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STZ

Constellation BrandsB
NYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q1 print showed positive beer pricing and shipment trends, continued U.S. dollar-share gains, stronger organic wine performance, and improved cash generation.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Analyst target count, revisions, options data, short interest, employee sentiment, and social coverage are unavailable.
Momentum
30
Value
65
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $132.00 · Bull $160.00 · Bear $98.00Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $170.73
Why
Momentum30 · Δ7d +1.8
Value65 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment74 · Δ7d +17.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +17.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst target count, revisions, options data, short interest, employee sentiment, and social coverage are unavailable.
  • • Commercial-paper funding or cash usage for the 2027-note redemption could increase balance-sheet sensitivity.
  • • Beer depletions declined 0.3%, with declines in Modelo Especial and Corona Extra; unfavorable mix and higher marketing and SG&A spending offset operating leverage.

Catalyst clock

2026-06-30

Q1 FY2027 results and reaffirmed outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
30
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.8
Δ21d
+9.4
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+17.8
Δ21d
+13.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 29.7 / Value 64.7 / Sentiment 74.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$160.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$132.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$98.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$16.91B
Beta
0.44
Shares Out
170.75M
P/E (TTM)
20.8
P/S (TTM)
2.58
P/FCF (TTM)
22.07
Rev YoY
-3.3%
EPS YoY
+30.8%
Gross Margin
+50.6%
Op Margin
+30.3%
Net Debt
$11.1B
Current Ratio
0.91
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data