B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
+37.7% vs current
UPS
United Parcel ServiceDNYSE / Transportation
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$107.79
-1.0% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$75.00
-31.1% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-01-28
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+24.0
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+24.0
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+49.5
Score
AI commentary
Consensus median targets sit near the current price, implying limited near-term upside; wide high/low dispersion reflects disagreement on margin recovery and labor risk. Earnings/guidance cycles remain the primary near-term drivers.
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-01-28
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-04-28eventPost-earnings analyst revisionsMedium impact
Analyst repricing and target changes after results and guidance can shift consensus quickly; monitor revision flow and tone.
2026-04-28catalystQ4 2025 earnings & FY2026 guidanceMedium impact
Quarterly results and FY2026 guidance that update margin outlook and consensus targets; expect price reaction in the days surrounding release.
2027-01-28catalystPeak-season volumes, network investments & labor outcomesHigh impact
Execution of network investments and labor agreements, plus peak-season volume/mix, will drive multi-quarter margin trajectory.
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-01-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology