Back to Rankings

XP

XPD
Nasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
View Chart
Documents
48
Stored
Transcripts
1
Recent loaded
Latest report
2026-05-20
Investor release

Document history

Earnings documents stored for XP.

12 shown
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-20

XP Inc. Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Moby

Our analysts just identified a stock with the potential to be the next Nvidia. Tell us how you invest and we'll show you why it's our #1 pick. Tap here. Performance in Q1 was significantly impacted by external technical factors, specifically a widening of domestic credit spreads in March that pressured mark-to-market positions. Management attributes the 8% year-over-year revenue growth to strong execution in retail verticals and the wholesale bank, which helped offset the temporary slowdown in debt capital markets. The company is transitioning to a more diversified revenue base, with 'new verticals' and floating income gaining representativeness to reduce reliance on pure investment banking cycles. Retail strategy has been refined through client segmentation, focusing on goal-based investing for retail tiers and full-service wealth management for private banking to capture market share from larger incumbents. A strategic leadership transition is underway with the appointment of Gustavo Vallejo as CFO, bringing 30 years of banking and credit expertise to support XP's evolution into a broader financial ecosystem. Despite short-term volatility, management maintains that the underlying business momentum remains solid, supported by an early-stage interest rate easing cycle that typically boosts investor risk appetite. Management reaffirms confidence in delivering double-digit growth for the full year 2026, assuming credit spreads stabilize following the volatility seen in Q1 and April. The efficiency ratio is expected to normalize throughout the year, with a target of remaining flattish compared to 2025 levels as revenue growth resumes. Capital allocation remains a priority, with a commitment to reach a BIS ratio between 16% and 19% by year-end through continued buybacks and dividend payments. The transition to fee-based advisory models is expected to accelerate, with management projecting these models will represent approximately 50% of individual AUC within the next 3 to 5 years. While Q2 may still reflect some spread pressure, management anticipates a better balance between buyers and sellers will lead to a more stable phase in the coming months. Introduced a new managerial P&L structure, organizing business lines into Retail and Wholesale segments to better reflect operational reality and improve comparability with peers. NPS was temporarily impacted by one-o...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-19

Update: XP Shares Drop Pre-Bell After Q1 Earnings, New CFO

MT Newswires

(Updates with information about the CFO change in the headline and the first two paragraphs.) XP

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-18

XP Inc.A (XP) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Miss Estimates

Zacks

XP Inc.A (XP) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.47 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.48 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.39 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -2.08%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $0.45 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.46, delivering a surprise of +2.22%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates just once. XP Inc.A, which belongs to the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, posted revenues of $898.69 million for the quarter ended March 2026, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.66%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $740.99 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates just once over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. XP Inc.A shares have added about 6.7% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 8.2%. While XP Inc.A has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for XP Inc.A was favorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to outperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. It...

TranscriptFY2026 Q12026-05-18

FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript

Earnings source - 70 paragraphs
André Parize

Good evening, everyone. I'm André Parize, Investor Relations Officer at XP, and thank you for joining us and welcome to our first quarter 2026 earnings call. Today's presentation will be delivered by our CEO, Thiago Maffra, and our CFO, Victor Mansur. Right after the presentation, they will be both available for the Q&A session. To ask a question during the Q&A, use Zoom's raise hand feature. We will address your questions in the order they are received. Live translation into Portuguese is available. Click the button below if you would like to enable it. Before we begin, please see the legal disclaimer on page two of today's presentation for information regarding forward-looking statements. The presentation is available for a download on our investor relations website with further details in the SEC filings section of our IR website.

André Parize

To begin the presentation, I will now turn it over to Thiago Maffra. Good evening, Maffra.

Thiago Maffra

Thank you, Andre. Good evening, everyone, and thank you for joining us for the first quarter 2026 earnings call. Let's begin by reviewing the key highlights of the quarter. Client assets combining AUM and AUA reached BRL 2.1 trillion, which represents a 21% year-over-year growth. We ended the period with 18,300 advisors, up 1% year-over-year, while our active client base totaled 4.8 million, a 2% year-over-year increase. This quarter, gross revenues came in at BRL 4.9 billion, up 8% year-over-year. EBT also grew 8% to BRL 1.4 billion, net income reached BRL 1.3 billion, rising 7% year-over-year. On profitability, our ROE achieved 21.7% for the quarter. Our capital ratio remained at a comfortable 20.7%.

Thiago Maffra

More importantly, these results reflect our ability to grow our business while maintaining disciplined capital and risk management. I would also like to highlight that today we are announcing a new buyback program of BRL 1 billion. Once as of now, we have executed almost half of the currently BRL 1 billion open program. Additionally, we are also declaring BRL 500 million in dividends to be paid in June. Victor will provide more details in his presentation. Moving to our diluted EPS, it grew 9% year-over-year, outpacing net income growth. We enter 2026 with solid momentum, largely driven by the global macro environment as weaker U.S. dollar and a rotation toward non-U.S. assets boosted emerging markets inflows, which helped improve Brazil market dynamics and enabled us to sustain the growth momentum built in the second half of last year. As you know, the environment changed in March.

Thiago Maffra

Increased global volatility pressured local market sentiment while domestic credit spreads widened at the same time, driven by technical factors. These developments were external to our underlying performance. Excluding these external factors, we would have delivered even stronger results, achieving double-digit growth. We saw this credit spread trend continue into April. We now see a better balance between buyers and sellers in the market, leading spreads into a more stable phase. Despite this widening in April, we do not expect an impact on the same magnitude as we saw in the first quarter. Said that, we still see our business growing double digits this year. We are now seeing the early stages of an interest rate easing cycle.

Thiago Maffra

While the pace of easing is expected to be more gradual than previously anticipated, rates are still at high levels, and despite global uncertainties, there is still room for further cuts. This ongoing easing cycle, even if it's lower, supports our business momentum, as this positively impacts investors' risk appetite and turnover velocity. The short-term volatility we mentioned earlier may have briefly slowed our growth momentum towards the end of this quarter. Even so, we are confident we can return to double-digit growth supported by stronger execution across key verticals and a more diversified revenue base. Our unique scale and differentiated Retail investments platform provides a competitive edge unmatched by any other player in the market. In addition, we now operate within a much broader ecosystem, and our corporate segment has definitely reached new standards that extend beyond pure investment banking.

Thiago Maffra

Together, these strengths helped partially offset the impact of higher volatility referenced earlier, reinforcing Retail investments and corporate as important drivers of growth and diversification. Finally, the powerful combination of service excellence, strong client relationships, and financial performance together with a sales force that has aligned incentives and robust capabilities corroborates our conviction that disciplined execution backed by governance and technology will drive our performance. Ultimately, our ability to execute this strategy is what we will enable us to achieve our long-term objectives in all our divisions, regardless of the current macroeconomic environment. Moving to the next slide. In the first quarter of 2026, our total client assets, combined with assets under management from our asset management business and AUA from our fund administration business, totaled over BRL 2.1 trillion, representing a 21% growth year-over-year.

Thiago Maffra

We are strategically positioned for our next growth phase and remain focused on our ambition to become Brazil's leader in investments by 2033. To achieve that goal, despite external uncertainties, we are executing a strategy built to consistently deliver double-digit growth. We are also constantly investing in our ecosystem and advisors in strengthening what is already Brazil's largest and most sophisticated investment platform. We are the only player that can lead the democratization of access to first-class financial service, supporting clients with a holistic approach built on financial and wealth planning, delivered at scale and with strong governance. The market has recognized these capabilities as we were recently named for the eighth consecutive year the best financial advisory platform. With that, let's move to the next slide.

Thiago Maffra

On the left-hand side of this slide, you can see how net new money related to client assets performed at the start of 2026. In Q1, we posted BRL 19 billion of organic Retail net new money, while corporate and institutional came in at negative BRL 4 billion, bringing the total for the quarter to approximately BRL 14 billion. We once again reached our guidance of around BRL 20 billion in Retail net new money per quarter. During the first quarter of the year, clients received FGC related inflows. It's important to highlight that these payments were not included in the net new money calculation, as the related adjustments were made exclusively to our client assets base.

Thiago Maffra

As you can see on the right-hand side of the slide, the high retention levels of roughly 80% following these FGC related inflows reflect the consistent execution of our advisors and the strength of our brand. Related to that, and as we mentioned last quarter, our NPS was impacted by one-off effects related to credit events and Banco Master. They temporarily affected a specific group of clients and consequently our overall NPS. First quarter's NPS is still impacted by them due to a calculation methodology using moving average. We are already on a consistent recovery path, and more recent indicators were positive with NPS coming around 70. We expect to return to historical levels by year-end, demonstrating the strength of our brand and the trust clients place in our platform.

Thiago Maffra

Lastly, I would like to take a closer look at our Retail strategy and share a bit more detail about this area of the business. Investments or core franchise remain solid, supported by healthy underlying trends and continue to serve as a key driver of our results. We are further strengthening what we view as the market's best and most comprehensive product platform while also improving advisor productivity. This progress is underpinned by excellence in relationship management and a more intelligent, disciplined allocation process. Following our refined client segmentation, we developed tailored service models for each segment, ensuring our approach is aligned with distinct needs for each client group. In Retail clients, we have developed a new value proposition grounded in goal-based investing and managed portfolios. With that, we are already seeing improvements in this segment, supported by margin accretive dynamics.

Thiago Maffra

Our strategy is to extend this approach to other client layers using technology, process, and governance as key enablers to scale in a profitable way. In high income, our core segment, we deliver a distinctive value proposition, having been true pioneers in democratizing access to financial and wealth planning in Brazil. In addition to our differentiated advisory model, we were the first player to offer a truly agnostic servicing model, enabling us to address this latent client demand. We also continue to expand our sales channels, invest in new products and services, and enhance the client journey by providing the best tools available in the market. In private banking, we continue to gain market share by enhancing our offering and leveraging our broader ecosystem to address clients' needs more comprehensively.

Thiago Maffra

We have evolved into a full-service wealth manager, serving clients both individual and corporate needs, supported by a robust product platform and a highly skilled team. As our private banking franchise matures, we are becoming increasingly well-positioned to compete with larger players in this segment. Our private segment has become a fundamental part of our ecosystem, serving as an important source of cross-selling opportunities and referrals for our other businesses. Among the three growth drivers that directly impact our business, take rates are the only variable that we do not control 100%, as product mix and asset turnover are driven by investor sentiment and market momentum. Our other growth drivers are fully within our control and support our long-term journey. We have also partially offset the take rate effect through revenue diversification, growth in advisory, fee-based models, and expansion into new verticals.

Thiago Maffra

Before I hand over to Victor, I want to quickly comment on the 6-K we just released. Today, we are announcing that Gustavo Alejo has been appointed as XP's new CFO. This is part of a thoughtful and well-planned transition, marking a new chapter for XP as the bank continues to grow within our ecosystem. Alejo is a seasoned executive with a remarkable track record, and his expertise will be instrumental to our expansion strategy. We are truly pleased to welcome him to our team. I also want to take this moment to express my gratitude to Victor. Over more than a decade, he has been a central figure in XP's journey. His dedication and contributions have been fundamental to the growth and development of this company. Victor will remain part of XP ecosystem, supporting us in new ventures ahead.

Thiago Maffra

I sincerely thank him for everything he has built here, and I wish him every success in what comes next. Thank you. Victor.

Victor Mansur

I would like to thank Maffra, Benchimol, all our partners and shareholders for the trust they deposit in me throughout all those years. I have been at the company for almost 15 years, and time passed quickly when we are building something that matters. That's what we have done at XP, changed the way Brazilian invested and related to money. After almost 15 years, I decided to step out, but to continue as a partner, member of board of several of investments in your portfolio and contributing to XP ecosystem in new ways. This transition was carefully planned if XP long-term vision always guiding our decisions. I would also like to thank the people who made this journey possible, especially all the incredible team I got to work very closely during my tenure as CFO. To each of you, thank you. It's been a genuine honor.

Victor Mansur

I'm sure that the best is still ahead. Thanks. Now let's review our financial performance. I would like to begin by noting that in this quarter, we are introducing our new managerial P&L and revenue breakdown that more accurately reflect how we operate the company. Under this framework, we are organizing our business lines into two main segments, Retail and Wholesale. Along with this change, the institutional business has been incorporated into the Wholesale division, aligning the reporting structure with the profile of clients we serve in this segment. Additionally, accompanying the final phase of restructuring, the other revenue line has become less relevant over the years and ceases to exist, being incorporated in the net interest margin across our business lines. With this, we provide a clearer and more consistent view of our operational structure and revenue generation.

Victor Mansur

As a part of the same process, our proprietary funds were transferred into the bank structuring. Consequently, we will no longer present the withhold tax adjustments. Instead, we now report our managerial results with other tax equivalent reclassifications consistent with the approach already adopted by other market players. This change improves the understanding of results and aligns the market views more closely with the way we manage the company. Our figures show throughout this presentation have been retrospectively adjusted to preserve comparability across periods. It's important to note that these new adjustments are IFRS compliant with no changes to our gross revenue, net income or capital metrics. Given that context, let's now move to the quarter results. Total gross revenue in the first quarter reached BRL 4.9 billion, up 8% year-over-year and down 7% quarter-over-quarter.

Victor Mansur

The year growth was driven by actions, Retail new verticals and other retail if new ventures and floating expanding at a rapid pace. The Wholesale bank division also delivered growth year-over-year. Let's move to Retail revenue. Retail revenue totaling BRL 3.8 billion in the quarter, representing a 10% growth year-over-year and a 2% decline quarter-over-quarter, reflecting the impact in corporate credit in Brazil already explained before. Building on the market momentum that began in the second half of 2025, we saw increasing equity volumes driven by higher ADTV in equities and futures. Consequently, equity revenues increased 13% quarter-over-quarter and 22% when compared to the same period of last year, reaching almost BRL 1.2 billion.

Victor Mansur

As a result, equity revenue increased its shares of total gross revenue breakdown both year-over-year and versus the prior quarter, reaching 31% in the first quarter of 2026. Also, Retail benefited from strong contributions from float and new verticals, which are reported in the other retail line and gaining representativeness during the quarter. Now let's move on to the next slide, where we'll talk through how our Wholesale banking is evolving. As we mentioned earlier, we now include our institutional business in the Wholesale segment. Taken together, these three business lines grew 26% year-over-year. This same market figures showed a reduced volume on tax-exempt fixed income offers in the first quarter of 2026. If that, issue services revenues were down following the same rationale of Retail fixed income.

Victor Mansur

On corporate segment, we posted another solid result, reaching almost BRL 500 million in revenues. Due to high volatility, we were able to serve our clients with more trading solutions, with derivatives and FX boosting revenues. This reinforced the consolidation for franchise, which developed meaningful through the years, become important factor for ecosystem and an important driver in terms of growth and diversification. Finally, our institutional business grew both year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter. This segment, the same as Retail equities, benefited from higher trading volumes during the quarter. Let's shift our focus to SG&A and efficient ratios. As mentioned earlier, we are introducing a new disclosure methodology, which is better aligned to market peers and increase our results comparability. We can find the reconciliation and additional details about the new methodology in the appendix.

Victor Mansur

Our SG&A totaled BRL 1.6 billion in this quarter, increased 14% year-over-year and declining 6% quarter-over-quarter. On the right-hand side of this slide, our last 12 months efficient ratio was 34.6%, representing a year-over-year increase of 100 basis points. The short-term increase was caused by market events that temporarily impact our revenues in the first quarter, as previously explained. As commented before, we expect to see a normalization of the ratios throughout the year, ending 2026 with a flattish number when compared to 2025. Move on to EBT now. Our adjusted EBT totaled BRL 1.4 billion in the first quarter, up 8% year-over-year and down 14% quarter-over-quarter. The adjusted EBT margin was 30%, stable versus the prior year and lower quarter-over-quarter.

Victor Mansur

As mentioned in the previous slide, market events impacted revenues and therefore our EBT and NBT margin in the first quarter of 2026. On the next slide, we'll see our adjusted net income. Adjusted net income in the first quarter totaled BRL 1.3 billion, representing a 7% increase year-over-year and remaining roughly stable sequentially. Net margins were 27.8% in 1Q 2026, down 30 basis points year-over-year and 122 basis points higher sequentially. Let's move on to the next slide to talk about capital management. I will start by discussing capital returns. During the first quarter of the year, we continued execution our share buyback program, and as of now, we have executed almost half of it.

Victor Mansur

As Maffra mentioned earlier, today we announced a new buyback program of BRL 1 billion and also the payment of BRL 500 million in dividends to be paid on June 18. Combining the dividends and the two buyback programs, we get to almost BRL 2.5 billion in capital distribution already announced in 2026. Now, let's move on the second part of our capital management strategy on the next slide. Our adjusted diluted EPS increased approximately 9% year-over-year, reflect the execution of our share buyback program. This allowed our EPS to expand at a faster pace than net income. On the right-hand side of this slide, you can see our adjusted annualized ROTE and ROE. Given our higher BIS ratio than last quarter, both metrics are lower this quarter than the last quarter.

Victor Mansur

If we were operating the business with 17.5% BIS ratio, which is the midpoint of our guidance, our ROTE and ROE would have been around 30% and 24% respectively. Let's move on to the next slide to give some additional details on our capital management. I would like to turn to our capital ratio under our risk-weight assets. Before going through the numbers, I want to highlight that even in a quarter marked by elevated volatility across both local and international markets, our disciplined risk management approach translated into a well-controlled risk profile with lower VaR and flat HRWA. Our VaR declined sequentially, closing the quarter at 14 basis points, 3 basis points lower than prior quarter. Our RWA ended the first quarter at BRL 122 billion, up 3% quarter-over-quarter. Credit RWA remained essentially stable.

Victor Mansur

Market RWA grew just 2% in the quarter, both expand at a lower pace than our revenues. The main trigger of expansion of risk was the operational Risk-Weighted Assets.

Victor Mansur

Despite the market dynamics we mentioned, our risk is under control, our balance sheet is sound, and we expect that to remain the case throughout the year, consistent with what we have communicated to the market. Finally, we closed the quarter with a BIS ratio of 20.7%, which is above our guidance of BIS ratio of 16%-19% by the end of the year. As communicated last quarter, we enter 2026 with a comfortable capital position that gives us flexibility to navigate different scenarios and remain well-positioned in any potential volatility coming from internal or external markets throughout the year. Even though we know this is a higher capitalization level than the company requires to operate, we are committed to reach our guidance by the end of the year. With that, we will now move to the Q&A session.

André Parize

Okay.

André Parize

Now we're going to start the Q&A. The first question is from Tito Labarta, Goldman Sachs. Tito, please.

Tito Labarta

Thanks, Parize. Good evening, Maffra, Victor. Thanks for the call and taking my questions. Victor, you know, good luck on your future endeavors, thanks for all the help the last few years. Maybe a couple questions. Just one, I guess. Can you give a little bit more color, Victor, Maffra on the decision to step down and the new incoming CFO, just to understand a little bit more some of the rationale behind that. Second question, you talked a little bit about the widening of the credit spreads. Just to understand, how do you expect that to recover maybe completely in 2Q? Would that take a little bit longer?

Tito Labarta

Just to think about how that could impact your revenues for not just 2Q, but also for the rest of the year. Thank you.

Thiago Maffra

Good evening, everyone, and thank you for the question, Tito Labarta. The first question about why, what's the reason behind the move of Victor, is a transition that we have been discussing for, I would say, a few months or like a half year, to do this transition to find someone with more background in banking and the banking products that we have been developing for both individuals and capital markets on the Wholesale bank. It was a well-planned transition, and you guys know the change that happened at Santander. There was an opportunity to bring Gustavo Alejo Viviani, who has more than 30 years of background in corporate, in credit on credit for individuals and as a CFO. It was an opportunity to bring someone with the background that we were looking for.

Thiago Maffra

Victor is an important partner of the company. He has been with us for 15 years. He will continue to be partner of the company and will help us on new ventures on the company in the future. About the second question, We didn't have any credit loss because it's mainly tradable fixed income that we have mark-to-market on the positions. You guys know very well what happened on the credit market since the beginning of the war. In March, there was a widening on the credit spreads, even for triple-A names, double-A names. We lost some money on mark-to-market. As you mentioned, we didn't realize most of this loss.

Thiago Maffra

We don't expect the market to recover on Q2, because if you take a look on what happened in April, there was also a widening on the spreads, much smaller than March, than the first quarter. We do not expect any impact on Q2 because our ecosystem and the other business line will compensate even more than what we lost in April. In May, we saw the credit spread stabilizing, but we don't expect them to start closing this quarter. Let's see what happen. For the year, we don't expect any further impacts on top line growth. That's why we are confident that we can deliver a double-digit growth for the year. If you take a look on what happened, just one-off on widening of spreads on Q1.

Thiago Maffra

If we take that off, we would probably be at low teens, very close to what we have planned because all the business lines beside the credit spread, the widening on credit spreads and the primary market on DCM, besides these two business lines, all the business, they are like in line with what we have planned for the year. We are confident that we can resume higher growth on Q2.

Tito Labarta

Great. No, that's helpful, Maffra. Thank you for that. If I can, just one quick follow-up on the management transition, I guess. I know you've been talking more about, you know, capital ratios and, I mean, you have excess capital to return. You have the banking license.

Tito Labarta

I think investors still view you a little bit more as an investment platform. I mean, should we begin to think of you more as a bank? I mean, does this indicate any major change in strategy that we should kinda take into account? Is it just you kinda need somebody to given the capital requirements and things like that, just to understand a little bit how that plays into the strategy to some extent?

Thiago Maffra

We don't have any change on our strategy. It's the same thing we have been talking for the past three years. No major change, no big change. It's more of the same looking forward, so no change on the strategy.

Tito Labarta

Okay, great. Thank you, Maffra.

André Parize

Okay, next question is from Thiago Batista, UBS. Thiago, please, you can make your question.

Thiago Batista

Hi, guys. Can you hear me? Oh. First of all, thanks for-

André Parize

yes, we can.

Thiago Batista

Mansur, thanks for all the help in the last years. I have two questions, to be honest. The first one, when I look for the capital distribution, in this historically, you've paid half in dividends and half as buyback. How do you think on the future distribution? How do you think between these two types of distribution, buyback and dividends? And the second one, on the DCM side, I know that there's a lot of moving parts here, yield curve increased a lot, spreads are higher than an average. We also are seeing inflows in the fixed income funds. How do you think about the same business?

Thiago Batista

I know that is very tough view, very tough to estimate the performance of this business. How do you guys are seeing the same business until the end of the year?

Victor Mansur

Hi, Batista. I'm gonna take the first one here and the second goes to Maffra. First in capital distribution, I think we are in the middle of the year. We all can do the math on how much cash we need to devote to shareholders should be inside our guidance. I think for now, more than half than what announced, actually BRL 2 billion is buybacks and BRL 500 million are dividends. I think for our mix of shareholders and the price of the stock now, that's the best mix, and we are gonna keep the space over the year to get the end of the guidance. Exactly what will be the combination between one and the other depend on the stock level and the market environment, and then we go.

Victor Mansur

For now, more than 75% is buybacks.

Thiago Maffra

Yeah. On the second part of your question, as you mentioned, there are a lot of moving parts here, but as I already mentioned, we saw the widening credit spreads continuing in April, in a smaller size than March. In May, we start to see a more stable market. Okay, we start to see some buyers in the market. If you look the net flow of the credit funds, there's still redemptions, so they're still negative. On the other side, they are all-time high in cash. Okay? We believe if the market, the global market stabilize, we believe we'll see the beginning, maybe the beginning of the spread compression on the next months.

Thiago Maffra

That's the view we have right now looking the numbers and the flows. Okay. We are starting to see our Retail clients buying corporate bonds. That's something that didn't happen since, I would say, January or February. We have early signs of a more stable market, but too early to say if we will see compression. I don't expect compression in Q2, okay? It's more for Q3 or Q4.

Thiago Batista

Very clear. Mansur and Maffra.

André Parize

Okay. Next question is from Eduardo Rosman, BTG. Eduardo, you may proceed.

Eduardo Rosman

Hi. Hi, everyone. Two questions here. The first is on, it's a follow-up on the top line, right? I think Maffra mentioned that you guys are still confident about growing double digits. In case things are a little bit slower, can you do anything else on the cost side to compensate? That would be the question number one. Question number two, can you give us an update on the movement to the fixed base fee? How is that evolving? How IFAs are reacting and embracing the change? Thanks.

Victor Mansur

Hi, Rosman. Thank you for your question. I think the first one here, the compression in efficiency ratio in the first quarter was due this softness in revenues that Maffra was commenting, the fixed income and issue services. I felt that would be flattish year-over-year. I think over the year, if the scenario start deteriorating, we are committed to not lose efficiency because of costs, so there is margin. Of course, the initial plan is to keep our investments, but if needed, we are committed to deliver a flattish efficiency ratio over the year and keep the pace of the revenue.

Thiago Maffra

On your second question, For sure you have seen that we are doing advertisement, marketing campaigns about the multiple models that we have today. We are basically the only house to offer to our customers all different models to serve our clients and the way they pay for that. Okay. Today, I would say about 25% of our total individual AUC is under flat fees or fee-based model. It's growing. We believe, in three, four years it's probably be half of the AUC when you look consulting model or fee-based model. These models, they are growing, and we expect them like to reach 50% I would say in the next three, four, five years.

Eduardo Rosman

Great. Thanks a lot.

Thiago Maffra

Thanks a lot.

André Parize

Next question is from Jorge Kuri from Morgan Stanley. Jorge, you may proceed. We go to next one. The next one is Eric Ito from Bradesco BBI. Eric, you may proceed.

Eric Ito

Hi, Maffra, Mansur, Parize, thank you for the opportunity, and Victor as well, thank you for the partnership and wish you all the best for the future. I have two on my side as well. First is a follow-up on the impact from the yield curve. If you could give us just to quantify in the quarter how much was the impact here. If we could also give us some color on any potential one-off impacts from the FGC payments or allocation on this product.

Eric Ito

If you could also help us understand which products are the clients putting money into with the reimbursement from FGC, just to help us understand what we can expect for the fixed income take rate going forward. My second one is on the warehouse strategy here. If you could give us some color and recall what's the average duration that the credit stays in your warehouse. How should we think about distribution versus retention going forward? Any update and/or change in the strategy here? Thank you.

Victor Mansur

Hi, Eric. Thank you. Thank you for your question. First of all, about the interest rates level. I think despite the business impacts in terms of macro tailwind and product allocation, when you look at the facts in the company, it's actually better for several business lines that are floating return on our own capital. You go, as we comment, floating inside the Retail, other revenues was one of the drivers of growth inside of Retail. About the allocation of FGC premiums, you're gonna see that in the prepayments inside of our balance sheet, just important to remember that there is no P&L effect in that.

Thiago Maffra

Where the clients are allocating the money.

Victor Mansur

Oh, okay. The last part about where the clients are allocating money. I think at the beginning of the year, we talk a lot about the positive tailwind we had in Brazil and overall markets. I think if the war and the easing cycle coming from 300-70 basis points, clients move back to fixed income and short-term fixed income. I think we're basically at the same case we were in the second semester of two thousand and twenty-five. Almost all of the cash goes to short-term fixed income.

Eric Ito

Okay. Thank you.

Victor Mansur

Duration of the warehouse portfolio, I think that was the last question. It's the same. It's roughly between three to six months. Of course, this widening in the credit spread may change a little bit the dynamics, but that is our base case, and we should keep this way over the year.

Eric Ito

Okay. Perfect. Thank you.

Thiago Maffra

Duration.

André Parize

Okay, next question is from Arnon Shirazi from Citi. Arnon, you may proceed.

Arnon Shirazi

Hi, all. Good evening. Thanks for the opportunity. The last quarter, a quick question regarding the NPS. We saw that it was low on the fourth Q, now decreasing in this first quarter. We know that's tracking the last six months, but it's still low at 61. I want to get a view on this, on the recent trend and if you expect to be better in the next months or quarters. Thank you.

Thiago Maffra

Yeah, that's a good question. As we use moving average here, the lowest number was in December and early January. Q1 was the worst moving average. On Q2, you see the number improving. If we look, the number that we are right now is already at 70. Okay, 70. We are almost back on the current view. Again, as we report a moving average, you see Q2 higher than Q1, but not at 70 yet. Probably on Q3, you see 70 plus and back to normal levels.

Arnon Shirazi

Great. Thank you.

André Parize

Has come to an end. It'll be more than a pleasure to answer any further questions. Just look for contact the IR team and see you on the next quarter. Thank you so much for your participation.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-04

How Investors May Respond To XP (XP) Boosting Earnings, Cash Returns And Attracting Major Institutional Holders

Simply Wall St.

XP Inc. has already released its audited 2025 annual consolidated financial statements, reporting higher earnings and stronger cash generation, alongside a new cash dividend, share repurchase program, and the retirement of treasury shares. An interesting angle is the simultaneous disclosure that major institutions BlackRock and Dodge & Cox now hold sizable Class A stakes in XP Inc., highlighting growing institutional engagement with the business. Now we’ll examine how XP’s enhanced capital return plans could influence its existing investment narrative and medium-term earnings assumptions. We've uncovered the 13 dividend fortresses yielding 5%+ that don't just survive market storms, but thrive in them. To own XP, you need to believe its multi-channel platform can keep attracting Brazilian investors even as banks and fintechs fight harder on price and product. The latest audited 2025 results and beefed-up capital returns, combined with new stakes from BlackRock and Dodge & Cox, support the near term catalyst of stronger earnings per share, but they do not remove the central risk that fee pressure and competition could weigh on revenue growth and margins. The most relevant piece of news here is XP’s new share repurchase program and retirement of treasury shares, on top of a cash dividend. For a story that already leans on operating leverage and improving profitability, this reinforces the catalyst of per share earnings growth if XP can keep expanding its client base and wallet share while holding costs in check. Yet even with higher earnings and buybacks, you still need to be aware of how rising competition and fee compression could eventually... Read the full narrative on XP (it's free!) XP's narrative projects R$26.2 billion revenue and R$7.2 billion earnings by 2029. Uncover how XP's forecasts yield a $24.11 fair value, a 27% upside to its current price. Some of the lowest ranked analysts were assuming XP’s earnings might only rise to about R$7.4 billion by 2029, and, unlike the more constructive view tied to stronger efficiency and capital returns, they lean heavily on risks such as fee compression and tougher regulation. This new capital return news could challenge their assumptions, so it is worth comparing these more pessimistic expectations with your own view of XP’s earnings path and what could change from here. Explore 5 other fair value estimates on...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-01

Looking for Stocks with Positive Earnings Momentum? Check Out These 2 Finance Names

Zacks

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Citigroup Inc. (C) : Free Stock Analysis Report XP Inc. (XP) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-02-25

XP (XP) Is Up 14.0% After Filing US$216 Million Shelf And Reporting 2025 Earnings Beat

Simply Wall St.

XP Inc. recently filed a US$215.58 million shelf registration for 9,393,589 Class A shares and reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of BRL 4,938 million with net income of BRL 1,282 million, alongside full-year 2025 revenue of BRL 18.40 billion and net income of BRL 5.17 billion. The combination of strong 2025 earnings and continued client and product expansion, plus fresh capital-raising capacity, highlights XP’s effort to reinforce its position as a broad financial services platform in Brazil. Next, we’ll examine how XP’s stronger 2025 earnings profile and expanding client base influence the existing investment narrative for the stock. Explore 22 top quantum computing companies leading the revolution in next-gen technology and shaping the future with breakthroughs in quantum algorithms, superconducting qubits, and cutting-edge research. To own XP today, you need to believe in its ability to keep scaling as a one‑stop financial platform in Brazil, turning growing client assets into durable fee and advisory income despite intense competition and regulatory uncertainty. The latest US$215.58 million shelf filing and solid 2025 earnings marginally strengthen the near term capital and growth story, but they do not materially change the key catalyst around client asset growth or the main risk from fee and margin pressure. The most relevant recent update is XP’s fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings, with revenue of BRL 18.40 billion and net income of BRL 5.17 billion. These results underline the core catalyst of a scalable platform that can turn higher client assets into higher earnings, even as XP invests heavily in technology, advisors and product breadth, and help frame how any future use of the new shelf capacity could interact with growth and profitability. Yet despite this progress, investors should be aware that rising competition and potential regulatory shifts could still challenge XP’s ability to sustain its current economics ... Read the full narrative on XP (it's free!) XP’s narrative projects R$25.2 billion in revenue and R$6.8 billion in earnings by 2028. This requires 14.5% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about R$1.9 billion from R$4.9 billion today. Uncover how XP's forecasts yield a $23.89 fair value, a 6% upside to its current price. Some of the most optimistic analysts were already projecting around BRL 26.6 billion of re...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-02-13

XP Inc (XP) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Financial Performance Amid Market Challenges

GuruFocus.com

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Gross Revenue: 19.5 billion in 2025, an 8% increase compared to 2024. Adjusted Net Income: 1.3 billion in Q4 2025 and 5.2 billion for the full year, representing a 15% expansion. Return on Equity (ROE): 23.9% in 2025, a 94 basis points expansion. Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS): $2.56 in Q4 2025, a 15% increase year over year. Total Client Assets: BRL 2.1 trillion, a 22% growth year over year. Retail Revenue: 3.9 billion in Q4 2025, up 8% year over year. Corporate and Issuer Services Revenue: 895 million in Q4 2025, a 4.9% increase year over year. SG&A Expenses: 1.7 billion in Q4 2025, a 10% increase year over year. Efficiency Ratio: 24.7% for the last 12 months ending Q4 2025, stable compared to 2024. Dividends and Share Buybacks: 500 million in dividends and $1.9 billion in share buybacks executed in 2025. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 10 Warning Signs with XP. Is XP fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: February 12, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. XP Inc (NASDAQ:XP) achieved a significant milestone by crossing the BRL 2 trillion threshold in total client assets, representing a 22% growth year over year. The company posted gross revenues of 19.5 billion in 2025, with a 15% expansion in adjusted net income, indicating strong financial performance. XP Inc (NASDAQ:XP) continues to lead the market with a nationwide network of around 18,000 advisors, serving approximately 5 million clients across Brazil. The company has been successful in diversifying its revenue streams, with significant growth in cross-selling products such as insurance, cards, and retirement plans. XP Inc (NASDAQ:XP) is leveraging technology and AI to enhance advisor productivity and client satisfaction, supporting scalable growth and improved governance. XP Inc (NASDAQ:XP) faced market share pressure and margin compression in the retail segment over the last two years. The company experienced a decline in Net Promoter Score (NPS) due to specific events in the fourth quarter, indicating potential challenges in client satisfaction. Retail net new money has been impacted by the dynamics of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), with a withdrawal of $3 billion in investments from the platform. The company anticipates a challenging envi...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-02-13

XP Q4 Adjusted Earnings, Revenue Increase

MT Newswires

XP (XP) reported Q4 adjusted earnings late Thursday of 2.56 Brazilian reais ($0.49) per diluted shar

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-02-13

XP (XP) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Motley Fool

Image source: The Motley Fool. Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET Chief Executive Officer — Thiago Maffra Chief Financial Officer — Victor Mansur Investor Relations Officer — Andre Parize Thiago Maffra: Thank you, Andre. Good evening, everyone, and thank you all for joining us today for our fourth quarter '25 earnings call. Before delving into the numbers, I would like to comment on the recent shareholder change we have just announced in the 6-K. As announced, myself and Jose Berenguer, CEO of XP's Wholesale Bank, will become holders of XP Control LLC, alongside Guilherme Benchimol, who is still the main controlling shareholder; and Fabricio de Almeida and Guilherme Sant'Anna. This is part of the ongoing process of strengthening corporate governance, long-term alignment and the company's management model. Now to the results. In 2025, we continue investing in key areas of our business. We enhanced our core processes, scaled financial planning, deepened our segmentation strategy and launched new products. We also celebrate the fifth anniversary of our Wholesale Bank, an important milestone that demonstrates the strength and integration of the ecosystem we have built. This platform drives the evolution of service for our corporate and institutional clients in addition to create cross-selling opportunities across our ecosystem. Despite its relative short history, we have established a top-tier franchise that keeps growing in a consistent manner and contributing to our results. Alongside these structure advancements, we continued our agenda of better serving our clients. We launched a new campaign focused on empowering clients through the power of choice. We are the first investment firm in Brazil to offer transactional fee-based and RIA models. We believe there is no single ideal model. Rather, different models are best suited to different client profiles. By having these different models, complete product range, focus on excellence and the most qualified team of advisers as our main advantage, we became the largest investment network in Brazil. Today, we oversee approximately BRL 2.1 trillion across AUC, AUM and AUA, supported by a nationwide network of around 18,000 advisers serving approximately 5 million clients. Our presence spans almost 800 investment centers across 23 Brazilian states and the federal district, combining scale with local reach. We ra...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-02-13

XP Inc. Reports Fourth Quarter 2025 Results

Business Wire

SÃO PAULO, February 12, 2026--(BUSINESS WIRE)--XP Inc. (NASDAQ: XP) ("XP" or the "Company"), a leading tech-enabled platform and a trusted pioneer in providing low-fee financial products and services in Brazil, reported today its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025. Dear Shareholders, Before reflecting on the year, I would like to thank our clients, investment advisors, employees, and partners for their trust, resilience, and commitment. During a challenging period for the investment industry, our people, culture, and clarity of purpose enabled us to continue advancing. At XP Inc., we have always believed that building an enduring financial institution requires courage in difficult times, disciplined decision-making, and a non-negotiable commitment to do what is right for the client. These principles remain the foundation of our choices. Customer: transparency, freedom of choice, and a new competitive differentiator Putting the power of choice in the client’s hands, rather than the financial institution’s, is a paramount component of our strategy and one of XP’s greatest differentiators. Historically, the market has limited alternatives and imposed one-size-fits-all relationship models, constraining how investors engage with their advisors and services. By taking a different path, we give investors the opportunity to make fully informed decisions, with full transparency, about which service model best aligns with their individual profile and investing style. This client-centric approach strengthens engagement, supports more appropriate service delivery, and underpins our long-term vision. We believe we are the first investment platform in Brazil that is truly agnostic to the service model, meaning we do not confine clients to a single delivery or relationship format. Instead, we offer a full range of options so each client can independently select the model that most closely matches their goals and preferences. Achieving this level of flexibility required a sophisticated operational framework developed over many years: an integrated ecosystem that coordinates processes, platforms and teams, backed by consistent investments in technology and people. The result is an operational capability that supports personalized client choice at scale. Executing this model with consistent quality and scale requires well-defined processes, disciplined governanc...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-02-13

XP Inc.A (XP) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates

Zacks

XP Inc.A (XP) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.46 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.45 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.38 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +2.98%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $0.45 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.45, delivering no surprise. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times. XP Inc.A, which belongs to the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, posted revenues of $916.73 million for the quarter ended December 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.22%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $767.81 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates just once over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. XP Inc.A shares have added about 24% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 1.4%. While XP Inc.A has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for XP Inc.A was favorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to outperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. It will...

As of 2026-05-30 • Updated weeklySource: Earnings sourceIngestion runbook