B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
+12.6% vs current
YETI
YETIANYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$47.00
+1.8% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$37.00
-19.9% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-17
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+67.0
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+48.4
Score
AI commentary
Sentiment improved after the May 14, 2026 print: trusted coverage highlighted an earnings beat, raised outlook, and an about-8% share jump, and the stock closed at $42.67 on May 15, 2026. The tone is better than the prior neutral baseline, but this is still a cautious post-earnings monitoring setup because analyst revision coverage is thin in the packet and no usable social-context signal was provided.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-17
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-06-15catalystBeat-and-raise quarter can still support a near-term revision cycleHigh impact
YETI’s May 14 earnings release showed Q1 sales up 8% to $380.4 million, adjusted EPS of $0.26, a higher 2026 sales floor of 7% to 8%, a higher adjusted operating margin outlook of about 14.6%, and a higher EPS outlook of $2.83 to $2.89, while the share repurchase authorization was increased to $500 million [#8-K-2026-05-14]. Trusted follow-up coverage also indicated post-print target increases, but revision coverage is still incomplete.
2026-09-30catalystWholesale strength and Drinkware normalization are the clearest operating proof pointsHigh impact
The quarter showed wholesale sales up 19%, Coolers & Equipment up 11%, Drinkware up 5%, and management said U.S. Drinkware returned to growth, suggesting the sell-in reset may be easing and innovation is landing across channels [#8-K-2026-05-14]. If that mix persists into the next two quarters, YETI has a cleaner path to sustaining the raised revenue outlook.
2026-12-31catalystMargin recovery still depends on offsetting tariff and cost pressureHigh impact
Q1 gross margin fell 210 basis points to 55.3%, including a 280 basis point unfavorable tariff impact, and the 10-Q still frames tariff exposure, supply-chain diversification, and other mitigation actions as key forward variables [#8-K-2026-05-14] [#10-Q-2026-05-14] [#10-K-2026-02-27]. A cleaner margin bridge would support rerating, but failure to offset tariffs, freight, and input costs would cap upside.
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-17 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology