B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MBLY
Mobileye GlobalBNasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$9.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-07-28
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-
Unavailable
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+79.9
Score
AI commentary
The SEC-filed company earnings exhibit provides concrete primary support for the Q2 results, guidance update, margin drivers, Stellantis win, and MOIA progress [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23]. Market reaction was sharply negative on July 23 despite the beat, and retrieved analyst actions were mixed, with UBS and Mizuho cuts offset by a later Piper Sandler upgrade. Social, options, short-interest, and employee-sentiment data are unavailable; conviction remains monitoring-oriented.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-07-28
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators; later post-earnings follow-up lacks concrete company-source and analyst/market reaction evidence
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-07-23eventQ2 beat and modest FY26 revenue guidance raise, but mixed qualityHigh impact
Q2 revenue was $508 million and adjusted EPS was $0.19; stored earnings context reports beats versus $484 million and $0.06 consensus. FY26 revenue midpoint increased by $20 million, while much of the adjusted operating-income uplift came from the Israeli R&D incentive grant. Revenue was flat year over year and gross margin declined [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23].
2026-10-26eventCEO succession processHigh impact
Mobileye's July 23 investor-relations leadership announcement said founder and CEO Amnon Shashua plans to step down after a successor is appointed. The board has begun a comprehensive search and offered Shashua a future chairman role, creating near-term execution and governance uncertainty.
2027-07-28catalystStellantis Cloud-Enhanced ADAS design winHigh impact
Mobileye added a high-volume Cloud-Enhanced ADAS design win with Stellantis. Management indicated expected gross profit per unit is roughly equivalent to Surround ADAS and more than twice current base-ADAS profitability [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-07-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology