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QUAD

Quad/GraphicsA
NYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Guidance holds, fourth-quarter cash conversion delivers, and packaging and retail-media investments begin to demonstrate returns. Quad reported second-quarter sales growth and higher adjusted EPS, although adjusted EBITDA declined slightly.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
First-half sales weakness reflected lower print volumes and agency solutions sales; adjusted EBITDA also declined year over year. Quad Q2 release
Momentum
62
Value
68
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.40 · Bull $11.50 · Bear $7.50Analysis 2026-10-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $13.17
Why
Momentum62 · Δ7d -7.3
Value68 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -1.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • First-half sales weakness reflected lower print volumes and agency solutions sales; adjusted EBITDA also declined year over year. Quad Q2 release
  • • Full-year free-cash-flow guidance depends heavily on second-half, particularly fourth-quarter, cash generation. Quad Q2 release
  • • First-half sales declined 4% and free cash flow was negative $66 million.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28

October 28 results and full-year guidance

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
62
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.3
Δ21d
-16.8
Value
68
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
57
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.8
Δ21d
-13.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 62.0 / Value 68.2 / Sentiment 57.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-26. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$9.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$486.15M
Beta
1.09
Shares Out
51.5M
P/E (TTM)
14.1
P/S (TTM)
0.12
P/FCF (TTM)
6.09
Rev YoY
+1.0%
EPS YoY
-3623.8%
Gross Margin
+18.5%
Op Margin
+5.1%
Net Debt
$380.7M
Current Ratio
0.87
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data