RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

RTX

RTXA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
RTX combines strong Q2 growth, robust free cash flow, a $289 billion backlog, and raised FY2026 guidance. The setup remains constructive if backlog conversion, capacity expansion, and margin execution continue.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Capacity expansion, productivity, and segment-margin delivery could fall short of the raised outlook.
Momentum
68
Value
53
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $220.00 · Bull $245.00 · Bear $180.00Analysis 2026-09-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $236.86
Why
Momentum68 · Δ7d -15.2
Value53 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d +4.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Capacity expansion, productivity, and segment-margin delivery could fall short of the raised outlook.
  • • Current analyst revisions, consensus surprise detail, and post-release market-reaction attribution are unavailable in the packet.
  • • The stock has likely absorbed much of the positive Q2 and guidance news.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-23

Q2 results and higher FY2026 outlook reset expectations

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
68
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.2
Δ21d
-15.8
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.2
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.5
Δ21d
+12.4
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 67.7 / Value 52.6 / Sentiment 77.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$245.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$220.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$180.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$298.72B
Beta
0.42
Shares Out
1.35B
P/E (TTM)
38.7
P/S (TTM)
2.94
P/FCF (TTM)
199.69
Rev YoY
+14.5%
EPS YoY
+28.0%
Gross Margin
+20.3%
Op Margin
+10.7%
Net Debt
$32.52B
Current Ratio
1.01
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data