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MBLY

Mobileye GlobalA
Nasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The raised revenue outlook, $1.4 billion of reported cash, marketable securities and deposits, and higher-value ADAS design win support upside if launches become shipments. Q2 adjusted operating income rose 46% year over year, although the R&D incentive grant was a major contributor [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
What can break
Advanced ADAS launches, design-win conversion and robotaxi commercialization could take longer than anticipated [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23].
Momentum
31
Value
51
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $8.00 · Bull $11.00 · Bear $5.00Analysis 2026-10-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $10.81
Why
Momentum31 · Δ7d +5.0
Value51 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment79 · Δ7d +13.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +13.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Advanced ADAS launches, design-win conversion and robotaxi commercialization could take longer than anticipated [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23].
  • • Lower EyeQ average selling prices and mix pressure reduced Q2 gross margin despite higher system volumes [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23].
  • • Q2 revenue was nearly flat, GAAP gross margin fell from 50% to 46%, and lower EyeQ pricing offset higher system volumes.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · BMO

Test of raised 2026 outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
31
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+5.0
Δ21d
-5.1
Value
51
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
79
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.3
Δ21d
-5.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 31.0 / Value 51.4 / Sentiment 79.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$11.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$5.56B
Beta
-
Shares Out
850.19M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-13.6
P/S (TTM)
4.83
P/FCF (TTM)
14.91
Rev YoY
+0.4%
EPS YoY
-68.8%
Gross Margin
+45.6%
Op Margin
-19.2%
Net Debt
-$1.77B
Current Ratio
4.60
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data