B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
TXRH
Texas RoadhouseBNasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$196.26
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$155.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-02-20
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-
Unavailable
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+73.3
Score
AI commentary
Sell-side median (~196.26) supports a modestly constructive base case (55% probability). A smaller subset of high-side estimates (~235) assumes successful execution and capital returns (25% probability), while downside to ~155 (20% probability) reflects traffic/margin deterioration. Recent broker notes are mixed-to-constructive; market focus remains on sustaining comps and margin recovery.
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-20
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-02-20eventAnalyst target revisions (recent Stephens note)Medium impact
Ongoing analyst updates (e.g., Stephens raise to $180) can compress/expand short-term sentiment and liquidity [#SERP-5].
2026-05-21catalystNext quarterly earnings releaseHigh impact
Next quarterly report will reveal same-store sales, margin mix, and guide FY outlook — likely driver of near-term re-rating [#SERP-6].
2027-02-20catalystUnit expansion and margin recoveryHigh impact
Sustained unit growth and operating leverage over the next 12 months could materially lift valuation vs peers; timing uncertain, assuming gradual execution [#SERP-2].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-02-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology