B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
+18.6% vs current
SN
SharkNinjaCNYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$128.00
+4.7% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$98.00
-19.9% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-09
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.7
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+51.5
Score
AI commentary
Headline tone is positive because the company beat and raised, and the recent-news packet is centered on the May 6 earnings print. Still, this remains a constructive monitoring setup rather than a full-conviction rerating call: analyst-count detail is unavailable, social context is absent, and the key post-print debate is whether named 2026 growth engines can offset tariff and margin pressure.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-09
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-06catalystQ1 beat-and-raise resets near-term estimatesMedium impact
SharkNinja reported Q1 net sales up 15.6% to $1.41B, adjusted EPS of $1.09, and raised FY2026 outlook to 11.5%-12.5% sales growth, $6.00-$6.10 adjusted EPS, and $1.29B-$1.30B adjusted EBITDA [#8-K-2026-05-06]. The packet shows a median analyst target near $149.7 versus the $113.12 anchor, but analyst-count detail is unavailable, so the target read-through should be treated cautiously.
2026-08-07eventTariff and margin digestion could cap upside despite raised guidanceHigh impact
Gross margin slipped 10 bps and adjusted gross margin fell 100 bps as U.S. tariff costs pressured results, while management also flagged uncertainty around tariff rates in the FY2026 outlook. Inventory rose to $1.03B from $1.00B at year-end, so the next earnings cycle must show that mix, pricing, and cost actions can offset policy pressure [#8-K-2026-05-06].
2026-12-31catalystFY2026 product and international rollout must validate the raised guideHigh impact
The company-specific 2026 test is whether named Q1 growth engines continue to scale through the raised FY2026 guide: International sales grew 31.6%, Beauty and Home Environment Appliances grew 40.8%, and management cited Ninja Luxe Cafe and Ninja Crispi as Cooking and Beverage drivers while planning $190M-$210M of capex primarily for new product launches and technology [#8-K-2026-05-06].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology