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TXRH

Texas RoadhouseB
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sustained comp recovery, effective cost control, and successful unit openings drive multiple expansion toward sell‑side highs (target: $235.00).
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-12.
What can break
Food commodity price volatility
Momentum
41
Value
46
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $196.26 · Bull $235.00 · Bear $155.00Analysis 2026-02-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $221.95
Why
Momentum41 · Δ7d -14.4
Value46 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment75 · Δ7d +3.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-12.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Food commodity price volatility
  • • Franchise/expansion execution delays
  • • Traffic deterioration and persistent wage/commodity inflation compress margins and force conservative guidance, pushing valuation toward sell‑side lows (target: $155.00).

Catalyst clock

2026-02-20

Analyst target revisions (recent Stephens note)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
41
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.4
Δ21d
-33.0
Value
46
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
75
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.2
Δ21d
+13.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 41.3 / Value 46.1 / Sentiment 74.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$196.26
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$155.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$13.42B
Beta
0.89
Shares Out
65.64M
P/E (TTM)
26.6
P/S (TTM)
1.98
P/FCF (TTM)
70.09
Rev YoY
+11.1%
EPS YoY
-0.7%
Gross Margin
+12.1%
Op Margin
+8.2%
Net Debt
$842.01M
Current Ratio
0.46
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data