B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$200.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SAM
Boston BeerCNYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Margin expansion, no debt, cash of $265.5 million, share repurchases and continued Sun Cruiser growth could support earnings resilience if volume trends stabilize. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.0.
What can break
Analyst revision, target-change and social-sentiment data are unavailable, limiting forward visibility.
Momentum
23
Value
66
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $170.00 · Bull $200.00 · Bear $125.00Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $199.83
Why
Momentum23 · Δ7d -6.5
Value66 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment60 · Δ7d -6.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst revision, target-change and social-sentiment data are unavailable, limiting forward visibility.
- • Consumer demand, inflation, commodity and tariff pressure may limit margin recovery.
- • The core demand picture remains weak, with declining depletions and pressure across several major brands.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-08
Q2 results maintained earnings outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
23
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-6.5
Δ21d
-11.3
Value
66
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-2.1
Sentiment
60
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.0
Δ21d
-1.6
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 22.6 / Value 65.7 / Sentiment 59.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$170.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$125.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.88B
Beta
1.03
Shares Out
10.29M
P/E (TTM)
23.2
P/S (TTM)
1.06
P/FCF (TTM)
9.95
Rev YoY
-3.3%
EPS YoY
-8.9%
Gross Margin
+48.9%
Op Margin
+5.4%
Net Debt
-$184.39M
Current Ratio
1.05
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data