices to offset higher lubricant costs, but JPMorgan cautioned there could be a lag before the increases fully compensate for inflationary pressures, creating near-term earnings risk. The brokerage also pointed to the company’s aggressive expansion strategy, including its $607 million acquisition of 162 Breeze Autocare stores, as both a growth driver and a source of financial strain. JPMorgan said the deal was completed at a relatively high valuation multiple and would increase leverage and interest expense in fiscal 2026. Related articles JPMorgan upgrades Valvoline after earnings beat improves valuation case Citi pushes back Fed rate cuts to May after blowout January jobs report Morgan Stanley CIO survey: Why AI hype isn’t boosting 2026 IT budgets
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-15We Think You Can Look Beyond Valvoline's (NYSE:VVV) Lackluster Earnings
Simply Wall St.
We Think You Can Look Beyond Valvoline's (NYSE:VVV) Lackluster Earnings
The market for Valvoline Inc.'s (NYSE:VVV) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong. AI is about to change healthcare. These 20 stocks are working on everything from early diagnostics to drug discovery. The best part - they are all under $10bn in marketcap - there is still time to get in early. For anyone who wants to understand Valvoline's profit beyond the statutory numbers, it's important to note that during the last twelve months statutory profit was reduced by US$59m due to unusual items. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Valvoline to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates. Because unusual items detracted from Valvoline's earnings over the last year, you could argue that we can expect an improved result in the current quarter. Because of this, we think Valvoline's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 18% per year over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 3 warning signs for Valvoline and we think they deserve your attention. Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Valvoline's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks tha...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-08Valvoline (VVV) Q2 2026 Earnings Transcript
Motley Fool
Valvoline (VVV) Q2 2026 Earnings Transcript
Image source: The Motley Fool. Thursday, May 7, 2026 at 9:00 a.m. ET Chief Executive Officer — Lori Flees Chief Financial Officer — John Willis Lori Flees: Thanks, Elizabeth, and thank you all for joining us this morning. We delivered strong second quarter results that reflect consistent execution across our business. Our results included robust top line growth EBITDA margin expansion and improved cash flow generation. On the top line, performance was strong across the system. Systemwide store sales increased nearly 20% and net sales grew 25%. System-wide same-store sales outperformed our expectations and grew 8.2% and 14% on a 2-year stack. Ticket drove about 2/3 of the comp with net price, premiumization and NOCR service penetration all contributing. Transactions also grew across the network. Moving to profit. We improved SG&A leverage in the quarter, resulting in our EBITDA growing faster than sales. Kevin will cover those details. We remain confident in our proven business model, resilient customer demand and execution track record. Preventive maintenance is a nondiscretionary purchase and Valvoline makes it quick easy and trusted for every guest. We have not seen any signs of trade down or deferrals, and we expect to see this continued resilience. Despite the increases in crude oil prices, we did not see a material increase on product costs during the second quarter. As we enter the third quarter, however, we have started to see costs increase, and we anticipate this will continue depending on the length of the Middle East conflict. We're working closely with our suppliers to ensure we mitigate any supply constraints and both company and some franchisees have taken pricing actions, which we expect will mitigate the cost increases on a dollar basis. We continue to make steady progress integrating Breeze Auto Care into our platform. The financial contributions from Breeze were better than expected for the quarter. Driven largely by improved execution related to store level expenses and early delivery of G&A synergies specific to payroll and procurement. We continue to approach integration deliberately. Prioritizing operational stability and capturing learnings to support long-term value creation. Turning to network growth. We added 31 new stores for the quarter with 20 coming from franchise and 11 on the company side. We did have 2 closures and 4 transfer...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-07Valvoline Shares Rise After Better-Than-Expected Q2 Results, Raises Fiscal 2026 Adjusted EPS Guidance
MT Newswires
Valvoline Shares Rise After Better-Than-Expected Q2 Results, Raises Fiscal 2026 Adjusted EPS Guidance
Valvoline (VVV) shares rose 2% in Thursday trading after the company reported Q2 results that topped
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-07Valvoline: Fiscal Q2 Earnings Snapshot
Associated Press
Valvoline: Fiscal Q2 Earnings Snapshot
LEXINGTON, Ky. (AP) — LEXINGTON, Ky. (AP) — Valvoline Inc. (VVV) on Thursday reported fiscal second-quarter profit of $44.8 million. On a per-share basis, the Lexington, Kentucky-based company said it had net income of 35 cents. Earnings, adjusted for non-recurring costs and to account for discontinued operations, came to 41 cents per share. The results exceeded Wall Street expectations. The average estimate of five analysts surveyed by Zacks Investment Research was for earnings of 35 cents per share. The automotive and industrial lubricants maker posted revenue of $503.8 million in the period, also exceeding Street forecasts. Five analysts surveyed by Zacks expected $490.1 million. Valvoline expects full-year earnings in the range of $1.65 to $1.75 per share. _____ This story was generated by Automated Insights (http://automatedinsights.com/ap) using data from Zacks Investment Research. Access a Zacks stock report on VVV at https://www.zacks.com/ap/VVV
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-07Valvoline (VVV) Tops Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
Zacks
Valvoline (VVV) Tops Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
Valvoline (VVV) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.41 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.35 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.34 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +17.82%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this automotive and industrial lubricants maker would post earnings of $0.34 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.37, delivering a surprise of +8.82%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. Valvoline, which belongs to the Zacks Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry, posted revenues of $503.8 million for the quarter ended March 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.80%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $403.2 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates two times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Valvoline shares have added about 17.6% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 7.6%. While Valvoline has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Valvoline was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-07Valvoline Inc. Reports Second Quarter Results
Business Wire
Valvoline Inc. Reports Second Quarter Results
Delivers 25% top-line growth, 8.2% system-wide SSS growth; Updates guidance LEXINGTON, Ky., May 07, 2026--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Valvoline Inc. (NYSE: VVV), the quick, easy, trusted leader in preventive automotive maintenance, today reported financial results for its second quarter ended March 31, 2026. All comparisons in this press release are made to the same prior-year period unless otherwise noted. "We delivered a strong second quarter with results that reflect our focus on driving the full potential of the core business," said Lori Flees, President & CEO. "Top-line sales grew 25% underpinned by system-wide same-store sales growth of 8.2% and the contribution from new stores, including Breeze, which is performing well as we continue to execute against our integration plans. We also delivered strong profit growth and margin expansion this quarter by maintaining high productivity in our stores and improving SG&A leverage." Continuing Operations - Operating Results Sales of $504 million grew 25% and system-wide store sales increased 20% to $987 million System-wide same store sales (SSS) growth of 8.2% Reported income from continuing operations of $45 million grew 18% and diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.35 increased 17% Adjusted EBITDA of $134 million increased 28% and adjusted EPS of $0.41 increased 21% System-wide net store additions in the quarter totaled 29 (15 franchise and 14 company-operated additions) Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Cash and cash equivalents balance of $85 million; total debt of $1.7 billion Year-to-date operating cash flow from continuing operations of $160 million and free cash flow of $45 million, an improvement of $57 million over the prior year Outlook Flees added, "Our proven business model and resilient customer demand, combined with our team’s strong execution, reinforces our confidence in the growth algorithm. We are pleased with the momentum in the business and are updating our full-year guidance to reflect that." Information regarding the Company’s outlook for fiscal 2026 is provided in the table below: Valvoline’s outlook for adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS are non-GAAP financial measures that are expected to be impacted by items affecting comparability. Valvoline is unable to reconcile these forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures to the comparable GAAP measures estimated for fiscal 2026 without unreasonable efforts, a...
TranscriptFY2026 Q22026-05-07FY2026 Q2 earnings call transcript
Earnings source - 126 paragraphs
FY2026 Q2 earnings call transcript
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining us, and welcome to Valvoline's second quarter 2026 earnings conference call and webcast. After today's prepared remarks, we will host a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star one again. I will now hand the conference over to Elizabeth Clevinger, investor relations at Valvoline. Please go ahead.
Thank you. Good morning, and welcome to Valvoline's second quarter fiscal 2026 conference call and webcast. This morning, Valvoline released results for the second quarter ended March 31, 2026. This presentation should be viewed in conjunction with that earnings release, a copy of which is available on our investor relations website at investors.valvoline.com. Please note that these results are preliminary until we file our Form 10-Q with the Securities and Exchange Commission. On this morning's call is Lori Flees, our President and CEO, and Kevin Willis, our CFO. As shown in the accompanying presentation, any of our remarks today that are not statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on current assumptions as of the date of this presentation and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from such statements.
Valvoline assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements unless required by law. In this presentation, and in our remarks, we will be discussing our results on an adjusted non-GAAP basis unless otherwise noted. A reconciliation of our GAAP to adjusted non-GAAP results and a discussion of management's use of non-GAAP and key business measures is included in the presentation appendix. With that, I'll turn it over to Lori.
Thanks, Elizabeth, and thank you all for joining us this morning. We delivered strong second quarter results that reflect consistent execution across our business. Our results included robust top-line growth, EBITDA margin expansion, and improved cash flow generation. On the top line, performance was strong across the system. System-wide store sales increased nearly 20%, and net sales grew 25%. System-wide same-store sales outperformed our expectations and grew 8.2% and 14% on a two year stack. Ticket drove about two-thirds of the comp with net price, premiumization, and NOCR service penetration all contributing. Transactions also grew across the network. Moving to profit, we improved SG&A leverage in the quarter, resulting in our EBITDA growing faster than sales. Kevin will cover those details. We remain confident in our proven business model, resilient customer demand, and execution track record.
Preventive maintenance is a non-discretionary purchase, and Valvoline makes it quick, easy, and trusted for every guest. We have not seen any signs of trade down or deferrals, and we expect to see this continued resilience. Despite the increases in crude oil prices, we did not see a material increase on product costs during the second quarter. As we enter the third quarter, however, we have started to see costs increase, and we anticipate this will continue depending on the length of the Middle East conflict. We're working closely with our suppliers to ensure we mitigate any supply constraints, and both company and some franchisees have taken pricing actions which we expect will mitigate the cost increases on a dollar basis. We continue to make steady progress integrating Breeze Autocare into our platform.
The financial contributions from Breeze were better than expected for the quarter, driven largely by improved execution related to store-level expenses and early delivery of G&A synergies specific to payroll and procurement. We continue to approach integration deliberately, prioritizing operational stability and capturing learnings to support long-term value creation. Turning to network growth, we added 31 new stores for the quarter, with 20 coming from franchise and 11 on the company side. We did have two closures and four transfers from franchise to company in the quarter. We finished the quarter with a total store count of 2,409. The timing of the new store additions continues to weigh towards the back half of the year, especially on the franchise side. Our development pipeline for both company and franchise remains healthy, and we expect to deliver new store growth within our full year guidance.
Q2 was another strong quarter for Valvoline. We're executing our playbook to deliver meaningful growth at both the top and the bottom line. Our business model continues to demonstrate resiliency and scalability. We're pleased with the momentum of the business, and we're updating our guidance for the full year to reflect that. Before I wrap up, I want to take a moment to recognize a couple of achievements that reflect the values of our company and the strength of our team and our franchise partners. We are very proud to have been named one of America's most trustworthy companies by Newsweek. We strive to provide a quick, easy, and trusted service to our guests, and this recognition speaks directly to the trust our customers place in us every day.
I'm also pleased to share that 97% of all Valvoline Instant Oil Change locations were named a CARFAX Top Rated service center for 2025. Across our network, our service center teams deliver a V-Class service every day with care, consistency, and pride. It's rewarding to see that dedication being recognized by the customers we serve. With that, I'll turn the call over to Kevin to provide more details on our financial performance and updated guidance.
Thanks, Lori, and good morning, everyone. A summary of our financial results is included on slides five and six. Let's take a look at the highlights. We delivered strong top-line growth with net sales of $504 million, a 25% increase over the prior year, with a balanced contribution from the core business and the inclusion of Breeze Autocare for the full quarter. The gross margin rate of 37.1% decreased 20 basis points year-over-year, with leverage and product costs offset by an increase in other service delivery costs, including the impact of new store depreciation. Excluding the impact of depreciation, the gross margin rate would have improved by 40 basis points. As Lori indicated, Breeze performed better than expected in the quarter. SG&A as a percent of sales decreased 70 basis points year-over-year to 18%.
With the substantial planned investments largely behind us, we will continue to focus on cost efficiencies and operating leverage while still supporting the business. As a result, EBITDA increased 28% to $134 million, with margin expanding 60 basis points to 26.5%. EPS increased 21% to $0.41 per share, which includes $0.06 per share of impact from interest expense. Year to date, operating cash flows improved to $160 million, and free cash flow was $45 million, an increase of approximately $57 million over last year. We're making good progress on leverage reduction. Net debt to adjusted EBITDA was down 20 basis points sequentially to 3.1x. We remain focused on getting to our target leverage as quickly as possible so we can resume our share repurchase program.
We had a strong quarter and are delivering on our commitments for sales and profit growth, EBITDA margin expansion, and improved free cash flow. Let's look at our expectations for the remainder of the year. We enter the back half of the year with strong momentum. On slide seven, you'll see our updated guidance, which includes raising same-store sales, EBITDA, and EPS outlook for the full year. To provide more color on the outlook, we are seeing increased costs in the third quarter, and we expect that to continue. The severity and duration of those will be impacted by the length of the Middle East conflict. As Lori mentioned, both company and some franchisees have taken pricing actions already, which should mitigate the impact. I'll also remind you that product cost changes in either direction are passed through to the franchisees based on moves in the base oil index.
The Breeze Autocare contribution was stronger than we expected. While integration remains in its early stages, we're encouraged by the initial performance. The updated outlook reflects the momentum and execution we've seen in the first half of the year, which has continued into April, and confidence in our ability to deliver on our financial commitments. I'll now turn it back over to Lori to wrap up.
Thanks, Kevin. We delivered another strong quarter. I have to thank our team members and our franchise partners for the work that they're doing to deliver these results. Our performance for the first half of the year gives us confidence in our strategy and our team's ability to execute. While we're mindful of an ever-changing macro environment, we're updating our full year guidance. The fundamentals of our business model are strong, and we have confidence in the resiliency of customer demand. As a result, we expect to continue to deliver strong, profitable growth. I'll turn it back over to Elizabeth now to begin the Q&A.
We will now begin the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, press star one again. Please pick up your handset when asking a question. If you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device. Please stand by while we assemble our roster. Your first question is from David Bellinger with Mizuho. Please go ahead.
Hey, everyone. Good morning. Thanks for the question and very nice results here. Maybe we could start on the top line. You had same-store sales super strong, above 8%. Could you tell us where the outperformance came in the quarter, whether company or franchise or geographical? Then if, as you went through the quarter, do you see any pockets of the country or any indications of demand softening, maybe where the spending on gas makes up a higher proportion of discretionary spend? Have you seen anything like that as you move through the quarter and so far into early May?
Thanks, David. Yeah, we had really strong same-store sales growth at 8.2%. As I mentioned, it did exceed our expectations. About two-thirds of that came from ticket, with actually all things contributing healthy amounts on the ticket side. Net pricing was good. Premiumization and NOCR penetration all positive. There were some pricing moves that happened in the quarter for our franchisees, and that was, you know, not expected. Some of that tied to the forward-looking cost increases on lubricants. Some of that would've been higher than what we would've expected. Then on the transaction side, which made up the remainder, really good growth across the network.
When we look across all the metrics, all geographies, you know, there's always puts and takes, but some of that is given where lapping is happening. For example, California transaction growth was really strong 'cause we were lapping some California wildfires. Some of the other systems had more new stores contributing to the transaction growth. Some of those things we know, just the outperformance sort of happened across the board, with really the only notable thing being some of the pricing changes on the franchisee, which were modest overall. Really good on that. In terms of demand, we continue to look for trade-down and deferrals, and we do not see it. The customer demand for preventive maintenance is very resilient, we're not seeing that happen.
If you look at history, going back to COVID, you know, gas prices can have an impact on miles driven, but it takes a long time to change consumers' day-to-day behavior. We don't see any impacts of that, and we don't expect them. If the Middle East conflict were incredibly protracted, then we may see a little bit, but even in COVID, where miles driven was down considerably, there's a habitual nature of preventative maintenance, particularly around key driving patterns. We're not expecting to have any significant impact.
Very thorough. Thanks for all that. Then just a follow-up on the oil pricing and the impact on your cost of goods. Is there a way to quantify the expected impact you're looking for in Q3 and Q4? Understanding there's a bit of a lag until your price increases catch up to that, how should we think about the offsets and particularly gross margin rate? Is that something you could hold as you move pricing throughout the system and onto the consumer at some point?
Yeah, sure. I'll address that. First, as Lori indicated, we didn't see any cost pressure in Q2. As we've moved into Q3, base oil indexes have moved, and we're starting to see the impact of that in product cost. As a reminder, we tend to have about a month's or so worth of inventory on hand, so it will take a little bit of time for that to flow through on a complete basis. We do expect it to flow through, and we also expect some of the cost increases to continue. To mitigate that, we have implemented price increases to cover those cost increases on a dollar basis.
Most of our franchise partners have done the same or are in the process of doing the same. We feel like we will fully cover any cost impacts. You know, in terms of overall margin recovery, we would expect that the margin rate to be modestly impacted based upon the cost that's rolling through. To put it in perspective, for us, first of all, we pass through on pretty much a dollar for dollar basis increased cost to our franchise partners for the product that we sell them. That's more than half of the volume that we would purchase in a year. Second part is you look at lubricant or overall product as a percent of COGS.
It's 20%-25%, the lubricant is by far the largest piece of that. Rule of thumb for us is if base oil goes up $1 a gallon, we need to raise price $0.50-$0.60 per oil change to cover that. It's not a huge impact given that we and the franchise partners are north of $100 per ticket today. Again, it's not a huge impact, but it is something that we have to be proactive about, and we are being proactive with it to make sure that we do maintain dollar profit. The last piece of that will be waste oil. We do get paid for waste oil. Typically, we see waste oil move more or less in line with crude.
There can be a lag. We didn't see any movement in waste oil in Q2. We have seen very modest movement in waste oil, waste oil that we sell, so far in Q3. That is a partial offset to any kind of cost increase that we see around base oil.
Very good. Thank you both.
Your next question is from Simeon Gutman with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Good morning, everyone. I wanted to ask about Breeze for a second. Can you talk about milestones, integration, you know, anything good or anything less than good?
Thanks, Simeon. Yeah, our integration efforts are progressing well. We're pleased with the performance of Breeze, as both Kevin and I talked about in our prepared remarks. We delivered some of the SG&A synergies earlier than planned. As we brought and integrated our corporate support teams, we were expecting to have a good fit between the teams. We had some open roles which we were able to not fill with outside hires, and instead use the Breeze talent. Those were some of the things that we had hoped but hadn't exactly planned for. The team has worked really hard across all the procurement contracts to look for opportunities. Those are things that, you know, when we did the planning, we did not have the detail.
The team has worked really quickly to deliver some procurement savings earlier than what we would have expected. All of those are really great. Our focus, you know, we're still only four or five months into this process, which we know will be a multi-year integration effort, our focus really is on operational stability of the stores, making sure that we retain the talent in the stores, particularly as the FTC required some divestitures in and around the stores we maintained. That's been a big focus of our team, making sure that we get out and talk about our plans for the business and for our the people in that business, so they get excited about staying on with Valvoline.
We've completely integrated and aligned all the support teams and the management team members, you know, making sure that our financial reporting line cadence, you know, we have eyes on and more detailed understanding of their business. I think the integration effort is going very well and the business is performing very well. The Breeze team did a nice job managing store operating expenses in this quarter and delivered well against their plan.
A follow-up on the demand and maybe the macro. It looks like your spread versus at least one of the public peers that we can track, widened. Can you talk about market share in the quarter? Then if demand slows because of price of oil, that's just deferral, right? I mean, that's business that just has to come back unless miles driven takes a step down. I would assume you're looking at this backdrop as more temporal than structural.
When you look at market share, Simeon, to your first question, we definitely grew share across our business. Even when you take the impact of Breeze out of the numbers, which obviously was a share capture, we still had really strong growth across our system. Not just in same-store sales, but also the new store contribution. 25% growth overall with a healthy mix coming from the business that we had, not including Breeze, just shows you the power of our proposition and our real estate placement and execution. Feel really good about that. In terms of deferral, you're exactly right. Miles driven and more timing interval. As I always like to remind people, when you're gonna take a long car drive, people want peace of mind.
Given the complexity of the vehicles today, they want somebody with eyes on, hands on their vehicle just to do safety checks. In our proposition of quick, easy, trusted, it's also thorough. We do a comprehensive safety check, and oftentimes people will go ahead and get their oil changed at the same time, even if they're not exactly due, because they're timing it with a road trip with their family or a significant drive for other reasons. When we look at drive interval, there's very little deferral on drive interval, and our miles driven is fairly consistent across the network. Again, it takes a protracted duration of high gas prices to start to impact miles driven. People can't change their daily habits and routines that quickly, or it's done very much on the margin.
You also have trade-down activities of people choosing not to fly, instead to drive. That all bodes well for our business.
Okay, thanks. Nice job. Good luck.
Thanks.
Your next question is from Mark Jordan with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
Hey, congrats on a great quarter, everyone. Thanks for taking my question. I'm just wondering if you can talk a little bit about same-store sales trends, how they progressed throughout the quarter, and maybe, you know, what kind of momentum we're seeing thus far during 3Q. Because I think, you know, if we take the updated guidance and couple that with the fact that, you know, two-thirds of the comp in the 2Q were driven by ticket, you know, kind of implies things slow down a little bit in 3Q. Just any commentary you can provide there.
Sure. I'll cover Q two, and then I'll ask Kevin to talk about how Q3 has started. You know, the comps overall, there were some puts and takes by month in the quarter. We talked about January in our last earnings call. We ended that month fairly light because there was weather in the last week that pushed demand into February. We talked about the fact that we expected to get that volume back. I think we did. February was very strong given the January push, but it was also strong because last year in February is when we had weather which pushed volume to March. We had kind of a double whammy really driving volume in February.
Our teams across franchise and company did a great job responding and ensuring that we had labor in the stores to deliver on that demand. Then March, you know, we saw good growth, but it was more modest given the comp from last year's Feb push to March. We expected a lower comp on the transaction side for March, and we saw that. Still, really good growth across the quarter when you take out some of those puts and takes.
Mark, looking at Q3, we're still early, but we do have a full month in, plus a week in May. We're seeing no change in behavior. We're seeing no change in how the business is performing. April was a good month to start the quarter. Net sales and same-store sales growth were both solid. Consumer behavior remained very consistent with what we've been seeing. You know, NOCR is performing pretty much as it has been as well. We're not seeing any trade down or deferral on really anything in our customer base. As we think about the full year, you know, we're really pleased with how the first half landed. Company and franchise performed really well. Breeze is performing ahead of expectations as well.
We've got good momentum going into the remainder of the year. We did raise the guide, as indicated. Same store sales growth, profit metrics, that reflects the strong first half we had. Yeah, just to be transparent, we're still being a bit measured as we consider the uncertainties that exist in the back half with the Middle East conflict, and nobody knows what the duration of that's gonna be or the overall impact. We do continue to be measured. You know, that said, we remain incredibly focused on delivering on the financial commitments that we discussed at the December investor update. Thus far, I think we're doing a good job of that.
You know, as we think about the rest of the year, we do typically see operating leverage across our store base in the second half of the year. We'd expect to see that this year as well. More specifically, we should see some labor leverage for the full year, but that's gonna be a bit muted for two reasons. Number one, we had some big wins last year, and that's hard to comp. Also, Breeze is a negative impact to margin, albeit less than we expected so far, and we expect that to continue. That's really a lot of what we're thinking about when we think about the overall guide and the second half of the year.
Okay, perfect. Thank you very much for that. Just one last one, if I could. You know, the competitive landscape, it's changed a little bit here, I think, in recent months with one of your larger competitors announcing a sale. You know, I guess with that, do you expect any changes to the competitive environment, either intensity or maybe impacts to your white space projections?
I think our industry is still incredibly fragmented, we haven't seen, nor do we expect, at least in the near term, to see any material changes in the competitive environment. Obviously, with, there's a lot of distraction in our category. I do think that we compete against the players that exist today, and we perform very well. When you look at our stores proximate to the next two largest players, we've been competing against these brands for a long time. We continue to add stores in markets where we compete against these brands. We deliver, you know, we're delivering very good returns, still maintaining mid-teen or higher returns on invested capital in the stores that we build. Our franchisees are still building.
It's unclear how new ownership and some of the turmoil is gonna impact or change, but we're confident in the strength of our business model, our customer proposition, our marketing execution, and just our overall store execution across the network.
Perfect. Thank you very much.
Your next question is from Chris O'Cull with Stifel. Please go ahead.
Thanks, congrats on the great report. Lori, could you elaborate a bit more on the risk of lubricant shortages?
Yeah, I'll do a little bit at a high level, and Kevin, you can add onto it. The lubricants that we use in our business are blended from a number of different base oils. Our supplier who, you know, develops that is always looking on its formulation to meet the OEM specs. This is something that they're always looking at in terms of managing supply and demand across the base of products that they produce. When you look at the Middle East conflict, it's really Group III base oils that tend to be are potentially being impacted. We're working very proactively, as our supplier is, to make sure that we mitigate any risk. But that is something that will depend on how long the conflict continues.
At least as it relates to the guidance that we believe we've been very measured to outline, you know, more of the bottom end would have that taken into account to the extent we see any risk.
Yeah, I think Lori said it really well, but we've got very adequate supply today and for the foreseeable future. It really will be about the duration of the conflict. Again, in very close contact with our supplier on this. You know, they get it and are doing everything they can to ensure that we remain and continue to remain supplied.
Okay. Then, Kevin, I had a question on the guidance. The comp range was raised meaningfully, but the full year revenue range wasn't changed. I was hoping maybe you could just elaborate on what else changed in the underlying assumptions. Then I wanted to clarify, the EBITDA range was also increased on the same revenue range. Is that because Breeze margin is better than initially expected?
Breeze is performing better than initially expected, and we would expect that to continue based on how they're executing. That does certainly play some part in it. As we look at the overall revenue range, I would say at this point, we were comfortable with the range, which is why we didn't change it. I would say that we are trending above the midpoint. I think another point worth making here is, you know, depending on how much price movement we need to do, you know, there could be a need to change that range down the road, but we're comfortable with where it is right now and feel like there's room in there based on our current forecast of the business.
Okay, great. Thanks.
Sure.
Your next question is from Steven Shemesh with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Good morning, thanks for taking the question. Nice, nice results. Just to follow up on cost inflation and pricing and kind of where that pricing has gone into the market, company operated versus franchise. Just thinking about, have you priced to where you think inflation is going to go or based on what you've seen in the market today? Could we see additional pricing throughout the year?
Great question. As we mentioned, we started to see our cost forecast for lubricants go up for the third quarter, and therefore, on the company basis, we did take some pricing actions within this third quarter to mitigate. We are trying to stay measured with that to make sure that we cover the cost increases, but we're also putting those into the market in an appropriate way, much like we do our pricing all the time. We've been running pricing tests, and some of this pricing we feel very comfortable and confident in the customer elasticity benefit, or net benefit that we would receive. We feel very good about the company side. Our franchisees, not all of them have taken pricing action. Some took some pricing action already in the second quarter.
Some are still reviewing. Some have decided or are in the middle of deciding what they will do in the month of May. We're really in a transition phase as we're looking at cost increase, wanting to make sure that we're appropriately pricing, to pass that through to the consumer where we can't mitigate it otherwise.
Understood. Thank you for the color. I mean, presumably as price goes into the market, your list price contribution to same store sales should increase as well. I guess just as we think about the contribution of traffic versus ticket for the back half of the year, should it be a little bit more weighted towards ticket, or do you expect it to be balanced with what we saw in the first half?
Yeah, it most likely will be a bit more weighted towards ticket. I think the other piece of the equation, though, is especially in the non-Breeze part of the business, we do tend to have a pretty high transaction level in the second half of the year compared to the first half of the year just due to the seasonality of the business. We would expect that transactions will also remain a meaningful contributor in the back half of the year. I think the way the math will work is we will see incremental improvement to the comp more on the ticket side.
Understood. Thank you very much, and best of luck moving forward.
Thank you.
Your next question is from Scott Stember with Roth Capital. Please go ahead.
Well, congrats on the very strong results.
Thanks, Scott.
Thank you.
I'm not sure if you've mentioned this in the call already, but could you talk about whether there was any meaningful difference in same store performance versus franchisees versus company-owned stores?
I did mention this, but I'll go ahead and cover it again. Overall, you know, same store sales across the network of 8.2% was really strong. The franchise stores did outperform company relative to the average. That was higher driven primarily by transaction growth. There were puts and takes on the ticket was, you know, largely the same, the majority was coming from transaction growth. There are a number of different factors. I mentioned one is new store contribution. We had a couple of our franchise system, fairly largeable ones, that had more new builds coming into their comp than they would have had a year ago. Another system is lapping weather with the wildfires in California.
There are different puts and takes that drive some of that transaction growth that we know and can point to. Overall, when you step back and you look at company store performance and franchise store performance, averaging out to 8.2%, it's meaningful, and the comp was strong on both. We're really pleased with where Q2 landed.
Got it. Could you talk about how fleet did in the quarter? Any meaningful improvements over what we've been seeing over the last few quarters?
Fleet continues to perform very consistently across the board, and we would expect that to continue. Just as a reminder, fleet continues to make up less than 10% of our system-wide sales, but growing at a very rapid rate. We have a lot of room to run in the fleet business, both on the company and the franchise side. We have resources devoted to those customers to not only serve them, but also to continue to build that business, again, both for us and our franchise partners. We're very bullish on not only where that is, but where we expect it to go.
Got it.
When we look at fleet growth, sorry, just to chime in there a little bit, there was a little bit slightly higher fleet contribution on the franchise side to same-store sales and company. It was small but meaningful on its base. I think the other thing that's happened that we're really pleased about is our last, large franchise system has just decided to move their fleet business to be managed in our managed sales group, which we do on behalf of all of the other large franchisees. This was the last one, which will allow us to really go after meaningful business across the nation when you look at key regions. We're really excited about the opportunity to grow fleet.
There will, you know, likely be meaningful fleet growth, on the franchise side just because we've started to focus on that on behalf of our franchisees more recently.
That's great. That's all I have. Thank you so much.
Your next question is from Peter Keith with Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.
Hi, good morning, everyone. Great results. With the guidance range, I'm curious if you've touched the back half of the year. The guidance seems to imply bit of a step down in the comp trend despite the continued momentum. Certainly can understand, you know, being conservative, but maybe just help us understand the guidance range. Is it mostly flowing through what's happened in the first half, and has there been any changes to the second half?
Again, we are being measured in the second half in terms of the overall guide. You're right. The second half guide remains largely unchanged. As we started off strong in Q3, we feel very, very good about where we are, the momentum of the business and how it's performing. Again, we did want to be measured based on the things that we don't know and that we can't control. As we get through Q3, we'll take a fresh look at it again. You know, if we need to adjust, we will. You are correct. The second half is largely unchanged from where we started.
Okay. That's very helpful. Then for Lori, you know, I'm always curious around the inefficiencies you're getting from moving your tech architecture to the cloud. You've talked in the past around improved marketing analytics. Is there anything you could update us on that front, where you've made some recent progress?
Yes. We continue to look at our net pricing and the efficiency of our discounting activity. I would say that we've made a lot of progress, and that as we continue to grow ticket, we're managing the discount levels very effectively. We've been actually able to pilot some different offers in a very targeted way to figure out if there are things we wanna do more broadly. Probably nothing too early to share the impact. You know, some of the things that we have are in our plan. Some of them would be upsides to the plan, which obviously we're always working to deliver. We're very early in the shift of some of our budget from local media spend to national media spend.
You know, that's driving our cost per impression down, or increasing the number of impressions for the spend that we're using. We're seeing increased organic traffic to our brand assets, which obviously lowers our customer acquisition costs. Overall, probably too early to share some of the metrics, but we're seeing some very promising results of the investments that we've made, both to move our marketing data and assets into the cloud, but also in the early stages, very early stages of the shift to more of the national media spend.
Very helpful. Thank you, and good luck.
Thanks.
Your next question is from Steven Zaccone with Citi. Please go ahead.
Great. Good morning. Thanks very much for taking my question. Congrats on the strong results. Most of my questions have been answered. I wanted to follow up on two model things. First on, let's talk about gross margin for the second half of the year. You talked about Q2 being up 40 basis points excluding the depreciation. How should we think about the second half? You'll still have Breeze being dilutive, and then sounds like labor efficiencies will kind of be a bad guy. Just can you talk about second half gross margin expectations? Yes, Steve.
We would expect gross margin in the second half to improve as it normally does, given that we do tend to have higher volume in the second half with summer drive season and just general seasonality in the business on an overall basis for the call it the non-Breeze part of the business. We fully expect that to continue. On the labor piece of the equation, we were really strong on labor leverage in the second half last year. We don't expect a lot of improvement on the labor side, but, you know, we would expect some nominal improvement there. Partially offset by Breeze.
Because just as a reminder, they do have lower volume stores, their labor as a percent of sales does run higher than ours. It's one of the advantages that we'll gain as we build momentum in that system. On an overall basis, we'd expect to get a bit of leverage from most store expenses. Again, just through the throughput that we'll see in the second half. While you didn't ask the question, I will also say we would expect to see continued SG&A leverage in the second half, again, as that is a stronger part of the year for us.
When you say improve, do you mean sequentially gross margin rate, not necessarily year-on-year?
That's right.
Okay.
Part of that is due to the fact.
Then the follow-up.
Part of that is due to the fact that.
Oh, okay. Sorry.
Just to clarify, you know, remember we do have Breeze included in the equation and that is a bit of a margin headwind. Much less in Q2 than we expected. You know, we would expect it to be less for the full year than where we thought it was gonna be. It will be, you know, it will be directionally a small headwind to margin in the second half as well.
Part of that is because when you look at the volume in our stores, and the way that it ramps during drive season, for much of the country, it's less so in states like California, though there is some. When you look at their volume per store, just the amount of leverage that we'll get, because it will take time to drive that demand curve on the Breeze sites.
Okay. Understood. The, the other follow-up I had is, I may have this wrong, but, the original thinking for Breeze dilution was about 100 basis points to EBITDA. One, was that right? Two, what should we be thinking about as the dilution from Breeze on an EBITDA basis?
Yeah, that was right. We expected about 100 basis points of overall EBITDA margin dilution. We didn't really talk about the gross profit piece of that. It was much less in Q2 than 100 basis points. That said, we did have synergy capture that was earlier than expected. On an overall basis, it will be less than 100 basis points for the full year. Not really prepared to disclose exactly what we think it's going to be, but it will be less than 100 basis points.
Okay. Thanks so much for that detail. Best of luck in the back half.
Of course.
Thanks.
Your next question is from David Lantz with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.
Hi, good morning, and thanks for taking my questions. On your expectations for second half SG&A leverage, curious if you can parse out how we should think through some of the moving pieces within advertising, payroll, and G&A.
Sure. Advertising as a percent of sales will be fairly consistent. Sales will be higher, advertising will be higher in the second half as it normally is. On a percent of sales basis, it doesn't change very much typically. It may move around a little bit on a month-to-month basis, for a quarter or the full year, it's pretty consistent. As far as the rest of SG&A goes, as we think about the full year, I'll talk about Q2 first. We had about 60, 70 basis points of leverage. I think most of the big tech investments are behind us. We've lapped that and we're seeing that come to fruition.
One of the things we're really pleased with is that the improvement is really coming across a broad range of categories, which is how it should happen. We're not seeing outsized impact from any one area like, you know, like labor or what have you. Kind of all the big areas are improving a bit, and we would expect that to continue. There will be a natural amount of that again in the second half because it's busier for us. We'll see more sales and the labor and other costs to support those sales really won't change very much. We should naturally see leverage, higher leverage in the back half. That said, we are also very focused on making the business more efficient every day.
We're looking at ways to do more with less, to employ technology in new and better ways, and to generate as many ideas as possible to continue to create and build SG&A leverage going forward.
Got it. That's helpful. Could you also talk about the cadence of new unit openings in the second half and provide an update around new unit economics as well?
Sure. I'll talk about the new unit profile of openings, Kevin can talk about capital. Obviously, we added 31 stores to our network, 29 netting out the two closures. The new units continue to weight to the back half. It's typical given the geographies that we serve and the weather patterns of when construction and conversion can happen. We actually had 14 openings in April, 9 of which were franchise. Again, we continue to feel really good about the health of our pipeline, both on the company and the franchise side. That includes both ground-up builds and independent quick lube acquisitions. Overall, you know, you can expect to see a weighting of unit openings on the back half, particularly on the franchise side.
As we think about unit economics, we and our franchise partners have been very focused on reducing the amount of capital that it takes to build a ground-up store, as well as the capital required to convert an acquired store to a Valvoline Instant Oil Change. The team's been pretty successful with that, bringing that cost down, call it 10%-15%, with line of sight to do another 10%-15% over the course of time. It'll take some time for that build cost to roll through especially with ground-ups, because, you know, there is a certain amount of time it takes to open one of those from start to finish. Yeah, that said, as we look at unit economics, it really hasn't changed.
From an IRR perspective, we see mid to high teens. That's why we continue to invest in the units. That's why our franchise partners have increased their investment in the units and made commitments around that with new development agreements. We really see no change there. We will continue to invest in new units for the foreseeable future.
Thank you.
Sure.
Your next question is from Bret Jordan with Jefferies. Please go ahead.
Good morning, guys. In the non-oil change revenue mix, did you see any, you know, anything of note there, whether customers, you know, rather pushed back on some of the higher ticket stuff like a differential flush as the quarter progressed? I guess you could talk about sort of strengths or weaknesses in that category.
No, NOCR was a good contributor in the quarter. As we look at the trending of NOCR, I think we've said this in the past, NOCR tends to run around 25% of ticket, give or take. As we looked at that in Q1 versus Q2, April versus Q2 and Q1, et cetera, it remains very consistent both across the company and the franchise partners. There's been no change there thus far.
Okay. Then I guess when you think about past, you know, oil volatility, as you take prices up, and obviously they might come down if we resolve the Middle East, can you capture margin as you hold price for a bit against the lower input cost, or does it ratchet down pretty quickly with competition?
Yeah, Lori can correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't think we've ever lowered list price on our oil changes. That's just an industry standard, I would say. There is potential opportunity for some margin recapture going forward as a result of that if we do see declines in the cost of lubricants.
Great. Thank you.
Your next question is from Thomas Wendler with Stephens. Please go ahead.
Hey, good morning, everyone. Great quarter.
Thanks.
Most of my questions have been answered. Maybe, one more quick one from me. With the Breeze acquisition, I think there was a expectation for maybe a rollout of additional services there at the Breeze locations. Can you give us a update there?
Yeah. We're in the process of looking at the menu and understanding what equipment would be required to expand. The menu of offering between an Oil Changers location and a Valvoline Instant Oil Change is fairly consistent. Obviously, the lubricant offering has some differences that we're working through. They don't offer tire rotations. We're working through, you know, what equipment would be required in training as we look at that opportunity in the Oil Changers. There are pretty small other changes here and there, but still an opportunity for upside, which is factored into our overall growth expectation for Breeze.
Perfect. I appreciate the color.
There are no further questions at this time. This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending, and you may now disconnect.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-05Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Tops Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
Zacks
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Tops Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.65 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.72 per share. This compares to a loss of $0.24 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +130.77%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this refiner would post earnings of $2.73 per share when it actually produced earnings of $4.07, delivering a surprise of +49.08%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. Marathon Petroleum, which belongs to the Zacks Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry, posted revenues of $34.57 billion for the quarter ended March 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 13.88%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $31.85 billion. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Marathon Petroleum shares have added about 55.3% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 5.2%. While Marathon Petroleum has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Marathon Petroleum was favorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to outperform the market in the near future. You can see the co...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-21Valvoline Inc. to Report Financial Results for Second Quarter 2026 and Host Webcast on May 7
Business Wire
Valvoline Inc. to Report Financial Results for Second Quarter 2026 and Host Webcast on May 7
LEXINGTON, Ky., April 20, 2026--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Valvoline Inc. (NYSE: VVV), the quick, easy, trusted leader in preventive automotive maintenance, today announced that it plans to report financial results for its fiscal second quarter on May 7, 2026. A live audio webcast with analysts and investors will also be held on May 7, 2026, at 9 a.m. ET. The webcast and slide presentation will be available on the company’s Investor Relations website at http://investors.valvoline.com. Shortly after the call concludes, a replay of the webcast will be available on this same website. About Valvoline Inc. Valvoline Inc. (NYSE: VVV) delivers quick, easy, trusted service at approximately 2,400 franchised and company-operated service centers across the United States and Canada. The Company completes more than 30 million services annually system-wide, from about 15-minute stay-in-your-car oil changes to a variety of manufacturer-recommended maintenance services such as wiper replacements and tire rotations. At Valvoline Inc., it all starts with our people, including the 13,000 team members who are working to drive the full potential of our core business, deliver sustainable network growth and innovate to meet the evolving needs of our customers and the car parc. For more information, visit vioc.com. TM Trademark, Valvoline Inc., or its subsidiaries, registered in various countries View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260420947028/en/ Contacts FOR FURTHER INFORMATION Investor Relations Elizabeth B. Clevinger +1 (859) 357-3155 [email protected] Media Relations Angela Davied +1 (913) 302-0032 [email protected]
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-02-07Valvoline (VVV) Valuation Check After Earnings Beat And Net Loss From Breeze Acquisition
Simply Wall St.
Valvoline (VVV) Valuation Check After Earnings Beat And Net Loss From Breeze Acquisition
Make better investment decisions with Simply Wall St's easy, visual tools that give you a competitive edge. Valvoline (VVV) is back in focus after its latest quarter paired double digit sales growth with a reported net loss, as newly acquired Breeze locations and adjusted earnings figures shaped the story. See our latest analysis for Valvoline. Investors have responded positively to the earnings update and Breeze expansion story, with Valvoline’s share price at US$37.53 and a 30% year to date share price return. However, the 1 year total shareholder return of a 3.02% decline shows that longer term momentum has been more muted. If this earnings move has you thinking about where else growth stories could be forming, it is a good moment to scan our screener of 22 top founder-led companies for more ideas beyond auto services. With the share price near US$37.53 and a modest discount to analyst targets, plus double digit sales growth sitting alongside a quarterly net loss, is Valvoline a mispriced opportunity, or is the market already banking on future growth? With Valvoline’s fair value estimate at $40.53 versus the last close at $37.53, the most followed narrative sees some upside already baked into detailed forecasts. Read the complete narrative. Want to see what is powering that earnings story and valuation gap? Revenue assumptions, margins, and future P/E expectations all pull in different directions. The narrative joins them together. Result: Fair Value of $40.53 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, the story could shift quickly if electric vehicle adoption reduces demand for traditional oil changes or if rising labor and competitive pressures squeeze margins. Find out about the key risks to this Valvoline narrative. The narrative model points to a fair value of $40.53, yet our DCF model paints a different picture. On that view, Valvoline at $37.53 sits above an estimated future cash flow value of $28.11, which frames the stock as overvalued rather than undervalued. Which interpretation do you think aligns more closely with your perspective? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. If you look at this and think the assumptions miss something, or you just prefer to test your own view against the data, you can build a full custom narrative in just a few minutes with Do it your...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-02-07Valvoline Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
MarketBeat
Valvoline Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
Valvoline delivered a strong Q1 with system-wide same-store sales up 5.8% (13.8% two-year stack), net sales of $462 million (+11% reported, +15% adjusted), improved gross margin (37.4%) and adjusted EBITDA margin (25.4%), plus operating cash flow of $64.8 million and adjusted income from continuing operations of $47.6 million. The one-time acquisition of Breeze added 162 stores and materially increased the store base, while the company added 38 net new stores outside Breeze and said franchise and company pipelines are healthy as it targets 250 new units by fiscal 2027. Leverage stands at 3.3x net debt/adjusted EBITDA and expected pre-tax interest expense will rise about $33 million in FY2026 from a new Term Loan B; management plans to reduce leverage to ~2.5x before resuming share repurchases, and a GAAP loss of $32.2 million was driven by FTC-required divestitures of certain Breeze stores. Interested in Valvoline? Here are five stocks we like better. Trump Tax Reforms: 7 Stocks That Could Benefit in 2025 Valvoline (NYSE:VVV) reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 results that management described as a “strong quarter to start the fiscal year,” citing productivity gains in stores, network expansion and margin improvement that drove meaningful earnings growth. President and CEO Lori Flees said the company delivered another double-digit increase in both system-wide store sales and net sales. System-wide same-store sales increased 5.8% in the quarter, representing 13.8% growth on a two-year stack. Flees said ticket was the majority contributor to comparable sales, with “all three levers contributing,” led by net price and premiumization. The company also reported continued positive transaction growth, despite a tougher year-over-year comparison. → With New CEOs, Is Walmart or Target the Better Buy Going Forward? FMC stock just set a new ceiling higher, 50% higher indeed Flees said franchise same-store sales were slightly higher than the system average for the quarter and on the two-year stack. She added that Valvoline continues to grow its active customer base in line with expectations while bringing new customers, including fleet accounts, into the network. On the question-and-answer portion of the call, management discussed a pilot of mobile service delivery. Flees said the mobile initiative is “relatively small,” limited to a couple of markets, and focused on co...

