B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$260.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
TTWO
Take-Two Interactive SoftwareDNasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$210.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-10-02
Recent news sentiment (30D)
0.0
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+61.1
Score
AI commentary
The primary-source thesis remains cautiously positive but concentrated in one launch. The September 30 Xbox filing supports distribution continuity, not a quantified earnings uplift. The packet provides no reliable post-release price-reaction attribution, dated analyst revisions, or sufficient social, options, short-interest or employee-sentiment measurements; zeros in the sentiment fields denote unavailable data, not neutral observations.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-10-02
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-11-19eventGrand Theft Auto VI scheduled launchHigh impact
Management reiterated a November 19, 2026 launch and fiscal 2027 net-bookings guidance of $8.0–$8.2 billion. Launch timing and reception are the dominant near-term variables; the filing does not establish how much demand is already reflected in the share price. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
2026-11-30catalystXbox publishing-agreement termsMedium impact
Take-Two's new long-term Xbox publisher agreement preserves platform publishing rights and replaces prior Xbox agreements. The September 30 filing says the agreement text will accompany the 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30; financial terms are not yet sufficient to infer incremental revenue or margin. The date shown is an estimate, not an announced filing date. [#8-K-2026-09-30]
2027-03-31catalystFiscal 2027 scale and cash-flow deliveryHigh impact
Management guided to $8.0–$8.2 billion in fiscal 2027 net bookings and more than $1 billion in operating cash flow. Fiscal first-quarter net bookings fell 3% year over year, while recurrent consumer spending supplied 84% of bookings. Delivery depends heavily on the release slate and sustained engagement. The date is the fiscal year-end, not an announced results date. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-10-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology