RTX

RTXB

NYSE / Capital Goods

Quote time unavailable

View Chart

AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

B+

Bull case

25%

Probability

Target price

$238.00

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-09-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Most likely

Base case

50%

Probability

Target price

$210.00

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-09-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

B-

Bear case

25%

Probability

Target price

$165.00

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-09-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-09-20

AI commentary

Primary operating evidence remains constructive after the Q2 beat and guidance increase, while the deterministic directional prior has improved from negative in the prior baseline to neutral. The $194 anchor is below the supplied $236.86 median target, but analyst-count and revision data are unavailable, and the recent-news set offers limited independent confirmation beyond backlog and defense-demand narratives. No sufficient social, options, short-interest or employee-sentiment evidence was supplied; zero values in those fields denote unavailable evidence rather than neutral readings. Relationship coverage was not reviewed and supplied no observations, so no customer or supplier effect is incorporated.

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-09-20

Open full AI memo

Evidence flagged

peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators

Impact

tentative

Confidence

AI events

2026-12-31eventDelivery against the raised 2026 outlookMedium impact

RTX raised 2026 adjusted-sales guidance to $95.0-$96.0 billion, adjusted EPS to $7.10-$7.25 and free cash flow to $8.50-$8.75 billion after reporting 16% organic Q2 sales growth. Year-end delivery against those higher ranges is the next meaningful confirmation point, but much of the strong update is already known. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23]

2027-01-01catalystPratt & Whitney leadership transitionMedium impact

Jill Albertelli is scheduled to succeed Shane Eddy as president of Pratt & Whitney on January 1, 2027, while Eddy retires at the end of 2027's first quarter. The disclosed succession is orderly, but investors may monitor continuity in capacity, productivity and backlog execution at the propulsion business. [#8-K-2026-09-15]

2027-07-31catalystBacklog conversion and capacity expansionMedium impact

RTX reported a $289 billion backlog, up 22% year over year, and tied continued growth to backlog execution, productivity improvements and capacity expansion. Sustained margin and cash-flow conversion could extend earnings growth, while execution slippage would undermine the thesis. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23]

View full catalyst timeline

Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-09-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology