B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$108.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SWK
Stanley Black DeckerANYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$98.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-03
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.8
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+72.0
Score
AI commentary
The company source confirms the earnings release, guidance increase, cash generation and capital deployment. The stock was approximately $97.58 on August 3 versus the $94.58 July 31 anchor, about 3.2% higher, indicating that the initial positive reaction held. No confirmed post-print analyst revisions were identified; their absence is not positive evidence. The peer set remains loose, so this is a cautious monitoring view.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-03
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
high-coverage report lacks a dated company-specific catalyst beyond generic cadence; peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-07-29eventQ2 2026 results and raised FY2026 outlookMedium impact
The July 29 SEC filing reports Q2 net sales of $4.0B, 3% organic growth, adjusted EPS of $1.57, 620 bps of adjusted gross-margin expansion, and raised 2026 EPS and free-cash-flow guidance. Stored earnings context reports guidance ranges of $5.20-$5.80 adjusted EPS and $600M-$800M free cash flow. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-30]
2026-11-01catalystOutdoor weakness and tariff-benefit normalizationHigh impact
Outdoor organic revenue declined 7% because of weaker replenishment demand, while roughly 250 bps of adjusted gross-margin benefit came from net tariff refunds. A reversal of either support could pressure margins and earnings expectations. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
2027-08-03catalystMargin, cash-flow and deleveraging executionMedium impact
Q2 operating cash flow was $763M and free cash flow was $698M; the company reduced debt by approximately $1.7B and repurchased $250M of shares. Continued execution could support a higher-quality earnings profile, although tariff refunds contributed materially to margins. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-03 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology