WSO

WatscoA

NYSE / Capital Goods

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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

B+

Bull case

25%

Probability

Target price

$410.00

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Most likely

Base case

50%

Probability

Target price

$370.00

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

B-

Bear case

25%

Probability

Target price

$285.00

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-08-05

AI commentary

Official earnings evidence is mixed: operating conditions and residential HVAC demand improved, but the quarter missed expectations and margins contracted. Social coverage, analyst revisions, options data, short interest, employee sentiment and post-print price reaction were not supplied. The peer set is also loose, so this remains a cautious monitoring view rather than a high-conviction relative-value thesis.

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-05

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Evidence flagged

peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators

Impact

tentative

Confidence

AI events

2026-07-29eventQ2 earnings show stabilization but miss expectationsMedium impact

Q2 revenue rose 2% to $2.1 billion and EPS was $4.00, but both missed reported analyst expectations; operating income fell 12% and gross margin declined to 27.5%. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29] [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2]

2026-09-30catalystGross-margin normalization remains a near-term headwindMedium impact

Management attributed the year-over-year margin comparison to unusually favorable 2025 OEM pricing actions and said 2026 pricing has normalized; the company continues to target a long-term 30% gross-margin goal. [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2]

2026-12-31catalystJackson Supply integration expands Sunbelt densityHigh impact

Watsco completed the Jackson Supply acquisition, adding approximately $230 million of annualized sales across 25 Sunbelt locations. Integration and cross-selling execution are the key forward variables. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]

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Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-08-05 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology