B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.20
+35.5% vs current
QUAD
Quad/GraphicsANYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
+6.2% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.00
-20.3% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-29
Recent news sentiment (30D)
0.0
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+54.3
Score
AI commentary
Quality gate status is tentative because coverage is limited and evidence depth is thinner than a standard report. The April 28 company release was in line and reaffirmed guidance, but the post-print setup still depends on cash conversion and whether the market accepts management's full-year free-cash-flow cadence. The packet does not include a fresh analyst revision set, and there is no usable social-context aggregate, so missing revision or social data should not be treated as positive evidence.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-29
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
Coverage is limited for this name. This memo is usable, but confidence is lower and evidence depth is thinner than a standard report.
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-04-28catalystQ1 2026 results were in line and guidance was reaffirmedMedium impact
Quad reported Q1 2026 net sales of $581 million, down 7.7% year over year and down 4.3% excluding the Europe divestiture, with adjusted EBITDA of $45 million and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.25. Management said results were in line with expectations and reaffirmed 2026 guidance for a 1% to 5% adjusted annual net sales decline, $175 million to $215 million of adjusted EBITDA, $40 million to $60 million of free cash flow, and about 1.5x year-end net debt leverage. [#PR-2026-04-28]
2026-05-22eventAnnual meeting removed routine governance noiseMedium impact
At the May 20, 2026 annual meeting, shareholders elected all nine director nominees and approved named executive officer compensation, a routine outcome that removes a small governance overhang but does not change the operating thesis. [#8-K-2026-05-22]
2026-12-31catalystMX and automation could gradually offset print erosionHigh impact
The longer-term rerate path remains execution in Quad's MX stack: audience strategy, direct marketing, Rise media, co-mailing, and AI-enabled automation. If those tools keep improving productivity, speed, and client retention, they can help offset structural print decline and support a better margin and cash-flow profile; if not, the business stays tied to fading print volumes. [#10-K-2026-02-18]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-29 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology