B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$13.73
+41.4% vs current
VINP
Vinci Compass InvestmentsANasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$9.20
-5.3% vs current
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
-22.8% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-07-19
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+23.2
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+24.7
Positive
Pulse
-30.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+44.0
Score
AI commentary
Recent news tone is modestly positive because of record Q1 FRE, but coverage is sparse and mostly earnings-summary material. Social, options, short-interest, and employee-sentiment evidence are unavailable; zero values are placeholders for unavailable fields, not measured signals.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-07-19
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-11eventQ2 2026 earnings release on August 11Medium impact
Vinci Compass announced that it will report Q2 2026 results after market close on August 11, 2026, followed by a conference call. The outcome is directionally uncertain because consensus and guidance data are unavailable. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-10]
2026-09-30catalystQ1 operating momentum provides a constructive but mixed baseMedium impact
The company reported record Q1 2026 fee-related earnings of R$96.3 million, up 47% year over year, with a 35.4% FRE margin and R$347 billion in assets under management and advisory. However, adjusted distributable earnings were R$62.2 million, and segment performance was uneven. [#SEC-8K-2026-05-11]
2026-12-31catalystBACS combination and Verde integration executionHigh impact
Management cited the announced BACS combination in Argentina and continued Verde integration as expansion and fundraising drivers. Re-rating depends on evidence of integration, capital formation, and sustained fee growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-05-11]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-07-19 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology