SAM

Boston BeerC

NYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco

At close

2026-07-20

Current thesis

Ex-litigation operations were not as weak as the GAAP headline implies: gross margin rose to 49.3%, pricing/mix remained favorable, inventory normalized, cash was $164.1 million, and the company still expects better shipment performance later in 2026 with second-half-weighted launches and advertising [#8-K-2026-04-30].

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-23 · AMC.

What can break

Supplier litigation remains a major overhang: the company recorded $216.0 million pre-tax of litigation-related expense and said it cannot estimate when or if damages or interest will ultimately be paid, even though it plans post-trial motions and appeal [#8-K-2026-04-30].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $225.00 · Bull $245.00 · Bear $185.00

Earnings

2026-07-23 · AMC

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-20

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-20

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $219.01

Why

Momentum17 · Δ7d -8.3

Value68 · Δ7d -0.6

Sentiment66 · Δ7d -6.3

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-8.3

Δ21d

+7.1

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.6

Δ21d

+0.6

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-6.3

Δ21d

+6.3

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 16.7 / Value 67.8 / Sentiment 65.5

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$1.86B

Beta

1.03

Shares Out

10.41M

P/E (TTM)

23.2

P/S (TTM)

1.06

P/FCF (TTM)

9.95

Rev YoY

-4.4%

EPS YoY

-741.1%

Gross Margin

+48.7%

Op Margin

+6.1%

Net Debt

-$184.39M

Current Ratio

0.93

As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology