B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SN
SharkNinjaFNYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The post-earnings read-through is constructive because the company beat, raised full-year guidance, and showed company-specific drivers in international expansion, Beauty and Home Environment Appliances, Ninja Luxe Cafe, and Ninja Crispi. The packet median target of about $149.7 implies upside from the $113.12 anchor, but the missing analyst target count keeps the revision signal tentative.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
What can break
Direct competitive pressure is real in both Shark and Ninja categories, with the 10-K citing Dyson, Hoover, Bissell, Vitamix, De'Longhi, Breville, Hamilton Beach, Cuisinart, and others [#10-K-2026-03-02].
Momentum
94
Value
44
Sentiment
19
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $128.00 · Bull $145.00 · Bear $98.00Analysis 2026-05-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-04 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-28
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $215.81
Why
Momentum94 · Δ7d -2.5
Value44 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment19 · Δ7d +0.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-04 · BMO.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Direct competitive pressure is real in both Shark and Ninja categories, with the 10-K citing Dyson, Hoover, Bissell, Vitamix, De'Longhi, Breville, Hamilton Beach, Cuisinart, and others [#10-K-2026-03-02].
- • Inventory increased to $1.03B versus $1.00B at year-end, so any demand normalization or channel friction could pressure working capital and promotions.
- • The T+3 setup is not a clean momentum chase because tariff commentary and margin pressure remain visible despite the raised guide.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-04 · BMO
Q1 beat-and-raise resets near-term estimates
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
94
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.5
Δ21d
+1.5
Value
44
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
19
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
-7.3
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 93.8 / Value 43.7 / Sentiment 19.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$128.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$98.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$27.83B
Beta
-
Shares Out
140.87M
P/E (TTM)
27.3
P/S (TTM)
2.57
P/FCF (TTM)
39.91
Rev YoY
+22.2%
EPS YoY
-6.8%
Gross Margin
+48.6%
Op Margin
+13.9%
Net Debt
$124.23M
Current Ratio
2.08
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data