SAM
Boston BeerBNYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
Ex-litigation operations were not as weak as the GAAP headline implies: gross margin rose to 49.3%, pricing/mix remained favorable, inventory normalized, cash was $164.1 million, and the company still expects better shipment performance later in 2026 with second-half-weighted launches and advertising [#8-K-2026-04-30].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-23 · AMC.
What can break
Supplier litigation remains a major overhang: the company recorded $216.0 million pre-tax of litigation-related expense and said it cannot estimate when or if damages or interest will ultimately be paid, even though it plans post-trial motions and appeal [#8-K-2026-04-30].
Momentum
19
Value
68
Sentiment
69
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $225.00 · Bull $245.00 · Bear $185.00
Earnings
2026-07-23 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $222.01
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d -5.9
Value68 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment69 · Δ7d -5.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
19
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.9
Δ21d
+6.9
Value
68
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+1.3
Sentiment
69
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.9
Δ21d
+6.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 18.6 / Value 67.8 / Sentiment 68.6
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$1.86B
Beta
1.03
Shares Out
10.41M
P/E (TTM)
23.2
P/S (TTM)
1.06
P/FCF (TTM)
9.95
Rev YoY
-4.4%
EPS YoY
-741.1%
Gross Margin
+48.7%
Op Margin
+6.1%
Net Debt
-$184.39M
Current Ratio
0.93
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology