B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MBLY
Mobileye GlobalBNasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 earnings beat, higher FY26 revenue midpoint, Stellantis design win, MOIA testing, and a potentially durable R&D-law margin benefit support a recovery if execution converts the advanced-product pipeline into revenue [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.2.
What can break
Analyst target revisions and forward estimates remain incomplete, limiting confidence in valuation-based upside.
Momentum
32
Value
51
Sentiment
80
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.25 · Bull $12.00 · Bear $6.20Analysis 2026-07-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $11.55
Why
Momentum32 · Δ7d -30.6
Value51 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment80 · Δ7d +4.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst target revisions and forward estimates remain incomplete, limiting confidence in valuation-based upside.
- • CEO succession could disrupt execution or investor confidence, particularly given founder dependence.
- • The post-print reaction was negative despite the earnings beat.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-23
Q2 beat and modest FY26 revenue guidance raise, but mixed quality
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
32
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-30.6
Δ21d
+12.7
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
80
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.2
Δ21d
+7.4
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 32.0 / Value 51.2 / Sentiment 79.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-28. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$9.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$7.85B
Beta
-
Shares Out
850.19M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-19.1
P/S (TTM)
4.83
P/FCF (TTM)
14.91
Rev YoY
+0.4%
EPS YoY
-68.8%
Gross Margin
+45.6%
Op Margin
-19.2%
Net Debt
-$1.77B
Current Ratio
4.60
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data