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Earnings documents stored for STZ.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-08Constellation Brands (STZ) Down 7.9% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?
Zacks
Constellation Brands (STZ) Down 7.9% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?
A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Constellation Brands (STZ). Shares have lost about 7.9% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500. Will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Constellation Brands due for a breakout? Well, first let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the recent catalysts for Constellation Brands Inc before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late. Constellation Brands reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results, wherein the top and bottom lines surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate. The company’s sales and earnings declined year over year on weak consumer demand trends. Comparable earnings per share (EPS) of $1.90 dropped 28% year over year in the fiscal fourth quarter but surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.74. On a reported basis, the company’s EPS was $1.16 against a loss of $2.09 reported in the year-earlier quarter. Net sales declined 11% year over year to $1.920 billion but came above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.896 billion. Organic net sales were flat year over year. Constellation Brands' sales for the beer business jumped nearly 1% year over year to $1.73 billion, backed by a rise of 1.1% in shipment volumes and favorable pricing, partly offset by unfavorable mix. Depletions rose 0.6% as declines for Modelo Especial of just under 1% and Corona Extra of about 6% were more than offset by increases from Pacifico, Victoria and the Modelo Chelada brands of nearly 21%, 17%, and 5%, respectively. Sales in the wine and spirits segment plunged 58% year over year to $194.2 million in the fiscal fourth quarter. The metric was hurt by a 72.9% decline in shipment volumes, reflecting the effects of the Wine & Spirits divestitures, changes in distributor contractual obligations and pricing efforts taken on certain brands. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company's beer, and wine and spirits segments is currently pegged at $1.71 billion and $195 million, respectively. STZ's comparable operating income came in at $508 million, down 9% year over year. Operating income for the beer segment slipped 8% year over year to $572.5 million. The beer segment’s operating margin contracted 340 basis points (bps) to 33.2%, as favorability in net sales was more than offset by higher cost of goods...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-06Bud Light Owner’s Stock Jumps After Earnings Beat. Beer Is Back—and Not Just in the U.S.
Barrons.com
Bud Light Owner’s Stock Jumps After Earnings Beat. Beer Is Back—and Not Just in the U.S.
The owner of Budweiser, Corona Extra, and Stella Artois reported first-quarter results ahead of expectations.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-06Diageo Q3 Earnings Call Highlights
MarketBeat
Diageo Q3 Earnings Call Highlights
Zoom Video Indicates Normalization Ends and Growth Resumes Diageo (NYSE:DEO) reported modest organic net sales growth in its fiscal 2026 third quarter, supported by strength in Europe, Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), and Africa, while North America remained a key area of weakness as U.S. spirits continued to decline. Chief Financial Officer Nik Jhangiani said organic net sales rose 0.3% in the quarter, driven by 0.4% organic volume growth, with “slightly negative price mix.” Reported net sales increased 2.3%, helped by a positive hyperinflation adjustment that was “partially offset by the negative impact of disposals including Guinness Nigeria and Guinness Ghana Breweries,” according to Jhangiani. → 3 Emerging Markets ETFs to Maximize Exposure to High-Potential Countries Modelo Sale Success Propels Constellation Brands In The Market Jhangiani attributed some of the quarter’s strength to calendar and event-related phasing, including the “timing of Easter” and sales into the trade ahead of the upcoming FIFA World Cup, particularly in LAC. He also cited the “later timing of Chinese New Year” as a factor in Asia-Pacific comparisons. North America: Organic net sales declined 9.4%, which Jhangiani said reflected “soft market conditions and the need for a more competitive offer.” U.S. spirits net sales fell 15.4%. He said the decline was “weaker than depletions decline by circa 5%,” pointing to ongoing differences between shipment trends and consumer takeaway. → The Real SpaceX Play: 5 Chip Stocks Powering the IPO Before It Launches 3 Beer Stocks to Tap into if You're Ready for Some Football Jhangiani noted U.S. spirits results were impacted by “lapping tough comps last year due to the pre-tariff pull forward of imports to distributors as well as tequila restocking.” Tequila declined double digits, which he attributed to “tough comps from prior year, competitive pressure, and continued category softness.” In contrast, Diageo Beer Company grew 9.1%, “led by both Smirnoff RTDs and Guinness,” with Jhangiani saying Guinness continued to perform strongly. → Tyson Foods' Total Returns: Tasty Treats for Income Investors? Europe: Organic net sales rose 8.8%, supported by Easter timing. Jhangiani cited “continued strength of Guinness in Great Britain and Ireland” and a “good performance across spirits,” led by MENA, Central and Eastern Europe, and Turkey. Asia Pacifi...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-04These 2 Consumer Staples Stocks Could Beat Earnings: Why They Should Be on Your Radar
Zacks
These 2 Consumer Staples Stocks Could Beat Earnings: Why They Should Be on Your Radar
Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Edgewell Personal Care Company (EPC) : Free Stock Analysis Report Constellation Brands Inc (STZ) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-28Pilgrim's Pride Q1 Earnings Coming Up: Key Insights for Investors
Zacks
Pilgrim's Pride Q1 Earnings Coming Up: Key Insights for Investors
As Pilgrim’s Pride Corporation PPC prepares to unveil its first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings on April 29, after market close, investors are eager to see if the company can beat market expectations. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $4.5 billion, implying 0.8% growth from the prior year. Meanwhile, the consensus mark for earnings has been steady at 69 cents per share in the past seven days, though it indicates a decline of 47.3% from the year-ago period. PPC has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 2.3%, on average. Pilgrim's Pride Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Pilgrim's Pride Corporation Quote Pilgrim's Pride has been benefiting from continued operational improvements across its segments, particularly within its Big Bird operations, where the company improved plant and live-operations efficiency. At the same time, the company is evolving its Fresh portfolio to support key customer growth. As part of this strategy, the company is converting a Big Bird commodity plant into a case-ready facility, a transition expected to enhance product offerings and better align operations with customer needs. Prepared Foods has been a key growth driver, with sales increasing 18% year over year in the fourth quarter of 2025, supported by strong branded performance across both retail and foodservice channels as brand-building initiatives continued to gain traction. In addition, PPC’s focus on innovation, particularly in bold flavor profiles, has resonated with consumers, with products such as its Cheesy Jalapeno Nugget line receiving category recognition at the People’s Food Awards. Favorable protein pricing dynamics are likely to have aided Pilgrim’s Pride. During the fourth quarter of 2025, chicken continued to offer a clear affordability advantage over competing proteins. While prices for certain chicken cuts softened, competing proteins, particularly ground beef, remained elevated. This widening price gap supported chicken demand as consumers continued to seek affordable protein options, driving volume growth across cuts, including boneless thighs. That said, the company may have faced profitability pressure from headwinds related to commodity pricing. Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for PPC this time. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hol...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-24TAP's Q1 Earnings Coming Up: Will the Stock Extend Its Beat Streak?
Zacks
TAP's Q1 Earnings Coming Up: Will the Stock Extend Its Beat Streak?
As Molson Coors Beverage Company TAP prepares to unveil its first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings on April 30, before market open, investors are eager to see if the company can beat market expectations. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $2.3 billion, implying 1.2% growth from the prior year. Meanwhile, the consensus mark for earnings has been steady at 37 cents per share in the past seven days, and indicates a decline of 26% from the year-ago period. TAP has a trailing four-quarter negative earnings surprise of 6.2%, on average. Molson Coors Beverage Company price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Molson Coors Beverage Company Quote Molson Coors’ first-quarter fiscal 2026 performance is likely to have been aided by the execution of its Beyond Beer strategy, particularly the strategic pivot of Topo Chico from a hard seltzer into a broader flavored beverage platform. Increased innovation in alcoholic beverages, along with packaging tailored to varied consumption occasions, has aligned the brand more closely with evolving consumer preferences. This strategic shift has materially improved Topo Chico’s trajectory and delivered consistent gains in both dollar sales and market share throughout fiscal 2025. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for brand volumes for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 is pegged at 15 million. At the same time, the company reshaped its business and operating model to enhance execution. Management continues to make targeted investments in brands and capabilities and AI-driven sales and marketing, while maintaining a disciplined approach to capital allocation. Growth initiatives are being carefully funded, supporting a balanced focus on expansion and financial control. The company’s strong cash generation remains a key strength, with more than $1.1 billion generated in fiscal 2025, reflecting a strong financial base. A similar level of cash is expected in fiscal 2026 to support investments in brand marketing. Additionally, the company launched a three-year cost savings program, with benefits expected in fiscal 2026, that aims to enhance efficiency and offset inflationary pressures, strengthening long-term financial resilience. That said, the company has largely maintained its core market share in recent years, with only modest declines. Challenges persist in parts of the portfolio, particularly within value and flavor segments, whic...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-155 Insightful Analyst Questions From Constellation Brands’s Q1 Earnings Call
StockStory
5 Insightful Analyst Questions From Constellation Brands’s Q1 Earnings Call
Constellation Brands’ first quarter results exceeded Wall Street’s revenue and profit expectations, but the company faced an 11.3% year-over-year sales decline. Management attributed this outcome to persistent consumer caution, particularly in the beer category, and highlighted the need for agility in a volatile environment. CEO William Newlands noted that “teams stayed tightly aligned on what we can control, drawing points of distribution, supporting our core brands and executing with discipline,” which allowed the company to gain share in the high-end beer segment. The company also pointed to solid cash generation that enabled reinvestment despite the challenging market backdrop. Is now the time to buy STZ? Find out in our full research report (it’s free). Revenue: $1.92 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.88 billion (11.3% year-on-year decline, 2.4% beat) Adjusted EPS: $1.90 vs analyst estimates of $1.71 (10.9% beat) Adjusted EBITDA: $612.5 million vs analyst estimates of $606 million (31.9% margin, 1.1% beat) Adjusted EPS guidance for the upcoming financial year 2027 is $11.55 at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 6.6% Operating Margin: 23%, up from -6.9% in the same quarter last year Organic Revenue was flat year on year (beat) Market Capitalization: $28.52 billion While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention. Nik Modi (RBC Capital Markets) asked about the rationale behind conservative beer top-line guidance despite a strong start to the year. CEO William Newlands emphasized volatility and limited visibility, stating that March trends were positive but caution remains warranted. Bonnie Herzog (Goldman Sachs) pressed on beer operating margin guidance and the impact of the Veracruz brewery. CFO Garth Hankinson cited fixed cost absorption and increased marketing spend as primary headwinds, partially offset by price increases and cost savings. Dara Mohsenian (Morgan Stanley) questioned input cost hedging and wine and spirits margin outlook. Hankinson explained that the company is well-hedged on key inputs and currency, while wine and spirits margins face cyclical challenges but remain structurally achievab...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-10Constellation Brands' Q4 Earnings Beat, Sales Fall in Wine & Spirits Unit
Zacks
Constellation Brands' Q4 Earnings Beat, Sales Fall in Wine & Spirits Unit
Constellation Brands, Inc. STZ reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results, wherein the top and bottom lines surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate. The company’s sales and earnings declined year over year on weak consumer demand trends. The Beer business continues to outperform the category in dollar share gains in Circana U.S. tracked channels in the fiscal year, surpassing the overall beer category by roughly two percentage points in year-over-year dollar sales, generating depletion and net sales growth in the fourth quarter of 0.6% and more than 1%, respectively. The Wine & Spirits business remaining portfolio outpaced the total wine category in both dollar sales and volumes in Circana U.S. tracked channels in fiscal 2026, delivering above 8% depletion growth in the reported quarter. Comparable earnings per share (EPS) of $1.90 dropped 28% year over year in the fiscal fourth quarter but surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.74. On a reported basis, the company’s EPS was $1.16 against a loss of $2.09 reported in the year-earlier quarter. Constellation Brands Inc price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Constellation Brands Inc Quote Net sales declined 11% year over year to $1.920 billion but came above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.896 billion. Organic net sales were flat year over year. Constellation Brands' sales for the beer business jumped nearly 1% year over year to $1.73 billion, backed by a rise of 1.1% in shipment volumes and favorable pricing, partly offset by unfavorable mix. Depletions rose 0.6% as declines for Modelo Especial of just under 1% and Corona Extra of about 6% were more than offset by increases from Pacifico, Victoria and the Modelo Chelada brands of nearly 21%, 17%, and 5%, respectively. Sales in the wine and spirits segment plunged 58% year over year to $194.2 million in the fiscal fourth quarter. The metric was hurt by a 72.9% decline in shipment volumes, reflecting the effects of the Wine & Spirits divestitures, changes in distributor contractual obligations and pricing efforts taken on certain brands. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company's beer, and wine and spirits segments is currently pegged at $1.71 billion and $195 million, respectively. STZ's comparable operating income came in at $508 million, down 9% year over year. Operating income for the beer segment slipped 8% year over year to $572.5 million. The be...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-10Constellation Brands Soars on Upbeat Q4 Earnings: ETFs in Focus
Zacks
Constellation Brands Soars on Upbeat Q4 Earnings: ETFs in Focus
Constellation Brands STZ, the U.S. producer and marketer of beer, wine and spirits, reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results that exceeded expectations on both revenues and earnings. However, overall performance declined year over year due to softer consumer demand trends. The beer business remains one of the company’s primary growth drivers, per the management (as quoted on CNBC), though its overall net sales for fiscal 2026 dropped 3 Shares surged more than 8.5% following the earnings release. Comparable earnings per share (EPS) of $1.90 dropped 28% year over year in the fiscal fourth quarter but surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.74. On a reported basis, the company’s EPS was $1.16 against a loss of $2.09 reported in the year-earlier quarter. Net sales declined 11% year over year to $1.920 billion but came above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.896 billion. Organic net sales were flat year over year. The beer business remained relatively resilient. Sales rose nearly 1% to $1.73 billion, driven by shipment growth and pricing gains. Sales in Wine & Spirits Segment, however, plunged 58% to $194.2 million. Management remains cautiously optimistic, citing momentum in both segments. However, management acknowledged ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty and limited near-term visibility. As a result, the company has updated its FY27 outlook and withdrawn its earlier FY28 guidance. For fiscal 2027, the company said it expects adjusted EPS of between $11.20 and $11.90 compared with Zacks Consensus Estimate of $12.36 per share. “We do expect that we will return to growth and that the headwinds that we’re facing today are more cyclical in nature than they are structural,” CFO Garth Hankinson said on a call with analysts on Thursday, as quoted on CNBC. STZ shares surged more than 8.5% on April 9, 2026 with almost double the regular volume. Below, we focus on exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that have decent exposure to STZ shares. VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat Value ETF MVAL – Exposure of 4.41% to STZ First Trust Nasdaq Food & Beverage ETF FTXG – Exposure of 4.05% to STZ; FTXG gained about 1.2% on April 9 Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Staples ETF RSPS – Exposure of 2.97% to STZ; RSPS rose more than 1% on April 9 Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this fr...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-09Constellation Brands (STZ) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
Zacks
Constellation Brands (STZ) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
Constellation Brands (STZ) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.9 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.74 per share. This compares to earnings of $2.63 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +9.43%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this wine, liquor and beer company would post earnings of $2.66 per share when it actually produced earnings of $3.06, delivering a surprise of +15.04%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. Constellation Brands, which belongs to the Zacks Beverages - Alcohol industry, posted revenues of $1.92 billion for the quarter ended February 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.25%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $2.16 billion. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates three times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Constellation Brands shares have added about 11.5% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's decline of 3.3%. While Constellation Brands has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Constellation Brands was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future....
TranscriptFY2026 Q42026-04-09FY2026 Q4 earnings call transcript
Earnings source - 59 paragraphs
FY2026 Q4 earnings call transcript
Greetings, and welcome to Constellation Brands' fiscal year 2026 fourth quarter earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone requires operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Blair Veenema, Vice President of Investor Relations. Thank you. You may begin.
Thank you, Donna. Good morning, all, and welcome to Constellation Brands' Q4 and full year fiscal 2026 conference call. I'm joined this morning by Bill Newlands, our CEO, and Garth Hankinson, our CFO. I'm also pleased to welcome our incoming CEO, Nicholas Fink, who is joining us at the start of today's call to share a few remarks. Following Nick, Bill will briefly review the fiscal year, after which we'll turn it over to your questions for Bill and Garth. Before we proceed, we trust you had the opportunity to review the news release and CEO and CFO commentary made available in the Investor section of our company's website, www.cbrands.com. On that note, as a reminder, reconciliations between the most directly comparable GAAP measure and any non-GAAP financial measures discussed on this call are included in the news release and website.
We encourage you to also refer to the news release and Constellation's SEC filings for risk factors that may impact forward-looking statements made on this call. Before turning it over to Bill to kick things off, please keep in mind that, as usual, answers provided today will be referencing comparable results unless otherwise specified. Lastly, in line with prior quarters, I would ask that you limit yourself to one question per person, which will help us to end our call on time. Thanks in advance, and for the final time, over to you, Bill.
Thanks, Blair, and good morning, everyone. I'm going to make a few opening comments before we get into Q&A. First, I'd like to pass it over to Nick Fink, our President and CEO-elect, for a few brief comments. Nick, warm welcome. Nick will assume the role on April 13th, and we are pleased to have him with us today to say a few words before we get started. Nick?
Thank you, Bill, and good morning, everyone. I'd like to start by recognizing Bill's leadership over the past seven years as CEO and in total, his 11 years of contributions to Constellation Brands. He strengthened the foundation of the company in meaningful and lasting ways, and I valued our partnership during my time on the board. I look forward to continuing to work closely with him over the coming months to ensure a seamless transition as he moves into his role as a strategic advisor. I'm honored to step into the CEO role next week at such an important time for our business. Constellation enters this chapter from a position of strength with a leading portfolio in high-end beer, a reshaped wine and spirits business, best-in-class marketing and sales capabilities, and a proven playbook that continues to deliver consistent share gains year after year.
While the consumer landscape remains dynamic, I firmly believe that we are well-positioned to continue delivering for our consumers, employees, distributors, and shareholders over the long term. Having served on the Board for the past five years, I've been closely involved in our key strategic and operational priorities. That perspective gives me strong conviction in our strategy and in our ability to execute going forward. We will continue to be insights-driven and consumer-obsessed, lean into our strengths in beer, allocate capital with discipline, and generate strong cash flow while thoughtfully navigating an evolving consumer landscape. As I formally assume the role on April 13th, I look forward to spending time with our operators, distributors, and many of you in the investment community to gain an even deeper understanding as we begin to shape the next phase of our growth journey ahead.
I'll close by reiterating my confidence in this business, in our iconic brand portfolio, our route to market, in consumer-led marketing, our best-in-class operations, and most importantly, our talented people. These strengths underpin our differentiated capabilities as we seek to continue delivering sustainable long-term growth and attractive shareholder returns. With that, I'll turn it back to Bill.
Thanks, Nick. Just a few additional comments from me before we start Q&A. As we stated in our published remarks, we ended the year with some solid momentum in our beer business, despite operating in a challenging environment during our fiscal 2026. It was a year that required agility and focus as consumers continued to navigate a tough economic backdrop with more selective shopping behavior, which weighed on overall category performance for much of the year. Our teams stayed tightly aligned on what we can control, growing points of distribution, supporting our core brands, and executing with discipline. That approach allowed us to take share and strengthen our competitive position. Our beer portfolio continued to lead the high-end segment, with Modelo Especial maintaining its leadership as the number one beer brand by dollars in the United States, and momentum improved as the year progressed.
In wine and spirits, our efforts to reshape the portfolio are gaining traction with strong contributions from brands like Kim Crawford and Mi Campo. Lastly, from a financial standpoint, the business delivered solid cash generation, giving us the flexibility to reinvest while also returning capital to shareholders. As we look ahead, we're encouraged by the improvement we saw exiting the year, but we remain realistic about the current operating environment, which remains fluid with limited visibility. That said, we feel good about where we're positioned. With a strong portfolio, clear priorities, and a disciplined approach to operating, we believe we're well-equipped to continue building momentum and delivering long-term value. Now back over to you, Donna, for the questions.
Thank you. The floor is now open for questions. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad at this time. A confirmation tone will indicate that your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up the handset before pressing the star keys. As a reminder, we do please limit yourself to one question. Our first question today is coming from Nik Modi of RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Yeah. Thanks everyone. Bill, best of luck going forward.
Thank you.
Maybe you could just unpack the beer top line guidance for the upcoming fiscal year, the -1% to +1%. I ask that in the context of what seemingly is a pretty good start to March or to the year. If you could just give us some context on kind of what you're thinking. Is there anything that we should be thinking about in terms of why it would decelerate for the full year relative to what we're seeing in March right now? Any context would be helpful. Thanks.
Sure. Nick. Obviously, the single biggest challenge that exists now is our limited visibility. Things have been very volatile in terms of what the consumer reaction has been, and our continuing research suggests that the consumer is still cautious. With that said, as we noted in our overview, we exited last year in a very strong position. We saw sequential gains in the quarter, and we saw depletions up in the quarter, which had not been the case over the prior three quarters. March is off to a solid start, better than planned, with continued increasing momentum. Certainly we remain optimistic about the year that we have just begun, but we need to continue to recognize volatility has been high and visibility has been low.
Thank you. The next question is coming from Bonnie Herzog of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
All right, thank you, and best of luck, Bill, from me too. It was great working with you. I have a question on beer operating margins. You're guiding margins of 37%-38% for this year, which is a step down from your prior guidance of 39%-40%. Can you help us understand the key drivers of the new margin delivery, I guess, especially around fixed cost absorption from the new Veracruz brewery coming online? Also, how should we think about the phasing of margins across 1H versus 2H? Finally, I guess I'm curious to know if you believe you could get back to the 40% margin range, and if so, is that a possibility next fiscal year or is this going to take longer? Thank you.
Thanks for the question, Bonnie. You're right. We've guided to 37%-38% margins. I'll tell you what the headwinds are and then what we're doing to offset those headwinds. You rightfully pointed out that the primary headwind as it relates to operating our gross profit margins are expansion-related costs associated with our new brewery in Veracruz, which is expected to begin production around the middle of our fiscal year. With that, we were going to have some fixed cost absorption headwinds as we go through the year. Further down the P&L, we have an increase in our SG&A expense related to lower incentive comp in FY 2026 and incremental investments in marketing that we will make in this year to drive continued growth within the business, both in the short and in the long term.
Offsetting those headwinds will be 1%-2% price delivery, which as we've noted in the materials we uploaded overnight, will be at the lower end of the range this year. We will continue to deliver against our cost savings agenda, where we've been very successful in our migration from a builder to an operator. We additionally, as you saw in our materials, will have relief from aluminum tariffs this year. As it relates to beyond FY 2027, we're not prepared to talk around any guidance beyond this year. We'll cover that as we go through this year and into next.
Thank you. The next question is coming from Dara Mohsenian of Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Hey, best wishes from me also, Bill. I've enjoyed working with you. Garth, maybe if I can just follow up on the beer margin side. Can you just break out what you're expecting from a key input cost standpoint in FY 2027, aluminum, freight, and some of the other key buckets, just how hedged you are on the input cost side as well as FX side? Then as you think about beer margins, maybe volatility there, what might be some of the upside drivers versus downside drivers? Also just not focus on wine and spirits as much, but the margin guidance is clearly a lot lower than maybe the ongoing business should support longer term. Just help us understand the wine and spirits margin guidance for 2027. How much of that is depressed by factors specific to 2027 versus what extends longer term? Thanks.
Yeah, there was a lot there, so I hope I got it all. From a hedging perspective, we're fairly well hedged as we enter the year in both commodities and on currencies. For fuel, we're nearly 100% hedged. On aluminum, we're approximately 90% hedged. Natural gas, about 80% hedged. In corn, about 75% hedged. Across all of our currencies, we're right around 80% hedged as we entered the year, so we're in a good spot. In terms of beer margins and what could lead to upside, I think volume. As Bill noted, we're cautiously optimistic around the start of the year. If volumes were to increase from where we are, that would certainly benefit the margin profile.
As it relates to wine and spirits margins, there are a number of factors that are going in to the guided margin profile, including ongoing category pressures, channel headwinds, the timing of our cost deleveraging, and distributor inventory rebalancing. Starting with the category headwinds, we've seen a material downgrade in the outlook from where we were a year ago. U.S. high-end wine has shifted from expected low single-digit growth to low single-digit declines. U.S. high-end spirits are decelerating from plus mid-single digit growth to flat to slightly down. While we're significantly outpacing the market, it's sort of on what I would call a little bit of a lower base. Relating to channel headwinds, we've seen some tasting room softness in our Napa-based wineries.
Internationally, we've seen some weakness as it relates to U.S.-made or U.S.-sourced wines and spirits, particularly in Canada, which is our largest market, where a ban on U.S. wine and spirits remains in place. As we outlined in our materials, we've agreed to some inventory rebalancing with our key distributors, reflective of the softness we're seeing in the wine and spirits category. In terms of the timing of cost leverage, because the top line is softer, as you know in wine, the length of time it takes for things to move from the balance sheet into the P&L, it'll take a bit longer than expected.
That being said, structurally, we still believe that our target margins are achievable over the medium term as distributor inventories normalize, as the category declines moderate, and as our cost savings agenda moves from the balance sheet and into the P&L.
Thank you. The next question is coming from Filippo Falorni of Citi. Please go ahead.
Yeah. Good morning, everyone. Just adding my best wishes to Bill, and congrats to Nick on the new position. Maybe staying on beer margins, but on the marketing spend side. You mentioned the prepared remarks, that you're thinking about 9.5% of sales on marketing. How should we think about the cadence throughout the year? Obviously, you have a World Cup, FIFA World Cup coming in the summer. Should we think maybe there's a little bit of extra spending in the summer months? Longer term, how you guys think about the marketing levels? Is this 9.5% still a good place to think about longer term beyond fiscal 2027? Thank you.
You bet. We're gonna very aggressively invest against our brands in the first half of this year, for a number of reasons. One is the momentum that we saw coming out of the end of the year and the momentum that we've seen in March. Secondly, the World Cup is an outstanding event that provides an opportunity for many of our loyalist consumers to engage with our brands, and we're gonna invest heavily against that. We always invest in the first half of the year. You will see additional investment this year. Part of that will be done against our high-end light beer strategy. You've probably noticed we are seeing momentum in our Oro and Premier brands, particularly coming out of our repositioning of our price points for those two sub-brands. We're gonna invest behind it.
We think that remains a tremendous opportunity for our business, and we're going to invest behind that. We're gonna continue to invest against Modelo. Modelo, we believe, still has a lot of runway and will be very appropriate in the timeframe of the World Cup. Lastly, I got to make a call out to both Pacifico and Victoria, which are both on a tear. You're gonna see more investment against Pacifico than we have done historically, as we see that momentum as one that we can continue to leverage going forward. Last but not least, Victoria. Victoria has done very well and brings in a younger consumer than our overall portfolio mix, which we find is very beneficial for the long run as well. A lot to be excited about within our brands.
That doesn't even begin to touch on things like Sunbrew, which obviously is another one that showed great momentum in its first full year. A lot of things for us to invest in. As Garth noted a moment ago, we are increasing our investment this year as we feel it's the perfect time to begin to take advantage of some of this momentum that we're seeing.
Thank you. Our next question is coming from Chris Carey of Wells Fargo Securities. Please go ahead.
Hi, guys. Thanks for the question. I wanted to follow up, I think it was Dara's question, just around some of the key drivers of margin, then I have another question.
Are you expecting a step up in depreciation this year with the capacity, and are you well hedged on FX? I think you've been talking about layering in some hedges over the past several years. If you could just confirm those for me, please. Then just from a medium-term perspective, I think we saw that you had given some concrete targets for cases on Pacifico over the medium term. Can you just expand on that and how you see the portfolio evolving and some of the key drivers of your business through fiscal 2030? Is Pacifico going to be the new growth driver as Modelo normalizes? I'd appreciate just some confirmation on the margins in the medium term. Thanks.
Yeah, Chris. I'll take the first part of that, and as it relates to depreciation, we are expecting a step up in depreciation as Veracruz comes online in the middle of, or expected to be in the middle of our fiscal year. As it relates to currency hedging across all the currencies that we hedge, we're roughly hedged at about 80%, and that's inclusive of the Mexican peso.
Obviously we don't get too far down the track on what we expect volumetrically for our brands. I think your statement of, do you expect Pacifico to be a continuing growth driver for our business, the answer is yes. I think you can see by the takeaway that's existing in Circana channels, Pacifico continues to explode.
It's done a very similar thing to what you saw initially with Modelo, which was the initial strength was on the West Coast, and you're starting to see that strength broadening across the country. You probably have noted we have a new campaign that focuses on the tremendously exciting yellow color of our cans, which stand out both on the shelf and in the cold box. The consumer continues to be excited about the product in the bottle or the can. We think that Pacifico is gonna be a critically important part of our growth profile going forward. Not to diminish, by the way, the potential that still exists on Modelo as well. Lots of areas for growth drivers, but certainly Pacifico is gonna be a critically important one for us going forward.
Thank you. The next question is coming from Lauren Lieberman of Barclays. Please go ahead.
Great. Thanks so much. Bill, as you just went through talking about the brands, one that was absent was Corona Extra. I'd love to hear a little bit about what's next for that brand. In particular, also extending to think about Modelo. You shared the general market ZIP codes are continuing to outperform the higher Hispanic population areas. I want to talk about Corona Extra and Modelo Especial, particularly within general market and what you've been seeing. Then, like I said at the outset, just more broadly on Corona, any thoughts on kind of on what's next for the brand given trends have remained pretty soft. Thanks.
Yeah. No problem. Obviously, Corona remains one of the best-loved brands that we have in the entire category. I think our ability to do things like Corona Sunbrew and the strength of Familiar are really reflective of the strength of Corona Extra. With that said, we're gonna continue to invest aggressively against Extra. While we don't see that necessarily as the growth driver of the business going forward, we believe it's important to maintain that with the kind of strength that exists today for that particular business. Recognizing the overall family is very healthy for the Corona franchise because of some of those sub-brands like Familiar and Sunbrew and Premier. Relative to Modelo, we have seen improvements. As most of you know, we assess ZIP code data on a quintile basis. What's the percentage of Hispanic consumers?
Less than 20%, 20%-40%, and so on as you go up the ladder. We were very pleased to see coming out of the fourth quarter that all of those quintiles showed a sequential improvement in the takeaway. It was probably most notable in the state of California, which is part of the reason you've seen very strong Circana data over the recent past, where we have gained over one share point in both dollars and volume over the last four weeks. Which gets us back to a more traditional share gaining position. As you probably saw, we came out of the fourth quarter gaining 0.6 share points. That has accelerated as we've started into the new year. A lot of that has been driven by Modelo as well.
As you've seen Modelo begin to show continued strength, and we continue to invest not only with our core Hispanic consumer, but in the broader marketplace as well. You will expect to see as you have been, if you've been watching any sports, that our focus against sports, and that whole platform for Modelo will continue this year, and I think it will speak very well to Modelo's continued ability to grow.
Thank you. Our next question is coming from Rob Ottenstein of Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.
Great. Thank you very much. Just would love to understand your process in terms of thinking about capital expenditures.
Given the uncertain and muted outlook of this year, the declines of last year, the lack of visibility going forward, and obviously, you have to invest ahead of actual results and visibility. How have you adjusted your thinking on CapEx? How do you think about what to spend today for growth tomorrow, and maybe update us in terms of your medium-term expectations for volume for the business? Thank you.
Let me start, and then I'll turn it over to Garth for some more specifics about the operational footprint. I think it's important to recognize we've continued to do what we've said for a number of years now around capital allocation, which has involved continuing our spend at the levels that we think are important for the long run. It's continuing to do the dividend. More importantly, we've continued to return dollars to shareholders. Over $900 million last year, despite some extra dark periods we had in preparation for the announcement of Nick joining our business. That kind of financial discipline is one that I think you can expect to see continue as we go forward. Nick has been an important part of supporting our development of that strategy over the last five years that he's been on the board.
I think broadly speaking, you're not going to see any real change in our approach to capital allocation. Now, specifically to the operational side of that, Garth, I'll pass that to you.
Yeah, Robert. First of all, we're not ready to give any guidance beyond FY 2027 at this point in terms of growth. That being said, we do expect that we will return to growth and that the headwinds that we're facing today are more cyclical in nature than they are structural. That being said, we'll continue to operate very modularly as it relates to bringing production capacity online. I think we've been very effective at this over the last several years. This past year, FY 2026, we spent significantly less in CapEx than where we had started our expectations in the year, and that's going to continue, right? We'll manage that spend. Some of that spend will get delayed as we bring on capacity later than expected, and some of it may get avoided altogether.
To your point on the timing of when you make those decisions, as we've spoken about before, a lot of what goes into a brewery are long lead items, and so you have to make those commitments ahead of time, sometimes years in advance. That's the process we go through, is looking at what we have for expectations for growth and then backing that into when we think that capacity needs to come online. Again, very successful in managing the modularity of when capacity comes online and then managing the cost associated with it.
Thank you. The next question is coming from Peter Galbo of Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Hey, guys. Good morning. Thanks for the question. Garth, maybe just a clarification and then a question for Bill. I think off the back of Dara's question around just wine and spirits margins for the year, maybe you can just help us a little bit with the phasing. I think that you talked about inventory distributor reductions. I don't know if that's mostly a Q1 event, and so that weighs on the margin. Just any help there. And then Bill, just a question on beer. You mentioned Victoria actually being a nice bright spot for the portfolio. That's obviously a very Hispanic-dominant brand. And so I want to kind of reconcile the comments you have about the Hispanic consumer against one of the stronger brands in the portfolio, albeit small, growing at the rate that it is, given kind of the cautious view. Thanks very much for the thoughts.
On the first piece of that, I would say that there's nothing abnormal or unusual around the phasing of Wine and Spirits margins in FY 2027. The inventory de-stocking with distributors will happen throughout the year and not sort of in one event, if you will.
Relative to Victoria, one of the things we've seen, and I alluded to it on one of the prior questions, is Victoria has been a much younger demographic, 21-25. We're bringing in new consumers. While you're correct, it is heavily driven by Hispanic consumers. It's a Hispanic consumer that is recognizing the heritage of Victoria and the authenticity of Victoria and are adopting that as their brand. We've seen many times over the course of time that new generations will find a brand that they would like to make their own. It certainly appears, at this point in time, recognizing its early days, that a younger Hispanic consumer is focused on Victoria and is coming to that brand in very strong numbers and quantities. We're very encouraged about that. It's always good within a portfolio of brands to have a somewhat different demographic base.
We think Victoria is gonna be a sleeper. It's more than doubled over the last few years, and we think it has a lot of potential going forward as well, partially because of that younger demographic profile.
Thank you. Our final question today is coming from Nadine Sarwat of Bernstein. Please go ahead.
Hi, guys. Bill, it's been a pleasure working with you and best of luck in the next chapter. Maybe two from me, just one clarifying on an answer earlier, and then my actual question. Earlier on the call, you said that you feel that your target margins for wine and spirits are still achievable over the medium term, but I know you withdrew your fiscal 2028 guidance. Could you help us understand, therefore, what that target you're referring to is? Is that north of 20%? My actual question, mix was a 50 basis points drag to the beer top line in this last quarter. You guys called out packaging type. Can you give a little bit more color? How much of this is you guys introducing new mix dilutive offerings? How much is that a behavioral change from the consumer, and what are you assuming in your full year guidance for this year when it comes to mix? Thank you.
As it relates to our Wine and Spirits target margins, we still believe that structurally, we can get those margins in the low 20s%. Again, given all the headwinds that we're facing, that's gonna take us a bit longer than expected. We still expect to achieve that over the medium term.
Thank you. At this time, I'd like to turn the floor back over to Mr. Newlands for closing comments.
All right. Thank you, Donna. In closing, literally, thank you all for joining the call today. As you can see, we are confident we're well-positioned to achieve our objectives in fiscal 2027 and continue driving long-term shareholder value. We have a strong foundation and a clear strategy, and this is the right moment for a seamless leadership transition. It has truly been an honor and privilege to serve as CEO of Constellation Brands over the last seven years. Together, as an organization, we've accomplished a great deal. We've grown our beer business from roughly 280 million cases to well over 400 million cases, nearly double the size of Modelo Especial, and made it the number one selling beer brand by dollars in America. We reshaped our Wine and Spirits business to be focused on a portfolio of higher-end brands.
We've established a capital allocation framework that we executed against with consistent discipline, and we invested behind our organization to develop best-in-class talent and a company culture and future truly worth reaching for. While the industry landscape remains dynamic, I firmly believe Constellation is best positioned in this space with advantage brands, best in class marketing and sales capabilities, and most importantly, an exceptional team. Having worked closely with Nick on the Board for the past five years, I know he understands our business deeply and has the leadership, judgment, and strategic perspective to lead this company into its next phase of profitable growth. To our investors, partners, employees, with gratitude, I thank you for your trust and support over the years. It's been a privilege to lead this remarkable organization. With that, Donna, back to you.
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's event. You may disconnect your lines or log off the webcast at this time and enjoy the rest of your day.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-04Will Constellation Brands (STZ) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
Zacks
Will Constellation Brands (STZ) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
If you are looking for a stock that has a solid history of beating earnings estimates and is in a good position to maintain the trend in its next quarterly report, you should consider Constellation Brands (STZ). This company, which is in the Zacks Beverages - Alcohol industry, shows potential for another earnings beat. This wine, liquor and beer company has an established record of topping earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. The company boasts an average surprise for the past two quarters of 11.38%. For the last reported quarter, Constellation Brands came out with earnings of $3.06 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.66 per share, representing a surprise of 15.04%. For the previous quarter, the company was expected to post earnings of $3.37 per share and it actually produced earnings of $3.63 per share, delivering a surprise of 7.72%. Thanks in part to this history, there has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Constellation Brands lately. In fact, the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) for the stock is positive, which is a great indicator of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with its solid Zacks Rank. Our research shows that stocks with the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time. In other words, if you have 10 stocks with this combination, the number of stocks that beat the consensus estimate could be as high as seven. The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a version of the Zacks Consensus whose definition is related to change. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. Constellation Brands currently has an Earnings ESP of +2.23%, which suggests that analysts have recently become bullish on the company's earnings prospects. This positive Earnings ESP when combined with the stock's Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) indicates that another beat is possibly around the corner. We expect the company's next earnings report to be released on April 8, 2026. Investors should note, however, that a negative Earnings...

