VVV
ValvolineCNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
Current thesis
Post-earnings evidence improved: Q2 beat on revenue and adjusted EPS, same-store sales were strong, and FY2026 adjusted EBITDA and EPS guidance moved higher [#8-K-2026-05-07]. With the anchor price at $35.87 versus a median target of $41.6, the setup supports a modest upside case if execution stays clean.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-06-03.
What can break
First-half continuing-operations earnings remained only $13.1 million despite the strong quarter, reflecting the drag from higher interest expense and other items in the six-month bridge from the earnings release.
Momentum
55
Value
50
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $39.50 · Bull $42.50 · Bear $31.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-02 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $41.60
Why
Momentum55 · Δ7d -0.9
Value50 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment55 · Δ7d +3.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
55
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.9
Δ21d
-2.7
Value
50
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
55
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.8
Δ21d
+12.1
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 54.8 / Value 50.1 / Sentiment 54.8
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-02
Market Cap
$4.33B
Beta
1.20
Shares Out
127.16M
P/E (TTM)
17.9
P/S (TTM)
2.22
P/FCF (TTM)
99.85
Rev YoY
+4.2%
EPS YoY
-70.8%
Gross Margin
+38.5%
Op Margin
+22.8%
Net Debt
$1.27B
Current Ratio
0.70
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

