ULTA
Ulta BeautyDNasdaq / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
Execution of loyalty and omnichannel initiatives increases visit frequency and improves mix; holiday sales beat expectations and margins expand, supporting multiple expansion to the bull target.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
What can break
A macro slowdown or intensified promotions lower traffic and compress margins; loyalty monetization stalls, pushing the stock toward the bear target.
Momentum
19
Value
59
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $571.75 · Bull $707.88 · Bear $435.62
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-12-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $632.29
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d +2.1
Value59 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment56 · Δ7d -6.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
19
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+2.1
Δ21d
+3.7
Value
59
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
56
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.9
Δ21d
+0.2
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 18.7 / Value 59.3 / Sentiment 56.3
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$20.62B
Beta
0.85
Shares Out
42.99M
P/E (TTM)
24.2
P/S (TTM)
2.34
P/FCF (TTM)
26.88
Rev YoY
+11.1%
EPS YoY
+15.5%
Gross Margin
+39.3%
Op Margin
+13.1%
Net Debt
$1.69B
Current Ratio
1.31
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology