B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$200.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SAM
Boston BeerBNYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$170.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$125.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-09-09
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-0.1
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+66.5
Score
AI commentary
Overall sentiment is mixed-to-cautious. The packet contains sparse recent news, including a negative valuation-oriented Barron's headline, while the latest company filing shows strong margin and balance-sheet support but continued volume contraction. Social, options, short-interest and employee-sentiment data were not supplied; the neutral directional prior and medium coverage support a monitoring stance rather than a high-conviction trade.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-09-09
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-12-08eventQ2 results maintained earnings outlookMedium impact
Q2 revenue fell 3.3% to $568.3 million and adjusted EPS was $3.65, while gross margin expanded 60 basis points to 50.4%. Management said it was maintaining its earnings outlook and cited disciplined execution, supply-chain improvements and a healthy balance sheet. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23]
2026-12-08catalystDepletion pressure and weak brand mixHigh impact
Q2 depletions declined 6% and shipments declined 4.5%, with weakness in Twisted Tea, Truly, Samuel Adams, Hard Mountain Dew and Dogfish Head only partly offset by Sun Cruiser and Angry Orchard. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23]
2027-09-09catalystMargin recovery and supply-chain benefitsHigh impact
Improved brewery efficiency, procurement savings, favorable mix and pricing supported gross-margin expansion despite inflation, commodity and tariff costs. Sustained margin improvement could offset part of the volume pressure over the next several quarters. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology