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SWK

Stanley Black DeckerB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Second-quarter organic sales grew 3%, led by Tools & Outdoor volume, while productivity and mix aided segment margin. If that underlying improvement persists and SWK meets raised 2026 cash-flow guidance, the $90.71 anchor could have upside.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Second-quarter adjusted gross margin included roughly 250 basis points of net tariff-refund benefit, complicating assessment of sustainable improvement. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
Momentum
80
Value
64
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $99.00 · Bull $112.00 · Bear $70.00Analysis 2026-10-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $100.00
Why
Momentum80 · Δ7d +0.8
Value64 · Δ7d -1.1
Sentiment51 · Δ7d -7.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Second-quarter adjusted gross margin included roughly 250 basis points of net tariff-refund benefit, complicating assessment of sustainable improvement. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
  • • Tariff exposure, cost inflation and uneven regional demand could offset volume and productivity gains; second-quarter European organic Tools & Outdoor sales declined 2%. SEC earnings exhibit
  • • Roughly 250 basis points of second-quarter gross-margin benefit and about $0.17 of adjusted EPS came from net tariff refunds.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-04

November 4 third-quarter earnings

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
80
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
+5.7
Value
64
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
-1.6
Sentiment
51
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.6
Δ21d
-18.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 79.8 / Value 64.4 / Sentiment 50.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-14. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$112.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$99.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$14.99B
Beta
1.20
Shares Out
151.02M
P/E (TTM)
26.7
P/S (TTM)
0.79
P/FCF (TTM)
45.68
Rev YoY
+0.4%
EPS YoY
+247.2%
Gross Margin
+31.5%
Op Margin
+9.2%
Net Debt
$6.05B
Current Ratio
1.43
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data