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VVV

ValvolineC
NYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
View Chart
Current thesis
Post-earnings evidence improved: Q2 beat on revenue and adjusted EPS, same-store sales were strong, and FY2026 adjusted EBITDA and EPS guidance moved higher [#8-K-2026-05-07]. With the anchor price at $35.87 versus a median target of $41.6, the setup supports a modest upside case if execution stays clean.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
What can break
First-half continuing-operations earnings remained only $13.1 million despite the strong quarter, reflecting the drag from higher interest expense and other items in the six-month bridge from the earnings release.
Momentum
71
Value
52
Sentiment
44
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $39.50 · Bull $42.50 · Bear $31.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $43.33
Why
Momentum71 · Δ7d +0.7
Value52 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment44 · Δ7d -5.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
71
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
-12.9
Value
52
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
44
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.3
Δ21d
-3.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 71.3 / Value 51.8 / Sentiment 44.2

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$5.03B
Beta
1.20
Shares Out
127.54M
P/E (TTM)
17.9
P/S (TTM)
2.22
P/FCF (TTM)
99.85
Rev YoY
+25.0%
EPS YoY
+19.0%
Gross Margin
+38.5%
Op Margin
+22.8%
Net Debt
$1.62B
Current Ratio
0.73
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology