UPS

United Parcel ServiceC

NYSE / Transportation

At close

2026-07-21

Current thesis

UPS converts network investments, pricing and efficiency gains into sustained margin expansion and stronger cash returns, supporting upside toward the bull target.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-28 · BMO.

What can break

Changes to capital return policy or margin squeezes

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $107.79 · Bull $150.00 · Bear $75.00

Earnings

2026-07-28 · BMO

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-21

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-01-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-21

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $115.28

Why

Momentum57 · Δ7d +0.0

Value51 · Δ7d 0.0

Sentiment42 · Δ7d -3.0

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

+0.0

Δ21d

+2.7

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

0.0

Δ21d

-0.2

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-3.0

Δ21d

-8.4

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 57.0 / Value 51.0 / Sentiment 41.5

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-21

Market Cap

$98.89B

Beta

1.09

Shares Out

850.01M

P/E (TTM)

15.8

P/S (TTM)

0.97

P/FCF (TTM)

106.31

Rev YoY

-1.2%

EPS YoY

-27.2%

Gross Margin

+18.3%

Op Margin

+9.2%

Net Debt

$22.7B

Current Ratio

1.21

As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology