UPS

United Parcel ServiceB

NYSE / Transportation

Quote time unavailable

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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment AI

B+

Bull case

20%

Probability

Target price

$150.00

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-01-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Most likely

Base case

60%

Probability

Target price

$107.79

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-01-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI

B-

Bear case

20%

Probability

Target price

$75.00

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-01-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI

The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-01-28

AI commentary

Consensus median targets sit near the current price, implying limited near-term upside; wide high/low dispersion reflects disagreement on margin recovery and labor risk. Earnings/guidance cycles remain the primary near-term drivers.

RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-01-28

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Evidence flagged

No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.

Impact

standard

Confidence

AI events

2026-04-28eventPost-earnings analyst revisionsMedium impact

Analyst repricing and target changes after results and guidance can shift consensus quickly; monitor revision flow and tone.

2026-04-28catalystQ4 2025 earnings & FY2026 guidanceMedium impact

Quarterly results and FY2026 guidance that update margin outlook and consensus targets; expect price reaction in the days surrounding release.

2027-01-28catalystPeak-season volumes, network investments & labor outcomesHigh impact

Execution of network investments and labor agreements, plus peak-season volume/mix, will drive multi-quarter margin trajectory.

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Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-01-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology