B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
+37.5% vs current
TXRH
Texas RoadhouseANasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$196.26
+14.8% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$155.00
-9.3% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-02-20
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+43.0
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+43.0
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+64.7
Score
AI commentary
Sell-side median (~196.26) supports a modestly constructive base case (55% probability). A smaller subset of high-side estimates (~235) assumes successful execution and capital returns (25% probability), while downside to ~155 (20% probability) reflects traffic/margin deterioration. Recent broker notes are mixed-to-constructive; market focus remains on sustaining comps and margin recovery.
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-20
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-02-20eventAnalyst target revisions (recent Stephens note)Medium impact
Ongoing analyst updates (e.g., Stephens raise to $180) can compress/expand short-term sentiment and liquidity [#SERP-5].
2026-05-21catalystNext quarterly earnings releaseHigh impact
Next quarterly report will reveal same-store sales, margin mix, and guide FY outlook — likely driver of near-term re-rating [#SERP-6].
2027-02-20catalystUnit expansion and margin recoveryHigh impact
Sustained unit growth and operating leverage over the next 12 months could materially lift valuation vs peers; timing uncertain, assuming gradual execution [#SERP-2].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-02-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology