VLO

Valero Energy (VLO) appears an attractive pick given a noticeable improvement in the company's earnings outlook. The stock has been a strong performer lately, and the momentum might continue with analysts still raising their earnings estimates for the company. The rising trend in estimate revisions, which is a result of growing analyst optimism on the earnings prospects of this oil refiner, should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements. This insight is at the core of our stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank. The five-grade Zacks Rank system, which ranges from a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive externally-audited track record of outperformance, with Zacks #1 Ranked stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 2008. Consensus earnings estimates for the next quarter and full year have moved considerably higher for Valero Energy, as there has been strong agreement among the covering analysts in raising estimates. The chart below shows the evolution of forward 12-month Zacks Consensus EPS estimate: The earnings estimate of $9.81 per share for the current quarter represents a change of +330.3% from the number reported a year ago. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Valero Energy has increased 39.26% because one estimate has moved higher compared to no negative revisions. The company is expected to earn $32.04 per share for the full year, which represents a change of +202.0% from the prior-year number. The revisions trend for the current year also appears quite promising for Valero Energy, with five estimates moving higher over the past month compared to no negative revisions. The consensus estimate has also received a boost over this time frame, increasing 17.84%. Thanks to promising estimate revisions, Valero Energy currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). The Zacks Rank is a tried-and-tested rating tool that helps investors effectively harness the power of earnings estimate revisions and make the right investment decision.You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. Our research shows that stocks with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy) significantly outperform the S&P 500. Valero Energy shares have added 23.5% over...

With a market cap of $79 billion, Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) is a multinational manufacturer and marketer of petroleum-based, low-carbon transportation fuels, and petrochemical products, serving markets globally. The company operates an extensive energy portfolio that includes 14 petroleum refineries, renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel production through its Diamond Green Diesel joint venture, and 12 ethanol plants, with operations organized into its Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol segments. The San Antonio, Texas-based company is set to deliver its fiscal Q2 2026 results before the market opens on Thursday, Jul. 30. Ahead of this event, analysts forecast VLO to report an adjusted EPS of $8.69, a surge of 281.1% from $2.28 in the previous year's quarter. It has exceeded Wall Street's bottom-line estimates in the past four quarters. AbbVie vs Eli Lilly: 1 Is Clearly the Better Dividend Stock to Buy and Hold for the Next 10 Years The Nasdaq-100 Could Be Forming a Textbook Diamond Top. Here's What to Watch on the QQQ Chart Now. Is the AI Bubble Really About to Burst? What the Dot-Com Crash Tells Us About Your Money in 2026. Tired of missing midday reversals? The FREE Barchart Brief newsletter keeps you in the know. Sign up now! For fiscal 2026, analysts predict Valero Energy to post adjusted EPS of $28.72, a 170.7% increase from $10.61 in fiscal 2025. VLO stock has soared 87.5% over the past 52 weeks, outperforming the S&P 500 Index's ($SPX) 20% gain and the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF's (XLE) 25% rise over the same period. Shares of Valero Energy rose marginally on Apr. 30 after the company reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $4.22, beating analysts' estimates, driven by a strong recovery in its refining business. Refining operating earnings improved to $1.8 billion, as refining margins increased to $14.90 per barrel, while throughput volumes rose 3.6% to 2.9 million barrels per day amid stronger diesel and jet fuel margins. Investor sentiment was further supported by a turnaround in the renewable diesel segment, which posted $139 million in operating income, growth in ethanol operating income to $90 million, and progress on the $230 million FCC Unit optimization project at the St. Charles refinery. Analysts' consensus rating on VLO stock is cautiously optimistic, with an overall "Moderate Buy" rating. Out of 19 analysts co...

Never miss an important update on your stock portfolio and cut through the noise. Over 7 million investors trust Simply Wall St to stay informed where it matters for FREE. Valero Energy stock has delivered very strong gains for shareholders over the past few years, yet its valuation signals are split, with a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) intrinsic value estimate pointing to meaningful upside while market multiples make the shares look expensive and the broader checks keep its value score low. Over the past 5 years, Valero Energy has returned 336.9%, which puts extra attention on whether today’s price leaves enough room for future missteps. Refining margins and cash generation linked to high crack spreads can support the current valuation, but any sustained pressure on spreads or earnings expectations would quickly test how much optimism is built into the stock. Valero Energy passes only 2 of 6 valuation checks, which leans more toward a rich pricing than a clear bargain on the standard metrics. The issue now is whether the DCF based intrinsic value or the market’s richer multiples are giving the better signal on where Valero Energy stands today. Valero Energy delivered 89.9% returns over the last year. See how this stacks up to the rest of the Oil and Gas industry. The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates what Valero Energy is worth based on the cash it can return to shareholders over time. For Valero Energy, the latest twelve month free cash flow is about $5.5b, and the model assumes cash flows broadly hold in a growing to steady range rather than shrinking aggressively. On those assumptions, the DCF points to an intrinsic value of about $403 per share, which compares to a much lower current share price and indicates the stock is 33.6% undervalued. Because recent cash generation has been helped by high crack spreads, investors may note that a significant portion of the DCF value reflects sustaining solid free cash flow rather than dramatic expansion. Given that recent commentary highlights strong cash returns supported by high crack spreads, the DCF outcome suggests the market is discounting the risk that these conditions ease more than the cash flow projections do. Overall, the Discounted Cash Flow view is that Valero Energy stock currently appears undervalued relative to its projected cash generation. Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Va...

Have you been searching for a stock that might be well-positioned to maintain its earnings-beat streak in its upcoming report? It is worth considering Valero Energy (VLO), which belongs to the Zacks Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry. This oil refiner has seen a nice streak of beating earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. The average surprise for the last two quarters was 28.05%. For the most recent quarter, Valero Energy was expected to post earnings of $3.07 per share, but it reported $4.22 per share instead, representing a surprise of 37.46%. For the previous quarter, the consensus estimate was $3.22 per share, while it actually produced $3.82 per share, a surprise of 18.63%. For Valero Energy, estimates have been trending higher, thanks in part to this earnings surprise history. And when you look at the stock's positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction), it's a great indicator of a future earnings beat, especially when combined with its solid Zacks Rank. Our research shows that stocks with the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time. In other words, if you have 10 stocks with this combination, the number of stocks that beat the consensus estimate could be as high as seven. The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a version of the Zacks Consensus whose definition is related to change. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. Valero Energy has an Earnings ESP of +12.93% at the moment, suggesting that analysts have grown bullish on its near-term earnings potential. When you combine this positive Earnings ESP with the stock's Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), it shows that another beat is possibly around the corner. The company's next earnings report is expected to be released on July 30, 2026. When the Earnings ESP comes up negative, investors should note that this will reduce the predictive power of the metric. But, a negative value is not indicative of a stock's earnings miss. Many companies end up beating the consensus EPS estimate...

Get insights on thousands of stocks from the global community of over 7 million individual investors at Simply Wall St. Valero Energy (VLO) is back in focus after its stock outpaced the market, supported by very strong earnings expectations and a top analyst rating, even as some investors flag stretched valuations and recent insider selling. See our latest analysis for Valero Energy. At a share price of US$255.82, Valero Energy has recently pulled back slightly after a strong run, with a 90 day share price return of 18.46% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 104.41%. This suggests momentum has been strong even as valuation concerns and insider selling introduce more caution. If you are weighing Valero’s strong run against future opportunities in energy related themes, this could be a good moment to scan 33 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks Strong earnings expectations, a slight discount to analyst targets and a wide intrinsic value gap all point one way, while insider selling, rich P/E multiples and a lower dividend yield point another. So is Valero still undervalued, or is the market already pricing in what comes next? Valero Energy’s most followed narrative puts fair value at about $259.47, only slightly above the last close of $255.82. This keeps the focus firmly on the assumptions behind that gap rather than the headline number itself. Read the complete narrative. The real story sits inside those assumptions: slower top line, fatter margins, shifting profit mix and a lower future P/E multiple. Curious which moving parts matter most? Result: Fair Value of $259.47 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, analysts also highlight that asset impairments and continued pressure in the renewable diesel segment could undermine earnings power and challenge the current fair value story. Find out about the key risks to this Valero Energy narrative. The headline story points to a small 1% gap to analyst fair value, but the P/E of 18.1x tells a tougher story. It sits above both the peer average of 15.4x and the US Oil and Gas industry at 13.8x, even though the fair ratio is estimated at 18.3x. This raises the question: is this a tight opportunity or a thin margin for error? See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. Sentiment on Valero is clearly mix...

In recent days, Valero Energy has drawn attention as analysts project very large year-over-year earnings growth and the company prepares to discuss its second-quarter 2026 results on a July 30 conference call. At the same time, concerns have emerged over an apparently rich valuation and recent insider selling, creating a tension between optimism about near-term earnings and caution over the price being paid for that potential. With expectations for very large earnings growth and a strong buy rating in place, we’ll now examine how this shapes Valero’s investment narrative. Outshine the giants: these 13 early-stage AI stocks could fund your retirement. To own Valero today, you have to believe its large, complex refining and renewable fuels platform can keep turning volatile crack spreads into consistent cash flow, while managing regulatory and cost pressures. The latest news of sharply higher near term earnings expectations and a strong buy rating highlights earnings momentum, but the main short term catalyst remains upcoming results on July 30. Recent overvaluation concerns and insider selling primarily sharpen the risk around the share price, rather than the core business. The most relevant recent announcement here is the July 30, 2026 second quarter earnings call, where management will update on margins, utilization and capital returns. With expectations for earnings per share to rise more than 210% year over year, that call could strongly influence how investors weigh rich valuation and insider selling against operational execution and cash generation. It is also where any impact on future buybacks and dividends is likely to come into sharper focus. Yet behind the strong earnings expectations, investors should also be aware of... Read the full narrative on Valero Energy (it's free!) Valero Energy's narrative projects $113.4 billion revenue and $6.1 billion earnings by 2029. Uncover how Valero Energy's forecasts yield a $259.47 fair value, in line with its current price. While consensus now wrestles with rich valuation and insider selling, the most optimistic analysts previously assumed earnings could reach about US$7.0 billion with margins near 6 percent. That far more upbeat view leans heavily on Valero turning heavy crude discounts and optimization projects into higher long term earnings, which may or may not hold up once the latest earnings news is full...

Marathon Petroleum Corporation’s MPC refining network spans the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent and West Coast, but recent industry developments suggest its California exposure may be becoming increasingly valuable. The company operates the Los Angeles refinery, the largest refinery on the West Coast, with crude oil processing capacity of 365,000 barrels per day. Marathon Petroleum also owns the Anacortes refinery in Washington and the Kenai refinery in Alaska, giving it a meaningful presence in a region where fuel supply is becoming structurally tighter. Image Source: Marathon Petroleum Corporation Unlike the U.S. Gulf Coast, where refining capacity additions and export flexibility help balance markets, the West Coast has experienced years of capacity rationalization. Several refineries have either shut down, converted to renewable fuel production or reduced operations. At the same time, stringent environmental regulations and permitting hurdles make new refinery construction highly unlikely. This has created a market where unexpected outages can have an outsized impact on fuel availability and pricing. The importance of this dynamic becomes more evident during periods of elevated demand. California remains one of the largest gasoline-consuming markets in the United States, while local supply growth remains constrained. As a result, refiners with existing, well-positioned assets can benefit from stronger margins when inventories tighten or operational disruptions emerge elsewhere in the region. For Marathon Petroleum, scale matters. The Los Angeles refinery is a major producer of California's specialized CARB-compliant fuels, which face limited competition due to strict product specifications. The ability to supply these premium fuels strengthens the strategic value of the asset and provides access to a market that is difficult for outside refiners to serve efficiently. Marathon Petroleum is not alone in benefiting from West Coast refining exposure. Valero Energy VLO operates major refining assets in California, including facilities in Benicia and Wilmington. Like Marathon Petroleum, Valero supplies CARB-compliant fuels and stands to benefit when regional fuel markets tighten. However, Valero's overall refining footprint remains more concentrated on the Gulf Coast, making California a smaller contributor to its overall earnings mix. PBF Energy PBF also maintains...

SAN ANTONIO, June 02, 2026--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE: VLO) announced today that it will host a conference call on Thursday, July 30, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. ET to discuss its financial and operational results for the second quarter of 2026. The earnings release will be issued earlier that morning. A live webcast of the conference call will be available on Valero’s Investor Relations website at investorvalero.com. About Valero Valero Energy Corporation, through its subsidiaries (collectively, Valero), is a multinational manufacturer and marketer of petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products, and sells its products primarily in the United States (U.S.), Canada, the United Kingdom (U.K.), Ireland, and Latin America. Valero operates 14 petroleum refineries located in the U.S., Canada, and the U.K. with a combined throughput capacity of approximately 3.0 million barrels per day. Valero is a joint venture member in Diamond Green Diesel Holdings LLC, which produces low-carbon fuels including renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), with a production capacity of approximately 1.2 billion gallons per year in the U.S. Gulf Coast region. See the annual report on Form 10-K for more information on SAF. Valero also owns 12 ethanol plants located in the U.S. Mid-Continent region with a combined production capacity of approximately 1.7 billion gallons per year. Valero manages its operations through its Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol segments. Please visit investorvalero.com for more information. View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260601844201/en/ Contacts Valero Contacts Investors:Brian Donovan, Vice President – Investor Relations, 210-345-1682Eric Herbort, Director – Investor Relations and Finance, 210-345-3331Gautam Srivastava, Director – Investor Relations, 210-345-3992 Media:Lillian Riojas, Executive Director – Media Relations and Communications, 210-345-5002

Download the Complete Report Here Key Takeaways: 1Q FY26 delivered a record first quarter, with EPS materially ahead of expectations driven by 45Z credits and lower corn costs. REX reported 1Q FY26 net sales and revenue of $156.5 million, down modestly from $158.3 million in 1Q FY25, primarily reflecting lower ethanol pricing. However, earnings power improved sharply, with gross profit increasing to $29.1 million from $14.3 million y/y, primarily driven by the benefit of 45Z tax credits and lower corn pricing. Income before taxes rose to $26.1 million from $13.6 million. Net income came in at $18.5 million, or $0.56 per share, compared with $8.7 million, or $0.26 per share, in the prior-year quarter. EPS was also well above consensus of $0.14, representing a $0.42 beat, and marked the strongest first quarter (on an EPS basis) in REX’s public-company history. The quarter also extended REX’s profitability streak to 23 consecutive quarters, reinforcing the company’s ability to generate earnings through commodity cycles while layering in policy-linked earnings streams. Operating KPIs showed stable ethanol volumes, lower ethanol pricing, stronger distillers grain pricing, and continued support from corn oil. Consolidated ethanol sales volumes were 71.1 million gallons in 1Q FY26 versus 70.9 million gallons in 1Q FY25, indicating essentially flat y/y volume despite the ongoing One Earth expansion still not fully contributing. Ethanol ASP declined to $1.66/gallon from $1.76/gallon y/y, which pressured reported sales, but the earnings impact was more than offset by lower corn pricing and the new 45Z production tax credit income. Dry distillers grain volumes were approximately 155,000 tons, with ASP increasing to $155.86/ton from $145.65/ton y/y, while modified distillers grain volumes totaled 13,427 tons at an ASP of $76.94/ton. Corn oil volumes were approximately 23.9 million pounds, with ASP increasing to $0.54/lb from $0.46/lb y/y. The mix of stable ethanol volumes, stronger DDG and corn oil pricing, lower corn costs, and 45Z income drove a much stronger gross profit outcome even though headline revenue was down 1.2% y/y. 45Z has shifted from a potential catalyst to a visible operating earnings contributo REX recorded $7.5 million of 45Z production tax credit income in 1Q FY26, maintaining the credit at approximately $0.10/gallon across its consolidated plants wh...

ConocoPhillips, EOG Resources, and Phillips 66 drive 38% of IEO’s income, making the fund deeply dependent on energy sector volatility. IEO returned 41% in the past year but retirees should avoid it; payouts are unpredictable and WTI at 98th percentile suggests downside risk. The analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 stocks and iShares US Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF wasn't one of them. Get them here FREE. The iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (NYSEARCA:IEO) just paid a $0.55 distribution in March, the lightest quarterly payment since mid-2024. IEO holders are buying the aggregated dividend policies of America's largest oil and gas producers, and those policies flex with the commodity. With WTI back above $112 per barrel in mid-May, the question is whether distributions through the rest of 2026 will hold near current levels, surge toward 2022 highs, or decline as they did during the winter oil swoon. IEO is a passive index fund tracking U.S. oil and gas exploration, production, and refining names. It charges 0.38% in expenses and pays out roughly what its underlying companies pay, net of fees. When ConocoPhillips raises its variable dividend, IEO's next quarterly distribution rises. When EQT cuts in a weak gas market, IEO's distribution shrinks. That mechanic makes the payout inherently lumpy. Quarterly distributions ranged from $0.19 in the second quarter of 2020 to $1.22 in the third quarter of 2022. The 2025 payments averaged $0.58 per share, in line with 2024. IEO functions as a pass-through for energy cash flow. The analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 stocks and iShares US Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF wasn't one of them. Get them here FREE. Three names produce most of the income. ConocoPhillips alone is roughly 20% of assets, with EOG Resources at about 10% and Phillips 66 at about 9%, putting the top three near 38% of the fund. Marathon Petroleum and Devon Energy add another 11%. ConocoPhillips is the linchpin. The stock is up 43% over the past year and pays a base dividend plus a variable component tied to free cash flow. With WTI averaging well above its breakeven, base coverage is secure. The variable piece will fall if oil retreats toward $55 December 2025 low. Gas-weighted holdings introduce separate risk. EQT and Coterra represent about 9% of the fund, and Henry Hub has c...

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. PARR reported first-quarter 2026 results on May 5, 2026, after the closing bell. Following the announcement, the company’s share price declined 13% to $60.18 per share. PARR reported adjusted earnings of 78 cents per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.05 by 25.7%. The bottom line improved from an adjusted loss of 94 cents per share in the year-ago quarter. Quarterly revenues were $1.8 billion, up 4.5% from the year-ago figure of $1.7 million. The top line missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.9 billion by 5.3%. Management credited stronger market conditions and reliability across the system, while the lower-than-expected quarterly earnings were tied to margin realization dynamics rather than volumes. Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Quote Segment revenues for the quarter were $1.8 billion in Refining, $76.8 million in Logistics and $133.1 million in Retail. In the year-ago quarter, the company recorded refining revenues of $1.7 billion, logistics revenues of $71.4 million and retail revenues of $136.4 million. The year-over-year revenue increase reflected stronger product pricing and higher refining volumes. Retail revenues declined due to softer fuel and merchandise trends, while Logistics improved on higher utilization across key assets. Adjusted EBITDA for the reported quarter was $91.5 million, a sharp increase from $10.1 million in the first quarter of 2025. PARR reported net income attributable to stockholders of $54.5 million, or $1.10 per share, against a net loss of $30.4 million or 57 cents per share, in the prior-year quarter. On an adjusted basis, net income attributable to stockholders was $38.5 million against an adjusted net loss of $50.3 million a year ago. The Refining segment produced operating income of $56.3 million against an operating loss of $24.7 million a year earlier. Refining adjusted EBITDA was $69.2 million, supported by higher benchmark indices and improved execution across the footprint. The Hawaii Index averaged $31.11 per barrel compared with $8.13 per barrel a year ago, while Hawaii feedstocks throughput increased to 89.8 thousand barrels per day (Mbpd) from 79.4 Mbpd. Hawaii refined product sales volume was 90.4 Mbpd, higher than the 88.6 Mbpd recorded in the first quarter of 2025. The Hawaii refinery’s adjusted gross mar...

PBF Energy Inc. PBF reported a first-quarter 2026 adjusted loss of 88 cents per share, wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 79 cents by 11.4%. The bottom line improved from the year-ago quarter’s loss of $3.09. Total quarterly revenues increased 11.9% year over year to $7.90 billion from $7.07 billion in the prior-year quarter. The top line beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.83 billion. The wider-than-expected loss was due to special charges and increased total costs and expenses. Higher refining margins and increased throughput partially offset the negatives. PBF Energy Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | PBF Energy Inc. Quote Refining revenues totaled $7.90 billion, up from the year-ago figure of $7.06 billion. The Logistics segment generated $93.2 million in revenues, down from $94.5 million in the year-ago period. Refining reported income from operations of $335.3 million against an operating loss of $473.2 million a year ago. Income from operations for the Logistics segment was $47.6 million compared with $51.4 million in the prior-year quarter. The Corporate segment posted an operating loss of $83.3 million, which narrowed from $89.4 million recorded in the year-ago quarter. In the quarter under review, throughput improved across PBF’s network. Total crude oil and feedstocks throughput averaged 844.2 thousand barrels per day (bpd), up from 730.4 thousand bpd in the first quarter of 2025. Regional operating data pointed to broad-based gains. East Coast throughput averaged 304.4 thousand bpd, higher than 262.2 thousand bpd recorded in the year-ago period. Mid-Continent (Toledo) throughput averaged 144.0 thousand bpd compared with 137.4 thousand bpd in the year-ago quarter. Gulf Coast (Chalmette) throughput increased to 185.1 thousand bpd from 157.8 thousand bpd registered in the first quarter of 2025. West Coast (Torrance and Martinez) throughput increased from the year-ago figure of 173 thousand bpd to 210.7 thousand bpd. The company-wide gross refining margin per barrel of throughput, excluding special items, was $9.53, higher than the year-earlier figure of $5.96. The gross refining margin per barrel of throughput was $11.68 for the East Coast, up from $5.86 in the year-ago quarter. The realized refining margin rose to $11.34 per barrel for the Gulf Coast from $5.32 a year ago. The metric was $7.34 per barrel in the Mid-Cont...