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TTWO

Take-Two Interactive SoftwareA
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Take-Two has a strong franchise portfolio, high recurrent consumer spending, and a dated GTA VI launch that could drive a step-up in bookings and cash generation. Fiscal Q1 bookings slightly exceeded guidance and full-year bookings guidance was reaffirmed.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.6.
What can break
Fiscal Q1 net bookings declined year over year and GAAP loss widened, including a $43.4 million impairment charge. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
Momentum
16
Value
45
Sentiment
94
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $270.00 · Bull $330.00 · Bear $175.00Analysis 2026-09-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $295.36
Why
Momentum16 · Δ7d -7.7
Value45 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment94 · Δ7d +12.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Fiscal Q1 net bookings declined year over year and GAAP loss widened, including a $43.4 million impairment charge. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
  • • GTA VI launch execution, reception, monetization and timing risk ahead of November 19, 2026.
  • • The latest quarter was mixed: net bookings declined 3% year over year, GAAP loss widened, and a $43.4 million impairment highlighted pipeline execution risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-07

Fiscal Q1 2027 results and outlook reaffirmation

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
16
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.7
Δ21d
-43.5
Value
45
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+2.0
Sentiment
94
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.6
Δ21d
+14.9
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 15.6 / Value 45.4 / Sentiment 94.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$330.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$270.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$175.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$45.18B
Beta
0.92
Shares Out
186.98M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-149.0
P/S (TTM)
7.64
P/FCF (TTM)
233.75
Rev YoY
+2.0%
EPS YoY
+178.3%
Gross Margin
+54.6%
Op Margin
-1.0%
Net Debt
$955.8M
Current Ratio
1.06
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data