VLO

Valero EnergyB

NYSE / Energy

At close

2026-07-21

Current thesis

Q1 showed a real operational rebound: company-reported results improved across refining, renewable diesel, and ethanol, and adjusted operating cash flow was $1.6 billion with continued shareholder returns [#8-K-2026-04-30]. Checked trusted follow-up sources support a beat-versus-consensus framing, but a full post-print analyst target-revision set was not available in the sources reviewed.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +19.0.

What can break

Benicia refinery idling was completed in April 2026, and decommissioning/redevelopment activity shifts into corporate expenses starting in Q2, adding transition risk and potential cost noise [#10-Q-2026-04-30].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $238.00 · Bull $278.00 · Bear $198.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-21

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-21

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $289.35

Why

Momentum92 · Δ7d +19.0

Value51 · Δ7d -0.2

Sentiment38 · Δ7d -6.0

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+19.0

Δ21d

+7.5

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.2

Δ21d

-2.1

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-6.0

Δ21d

-16.3

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 92.4 / Value 50.6 / Sentiment 38.5

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-21

Market Cap

$93.47B

Beta

0.76

Shares Out

296.93M

P/E (TTM)

37.6

P/S (TTM)

0.45

P/FCF (TTM)

21.51

Rev YoY

+7.7%

EPS YoY

-322.6%

Gross Margin

+5.9%

Op Margin

+1.6%

Net Debt

$6.99B

Current Ratio

1.58

As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology