Back to Rankings

STUB

StubHubN/A
NYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
View Chart
Documents
32
Stored
Transcripts
2
Recent loaded
Latest report
2026-05-15
Investor release

Document history

Earnings documents stored for STUB.

12 shown
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-15

STUB Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat

Interested in STUB? Here are five stocks we like better. StubHub posted stronger Q1 results, with revenue up 12% to $446 million and adjusted EBITDA up to $72.1 million, or a 16% margin. Management credited scale, better marketing efficiency and solid live-event demand. The company reaffirmed its full-year 2026 outlook for GMS of $9.9 billion to $10.1 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $400 million to $420 million. Executives said the business is not reliant on any single event to hit guidance, though major events like the World Cup could help later in the year. Cash flow and balance sheet improvement remain key priorities, with net leverage falling to about 4x trailing adjusted EBITDA from 4.5x at year-end 2025. StubHub also repaid $100 million of debt after quarter-end and said it has no maturities until March 2030. StubHub (NYSE:STUB) reported higher first-quarter revenue and profitability as management said the ticket marketplace is benefiting from scale, marketing efficiency and healthy demand for live events. On the company’s first-quarter 2026 earnings call, Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Eric Baker said gross merchandise sales, or GMS, rose 7% year over year to $2.2 billion, while adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 16%. Baker said StubHub also generated “healthy cash flow,” allowing the company to reduce leverage and strengthen its balance sheet. → Micron Investors Face a High-Stakes Moment After the Latest Rally “We’re off to a positive start in 2026 with solid top-line growth and increased profitability,” Baker said. He added that StubHub is reiterating its full-year outlook for GMS and adjusted EBITDA. Chief Financial Officer Connie James said revenue increased 12% year over year to $446 million, outpacing the 7% increase in GMS. She attributed the performance to a normalization of GMS-to-revenue conversion as the company laps market share investments made in 2025. → How Bad Could Tesla’s Cybertruck Recall Be for Shares? James said StubHub expects conversion to return to more typical historical levels, “approaching 20% for the full year.” Gross margin was 85%, up approximately 100 basis points from the prior year, reflecting more efficient customer acquisition and servicing, as well as lower inventory costs. Sales and marketing expense was approximately 50% of revenue, improving by 500 basis points year over year. Operations and support...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-15

StubHub Stock Is Having Its Best Day Ever. Why Its Results Are a ‘Solid First Step.’

Barrons.com

FEATURE Shares of StubHub skyrocketed Thursday, on track for their biggest daily jump after the company’s earnings report showed rising ticket demand. Morgan Stanley analysts called the earnings report a “solid first step.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-15

3 High-Growth Insider-Owned Companies With Earnings Surging Up To 80%

Simply Wall St.

Over the last 7 days, the United States market has risen by 1.1%, contributing to an impressive 27% climb over the past year, with earnings forecasted to grow by 17% annually. In this thriving environment, companies that exhibit high growth potential and significant insider ownership can be particularly appealing, as they often indicate strong confidence from those closest to the business. Click here to see the full list of 181 stocks from our Fast Growing US Companies With High Insider Ownership screener. Let's take a closer look at a couple of our picks from the screened companies. Simply Wall St Growth Rating: ★★★★☆☆ Overview: Evolus, Inc. is a performance beauty company that provides products in the cash-pay aesthetic market across the United States, Canada, Europe, and Australia with a market cap of $442.54 million. Operations: The company's revenue segment focuses on delivering medical aesthetic products to the cash-pay aesthetic market, generating $301.79 million. Insider Ownership: 11.1% Earnings Growth Forecast: 66.7% p.a. Evolus, Inc. is poised for significant growth with its forecasted profitability within three years and revenue growth expected to outpace the broader US market at 14.4% annually. Recent earnings show a narrowing net loss, and the company anticipates annual revenues between US$327 million and US$337 million for 2026. The upcoming European launch of Estyme marks an international expansion in dermal fillers, potentially enhancing revenue streams despite historically volatile share prices and negative shareholders' equity concerns. Click here and access our complete growth analysis report to understand the dynamics of Evolus. Our expertly prepared valuation report Evolus implies its share price may be lower than expected. Simply Wall St Growth Rating: ★★★★★★ Overview: Upstart Holdings, Inc. operates a cloud-based AI lending platform in the United States and has a market cap of approximately $2.58 billion. Operations: The company's revenue is primarily derived from its personal lending segment, which generated $1.01 billion. Insider Ownership: 12.8% Earnings Growth Forecast: 58.5% p.a. Upstart Holdings is positioned for robust growth, with earnings projected to rise significantly at 58.5% annually, outpacing the US market. Despite a recent net loss of US$6.65 million in Q1 2026, insider activity indicates more buying than selling over...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-14

Stubhub Holdings Inc (STUB) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth and ...

GuruFocus.com

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Gross Merchandise Sales (GMS): Increased 7% to $2.2 billion. Revenue: Increased 12% year-over-year to $446 million. Adjusted EBITDA Margin: Expanded to 16%. Gross Margin: 85%, expanding approximately 100 basis points year-over-year. Sales and Marketing Expense: Approximately 50% of revenue, a 500 basis point improvement year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA: $72.1 million. Net Income: $48 million. Free Cash Flow: Approximately $298 million on a trailing 12-month basis. Cash and Cash Equivalents: Approximately $1.5 billion. Net Leverage: Improved to approximately 4x trailing adjusted EBITDA. Total Outstanding Debt: Approximately $1.4 billion. Full Year 2026 GMS Outlook: $9.9 billion to $10.1 billion, growth of 8% to 10%. Full Year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Outlook: $400 million to $420 million. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Signs with STUB. Is STUB fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: May 13, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Stubhub Holdings Inc (NYSE:STUB) reported a 7% increase in Gross Merchandise Sales (GMS) to $2.2 billion, indicating solid top-line growth. The company achieved a 16% adjusted EBITDA margin, reflecting improved profitability. Stubhub Holdings Inc (NYSE:STUB) generated strong cash flow, enabling further deleveraging and strengthening of the balance sheet. The company is expanding its supply side by integrating enterprise-scale sellers, including professional sports teams and artists. Stubhub Holdings Inc (NYSE:STUB) is leveraging AI technology to enhance its distribution capabilities, such as the introduction of the AI-powered Distribution Manager tool. General and administrative expenses increased by approximately 170 basis points as a percentage of revenue, driven by elevated professional fees and payroll taxes. The company faces potential regulatory challenges, particularly concerning price cap proposals in the UK. Sales and marketing expenses remain high, at approximately 50% of revenue, despite improvements. There is uncertainty regarding the impact of macroeconomic factors, such as inflation and consumer spending shifts, on future demand. The integration of AI and open distribution strategies is still in early stages, with material impacts yet to be realized. Q: Can you discuss the...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-13

StubHub (STUB) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript

Motley Fool

Image source: The Motley Fool. Wednesday, May 13, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET Founder, Chairman, and Chief Executive Officer — Eric H. Baker Chief Financial Officer — Constance James Eric H. Baker: Thank you. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us to discuss StubHub's first quarter 26 results. For reference, our first quarter earnings release and presentation are available under the Quarterly Results section of our Investor Relations website at investors.stubhub.com. Before we begin, please note that today's call will include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on the company's current expectations and are not guarantees of future performance. These statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from what we expect. Although the company believes the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions it can make no assurance related to its expectations. We refer you to our recent FCC filings for a more detailed view of the risks that could impact our future operating results and financial condition. We will also refer to non GAAP measures on today's call. Unless otherwise noted, our profitability and EBITDA discussions today refer to non GAAP adjusted EBITDA. A reconciliation of non GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is contained in today's earnings release available on our Investor Relations site. All financial comparisons, unless noted otherwise, are based on the prior year period. Joining me today are Eric H. Baker, our founder, chairman, and chief executive officer and Constance James, our Chief Financial Officer. They will provide opening remarks and then take questions. And with that, I will turn it over to Eric. Eric, you may begin. Constance James: Thanks, Jonathan, and welcome everyone joining us today. We are off to a positive start in 2026, with solid top line growth and increased profitability. GMS increased 7%, to $2.2 billion. And adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 16%. We also generated healthy cash flow, which enabled us to further deleverage and strengthen our balance sheet. As a result, we are reiterating our full year outlook for GMS and adjusted EBITDA. On our year end call in March, we outlined our 3 key priorities for StubHub in 2026. Growth in our core resale marketplace, inc...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-13

StubHub Swings to First-Quarter Profit as Sales Climb on Ticket Demand

The Wall Street Journal

Chief Executive Eric Baker said trends in the live events and secondary ticketing markets remain healthy, with strong consumer demand and a robust event calendar this year.

TranscriptFY2026 Q12026-05-13

FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript

Earnings source - 116 paragraphs
Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to StubHub's first quarter 2026 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during that time, simply press star, then the number 1 on your telephone keypad. Please note that this conference call is being recorded today, May 13th, 2026. I will now turn the call over to sJonathan Schaffer, SVP, Investor Relations with StubHub.

Jonathan Schaffer

Thank you. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us to discuss StubHub's first quarter 2026 results. For reference, our first quarter earnings release and presentation are available under the Quarterly Results section of our investor relations website at investors.stubhub.com. Before we begin, please note that today's call will include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on the company's current expectations and are not guarantees of future performance. These statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from what we expect. Although the company believes the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, it can make no assurance related to its expectations. We refer you to our recent SEC filings for a more detailed discussion of the risks that could impact our future operating results and financial condition.

Jonathan Schaffer

We will also refer to non-GAAP measures on today's call. Unless otherwise noted, our profitability and EBITDA discussions today refer to non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA. A reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is contained in today's earnings release available on our investor relations site. All financial comparisons, unless noted otherwise, are based on the prior year period. Joining me today are Eric Baker, our Founder, Chairman, and Chief Executive Officer, and Connie James, our Chief Financial Officer. They will provide opening remarks and then take questions. With that, I'll turn it over to Eric. Eric, you may begin.

Eric Baker

Thanks, Jonathan, and welcome everyone joining us today. We're off to a positive start in 2026 with solid top-line growth and increased profitability. GMS increased 7% to $2.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 16%. We also generated healthy cash flow, which enabled us to further deleverage and strengthen our balance sheet. As a result, we are reiterating our full year outlook for GMS and adjusted EBITDA. On our year-end call in March, we outlined our three key priorities for StubHub in 2026, growth in our core resale marketplace, increased profitability, and advancement of longer term distribution opportunities. The quarter demonstrated our team's execution against all three of these objectives. Starting with growth in our core resale marketplace, we are leveraging our leadership position and scale to drive performance both in North America and globally.

Eric Baker

The live events and secondary ticketing markets remain healthy with strong consumer demand and a robust 2026 event calendar. In addition to favorable market dynamics, our resale business is also benefiting from advantages resulting from our increased scale. In 2025, we invested in our competitive position, increasing liquidity and selection, and building the infrastructure to support continuous improvement to the customer experience. In 2026, we are realizing the returns on these investments in the form of superior market leadership and even greater operating advantages. We believe our leading position, combined with the inherent flywheels of our marketplace model, allow us to improve customer acquisition economics while growing the business. Of course, our market leadership is a direct result of our relentless focus on the consumer experience. StubHub's mission has always been to make it easier for fans to access live entertainment.

Eric Baker

Our resale marketplace allows fans to buy and sell tickets with choice, convenience, and trust. We deliver a differentiated experience to consumers based on our scale advantages. Fans choose StubHub because we offer broad selection, trusted transactions, and a simple user experience. Sellers depend on StubHub for aggregated demand at global scale. Our technology and data connect both sides of the marketplace more effectively over time. That is what makes our consumer experience unique and creates durable competitive advantages. All of this adds up to what we believe is the most recognized brand in the resale market for live events. In the first quarter, we made progress in expanding the supply side of our marketplace beyond individual and professional sellers to enterprise scale sellers, including content rights holders such as professional sports teams, artists, venues, and other event organizers.

Eric Baker

We believe it is clear the market is heading in the direction of non-exclusive Open Distribution. The ticketing ecosystem, including consumers, stands to gain from greater optionality and competition. Fans want more access and choice, and content rights holders want to fill more seats by offering inventory through more channels. Much like airlines selling tickets across platforms, the goal for content rights holders is to sell more tickets at more efficient prices and maximize the fan experience and value of each event through event optimization. It appears the regulatory environment is also recognizing the value of non-exclusive Open Distribution. A recent proposal to settle an antitrust suit in the live event space included non-exclusive Open Distribution, reinforcing the importance of giving content rights holders and consumers greater choice in how tickets are distributed, discovered, and purchased.

Eric Baker

On our last call, we discussed our shift from a business development-led approach to a more product-led self-serve platform strategy. Our goal is to enable broader adoption of Open Distribution across rights holders by creating a seamless experience to list, manage, and distribute tickets through our marketplace. In the first quarter, we announced two new developments that illustrate how we can use technology to access this market. The first is Distribution Manager, an AI-powered self-serve tool that allows artists, teams, and venues to list and manage tickets directly through StubHub. The product is designed to remove friction for rights holders and does not require a technical team or complex integration. A partner can use a simple prompt to identify ticket types, set pricing and sales parameters, and list inventory directly on StubHub.

Eric Baker

Because the tool sits on top of more than 25 years of StubHub marketplace data, it can also provide real-time pricing and demand signals to content rights holders before tickets go live. This is an early iteration of the tooling we plan to continue developing for enterprise-scale content. It is designed to make distribution simpler, more flexible, and more effective for rights holders while increasing access and selection for fans. We are also establishing direct connections with primary ticketing platforms. By integrating directly with StubHub, primary ticketing or access control providers can work alongside our marketplace to improve outcomes for rights holders and fans. Today, event organizers often list tickets exclusively through their primary sales channel with systems that were not designed to synchronize inventory across channels, making it difficult to expand distribution without added complexity. Open Distribution, formerly known as Direct Issuance, changes that.

Eric Baker

By integrating directly with the ticketing platforms organizers already use, we can give rights holders access to StubHub's global demand without requiring them to change systems, disrupt their existing workflows, or enter new distribution contracts. For example, in the first quarter, we announced an integration with a primary ticketing company that tickets rights holders like Stanford University Athletics, among others. Through a direct connection between the primary system and StubHub's marketplace, organizers can choose to list tickets on StubHub within their existing dashboard. Integrations like this enable all of the primary's clients to activate StubHub as an additional distribution channel through a simple workflow. We also continue to develop advertising, which represents an exciting opportunity to realize additional potential of our leading marketplace platform. StubHub sits at the intersection of high intent consumer demand and live event discovery.

Eric Baker

Over time, we believe that creates opportunities to help partners reach fans in highly relevant ways while improving the overall experience on our platform. We are in the testing phase with advertising, and our focus remains on building it thoughtfully and in a way that is consistent with our broader consumer-first approach. In April, we announced an integration with Anthropic's Claude that lets fans discover and browse live events. Claude users can access StubHub's global catalog of live events with up-to-the-minute price and seat level availability. The partnership builds on StubHub's ChatGPT integration announced at the end of last year. We view AI through two lenses: the opportunity to transform the end user product and the ability to transform productivity internally through greater and faster innovation with higher efficiency.

Eric Baker

We have several AI initiatives underway related to post-purchase support, customer experience enhancement, product development, and expanded insights, just to name a few. In conclusion, we are off to a positive start to 2026 with solid 1st quarter results that position us to achieve our financial outlook for the year. Our core resale marketplace continues to grow while increasing profitability. We are generating strong cash flow and strengthening the balance sheet. We are continuing to invest in technology and distribution opportunities that we believe will expand our reach over time. We remain focused on executing in pursuit of our vision to build the global destination for consumers to access live entertainment. With that, I'll turn it over to Connie to discuss our financial results and outlook in more detail.

Connie James

Thank you, Eric. Good afternoon, everyone. Before turning to our first quarter results, I want to briefly reiterate the financial framework aligned to our strategic objectives that Eric discussed. Durable GMS growth, meaningful margin expansion, and continued strength in free cash flow generation. Our results in the quarter demonstrate progress in each of these areas. Beginning with GMS, our marketplace grew approximately 7% to $2.2 billion in the first quarter, reflecting contributions from all three drivers of our growth strategy: North American resale growth, continued market share leadership, and international growth. The market share gains achieved in 2025 now provide a foundation for margin expansion as we leverage the scale, network effects, and efficiency of our marketplace. International growth outpaced North America with noteworthy performance in Latin America and Asia Pacific, reflecting the continued strength of our global platform.

Connie James

As expected, our reported GMS for the first quarter reflects the comparability impact from the all-in pricing implementation introduced in May last year. We will fully lap that comparability period in the second quarter. Before discussing our income statement in detail, a reminder that my remarks will be on an adjusted basis, excluding stock-based compensation and non-recurring items. Full reconciliations to comparable GAAP measures are available in our earnings release. Turning to the income statement. Revenue increased 12% year-over-year to $446 million, outpacing GMS growth in the quarter. This reflects the normalization of GMS to revenue conversion as we lap our market share investments in 2025. Now that we have moved beyond that investment period, we expect conversion to return to more typical historical levels, approaching 20% for the full year.

Connie James

Gross margin was 85%, expanding approximately 100 basis points year-over-year and consistent with our mid-80% operating framework. The improvement reflects stronger unit economics driven by increased efficiency in customer acquisition and servicing, as well as lower inventory costs. Sales and marketing expense was approximately 50% of revenue, representing a 500 basis point improvement year-over-year, reflecting increased efficiency at scale. Operations and support costs were approximately 3% of revenue, consistent with our expectations. G&A expense increased by approximately 170 basis points as a percentage of revenue, primarily driven by elevated professional fees and front-loading of payroll taxes associated with higher stock-based compensation following our IPO. We expect G&A to decrease as a percentage of revenue over the remainder of the year as the business continues to scale.

Connie James

Adjusted EBITDA was $72.1 million, a margin of 16%, which expanded over 400 basis points year-over-year. The margin expansion reflects both underlying business growth and improved operating efficiency. More specifically, this improvement was driven by the combined impact of normalized revenue conversion, strong gross margins, and increased marketing efficiency. Each of these dynamics contributed in the quarter, resulting in the operating leverage outlined in our 2026 framework. Net income for the first quarter was $48 million. I would note that net income includes the effects of stock-based compensation, non-recurring items, foreign exchange and derivative gains, interest income and expense, and taxes, each of which can introduce variability relative to our adjusted results. We believe adjusted EBITDA helps to highlight trends in our operating results by excluding these items, and the reconciliation to net income is available in our earnings release.

Connie James

Beyond the income statement, our cash flow performance reflects the advantages of our marketplace model. As a scaled asset-light business with gross margins above 80% and favorable working capital dynamics, we generate strong and durable operating cash flow. This is further supported by a significantly reduced interest cost burden following the repayment of over $900 million in debt in 2025. During the quarter, capital expenditures were approximately 2% of revenue, and we generated approximately $11 million of interest income. We also continue to benefit from approximately $1.2 billion of NOLs, which provide meaningful cash tax protection in the medium term. Because our business is inherently seasonal and individual quarters can reflect meaningful timing-related swings in working capital, we believe trailing twelve-month free cash flow is the most appropriate lens through which to evaluate our cash generation.

Connie James

We generated approximately $298 million of free cash flow on a trailing twelve-month basis, representing 116% conversion of adjusted EBITDA. This includes approximately $189 million of net benefit from net inflows of buyer receipts and seller payments, as well as approximately $125 million of interest costs. Excluding these items, underlying free cash flow was approximately $234 million, representing 91% conversion of our trailing twelve-month adjusted EBITDA. Turning to the balance sheet, we ended the quarter with approximately $1.5 billion of cash and cash equivalents or $508 million net of seller obligations.

Connie James

Net leverage improved to approximately 4 times trailing adjusted EBITDA at quarter end, down from 4.5 times at year-end 2025, reflecting both earnings growth and continued strength in cash generation. Our financial position provides meaningful flexibility to execute against our capital allocation priorities. We remain focused on organic investment, continued deleveraging, and disciplined dilution management while maintaining the flexibility to pursue opportunities that enhance shareholder value. Subsequent to quarter end, we repaid $100 million of our U.S. dollar term loan, further demonstrating our commitment to deleveraging and our ability to deploy free cash flow towards debt reduction. This brings total debt repayment over the last 12 months to more than $1 billion. As a result, our total outstanding debt is approximately $1.4 billion with no maturities until March 2030.

Connie James

Related to our capital structure, during the first quarter, $314 million of preferred equity, including our Series M, N, and O shares, converted into approximately 16 million shares of Class A common stock, resulting in 374 million common shares outstanding at quarter end. In May, we granted approximately 13 million RSUs under our employee incentive plan. Equity is an important component of compensation for our employees and reinforces an ownership mentality. At the same time, we are focused on dilution management. As you can see in the share count summary in our investor presentation posted to our investor relations website today, we had approximately 399 million fully diluted shares as of March 31st, excluding performance-based RSUs and options.

Connie James

Based on that fully diluted share count, we expect dilution to be in the low to mid-single-digit percentage range for the remainder of 2026, excluding performance-based RSUs and options. As of today, we believe the majority of the RSU awards for 2026 have already been granted. Turning to our full-year 2026 outlook, our first quarter performance is consistent with the framework we outlined at the beginning of the year and supports our confidence in the trajectory of the business. We are reiterating our full-year outlook for GMS and adjusted EBITDA. GMS of $9.9 billion-$10.1 billion or year-over-year growth in the range of 8%-10% and adjusted EBITDA of $400 million-$420 million.

Connie James

We guide on an annual basis given the inherent seasonality of live events, which can vary quarter to quarter. We expect the first and second-half contribution to full-year GMS to remain broadly consistent with 2025. In closing, our first quarter results are consistent with the framework we outlined at the beginning of the year. We remain focused on executing against these priorities, driving sustainable GMS growth, expanding margins through operating discipline, and generating strong free cash flow, and we look forward to reporting our progress throughout the year. With that, we will open the call for questions. Operator.

Operator

At this time, if you would like to ask a question, press star, then the number 1 on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, simply press star 1 again. We will pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Eric Sheridan with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Eric Sheridan

Thanks so much for taking the question. Maybe a two-parter if I can. In terms of what you're calling out in terms of leveraging the market share gains from last year in terms of this year's operating performance. Can you talk to us a little bit about where we are in terms of baseball innings, in terms of seeing that in the financials today and what the scope is for that leverage to play out as scale is built through the year? The second part of the question would be if you were to build that sort of scale in the leverage, and it would be at or above maybe your guided range for adjusted EBITDA as the year goes on, how do you think about investing some of those gains back into the business or outperforming philosophically adjusted EBITDA as a guide? Thanks so much.

Eric Baker

Great to hear from you, Eric. Thanks so much for the question. Appreciate that. Before handing over to Connie on some of the financial details, will say, I think, as you know, look, we had set out and we said to take our leadership position and use that to continue to grow while we would inflect our margins, and we're glad to report that that is indeed what is happening. It's very exciting, and we continue to grow and build on our leadership position. Obviously, that's the whole underlying basis that as you do that, you should get more operating leverage over time, which we've talked about before and we're very excited about. With that, I'll hand it over to Connie.

Connie James

Thanks, Eric, and appreciate you, Eric, dialing in today. I think there's a couple elements to your question, 1, operating leverage, and then perhaps how do we think about phasing for the remainder of the year. I'll take those in 2 parts here. To your point, and as Eric mentioned, you know, our whole intent this year was delivering on what we said we were going to do, which is top line growth and expanding margins. We know that the scale that we got to this year off the back of the investments from the prior year positioned us well, and that's exactly why you are seeing that operating leverage.

Connie James

In terms of how we see this playing out in regards to phasing over the year, I'd point you to 2025 as a good guide for top line GMS as you think about H1 versus H2 split. In relation to profitability, as you can appreciate, as the business scales throughout the year because of the fundamentals in relation to our business model, you're naturally going to get incremental operating leverage as the business grows. I'd expect there to be slightly more profitability flowing through towards the second half.

Eric Sheridan

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Doug Anmuth with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Doug Anmuth

Thanks for taking the questions. Can you talk more about the drivers of increased marketing efficiency and, Eric, just kinda your view on industry growth and degree of share gains for StubHub? On Open Distribution, where do you stand on kind of self-serve and AI-enabled platform build-out? If you could kinda give us some sense of pipeline around potential partners. Thank you.

Eric Baker

Sure. Doug, thank you for the question. Appreciate it. A couple of different things to hit on here. Again, I'll touch on some and then let Connie give some more color. I think in terms of growth and efficiency, which really hits on being able to grow the business while inflecting margins and sort of how that works. Again, I think, you know, fundamentally, as we've always said, when you have the leadership position in a marketplace business, this is what happens. You get more liquidity, you get more data, you have a better situation in terms of how you can manage your sellers. All that goodness sort of flows through in that way. I think that should, you know, that would continue, we believe, in any marketplace business and as we've pointed out.

Eric Baker

I think in terms of growth, we think of growth, or I do certainly as we've talked about on an annual and multi-year basis as we think about it. Look, the great thing is being in the live events industry is a great place to be. Having done this for, you know, 25 years, the industry has grown and grown. People love live events. They love attending live events. They're passionate about it. There are more and more events going on. The geographic scope of these events increases all the time, going all over the world. That is a wonderful driver of underlying growth. Again, if you're the largest player in the market, we feel there's tremendous opportunity that we continue to build on our leadership position.

Eric Baker

In terms of the second part of your question, I think on Open Distribution, we're obviously very excited about that. We've talked about it. I think there's been a lot about I think many people have seen that it's best for the consumer. There have been a number of developments where it's been cited that basically, if you have more competition, more outlets, it's a better thing. Anything that's good for the fan is good for us. In terms of specifically how we're developing that initiative. As you point out, last time, Doug, we said we're really trying to focus on getting that into a place where you can productize it and make it turnkey and not business development oriented. That's the focus for this year.

Eric Baker

We've made a couple recent announcements, and I think to highlight that, one is around what we call our StubHub Distribution Manager, which is basically using AI to power a self-service tool that allows artists and teams and venues to list and manage tickets directly through StubHub. That is something that we've announced, and it's beginning to percolate out there. These primary integrations.

Eric Baker

We also believe that when people are signed up with whoever their access control company may be, we wanna make it very seamless for them to land with that platform and do what they wanna do. We've had some exciting things, I think, also have been talked about, be it Stanford University Athletics and others. We're excited about where all that is going. We think that's the way of the world, but again, we're really focused on building out the product this year. I'll pause there. I don't know, Connie, if you have anything to add.

Connie James

I just echo what you mentioned, Eric, which is, you know, the great news is we're now the clear market leader. There's a really healthy backdrop in relation to the live events calendar ahead of us. All of that allows us to continue to drive efficiency and while growing the business. We're really well-positioned.

Doug Anmuth

Thank you both.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Mark Mahaney with Evercore. Please go ahead.

Mark Mahaney

Okay. I'll ask about, please, advertising and then a little bit more on international. I know you mentioned advertising as one of the newer growth initiatives. Sounds like you're still in testing phase. Any more color than that? Any more advertisers that you brought onto the network we should expect materiality to begin in 2027? Any more color on that. International seemed like an area of strength, and you mentioned Asia Pac and LATAM. What drove it? Was it more activity with your current rights holders that you work with, or were you able to bring in more rights holders? Just a little bit more color on that international growth. Thank you very much.

Eric Baker

Sure. Thank you, Mark. I appreciate the question and I'll give you some responses to that. In advertising, again, I just wanna reiterate, as we said before, this remains a very exciting opportunity for us. We've seen this in other marketplaces, particularly we talked about sponsored listings, how that can be a win both for the seller of the ticket and if done the right way for the consumer on the website. As we've said, what we're really trying to do is get this right this year so that we make sure that it works, we can scale it correctly so it becomes this wonderful self-serve platform.

Eric Baker

In terms of, maybe giving some sense of, what are, what are the types of things we're testing, what does that actually mean, I would point to things such as how do you optimize the auction mechanics and sort of get that right? How do we really think about the way we wanna price it? How do we think about how we not only don't impact conversion rates, but maybe even improve them for the user? How do we make it really additive for the user experience? These are all important things 'cause that's the number one thing is to make it work for the user. We remain committed this year, as we've said, to getting that right and, you know, we'll comment on when it becomes material down the line as we said.

Eric Baker

The second thing you asked about is international. We're obviously very excited as you're right, we've said about international, this is a global business. It's great to have a global platform. I think what are the types of things that drive that? I think you may have noted or noticed there are many tours that are going international. There's a lot of excitement about Latin America and Asia for many people in the market for how that content goes. I know my beloved Los Angeles Rams, I think are gonna open the NFL season in Australia this year. We're seeing just more and more events go through internationally. Again, when you have a leadership position and a global platform, you know, all that, those benefits can accrue. We're very excited about it.

Eric Baker

That would be my commentary on those. Again, I don't know, Connie, if you have anything to add.

Connie James

Yeah, I'd just also say, you know, internally, we're continuing to make sure that we have the right talent and focus on building out the international business. As Eric mentioned, we have an amazing marketplace with a legacy that's really rooted in the international jurisdictions. Again, more live events are happening and, you know, the great news is, given our clear market leading position internationally as well, you know, there's huge opportunity for us.

Mark Mahaney

Okay, thanks. Hey, Eric, I think that first game is against the 49ers. That may be a tough start, but the rest of the season should be fine.

Eric Baker

Listen, Mark, we support anyone who wants to attend, even if they're misguided on their fan support, but I appreciate it.

Mark Mahaney

Thanks.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Justin Post with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Justin Post

Great, thank you. Connie, I wanted to ask about your first half, second half phasing. It would seem the second half would be larger this year just due to the impact of all-in pricing last year and the comps, and just would love to hear your thoughts there. Second question, the World Cup, just love to hear your thoughts on how impactful that could be and how you think about your share in that market this year. Thank you.

Connie James

Thanks Justin for the question. I think in regards to the phasing, you're absolutely right. We look at the shape of our business, obviously mirroring what we see in the broader market. What we know to be true is as we sit here today, live events are gonna scale throughout the year. We've got obviously the World Cup coming across, mid-June to mid-July, and then you've got the typical seasonality with concerts building across the summer, and then you've got all four sports leagues towards the end of the year. Naturally the business will scale closer towards the second half. Again, I kind of point you towards what we would expect in terms of 25 in relation to a shape which was again, a bit more back half weighted.

Connie James

In relation to World Cup, again, really excited about the opportunity that's coming our way here. What I would say is that consistent what we've discussed before, we believe that to be a tier 1 event, again, more meaningfully in relation to Q2 and Q3 following the event matchup. The good news is, you know, we're excited to have an outsized portion of that share, just given the benefits that we have of being the scaled leader.

Justin Post

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of John Blackledge with TD Cowen. Please go ahead.

Logan Whalley

Hey there, it's Logan Wally on for John. Thanks for the questions. Maybe first, on your POS system, could you update us on progress there with ReachPro, and how should we think about its ability to drive more volume on the platform and maybe also how your share looks there versus the largest competitor? On the regulatory front, could you update us on regulatory developments in the U.K., specifically as they relate to potential price cap proposals? Thank you.

Eric Baker

Sure. Thank you. Thank you for the questions. Appreciate it. I think, you asked about our POS system, ReachPro, and then had some questions about the U.K. In terms of POS system, everything has been progressing the way I think we articulated before, that we continue to grow our share, bring people on board. I believe what we've said is that we will be the leader in that over the medium term. That is nothing to change that sentiment. That's been going well.

Eric Baker

Obviously, as we've also said before, by becoming that operating system for a number of sellers and even giving them a much better experience than what they've had historically, that helps people sell more tickets, and it helps them sell more tickets on StubHub, we believe, as they have that data advantage. We're excited about that. That continues. In terms of your question about, I think, the U.K. and price caps, I think we've always said, you know, we're always in a very good environment for 20-plus years. People sell tickets. They love resale. Occasionally, there are jurisdictions that make noises about looking into price caps and somewhat, that has been basically few and far between. When it's happened, it hasn't really worked.

Eric Baker

By that I mean it's ended up hurting consumers in those places where it reduces access to events, increases black market prices and fraud. In fact, our studies have shown over 4 times the amount of fraud in those types of markets. Secondly, it's become increasingly impractical to enforce as difficult as it's been, as there's dynamic pricing in the primary market and the concept of face value goes away. All that is a long way of just couching it that that's why we haven't seen this spread, and we don't see that as something that makes a ton of sense.

Eric Baker

That being said, I'll come back to your point about the U.K., what's important is that we, of course, wanna make sure we're educating regulators and educating legislators about why, while it may be well-intended in their mind, it doesn't work and shouldn't be pursued. That's what we do, and we find people to be very receptive to that. As they learn more, they realize it doesn't make a ton of sense and certainly is worth even considering further or maybe not moving forward. What we've seen with the U.K., I think today they gave the King's Speech and there was no price cap legislation that was in the King's Speech.

Eric Baker

I think as we've mentioned before, even if there had been, which there was not, this would have kicked off a multi-year process that may or may not have resulted in something as they're educated. In this case, that's pushed even further down the road to the next King's Speech. We think it's a further, if it happens at all. I think it's just further evidence of the fact that these types of policies, while maybe well-meaning by some, just aren't really good for consumers, and therefore don't gain much traction.

Logan Whalley

Great. Thanks, Eric.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Brian Pitz with BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Brian Pitz

Thanks for the questions. Maybe two broader ones. First, unlike last year and this year, we've already seen roughly a dozen concert tours already canceled. What do you think is really driving this, you know, outside of maybe some of the unexpected health issues? We are seeing some buzz around consumer concerns on higher ticket prices. Love to get your thoughts on that. The macro has changed noticeably since we last spoke two months ago. Have you observed, you know, any indication that fans may be trading down to lower priced seats or re-reducing the frequency of event attendance? Any thoughts there would be helpful. Thank you.

Eric Baker

Yeah. No, thank you for the questions. Really appreciate it, Brian. I think, on the first thing I think you're asking something about canceled events. Again, I'll kick it over to Connie, but we haven't seen any of that in any way that's on our radar. Connie can tell you about that.

Connie James

Yeah. That's exactly right. Again, we just ran the flash financials yesterday. There's no spike. Q2 continues to progress really well.

Eric Baker

That, that's not anything that we've seen. In terms of your second question is, I think, related to sort of how do you think about is there any slowdown with a recession or gas prices going up and all those types of things. I think, again, the quick answer is no. We haven't seen any impact on that. I think what's important, though, to contextualize for everybody, and I've mentioned this before, is that having done this for, you know, 26 years now, it's always been an extremely resilient sector. It's grown through everything, say, COVID, and the economy goes up, geopolitics go up and down. Why is that? I think it's because a couple reasons.

Eric Baker

One is there's tremendous passion in the fans. They love live events. If you're a Green Bay Packers fan or a music fan, you're gonna go to that concert. That's not the first thing you're gonna cut or think about. It's closer to a necessity than you may think. The second thing is we have various price points we always have across the board. Nothing's really changed with that. The steady state is, you know, half of all tickets on StubHub trade at less than $100. That's always sort of been the case. You know, we really see it as fans are passionate about live events. It's always been something that's grown through thick and thin.

Eric Baker

From where we sit today, that continues to occur, and we see no reason why it won't continue happening.

Brian Pitz

Great. Thank you very much.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Shweta Khajuria with Wolfe Research. Please go ahead.

Shweta Khajuria

Okay. Thank you for taking my questions. I have 2 follow-up on some of the prior questions. 1 is what you just addressed, which is on macro. Could you please comment on something like this when we saw a, you know, in prior history at StubHub and when there was inflationary pressure and mix shift in wallet spend towards perhaps necessities, how StubHub actually did in terms of demand trends? That's question number 1. 2 is a follow-up on the World Cup impact. It is a Tier 1 event. Is it fair to assume the impact sort of comparable to, you know, I guess Taylor Swift type sort of contribution to your financials? Thank you

Eric Baker

Thank you, Shweta. Thank you for the questions. I can talk about the macro, and I'm sure Connie can reiterate some of the stuff on the World Cup. I think on the macro, as I said, again, we'll reiterate the reasons that consumers are resilient. In terms of to your question, why cite that as sort of lived experience. You go all the way back to when we started. We went through 9/11. Of course, the company was very small at that point, but the first tickets were sold in the summer of 2000. Right after 9/11, it wasn't gangbusters.

Eric Baker

We lived through the great financial crisis, which I can't, I guess I can't comment exactly on inflation, whatnot, but it was not a very happy time for lots of consumers. Continued to go through that. we've seen obviously, I think, recently in 2022 to 2023, where inflation had spiked, relatively speaking, again, the company and live events continue to grow. certainly through our lived experience in many cycles, at least through 26 years, that has always proven to been be the case. Again, short COVID, that's what's happened. that's what gives me that confidence and that lived experience on it. any more about the World Cup, Connie can comment on.

Connie James

Yeah, I'm happy to add a little bit more color on that. Shweta, as we went through our process of evaluating the opportunity from the World Cup, again, we included this as a tier 1. To be crystal clear, it is not comparable to Taylor Swift. She is a 1 of 1. What I would also just highlight, and Eric mentioned this earlier, is that 1 of the benefits of our marketplace is that it's just very diverse. We have a number of various segments, geographies that we benefit from, and so we're not single-threaded on any specific event in order to achieve our outlook. In fact, you know, as we sit here today, Q2's tracking well. You would have seen that we reiterated the guide.

Shweta Khajuria

Okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Andrew Boone with Citizens. Please go ahead.

Andrew Boone

Thanks so much for taking my questions. I wanted to ask a little bit about the potential of the antitrust settlement that you mentioned earlier. Can you give us a idea of the spectrum of either operational or financial outcomes that may become available depending on kind of which way this swings, whether something more favorable is really important to you guys, or whether this doesn't really materially move the needle. Then I wanted to ask about your just adoption of AI chatbots. Can you guys help us understand what that looks like in the future? Understood it's small today, but what's kind of the bigger picture vision as you guys start to integrate with AI chatbots? Thank you so much.

Eric Baker

Sure. Thank you for the question, Andrew. I guess the first is around the Live Nation stuff with the DOJ and the second around AI chatbots. I think on the first, I'll just give you the straight quick answer is everything that we're talking about here today, and all of our guidance, projections, dreams, and everything we want to do, is not hinged on any outcome from the DOJ or Ticketmaster in any direction. That's that. I think the only thing, you know, what I would reiterate is, look, anything that pushes more towards Open Distribution, and is better for consumers, meaning more selection, more ease of multiple channels, non-exclusively, everything that we've talked about, that's always positive. It's great to see that that's what's been talked about.

Eric Baker

Again, it remains to be seen what does or doesn't get implemented. Again, that's all, you know, upside, if you will, potentially. In terms of your question on chatbots, I think you may be talking about or alluding to some of the stuff we've done with AIs. We've done some interesting integrations with ChatGPT and with Claude. As we sit here today, the way I would think about it is we wanna be wherever consumers are gonna be in the future through any channel and every channel. As we sit here today, we don't see any changes in consumer behavior. The Google channel is just as powerful as ever through traditional search. We know we wanna be ahead of the curve on anything that may or may not develop.

Eric Baker

As we think about it, we wanna make it so that the experience is as easy and seamless to meet consumers where they are. We think that's part of sort of using our data and distribution to provide the best experience for consumers and also for the content right holders when they do Open Distribution, so they know they're going through every channel and every way to reach everyone. That's our thought process there.

Andrew Boone

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jed Kelly with Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.

Jed Kelly

Hey, great. Thanks for taking my question. Just getting back to the concerts and the Open Distribution, is that more of a conversation with the promoters and if you're able to reach a couple promoters that can scale relatively quickly, or is it with the venues? Just as a follow-up, how should we think about fee caps in individual states in the U.S.? Thanks.

Eric Baker

Sure. Okay. I think two questions there. The first on sort of the Open Distribution, Jed. Again, this is really the concept is that anyone who has a ticket to sell should use our data and distribution in a non-exclusive way to reach consumers and do well. That can be anybody who's sort of issuing a ticket.

Eric Baker

Sometimes on the side, it could be a venue, it could be a promoter, it could be the artist themselves. We're sort of indifferent to that. It should work for anybody depending on how they've decided to control distribution of the tickets. That's, that's how we sort of think about that. Again, as I've emphasized before, it's really about just making the product so simple and so seamless, whether it's through just linking it up to us or integrating whatever their primary is, that it's just a no-brainer that you're gonna wanna reach more consumers on a non-exclusive basis. That's, it's a little bit of how we think about that.

Eric Baker

Then again, I think you're talking about, I've already addressed sort of the price caps and why we think that really doesn't work well for consumers. It's not consumer friendly, and we don't see that going. I think if you're talking about fees, I guess what I would say again, it's sort of similar to sort of the types of economics that don't make a lot of sense. I think what I would point to is really what the states have been after is the transparency, which was the all-in pricing. A lot of what we've seen is that when it comes to fees, the key thing is making it very clear that consumers know what they're paying and making very clear that it's all in upfront.

Eric Baker

That's why we spend time actually lobbying for all-in pricing, and we think that any development like that that's good for a consumer, and makes people compete based on what's good for the consumer will be good for StubHub.

Jed Kelly

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Cameron Mansson-Perrone with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Cameron Mansson-Perrone

Thanks. Good afternoon. A follow-up on the Claude and OpenAI partnerships. I'm just curious if you could provide some color on the level of activity that you're seeing move through those channels so far. Obviously, it's a little early for Claude, but maybe for OpenAI. How you see those integrations with those platforms or with similar platforms evolving over time. Thanks.

Eric Baker

Great. Thank you for the question, Cameron. Appreciate it. Again, what I would say is that, you know, our whole point of view is we wanna be where consumers are, where they may be in the future, and we wanna meet them and have them be able to meet with us through multiple touch points and the best product experience. Clearly everything happening with AI and how it can be applied, including through some of these platforms, is an important thing to be on the cutting edge of, and sort of that's what we've done and integrated with. Those are not material things right now, but again, we're always thinking to the future and these things can be exciting, and we see it even as complementary channels to the strong channels that we haven't seen any impact on today.

Eric Baker

That's, you know, we just think more and more that our advantage of being the scale player and the leader in the marketplace with the best product and the best technology and the best data and distribution should advantage us to work through any and all distribution channels and any and all technological developments as long as we're there. That's why it's important that we're on the front foot working with folks like Claude, Anthropic and ChatGPT.

Cameron Mansson-Perrone

Helpful. Thanks.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jason Bazinet with Citigroup. Please go ahead.

Jason Bazinet

This is a question on sales and marketing. You guys noted that the sales and marketing expenses were 50% of revenues down from 55% of a year ago. If I go back 2 years, it was 46% of revenues. If I go back 3 years, it was 37% of revenues. What's going on? Why is it sort of up over the long term? What is the right sales and marketing intensity for this business?

Connie James

Yeah, I'm happy to take that one. If you step back and you really think about the course of the history and the journey that we've been on in StubHub, I think that there's a clear understanding of what we've been trying to do. Over the course of, you know, both 2024 and 2025, there was a period of investment. What we know to be true is that being the clear market leader in a marketplace environment creates a tremendous amount of scale. As you look at those various investments, what I can tell you, they've been very deliberate to drive specific outcomes in which we're really pleased with the ultimate result.

Connie James

As we sit here in 2026, we've been very clear about what our financial framework is for this year now that we've reached that level of scale being the clear market leader, which is our ability to not only drive top-line growth, but also expand margins, and that's exactly what you're seeing show up in Q1. 7% top-line growth, 400 basis point improvement on the bottom line, and as I mentioned, we would expect further improvement as you look through the course of the year.

Jason Bazinet

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ryan Sigdahl with Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Please go ahead.

Ryan Sigdahl

Hey, good afternoon, Eric, Connie. Take rate was up over 100 basis points both year-over-year and sequentially. Curious what the main drivers of that were and if that level is sustainable going forward?

Connie James

Yeah, happy to take that, good to be with you today, Ryan. Again, it was really an intentional outcome of the strategy that we set forth this year. If you rewind back to 2025, as I mentioned, it was really a period of investment in order to accrete market share. We're really pleased again with our outcome now being the clear market leader. What you're seeing is a more normalized level of this GMS to revenue conversion. What I'd say looking forward is that we expect that to continue to return to what I'll call more typical historical levels, think approaching 20% as a blended rate for the full year. Simply, this is just a change in our strategy again as we really focus on driving the top line, expanding margins, all which is again, the benefit of reaching scale.

Ryan Sigdahl

Great. Thank you.

Connie James

Thanks.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Brandon Ross with LightShed Partners. Please go ahead.

Brandon Ross

Hi. Thanks for taking the questions. I guess a couple of follow-ups to prior questions. First, on the Live Nation settlement, one thing we noticed is that while the settlement allows venues to sell tickets through other platforms, it stipulates those sales can only be through other primary ticketing marketplaces. If that gets implemented, does that change your Open Distribution or Direct Issuance strategy, maybe give you desire to get into real, like, traditional access control primary ticketing? Then on the price caps, Ontario recently went to price caps, and Toronto's a pretty big city, so maybe a decent case study there. I know it's early, but can you just kind of tell us what you've seen?

Eric Baker

Sure. Brandon, thank you for the questions. Appreciate it. I think in terms of the Live Nation stuff and sort of as we'd say, what we've observed is basically everything's about opening up distribution, allowing it to open up. In terms of the specifics and the things that they may try to negotiate and how they want to define it, we'll see where it all shakes out. I think it's very clear, at least to me, when you look at it, that it's really about more competition for consumers and creating an open distribution thing. Again, as I said, whatever happens, if nothing happens there, nothing changes with our conviction of everything we're doing, but it certainly seems like, at least the indications are it'll be better than the status quo or status quo ante.

Eric Baker

Then in terms of, as you mentioned, again, we've addressed the price cap stuff. There's always been jurisdictions over the years that have looked at doing this stuff, and they roll it out and, you know, obviously then there becomes a lot of details in terms of how that works, if it works, and oftentimes they get rolled back. Again, at this point in time, there's nothing that's materially impacting our business. So, we'll see how everything plays out.

Brandon Ross

Thank you.

Operator

Your final question comes from the line of Lloyd Walmsley with Mizuho Securities. Please go ahead.

Wei Fang

Thank you. This is Wei calling for Lloyd. Congrats on the solid results first. I have two quick questions. Number 1, I think it's been almost half a year since you recalibrated your market share, marketplace take rate. Things seems to be doing well, but can you help give us an update on vendor reception and also maybe the industry competitive dynamics you have observed so far? Secondly, I was wondering if you could comment on the monthly GMS growth trend in the quarter and then in the month of April. Curious how much the outsize of tax return this year was helping. Thank you.

Eric Baker

Thank you for the questions. Appreciate it. I'll give it to Connie on some of it. I think he had some financials. One thing I think, if I take the question, is basically saying, wow, you've been able to grow while increasing your margins and inflecting margins. How is that possible to do? I think, again, as a leader and a leading marketplace, we're able to provide the best possible service, the best possible liquidity, the best possible data, and distribution for everyone and a great experience for consumers.

Eric Baker

I think the performance sort of speaks that, again, as we've talked about and as we've said, we're able to grow while inflecting margins through these various levers, and we expect that to continue along the lines we discussed. With that, I'll hand it over to Connie maybe briefly as we wrap up about I think the question was about how are things looking as we move forward in this quarter.

Connie James

Yeah. I'm happy to take that. You know, the good news is, as we sit here today, you know, the second quarter is shaping up in line with our expectations, hence why we reiterated our guide for the full year. We look forward to giving you more of an update. Again, we don't look at things on a monthly basis, but rather, again, we're really focused on how the full year shapes up. The good news is we have all of the building blocks intact. North American growth, international growth, clear market leadership, and importantly, all in the backdrop of a healthy live events calendar. We look forward to sharing more as the year progresses.

Wei Fang

Great. Thank you.

Operator

That concludes our question and answer session. I will now turn the call back over to Eric Baker for closing remarks.

Eric Baker

Thanks again, everyone, for joining us today. We're executing well against our business and financial objectives, and our focus remains on growing our top line, expanding our margins, and continuing to pursue initiatives to broaden our reach. We look forward to continuing to update you on the progress in the months to come. Have a great night.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-06

Vivid Seats Inc. Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Moby

Achieved sequential growth in GOV and adjusted EBITDA by focusing on funnel efficiency and a material reduction in operating costs relative to the revenue base. Strategic shift toward app adoption resulted in app GOV growing 20% year-over-year, now exceeding 40% of total GOV, which reduces reliance on expensive paid search channels. Management attributes the app's success to a differentiated value proposition combining the Vivid Seats Rewards program, a lowest price guarantee, and a streamlined checkout experience. The private label business delivered sequential revenue growth of 20% in Q1, supported by the launch of a significant new partner and the extension of an existing large-scale agreement. Observed a moderation in competitive marketing spend from major players like StubHub since late 2025, though this has been partially offset by increased price-testing and aggressiveness in sports categories. Performance attribution for the quarter highlights that while industry volume grew in the low single-digits, Vivid Seats landed at the high end of guidance through disciplined execution and product innovation. Reaffirmed fiscal year 2026 guidance with the expectation of returning to year-over-year growth in the second half as the company laps the loss of a large private label customer. Anticipates achieving a majority of business through the app on a run rate basis by 2027, driven by upcoming product enhancements in Q2 and Q3 focused on conversion and personalization. Guidance assumes modest industry growth but acknowledges potential headwinds from recent concert tour cancellations and consumer weakness in specific markets like Las Vegas. Strategic roadmap prioritizes 'universal upgrades' such as checkout optimization that benefit both North American and international operations before pursuing region-specific investments. Management targets sustained operating leverage, aiming to keep G&A expenses steady even as the company returns to growth by utilizing AI-driven productivity gains. The marketplace take rate declined to 15.9% from 16.8% sequentially, primarily reflecting a mix shift toward private label revenue which typically carries lower take rates. Identified a 'cap' on growth for certain concert tours, suggesting that mispricing or consumer exhaustion may be leading to recent high-profile tour cancellations and delays. The 2026 World Cup is identified as...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-16

StubHub to Report First Quarter 2026 Financial Results on May 13, 2026

Business Wire

NEW YORK, April 15, 2026--(BUSINESS WIRE)--StubHub Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: STUB), a leading global ticketing marketplace for live events, today announced that it will report its first quarter 2026 financial results after the market close on Wednesday, May 13, 2026. Management will host a conference call and webcast that day at 5:00 p.m. ET to discuss the company’s financial results. The live audio webcast and replay will be available on StubHub’s investor relations website at investors.stubhub.com. About StubHub StubHub is a leading global ticketing marketplace for live events. Through StubHub in North America and viagogo internationally, StubHub services customers in over 200 countries and territories, supporting over 30 languages and accepting payments in over 45 currencies – from sports to music, comedy to dance, festivals to theater. StubHub offers a safe and convenient way to buy or sell tickets to live events across the world for memorable live experiences. View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260415966650/en/ Contacts Investors: [email protected] Media: [email protected]

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-14

StubHub Holdings (STUB) On Analysts’ Radar Following Earnings

Insider Monkey

StubHub Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:STUB) is one of the 11 Best Day Trading Stocks to Buy Now. Oppenheimer reduced StubHub Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:STUB)’s share price target on March 5th. It cut the target price from $20 to $12 and kept an Outperform rating, as per The Fly. The financial firm explained that StubHub Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:STUB)’s stock had potentially seen significant interest evaporate. Oppenheimer’s coverage came after the ticket company had reported its earnings for the fourth quarter and full year 2025. The results saw StubHub Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:STUB) post $449 million in revenue and $1.56 in net loss per share. Analysts, on the other hand, had expected the firm to post $485 million in revenue and $1 in loss per share. A major reason behind StubHub Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:STUB)’s weakness was the crackdown on ticket resales as legislators in the US and the UK sought to limit the ticket resale prices. The shares had jumped by 11% in January even as law firms sought to recruit investors for a suit against the company for allegedly misrepresenting facts in its registration statement. Pixabay/Public Domain StubHub Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:STUB) is an online marketplace that enables users to buy and sell tickets. It is headquartered in New York, New York. While we acknowledge the potential of STUB as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: 30 Stocks That Should Double in 3 Years and 11 Hidden AI Stocks to Buy Right Now. Disclosure: None. Follow Insider Monkey on Google News.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-06

Morning Movers: Burlington jumps following Q4 earnings beat

TipRanks

Futures are slipping this morning as investors weigh renewed Middle East geopolitical risk and the implications for energy prices, inflation and growth. The ongoing conflict involving the U.S., Israel and Iran continues to push oil prices higher, and traders are increasingly cautious about how elevated energy costs might feed into broader inflation and complicate the Federal Reserve’s timeline for potential rate cuts. Unlock hedge fund-level data and powerful investing tools for smarter, sharper decisions Stay ahead of the market with the latest news and analysis and maximize your portfolio's potential Energy markets continue to exert outsized influence on overall sentiment. Crude oil prices remain elevated on supply-risk fears. That dynamic is contributing to a divergence between cyclical, energy-related sectors and more sensitive growth stocks, which are under greater pressure in the current risk-off environment. Investor focus remains on near-term inflation data, labor market reports, and Fed speeches that could clarify the central bank’s stance amid lingering geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties. Market positioning is cautious with volatility elevated, and traders are watching closely for any sign of de-escalation or fresh data that might shift risk sentiment. In pre-market trading, S&P 500 futures fell 0.39%, Nasdaq futures fell 0.48% and Dow futures fell 0.67%. Check out this morning’s top movers from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly. HIGHER – Trade Desk (TTD) up 21% after The Information reported OpenAI and the company held early talks regarding a partnership to help the AI tool sell ads UP AFTER EARNINGS – Veeva (VEEV) up 8% Cracker Barrel (CBRL) up 8% Burlington Stores (BURL) up 6% Broadcom (AVGO) up 4% DOWN AFTER EARNINGS – Grocery Outlet (GO) down 25% StubHub (STUB) down 15% Ciena (CIEN) down 5% Victoria’s Secret (VSCO) down 5% BJ’s Wholesale (BJ) down 4% American Eagle (AEO) down 2% Kroger (KR) down 1% Published first on TheFly – the ultimate source for real-time, market-moving breaking financial news. Try Now>> See Insiders’ Hot Stocks on TipRanks >> Read More on TTD: Disclaimer & DisclosureReport an Issue Video: Broadcom up on bullish AI chip sales view Trade Desk Stock (TTD) Pops on Potential OpenAI Deal Closing Bell Movers: Veeva up 13%, Broadcom up 5% on earnings beat Trade Desk up 9% at $27.53 afterhours after OpenAI ad partn...

TranscriptFY2025 Q42026-03-05

FY2025 Q4 earnings call transcript

Earnings source - 39 paragraphs
Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to StubHub's Fourth Quarter and Year-End 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference call is being recorded today, March 4, 2026. I will now turn the call over to Clinton Hooks with StubHub. Please go ahead.

Clinton Hooks

Thank you, operator, and thank you for joining us to discuss StubHub's fourth quarter and year-end 2025 results. For reference, our fourth quarter and year-end 2025 earnings release, shareholder letter and presentation are available under the Quarterly Results section of our Investor Relations website at investors.stubhub.com. Before we begin our formal remarks, we need to remind everyone that the discussion today will include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements, which are usually identified by use of words such as will, expect, anticipate, should or other similar phrases are not guarantees of future performance. These statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from what we expect, and therefore, you should exercise caution when interpreting and relying on them. Although the company believes the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, it can make no assurance related to its expectations. The company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless otherwise required by law. We refer all of you to our recent SEC filings for a more detailed discussion of the risks that could impact our future operating results and financial condition. We encourage investors to review our regulatory filings, including the annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, when it is filed with the SEC. During today's call, we will also be discussing non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe can be useful in evaluating the company's financial performance. These measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for our financial results prepared in accordance with GAAP. Reconciliations of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are available in our earnings release, shareholder letter and investor presentation as applicable, available on the StubHub Investor Relations website. Please note that unless otherwise noted, our profitability and EBITDA discussions today refer to non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA. Joining me today are Eric Baker, our Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Connie James, our Chief Financial Officer. They will provide opening remarks, then take questions. With that, I'll turn it over to Eric.

Eric Baker

Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. 2025 was a pivotal year for StubHub. We grew our marketplace, further strengthened our competitive position, transformed our balance sheet and became a public company. As we enter 2026, StubHub remains a leading global ticketing marketplace for live events with durable advantages, scale and liquidity, structurally strong financial fundamentals and a diversified global footprint. These fundamentals are built on our core strengths, which continue to drive our competitive advantage. First, our leading marketplace position with a category-defining brand and approximately 50% share of the secondary ticketing market in North America. Second, our proven network effects that create durable competitive advantages. As we attract more buyers through our leading distribution and global reach, sellers add more inventory and selection to our platform, which in turn draws more buyers and further expands our distribution. Third, our asset-light online marketplace model, which delivers consistent take rates, over 80% adjusted gross margins and strong free cash flow conversion. As an online marketplace, we generally do not take inventory risk and incur limited variable costs with each transaction, allowing us to reach large global audiences and generate substantial revenue with modest ongoing capital requirements. Fourth, our extensive data set across millions of global events. Our data on supply, demand, pricing and user behavior enables differentiated product innovation, marketing optimization and pricing intelligence that reinforce our market leadership. Fifth, scale is the defining advantage in our category. As the scale leader in secondary ticketing, our superior liquidity, trusted brand and operational excellence creates sustainable competitive advantages. And finally, an exceptional team with leadership experience built through decades of building and operating our business. I'm grateful to work alongside a group of high-caliber employees who show up every day for our customers, improving the product, strengthening trust and delivering operational excellence at scale. We're also fortunate to have a deeply experienced management team, leaders who helped build this company from the ground up, raising the bar for StubHub year after year. Together, these strengths position us to capitalize on the expanding live event industry. We sit in a unique position at the intersection of technology and live events as we pursue our vision to be the global destination for fans to access live entertainment. We remain relentlessly focused on improving every part of the StubHub experience from discovery and pricing transparency to fulfillment and support because a better fan experience strengthens trust, drives conversion and reinforces the marketplace flywheel. Before I touch on longer-term initiatives, I want to be clear about what is driving our business today. Our results and outlook are driven by our resale marketplace, which constitutes the vast majority of our revenue. In 2025, we delivered $9.2 billion of GMS, continued to grow, gained share and strengthened our competitive position. We expect that in 2026, StubHub's financial performance will continue to be driven by this core resale marketplace. Building on this foundation, our first several months as a public company have provided valuable perspective on our strategy to unlock new market opportunities. We believe direct issuance, non-exclusive, open distribution of originally issued tickets remains a transformational long-term opportunity for StubHub and the broader live event ecosystem. We have made progress through business development with marquee content rights holders across sports and music in multiple geographies, and we believe demand for this distribution model has been validated. Our experience has reinforced that the largest market potential will come from making direct issuance frictionless to adopt across a much broader range of rights holders. That requires reducing operational friction for partners with varying levels of technological sophistication and advances in artificial intelligence are materially expanding what is now practical to build on the supply side. By leveraging these advancements, we believe we can bring capabilities to market that would have been difficult to deliver even a year ago, including AI-assisted tools that automate workflows and simplify inventory management. For 2026, we are prioritizing building the product foundation required to scale direct issuance broadly. Accordingly, we are shifting from a primarily business development-led strategy to a more product-led strategy, building an AI-enabled technology-driven ecosystem that enables inventory to be contributed and managed with minimal operational burden. Development is underway to bring these supply-side products to market. We believe this approach positions direct issuance to become a durable growth engine when the self-serve capability is in place. This strategy shift means we will not be optimizing for immediate revenue growth, but for maximizing our revenue opportunity over the long term. Similarly, our efforts to build our advertising business are showing promising early results as we leverage our unique advantages. Early partnerships have helped validate the opportunity and are helping inform how we will scale advertising in a way that is truly additive by enhancing relevance and utility for customers. Our advertising business is generating modest revenue today, and we are continuing to iterate toward a model that enhances the seller and buyer experience. We are taking a disciplined approach to both initiatives, prioritizing scalable execution. This measured path forward reflects our commitment to maintaining the marketplace experience that defines our competitive advantage while compounding shareholder value over the long term. Finally, a quick note on the regulatory environment. We continue to operate within a generally favorable status quo that supports open functioning resale markets across jurisdictions. That said, public discussion around ticketing has increased in recent months, and we want to be clear about why we believe the secondary ticketing market and StubHub as a scale leader are defensible and durable over the long term. The secondary market solves durable ecosystem needs across a broad diversity of live event content. It is not dependent on any single event type or a narrow set of behaviors. A liquid resale market supports the ecosystem in foundational ways by: one, improving the category experience for consumers through trusted, fraud-protected ways to buy and sell tickets with ease and providing flexibility when plans change. Two, improving sell-through and pricing confidence in the primary market as consumers are more willing to buy earlier when they know they have a trusted option to resell. Three, enabling risk and cash flow management for content rights holders, teams, promoters and event organizers by providing liquidity and a pathway for inventory to be redistributed through power sellers and season ticket holders. And lastly, improving attendance utilization and venue economics by helping ensure tickets end up with someone who will attend, driving meaningful ancillary revenue through concessions, parking, merchandise and a better in-venue experience. Even if well-intentioned, we believe altering this vital link in the live event value chain ultimately harms the fan experience and the live event ecosystem overall. Regulatory change in live events is inherently complex. The live events ecosystem is a vast global surface of content and demand profiles, spanning everything from lower demand community events, small club shows to global music tours and the world's largest sporting moments across countless jurisdictions and market structures. Any framework that seeks to broadly reshape the resale market would need to account for a wide range of event types, seller profiles, consumer use cases and enforcement realities and would need to be implemented across many jurisdictions where live events occur. With that context, we believe public discussion tends to focus on a certain subset of the resale market, resellers that list large quantities of inventory on marketplaces for very high-demand concerts at high prices significantly above the original sale price. Based on our internal data, we estimate that approximately 10% of our GMS in 2025 was attributable to these types of high-demand concert ticket sales by resellers. Importantly, we believe that StubHub's durability is reinforced by our diversification and lack of concentration across sellers, content rights holders, buyers, event types and geographies. providing a level of insulation from potential regulatory changes that may affect any single subset of the market or any single jurisdiction. Finally, we have a responsibility to continue educating policymakers on the consumer protections and structural benefits that our marketplace provides and are continuing to bolster our government relations efforts to support this. We intend to engage constructively while operating responsibly to best serve fans around the globe. We are entering 2026 with a scaled, resilient core resale business, an improved competitive position that supports growth and scaling margins and a transformed balance sheet. We are also continuing to progress towards longer-term upside opportunities. Our commitment is straightforward, set expectations we can deliver upon and execute consistently. We intend to deliver results that reflect the strength and durability of the business. With that, I'll turn the call over to Connie to discuss our financial results and guidance.

Constance James

Thanks, Eric. In 2025, we delivered $9.2 billion of GMS, up 6% year-over-year. Excluding the Eras Tour, our GMS grew 18% year-over-year, reflecting the underlying performance of the business. Our growth was driven by continued market share gains in North America, where we expanded our share in North America to approximately 50% of the secondary market. Internationally, our expansion outpaced growth in North America. Turning to our income statement. As a reminder, I'll discuss our financials on an adjusted basis, excluding stock-based compensation and other onetime items. Full reconciliations are available in our earnings release. First, on the fourth quarter. Beginning with the fourth quarter 2025, we generated $2.3 billion of GMS, down 8% year-over-year. This reflected lapping an unusually strong fourth quarter 2024, which benefited from several favorable dynamics, including the conclusion of the Eras Tour, a particularly strong MLB World Series and the timing of major concert on sales shifting across quarters. Excluding Eras-related comparability, fourth quarter GMS growth was approximately 6%. Revenue was $449 million or 19% of GMS, down 16% year-over-year. The change was primarily due to lower GMS, partially offset by lapping prior year direct issuance-related minimum guarantee structures that were treated as principal revenue and that we have since reduced. Additionally, our revenue as a percentage of GMS of 19% reflects our deliberate market share investments through take rate adjustments, consistent with our full year 2025 operating strategy to prioritize competitive positioning. Adjusted gross margin was 83%, up from 76% in the prior year period, reflecting the lapping of those minimum guarantee structures. Adjusted sales and marketing expenses were $234 million or 52% of revenue compared to $221 million in the prior year period or 41% of revenue. The change reflects our investments to accelerate market share in core resale. Adjusted EBITDA was $63 million, representing a 14% margin. This reflects the impact of our market share investments as we deliberately prioritize capturing market share and our continued investment in direct issuance capabilities during their early partnership development phase. For the full year 2025, revenue for the year was $1.7 billion, 19% of GMS compared to $1.8 billion in 2024. The performance was impacted primarily due to direct issuance-related minimum guarantee structures in the prior period and the impact of our market share investments on take rates. Adjusted gross margin for the year was 83%, up 200 basis points from 2024. The improvement reflects the lapping of the costs associated with minimum guarantee structures. The full year gross margin is representative of our current operational profile and demonstrates the structural advantages of our asset-light marketplace model where we facilitate transactions. Adjusted sales and marketing expenses were $943 million or 54% of revenues compared to $828 million or 47% of revenues in 2024. The increase reflected 2 primary drivers. First, our investments to accelerate market share in core resale where we deliberately prioritized market share capture. Second, our continued investment in building direct issuance capabilities during the early partnership development phase. Adjusted ops and support costs were $57 million, down from $59 million, flat as a percentage of revenue at 3%, reflecting improved operating efficiency. Adjusted G&A costs were $223 million, 13% of revenue, down from $250 million or 14% of revenue in 2024. The reduction reflects improved operating leverage as we continue to scale the business, including a reduction in professional service fees. Adjusted EBITDA was $232 million, equal to 13% of revenue. This result reflects 2 primary factors: First, the deliberate investments we made during the year, both in market share acceleration and in building longer-term initiatives. These investments successfully positioned us to achieve approximately 50% of North American secondary ticketing market share, establishing a foundation that supports fiscal '26 margin expansion. Finally, I want to highlight 2 factors impacting our net income. Our GAAP results for the full year include a nonrecurring noncash expense of $1.4 billion related to stock-based compensation granted prior to our IPO. The expense was triggered by the completion of our IPO. Accounting standards require recognition of these previously granted awards when their IPO-related performance conditions are satisfied. In addition, we incurred a nonrecurring noncash income tax expense of approximately $480 million related to the establishment of a valuation allowance on the deferred tax assets. Both stock-based compensation and valuation allowance expenses are excluded from our adjusted EBITDA calculations and have no impact on our cash flow or cash position. Turning to cash flow. I want to spend a minute on how cash is generated in our marketplace model. First, our cash conversion cycle benefits from the timing mechanics of ticketing. We collect funds from buyers at checkout while seller payouts occur later, often closer to or after the event date. This timing difference creates a recurring balance of seller proceeds on our balance sheet and contributes to our cash generation. Our business is also structurally asset-light. We don't generally take inventory risk and capital expenditures remain modest relative to the size of our business. We also benefit from net operating losses that reduce cash taxes in the medium term. Finally, because of the seasonality of live events and the timing of major tours and sports calendars, free cash flow can be variable quarter-to-quarter. For this reason, we evaluate free cash flow on full year and trailing 12-month periods rather than any single quarter. In 2025, our free cash flow represented nearly 70% conversion of adjusted EBITDA. This figure also includes interest costs during the period, which has since been reduced as a result of our debt repayment. Turning to the balance sheet. In 2025, we reduced our total debt by approximately 35% through the repayment of approximately $900 million of our U.S.-denominated term loan, bringing our total debt down to $1.5 billion at year-end. We also ended the year with approximately $1.2 billion of cash and cash equivalents or $494 million, net of payments due to sellers. As we scale, we expect the business to continue generating strong cash flow, and our priority remains maintaining a strong balance sheet and reducing leverage over time. Turning to our fiscal year '26 guidance. Before I discuss the specifics, I want to address why we are providing annual rather than quarterly guidance. The live event market is seasonal and can be variable quarter-to-quarter where the timing of major concert on sales and event schedules can shift across quarters from year-to-year. This can create lumpiness in quarterly growth rates even when underlying business momentum is steady. Fourth quarter '24 and fourth quarter '25 GMS illustrate this dynamic clearly. Fourth quarter '24 benefited from unusually favorable timing, including the finale of the Eras Tour and a concentrated set of major concert on sales, contributing to an exceptionally strong period and year-over-year GMS growth of 47%. Fourth quarter '25 reflected the inverse. Our GMS was down 8% year-over-year, driven by the lapping of this unusually strong comparison and by major concert on sales being more spread across quarters. Neither quarter on its own provides a representative view of the business. In fact, our market share was higher in the period GMS declined than in the period GMS grew significantly. For these reasons, we believe our business is best evaluated on an annual and last 12 months basis. Our guidance is grounded in what we control and what we believe we can execute with high confidence. For 2026, this reflects the earnings power of our core resale marketplace and includes disciplined operating expenses to support direct issuance and advertising without assuming any material revenue contribution from either initiative. For 2026, we expect to grow GMS to between $9.9 billion and $10.1 billion, representing 9% growth at the midpoint and expand adjusted EBITDA to between $400 million and $420 million as our marketplace flywheel strengthen and operating leverage increases at scale. Our GMS growth formula is straightforward: North American market growth, incremental market share gains plus international growth. Let me dive into each of these segments. First, North American secondary market growth. This market has historically grown at low double-digit rates. While there will continue to be a comparability impact from the all-in pricing transition until we lap its implementation in May, we believe underlying growth in the market remains strong. Second, market share gains in North America. We have a demonstrated track record of outgrowing the market in recent years. For 2026, we expect to continue gaining share while reducing these investments and increasing customer acquisition efficiency. Last, international growth. International markets account for approximately 15% of our GMS. We expect GMS in international markets to grow at an accelerated rate, benefiting from earlier-stage market development. Overall, our adjusted EBITDA guidance assumes the economic engine that has long defined StubHub remains consistent. Take rates in the 20% range, over 80% adjusted gross margin and improving operating efficiency as we scale. Given the structural strength of our unit economics, an important driver of earnings power is how efficiently we scale operating expenses, particularly adjusted sales and marketing, our largest expense line. To that end, our 2026 plan reflects 2 key strategic refinements. First, we are evolving our direct issuance strategy towards a more scalable technology-enabled model, which naturally reduces investment intensity. And second, we are raising customer acquisition efficiency in core resale. Acquisition efficiency is an input we control and our improved scale and conversion allows us to earn higher returns on marketing spend while growing. In 2025, we deliberately lowered acquisition efficiency, spending more per transaction to accelerate market share gains. The goal was to strengthen the marketplace in durable ways. As our share of transactions increased, our competitive position improved, and we created advantages that continue to compound through improved conversion. Higher conversion means each marketing dollar generates more transactions and more gross profit than it did previously. As a result, in 2026, we believe that we can raise acquisition efficiency while continuing to grow and take share. Together, these refinements reflect how a scaled marketplace model inflects. As conversion improves and our competitive position strengthens, we can allocate marketing dollars more efficiently while growing, expanding EBITDA through operating leverage and generating strong free cash flow. With that, we will now open the call to Q&A. Operator?

Operator

[Operator Instructions] the first question comes from Doug Anmuth with JPMorgan.

Douglas Anmuth

You're gaining share in retail, you talked about hitting kind of around the 50% level. Does the 9% growth in GMS just in the core retail market is growing slower than you initially expected in '26? Or is there something else going on?

Eric Baker

Sure. Doug, thank you for the question. Appreciate it around growth. And let me revisit just sort of the general framework around growth and how we think about it, and then I'll hand it to Connie to get into some of the specifics. So again, as we've sort of said, we're very -- our market has been very strong. More people are going to live events. They're going to a greater breadth of events. They're doing it all across the world. So the North American market has been strong. As we've said, too, we continue to gain share in the market as we're inflecting margins. So that's happening. And then we're seeing increased throughput internationally, these global events that are taking place and people traveling. So there's a lot of great tailwinds in the market, which is allowing us to grow and grow while we take share. But with that, let me throw it over to Connie for the details.

Constance James

Yes. Thanks, Doug. Good to be with you. And I'll just touch on the GMS drivers, and there's really 3 key ones, which you've picked up on a couple of them. So first, the market growth, as Eric mentioned, we benefit from operating in a really healthy overall North America secondary market that has consistently grown low double digits. That said, what we know to be true is we're going to continue to have this all-in pricing overhang for the first 5 months. We do anticipate continuing to accrete some modest share gains and then layer on top of that international growth. So all of that, call it, ladders up to the 8% to 10% GMS. And what I would also add is, again, it's anchored in what we're seeing today. The good news is quarter-to-date, we're seeing really healthy top line growth, expanding margins, all supportive of our full year guide.

Douglas Anmuth

And then if I could just follow up on direct issuance, you've kind of talked in the past about like '26 being a potentially industry inflection point. And now obviously, there's a strategy shift that's taking place. I guess what has changed most here in your view on the outlook and progress for direct issuance?

Eric Baker

Sure. Thank you for the question, Doug. And let me walk you through what's evolved on direct issuance and what we've seen and why we've made this deliberate decision to shift to the product development for this year. So just for everyone again, to set the context, direct issuance for us is this belief in this open distribution. Content is going to want to come, sell their tickets directly over StubHub and use our data and distribution to do so. We've had great success we had with folks like the Yankees, Ambassador Theater Group and others to prove this out. And as in the past 6 months, as we've gone out and we've been excited about it, there's a lot of, we believe, demand and enthusiasm for it. And quite frankly, we've been very excited about how broad and deep that is, by which I mean there's a long tail of different types of events and a great breadth of them. What we have found, Doug, in going through it with the team is that really, we think one of the key unlocks to unlock it even faster is eliminating friction on the product side, make it easy for people to use the product and technology because the will is there, everything makes sense. And that really unlocks more of what we talked about with a number of customers we had seen where you have this like self-serve ecosystem, which is a great solution for the customer. It's also a great business model that scales very nicely. And so as we looked at and we sat down, we said really with what's going on, we should focus in '26 on developing that product, particularly with the fact that given everything going on with AI, there's a real chance to advance those tools quickly and to get them to a good place. As a result, that does mean that we are deliberately shifting to a longer-term focus. We think we will create more value in the long term rather than focusing on the short-term revenue creation this year.

Operator

Your next question is from Eric Sheridan from Goldman Sachs.

Eric Sheridan

Maybe a 2-parter, if I can. In terms of learning on some of the key dynamics from ramping marketing and gaining market share in '25, can you talk a little bit about what the key lessons learned from that were? And how it informs the theme you're talking about tonight with respect to being more effective with acquisition and growth investments in '26? And if possible, a way to frame sort of that effectiveness either quantitatively or qualitatively '26 relative to maybe some of the return profile in '25?

Eric Baker

Sure, Eric. Thank you for the question. Appreciate it. Let me give you an overview about some what you're asking about what are -- how do we think about this core secondary engine and what does that mean in terms of getting these inflections. And I'll give you my sense of that, and then Connie can give you more of the financial detail as well. So I think as you recall, our whole fundamental thesis that was from our lived experience is that we saw that if you can get -- if you have the StubHub asset and you run it the right way and you can get the market share back and hit the right point of relative market share, you accelerate all these different flywheels that you get and network effects because you're in a marketplace business. So whether that's you've got more data, the conversion goes up, the liquidity flywheel, all these good things happen. Therefore, what we've seen and what you see in marketplace businesses is that you're able to hit a point where you get this beautiful thing, you're able to grow and take share while increasing your margins, which is why it's such a great business to be in. That's not just something that we've observed about marketplaces, be it the Airbnbs and others of the world. That's our lived experience that we've seen in building these businesses and what we saw at viagogo. And so to your point, what we said is in 2025, we really were focused on finishing off and pushing this concept of the market share and doing some of those things. And we really believe and as our thesis was that we would see we would get to this relative market share, be 3x greater than other people and start seeing this virtuous cycle occur. As Connie, I'm sure, will walk you through, not to steal her thunder, you can see what we're now saying in our guidance, we're seeing that we will be able to grow, continue to take share and inflect the margins. And I think as Connie will tell you, we sit here now, whatever it is in March, observing that this is, in fact, happening. So with that, let me turn it over to Connie.

Constance James

Yes. I think that's exactly right, Eric. And also thanks, Eric, for joining the call today. If you step back and really think about it, we were explicit that '25 would be a period of accelerated investment in particular into these relative market share, and we were really pleased with the outcome having secured about half of the market. So what you would have seen is an elevated period of sales and marketing. Late December, we decided to call it turn the dials given the flywheels and the benefits that Eric explained that started to show up, and that has continued. So we are seeing better efficiency coming through, which is resulting in these expanded margins, which Eric mentioned, we're seeing as we sit here, 2/3 the way for the first quarter. So all of that, again, gives us confidence of the stickiness and the benefits that we've seen and supports the full year guide.

Operator

We'll now go to Justin Post from Bank of America.

Justin Post

Great. Just wondering what you're thinking about for the concert season this year? You mentioned you had some comments on that in November and also the World Cup impact and then I have a follow-up. And how that's incorporated in your guidance?

Eric Baker

Sure. I'll just give you a couple of comments generally, Justin, and thank you for the question for being on the call, and then Connie can talk. So obviously, as we said, in terms of the concert season, we've seen a number of very exciting concerts going on sale in January and whatnot, and that's been great. Obviously, the World Cup is a wonderful event that sort of epitomizes the fact that we have this global platform. I do think as Connie will walk you through some of the guidance slots, I think she'll probably also touch on why we guide annually. And I think it's sort of key in what we hope to articulate before because there's sometimes a little bit of lumpiness of when things go on sale. But with that, let me turn it over to Connie.

Constance James

Yes. Thanks, Eric, and I appreciate jumping on the call, Justin. I think as we sit here today, things look really healthy. We typically look at the overall opportunity for the year and call it, Tier 1, Tier 2, Tier 3 events. In relation to your question specifically around World Cup, what we have seen in terms of our forecast assumptions is that we've decided to include that as a Tier 1 category. To be explicit, the Eras Tour was in a league of itself. As and when the World Cup continues to progress, we'll continue to keep you updated. In addition, I think you had a question just around how does perhaps some seasonality or as Eric talked, lumpiness occur from a concerts perspective and perhaps that just relates to what we saw in the fourth quarter. You're absolutely right. There can be movement. But again, the good news is when you look at it on an annualized basis, it tends to normalize. So where we sit from today, the overall market looks really healthy.

Justin Post

Great. And then I'd love to hear any updates on the U.S. secondary regulatory environment? And/or have you learned anything so far from the Ticketmaster trial and opening arguments? Anything you might have learned from that?

Eric Baker

Yes. Thank you for the question, Justin. And let me walk you through how we think about regulatory, and then I can touch on the trial that's going on. So the first thing is that from -- just to give people sort of our orientation is, started this business 25 years ago basically to give consumers a safe, secure way to buy tickets. And so that you wouldn't have fraud, you wouldn't have problems. And so we are, by definition, sort of we serve the consumer, we serve the fan, and that's what we do. And what I would say is we try and work as cooperatively with legislators and regulators because I believe, certainly, that in good faith, they have the same thing. They work for their citizens. They want people to have a good experience. They're working for the fan to make sure they can get into their events and get in there without having any problems. And so that makes sense. And obviously, we mentioned all-in pricing earlier. That's a great example where we worked and lobbied for that because we believe it's great for the fan and the consumer, even if it was a short-term headwind, as Connie said, because in the long term, anything that's good for the fan and the consumer is good for StubHub, and that's how we think about it. Now let me talk about the general regulatory environment today as it stands and some of the chatter that's out there. We generally -- first thing for people to understand is that we're in a very positive environment. It's legal to resell tickets. People are enthused about it. There's no issue going on today that is sort of hindering that in any meaningful way. What we are talking about now is why is that the case? And why has it been the case for decades. And I think there's two things that people need to understand. One is that, as I said, we're providing a service that's great for fans to give them access and eliminate fraud. And two is that it's actually very good for the content ecosystem. So in 2 ways. One is that if they're selling tickets and people have a safe, secure way to resell what they can't use, it's going to make it easier to sell the ticket in the first place. Secondly, is if you can unload tickets and put it in the hands of someone who can use it, you're more likely to fill the seats in the arena. So for all those reasons, that's why it has looked this way. Now let me get to your question twofold. One is, well, what is the regulatory -- what's the chatter? Are there concerns? What could they be? How do we think about it? So when we look at it today, Justin, all the real public discussion is really focused on what we see as a very narrow set of the market, which is for very high demand concerts where people are concerned or there are people who buy up tickets for those concerts in bulk and then sell them at a markup in bulk. They sell a number of tickets. So that's really where the focus has been. To give you a sense of how we -- because we think about this a lot, just what that surface is for our company as we approximate it to the best of our belief, you look at it that, that's about 10% of our global GMS. And that's 10% of our -- when I say global GMS for those types of events, that's across everything, across jurisdictions, across locations, across types of concerts, across different primary ticketing companies. So we have a very diverse catalog. That's just to give people a sense of surface. I know that's important to them and so forth. Finally, in terms of the Live Nation trial that's going on, I think it's important for people to hopefully understand, let me give you context for that. The DOJ going to trial with them is talking about Ticketmaster being a monopoly in primary tickets primarily. They've also talked about whether or not they tie things together, but let's stick with the monopoly power, I think, is the main focus. To us, that's really fundamentally, if you listen to what they're talking about, is the need for more open distribution. So they're basically talking about what we've called direct issuance and open distribution, which is that isn't the best outcome for any consumer and quite frankly, for content to allow them to take a ticket and distribute it ubiquitously, non-exclusively and have the outlets compete to give the best service to the fan. We're all for that. We support that. We're obviously working for the fan the same way other people do. All that being said, what we've also said is we do not bake in or anticipate any changes to what the status quo. I'm in no position to predict what may or may not happen in a courtroom or between the governments and Live Nation. We'll see how it plays out. If anything was to come to pass that was to push forward more of this open distribution agenda, that would only be great for fans and therefore, great for StubHub, but we will see.

Operator

And next up is Mark Mahaney from Evercore ISI.

Mark Stephen Mahaney

I'll just ask one question. On the advertising initiatives that you've had that is in advertising revenue. So you started rolling that out in the fourth quarter. Can you talk about what kind of traction -- you just mentioned it briefly in your opening remarks? How much revenue you've been able to generate so far, what the demand looks like in '26, how much you're baking into your outlook for '26? I know it's helpful on the top line, but particularly on the bottom line, too. So just how much contribution you expect from there? And when do you think you'll have a fully rolled out, the way you'd like it to be, advertising option? Is that this year? Or is that still -- is that more like a '27 event?

Eric Baker

Thank you, Mark. Appreciate the question. Thanks for being on the call. Let me give you first on the advertising piece, what has evolved and how we've made some deliberate decisions in terms of how we're thinking about the strategy and timing there. I'll walk you through that, and then Connie can address sort of how that fits into guidance. So advertising, big opportunity for us. We know that we have a great group of users and folks on the site that have a very passionate and clear intent that people want to reach. We also know we have a bunch of sellers on the platform who have a perishable item and they want to get their ticket in front of the right buyer. So there's a lot of demand and interest for that. We always said that we have to get that right in terms of the customer experience, the experience for the buyer and the seller and then how it fits in our business before we're going to scale it up. And therefore, we did what we said we were going to do, which is in the fourth quarter, we started rolling out the ad product, sponsored listings as well. And we saw a good reaction from sellers to that. We started generating revenue and testing. What we realized in our thinking is we said, gosh, it's very important that we get this right to maximize the experience for the long term and maximize the business model for the long term so that we create maximum value for the participants in our ecosystem as well as for our shareholders. And in doing that, we've come to the determination that we want to spend more time working that through, working the product through and experimenting with it in this coming year. And that's the conscious decision we made, which we think will drive more value over the long term, even at the sacrifice of near-term revenue. With that backdrop, I'll turn it over to Connie, who can more specifically address your question about how that filters through guidance.

Constance James

Thanks, Eric, and I appreciate you jumping on the line, Mark. In relation to how much revenue did we have in the fourth quarter, again, a very small modest amount. As Eric mentioned, we're still in testing mode on a small portion of the surface, albeit, again, super excited about the longer-term opportunity. And then we've been really explicit about ensuring that our guide is anchored in what we see in relation to today. And so we've taken the approach to have a very modest amount of revenue flowing through. You can think, call it, tens of millions for this year. That being said, as that continues to progress and change, we'll provide you with updates.

Operator

John Blackledge from TD Cowen is up next.

Logan Whalley

It's Logan Whalley on for John. A question around agentic commerce. Could you discuss your early learnings from your partnership with OpenAI and ChatGPT? And then looking forward, how do you expect to compete with other marketplaces in a world where people could be using chatbots to purchase tickets and other goods?

Eric Baker

Thank you for the question. Logan, appreciate it. Let me -- I think you're asking about AI and how we think about that, what our experience has been in different ways. So let me start by sort of just setting the table for how we're thinking about that, how we think we're positioned. So the first thing is, obviously, AI is a transformational technological development across the world, across society. It's a big thing. There'll be a lot of, I'm sure, disruption. And with disruption comes risk and opportunity. So we spend a lot of time thinking about this and how we mitigate risks and how we see those opportunities. And I think as we've looked at and thought about it, I'll tell you how we think about it. We think we're very well positioned for what's going on if we execute and innovate appropriately. The first thing that is important to note is we are in the live event end market. So that is a pretty good end market to be in. We're very optimistic that it will be a long time before you're watching AI robots participate in the Super Bowl and people want to go to live events. So that's a good thing. The second thing is that we are a marketplace business, and we think it's a marketplace business with the complexity that we have operationally, that is also a good place to be. But let me be more specific to probably some of the questions you had about how we think about it. There's what we call the marketplace operations layer and then there's an experience layer to it. And I'll tell you how we think about each. So on the marketplace operations of our business, we think, is not something that's easily replicable, so to speak, just by an agent in terms of you've got very fragmented supply. You've got to have trusted fulfillment, payments, fraud prevention, customer support, financial protections. And quite frankly, AI will help us as the largest player with the most data excel at providing the best experience for customers in that. So we think that's good. On the experience side and as you note, there are people who are going to be making purchases through chat and agent-based interfaces with us. And we've been at the forefront of doing a number of things, as you mentioned, with some of our partners. What we're excited about is that by having the most data on our platform about you as a user, if we are able to -- what we're working on is weaving AI into the product, we can create that great experience for you at StubHub that's unmatched anywhere else. We also think that it is a unique emotive experience where humans relative to other things are more likely to want to have the experience of even looking at what event they want to go to, discovering those things. It's not like finding the cheapest toilet paper, so to speak. So for all those reasons, we think there's a lot of opportunity. I'd also say on that discovery layer, it's creating more demand at the top of the funnel. So you're adding more ways to get people in, in a great fashion. And so we think that's great. And we think that at the top of the funnel, what we found is they want to make sure they're directing people to a trusted brand that has the customer service and execution, which is key because it's not just driving someone to content, where if you get the content, you're done and there's nothing else to it. So we think there are a lot of tailwinds. The last thing I would say, and Connie may add something here, as with everyone, I'm sure everyone knows, there's tremendous cost efficiencies and productivity gains for anyone who applies this the right way, which we're very focused on. And that's why it's very important to us to be taking advantage of AI every way we can in what we do. We take it, as I say, extremely seriously because any time there's a big disruption, there's big opportunity. But if you don't work with purpose and with innovation, of course, there's risk. And so we're working hard every day to do that. But maybe on the efficiency side, I'll let Connie add a couple of things if she has it.

Constance James

Yes, absolutely. And just happy to build on what Eric said, which is, again, we're excited about the technology, a huge number of benefits across the board. One of them clearly being cost efficiency. The team has already done a phenomenal job in terms of ops of support, really thinking about how we can create a level of efficiency, but perhaps even more importantly, how can we continue to delight the customer with a better way to interact. So seeing some really early traction there and obviously more to come. And then more broadly, even just from an engineering perspective, we know there's a huge opportunity. So again, a tremendous number of benefits, excited about the technology and how it plays out.

Operator

Next question is from Brian Pitz, BMO Capital Markets.

Brian Pitz

Eric, maybe more broadly, with primary ticketers pushing initial prices ever higher via dynamic pricing, can you comment on whether this is squeezing the volumes or margin spreads historically available to you in the secondary market? And then maybe number two, apologies if I missed this, but can you quantify the GMS growth and progress made in international markets during the fourth quarter? And are there any specific remaining regulatory hurdles regarding viagogo's global presence?

Eric Baker

Sure. So thank you. Thank you for the question. So a couple of different things in there. So let me try and make sure I address or give you a sense on the different things you're talking about. So I think a question there about primary ticketers and sort of how they use dynamic pricing and how that may impact the business. And then you had some specific questions on international specifically. So let me try to answer those as best I can and then flip it over to Connie for more of the nitty gritty. So I think in terms of the primary companies and these different policies they've talked about with dynamic pricing and other things that they're doing, I just want to set the context for everyone. Again, doing this for 25 years. We've been competing with the Ticketmaster and other primary companies for many, many years, for decades. And they obviously have always had an interest in trying to control more of that system and capture things. Again, they don't work for the fan, the same way that we do, and there's nothing wrong with that. They just have a different business in terms of what they want to do. And so this concept of dynamically pricing and doing things has been around for a long, long time. So I would just put that into that context. And therefore, both historically and today, we have not seen any impact from those types of policies on our business. It continues again. We've got a broad and deep catalog. We're serving a real need for consumers, and we think a real need for the ecosystem. So we haven't -- and that's just to give you the historical take of that not only today, but on decades of experience of something that has been around. Internationally, I'll just -- before going over to Connie, what I would say is that international is just a phenomenal opportunity for us. One thing also getting back into sort of the history of it is that viagogo, which I started, it was an international company. And so we have a heritage in our DNA is servicing things internationally. We had to be able to service the languages, the jurisdictions, the payments. And so as events become more and more international, it's phenomenal as things move to Asia and Latin America, it's phenomenal. I think there's definitely a lot of speaking about our friends who are in the promotion business as they always talk about, there's tremendous opportunity in those markets, and we think that's great. So we're bullish on it. In terms of any more specifics that we can or can't comment on, I will throw it over to Connie.

Constance James

Great. Thanks. And just to address your question in relation to what was the fourth quarter growth rate in the international business. We don't break it out specifically, but what I can tell you is that it was growing at multiples of the North America. As Eric mentioned, we have a phenomenal footprint operating in over 200 countries and really continue to be excited about the opportunity.

Operator

And everyone, we have time for one final question. It comes from Andrew Boone, Citizens.

Andrew Boone

I wanted to go back to the marketing efficiency. As we think about the EBITDA guide for 2026, should we compare marketing levels for 2026 to 2024? Is that the right level of normalization? Or can you provide us with any others [indiscernible] as we think about that expense normalizing? And then you guys made gains in 2025 with ReachPro. Can you help us better understand what are the benefits of that? And then how do you approach making additional gains? Or how aggressive do you want to be with that product this year?

Eric Baker

Thank you for the question. It sounds like you had some questions about the guide around some of the marketing stuff and some questions around ReachPro. So let me try and address the level of the product stuff in ReachPro a little bit, and then I'll give it over to Connie to tie out on some other things. So yes, just so everyone understands, ReachPro is a point-of-sale system that sellers can use to manage their tickets and manage their flow. It's just basically like software tools. It's not anything that we're selling or whatnot, but it becomes a default for people to use. When you get that default in the operating system, it has tremendous benefits data-wise. People make you the first quarter call. So it's very helpful in terms of getting some permanent benefit in terms of share and whatnot. We basically, as part of the share gains we got, we're able to deploy ReachPro, and I think Connie will talk about how we've accreted tremendous share in that and have a great trajectory. That is also in a good place where, again, one of the benefits of the flywheels is once you become 3x larger than someone else and more efficient and this -- and you have a superior tool, you can get continued acceleration of people adopting it, which has continued benefits for our system and for our customers. But let me throw it over to Connie because I think you had some questions about marketing.

Constance James

Yes. I think before we go into the details on marketing, it's probably worthwhile just to step back and think about the broader building blocks of the guide that just might help provide a bit more context. We did touch on growth, which we know we have 3 drivers, again, operating in a really healthy overall North America secondary market, but noting again, the overhang of all in pricing in those first 5 months. In addition, we do anticipate continuing to accrete modest share gains. And then as we just discussed, we've got a tremendous international business that you can layer on top. What's also important to recall is if you step back and you think about last year, we were explicit about taking a point uptake and investing it in order to accelerate market share. Again, incredibly pleased with the progress we made in capturing nearly half of the market. But as we move forward, we would expect take to -- be more consistent with what we've seen historically, call it, in that 20% range. And then specifically, I think you were touching on, well, what should we expect in relation to marketing efficiency. Again, last year, it was a period where we had a deliberate decision to invest, which ran sales and marketing as a percentage of revenue at a bit of an elevated rate. You would have seen in the first quarter, we were at 55%. By the end of Q4, we're about 52% normalized. And what I would say is you should continue to see increased benefit flowing through. So all of that, call it, ladders up into expanding margins at the bottom line.

Operator

Thank you, everyone, that does conclude our question-and-answer session. I'd like to hand the call back to Eric Baker for any additional or closing remarks.

Eric Baker

Yes. I just want to say thank you to everyone. I appreciate folks making the time and taking the interest, and we appreciate it greatly. So thank you very much.

Operator

And again, that does conclude today's conference. We would like to thank you all for your participation. You may now disconnect.

As of 2026-05-30 • Updated weeklySource: Earnings sourceIngestion runbook