SMG

Scotts Miracle-GroA

NYSE / Materials

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Improving sales, gross margin, EBITDA, free cash flow, and leverage support the view that the turnaround is progressing, with Investor Day offering a potential confirmation of longer-range goals.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.3.

What can break

Leverage remains elevated despite improvement; weaker free cash flow could delay planned capital returns.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $70.00 · Bull $78.00 · Bear $54.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-07-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade A · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $73.00

Why

Momentum87 · Δ7d -2.3

Value58 · Δ7d -1.0

Sentiment49 · Δ7d -17.2

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-2.3

Δ21d

+16.3

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-1.0

Δ21d

-0.5

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-17.2

Δ21d

Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 87.2 / Value 58.0 / Sentiment 48.8

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$4.13B

Beta

1.96

Shares Out

58.18M

P/E (TTM)

25.1

P/S (TTM)

1.02

P/FCF (TTM)

29.25

Rev YoY

+5.0%

EPS YoY

+8.4%

Gross Margin

+32.5%

Op Margin

+10.5%

Net Debt

$2.34B

Current Ratio

1.27

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology