B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
YETI
YETIANYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$47.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$37.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-17
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+67.0
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+82.2
Score
AI commentary
Sentiment improved after the May 14, 2026 print: trusted coverage highlighted an earnings beat, raised outlook, and an about-8% share jump, and the stock closed at $42.67 on May 15, 2026. The tone is better than the prior neutral baseline, but this is still a cautious post-earnings monitoring setup because analyst revision coverage is thin in the packet and no usable social-context signal was provided.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-17
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-06-15catalystBeat-and-raise quarter can still support a near-term revision cycleHigh impact
YETI’s May 14 earnings release showed Q1 sales up 8% to $380.4 million, adjusted EPS of $0.26, a higher 2026 sales floor of 7% to 8%, a higher adjusted operating margin outlook of about 14.6%, and a higher EPS outlook of $2.83 to $2.89, while the share repurchase authorization was increased to $500 million [#8-K-2026-05-14]. Trusted follow-up coverage also indicated post-print target increases, but revision coverage is still incomplete.
2026-09-30catalystWholesale strength and Drinkware normalization are the clearest operating proof pointsHigh impact
The quarter showed wholesale sales up 19%, Coolers & Equipment up 11%, Drinkware up 5%, and management said U.S. Drinkware returned to growth, suggesting the sell-in reset may be easing and innovation is landing across channels [#8-K-2026-05-14]. If that mix persists into the next two quarters, YETI has a cleaner path to sustaining the raised revenue outlook.
2026-12-31catalystMargin recovery still depends on offsetting tariff and cost pressureHigh impact
Q1 gross margin fell 210 basis points to 55.3%, including a 280 basis point unfavorable tariff impact, and the 10-Q still frames tariff exposure, supply-chain diversification, and other mitigation actions as key forward variables [#8-K-2026-05-14] [#10-Q-2026-05-14] [#10-K-2026-02-27]. A cleaner margin bridge would support rerating, but failure to offset tariffs, freight, and input costs would cap upside.
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-17 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology