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Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-12Grocery Outlet Q1 Earnings Coming Up: Key Factors to Note
Zacks
Grocery Outlet Q1 Earnings Coming Up: Key Factors to Note
As Grocery Outlet Holdings Corporation GO prepares to unveil its first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings on May 13, after market close. Investors are eager to see if the company can beat market expectations. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $1.15 billion, implying 2.4% growth from the prior year. Meanwhile, the consensus mark for earnings has been steady at 2 cents per share over the past seven days, and calls for a decline of 84.6% from the year-ago period. GO has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 30.5%, on average. Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Quote Grocery Outlet’s first-quarter performance is likely to have benefited from continued consumer demand for value-oriented grocery offerings amid a still-cautious spending environment. Management has emphasized that customers remain highly responsive to compelling deals and branded opportunistic products, which continue to differentiate the company from traditional grocers. The retailer’s efforts to rebuild its opportunistic merchandise pipeline, improve product flow and sharpen value perception may have helped sustain customer traffic trends during the quarter. The company’s ongoing store refresh initiatives are likely to have contributed positively to first-quarter trends. Management highlighted encouraging customer feedback and better operational execution in refreshed locations, with remodeled stores showing improved shopping experiences and stronger engagement levels. Efforts to simplify store operations, improve inventory management tools and enhance reporting capabilities for independent operators likely supported better in-store execution. These initiatives may have helped stores remain competitive while reinforcing Grocery Outlet’s treasure-hunt shopping appeal. On the flip side, Grocery Outlet is likely to have faced pressure from a challenging consumer environment and softer basket trends during the first quarter. Management acknowledged that affordability concerns remained elevated for its core customer base, while the broader grocery landscape stayed highly promotional. We expect first-quarter comparable-store sales to decline 2.2%. The company has been working through assortment and supply-chain challenges tied to balancing everyday in-stock levels with the opportunistic products that drive larger baskets a...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-07POST's Q2 Earnings Coming Up: Key Insights for Investors
Zacks
POST's Q2 Earnings Coming Up: Key Insights for Investors
Post Holdings, Inc. POST is set to unveil its second-quarter fiscal 2026 results on May 7, after market close. Investors are eager to see if the company can beat market expectations. Post Holdings, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Post Holdings, Inc. Quote The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $2.1 billion, implying 5.6% growth from the prior year. Meanwhile, the consensus mark for earnings per share has been unchanged at $1.64 over the past seven days, suggesting 16.3% growth from the year-ago period. POST has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 19.6%, on average. Post Holdings’ fiscal second-quarter 2026 performance is likely to have benefited from continued strength in its Foodservice segment, supported by resilient demand for value-added egg products and favorable customer trends. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Foodservice net sales is pegged at $633 million, indicating growth of 4.1% from the year-ago reported figure. At its first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings call, management highlighted that customer inventory reloads had largely been completed and indicated confidence in sustaining normalized growth trends in the future. Foodservice may have continued to benefit from its labor-saving value proposition, as operators shift toward value-added egg offerings to reduce labor needs. Within Post Consumer Brands, the pet food business is likely to have witnessed some benefit from tested price points. Additionally, expanding private-label offerings in dinner sides, including mashed potatoes and macaroni & cheese, are expected to have supported volumes while improving capacity utilization across the network. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for net sales in the Post Consumer Brands segment is pegged at $1,059 million, indicating 7.2% growth from the year-ago reported figure. POST may have had some operational benefit from productivity initiatives and cost-saving actions within its cereal operations, though management said the main benefits from cereal plant closures should flow through the profit-and-loss statement starting in the third quarter and fourth quarter of fiscal 2026. However, some headwinds are likely to have persisted during the quarter. Management previously noted that Foodservice inventory-related benefits would normalize sequentially following the strong first quarter. In addition, cereal category trends are likel...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-01Why Is Lamb Weston (LW) Up 10.7% Since Last Earnings Report?
Zacks
Why Is Lamb Weston (LW) Up 10.7% Since Last Earnings Report?
It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Lamb Weston (LW). Shares have added about 10.7% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500. Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Lamb Weston due for a pullback? Well, first let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the recent catalysts for Lamb Weston before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late. Lamb Weston reported solid third-quarter fiscal 2026 results, wherein both top and bottom lines beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate. While net sales increased, earnings decreased from the year-ago period’s actuals. LW’s adjusted earnings were 72 cents, down 37% year over year, due to reduced adjusted gross profit and elevated adjusted selling, general and administrative (SG&A), partially offset by reduced income tax expense. However, the bottom line beats the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 61 cents. Net sales amounted to $1,564.8 million, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,485 million. The top line increased $44.3 million or 3% year over year. On a constant-currency basis, sales were flat, as solid 7% volume growth was outweighed by a 7% drop in price/mix. Volume growth was driven by North America customer wins, share gains and retention. The decrease in price/mix reflects continued customer support through pricing and trade actions, as well as a shift in consumer demand toward value-oriented channels and brands. This includes increased sales to chain customers, which typically carry lower pricing. Adjusted gross profit fell $92.9 million from the prior year, landing at $327.5 million, with weaker price/mix serving as the main drag and a $32.5 million pre-tax charge related to the write-off of excess raw potatoes in the International segment, due to lower-than-expected sales volumes amid weak market demand. Adjusted SG&A expenses rose by $9.4 million year over year to $157.4 million. Although ongoing cost savings initiatives delivered benefits, these were more than offset by normalized performance-based compensation and benefit accruals, as well as $12.7 million in write-offs of capitalized costs related to discontinued projects. Adjusted EBITDA decreased $101.3 million year over year, reaching $271.7 million. This decline was due to reduced adjusted gross profit and elevate...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-30Starboard Urges Lamb Weston Board to Host Investor Day, Reset Earnings
MT Newswires
Starboard Urges Lamb Weston Board to Host Investor Day, Reset Earnings
Lamb Weston (LW) shareholder Starboard Value said in a letter to the board Thursday that the company
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-04JPMorgan Says Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) Q3 Results Were Better Than Feared
Insider Monkey
JPMorgan Says Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) Q3 Results Were Better Than Feared
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:LW) is one of the 10 Best Stocks That Beat Earnings Estimates. On April 1, 2026, JPMorgan said Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:LW) delivered a Q3 EPS beat, driven by stronger-than-expected performance in North America that offset international weakness, higher interest expense, and tax impacts. The firm described the results as “better than feared,” noting the company narrowed its full-year EBITDA guidance while raising the midpoint, signaling stabilization in North America alongside more predictable international pressures. JPMorgan maintained a Neutral rating on the shares. Earlier that day, Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:LW) reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 72c versus 61c consensus, with revenue of $1.56B compared to $1.49B consensus. CEO Mike Smith said the quarter was supported by continued strength in North America and disciplined execution, while highlighting ongoing efforts to align supply and demand and manage a competitive international environment. The company narrowed its FY26 revenue outlook to $6.45B-$6.55B from $6.35B-$6.55B versus $6.53B consensus and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $1.08B-$1.14B from $1B-$1.2B. Lamb Weston also expects $400M in capex and said its outlook reflects currency benefits, tariff impacts, ongoing disruption in parts of the Middle East, and the inclusion of a 53rd week in fiscal 2026. Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:LW) produces and markets frozen potato products globally. While we acknowledge the potential of LW as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: 33 Stocks That Should Double in 3 Years and Cathie Wood 2026 Portfolio: 10 Best Stocks to Buy. Disclosure: None. Follow Insider Monkey on Google News.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-02Lamb Weston's Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Sales Rise 3% Y/Y
Zacks
Lamb Weston's Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Sales Rise 3% Y/Y
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. LW reported solid third-quarter fiscal 2026 results, wherein both top and bottom lines beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate. While net sales increased, earnings decreased from the year-ago period’s actuals. LW’s adjusted earnings were 72 cents, down 37% year over year, due to reduced adjusted gross profit and elevated adjusted selling, general and administrative (SG&A), partially offset by reduced income tax expense. However, the bottom line beats the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 61 cents. Lamb Weston price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Lamb Weston Quote Net sales amounted to $1,564.8 million, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,485 million. The top line increased $44.3 million or 3% year over year. On a constant-currency basis, sales were flat, as solid 7% volume growth was outweighed by a 7% drop in price/mix. Volume growth was driven by North America customer wins, share gains and retention. The decrease in price/mix reflects continued customer support through pricing and trade actions, as well as a shift in consumer demand toward value-oriented channels and brands. This includes increased sales to chain customers, which typically carry lower pricing. Our model suggested a volume increase of 3.4% in the quarter. Adjusted gross profit fell $92.9 million from the prior year, landing at $327.5 million, with weaker price/mix serving as the main drag and a $32.5 million pre-tax charge related to the write-off of excess raw potatoes in the International segment, due to lower-than-expected sales volumes amid weak market demand. Adjusted SG&A expenses rose by $9.4 million year over year to $157.4 million. Although ongoing cost savings initiatives delivered benefits, these were more than offset by normalized performance-based compensation and benefit accruals, as well as $12.7 million in write-offs of capitalized costs related to discontinued projects. Adjusted EBITDA decreased $101.3 million year over year, reaching $271.7 million. This decline was due to reduced adjusted gross profit and elevated adjusted SG&A. Net sales for the North America segment, which covers customers in the United States, Canada and Mexico, increased 5% to $1,035 million compared with the prior-year quarter. Volume rose 12%, driven by customer contract wins, share gains and continued growth. The segment’s price/mix declined 7%, reflecting ongoing price and t...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-02Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (LW) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Growth Amidst Global ...
GuruFocus.com
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (LW) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Growth Amidst Global ...
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Net Sales: Increased 3%, including a $47 million benefit from foreign currency translation. Volume Growth: Increased 7%, led by North America with 12% growth. Price/Mix: Declined 7% at constant currency. Adjusted EBITDA: Declined $101 million to $272 million. Adjusted Gross Profit: Declined $93 million. Cash from Operations: $596 million, up $110 million versus last year. Free Cash Flow: $39 million year-to-date, an increase of $417 million year over year. Capital Expenditures: $257 million in the first three quarters, down $307 million from last year. Net Debt: $3.9 billion, with a net debt to adjusted EBITDA leverage ratio of 3.4 times. Dividend and Share Repurchases: $205 million returned to shareholders, including $155 million in cash dividends and $50 million of stock repurchases. Fiscal 2026 Guidance: Net sales expected in the range of $6.45 billion to $6.55 billion; Adjusted EBITDA expected to be in the range of $1.08 billion to $1.14 billion. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 5 Warning Signs with LW. Is LW fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: April 01, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (NYSE:LW) reported a fifth consecutive quarter of in-line or better results, demonstrating consistent performance. The North America segment showed strong sales performance with 12% volume growth and 5% net sales growth, driven by customer wins, share gains, and strong retention. The company achieved $100 million in cost savings for fiscal 2026, ahead of its program target, and is on track to exceed its $250 million target by fiscal year-end 2028. Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (NYSE:LW) has improved its customer partnerships, resulting in higher retention rates and new customer acquisitions. The company has a strong cash flow generation, with $596 million generated from operations in the first three quarters of fiscal 2026, up $110 million from the previous year. The international segment faced challenges due to a significant surplus in the European potato market, leading to softer demand and increased competitive export dynamics. Adjusted EBITDA declined by $101 million compared to the previous year, primarily due to unfavorable price/mix and higher fixed factory absorption costs. The company announc...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-01Lamb Weston (LW) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
Zacks
Lamb Weston (LW) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
Lamb Weston (LW) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.72 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.61 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.1 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +18.42%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this frozen foods supplier would post earnings of $0.67 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.69, delivering a surprise of +2.99%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times. Lamb Weston, which belongs to the Zacks Food - Miscellaneous industry, posted revenues of $1.56 billion for the quarter ended February 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.40%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $1.52 billion. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Lamb Weston shares have added about 0.9% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's decline of 4.6%. While Lamb Weston has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Lamb Weston was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (...
TranscriptFY2026 Q32026-04-01FY2026 Q3 earnings call transcript
Earnings source - 95 paragraphs
FY2026 Q3 earnings call transcript
Good day, and welcome to the Lamb Weston third quarter 2026 earnings call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Debbie Hancock, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Good morning, and thank you for joining us for Lamb Weston's third quarter fiscal 2026 earnings call. I'm Debbie Hancock, Lamb Weston's Vice President of Investor Relations. Earlier today, we issued our press release and posted slides that we will use for our discussion today. You can find both on our website, lambweston.com. Please note that during our remarks, we will make forward-looking statements about the company's expected performance that are based on our current expectations. Actual results may differ materially due to risks and uncertainties. Please refer to the cautionary statements and risk factors contained in our SEC filings for more details on our forward-looking statements. Some of today's remarks include non-GAAP financial measures. These non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered a replacement for and should be read together with our GAAP results.
You can find the GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliations in our earnings release and the appendix to our presentations. Joining me today are Mike Smith, our President and CEO, and Bernadette Madarieta, our Chief Financial Officer. Mike and Bernadette will provide prepared remarks, and they will be available to take your questions. Let me now turn the call over to Mike.
Thank you, Debbie. Good morning, and thank you for joining us today. I want to start by thanking the Lamb Weston team around the world for their hard work in what continues to be a dynamic market. Their expertise, disciplined execution, and willingness to embrace change and act with urgency have been instrumental in the progress we are making. In the third quarter, we delivered another solid performance, the fifth quarter in a row of in line or better results, demonstrating that we continue to do what we said we would do. This strength supports our updated fiscal 2026 outlook, including a tighter guidance range and a higher midpoint of net sales and EBITDA.
This was led by ongoing momentum and a strong sales performance in our North America business, where customer wins, share gains, and strong retention delivered 12% volume growth and 5% net sales growth in the segment. Over the past year, we have made considerable progress in this business across our operations and most importantly, with our customers. This has enabled us to grow while restaurant traffic and consumer sentiment have been soft. Overall, QSR traffic was up 1% in the third quarter. Bernadette will speak to this in more detail. In North America, our focus this year was on strengthening our customer partnerships and consistently executing. We finished our customer contracting season with a higher retention rate and solid new customer acquisition. At our production facilities, we've delivered improvement in our run rates and core operational KPIs.
We are generating cost savings ahead of plan across our business, and our employee engagement scores have improved significantly. Our international business, as expected, was challenged by an evolving market environment resulting from a significant surplus in the European potato market due to expanded potato acreage and a robust crop of potatoes during the last growing season, local sourcing in developing regions such as Middle East, China, and India, which is affecting exports from Europe to those markets, and persistently lower restaurant traffic in key countries. We are taking decisive actions to manage our business in the near term and protect profitability. During the third quarter, we announced the closure of our Munro, Argentina plant and consolidated production from the Latin America region in our new modern Mar del Plata, Argentina facility.
As we'd previously announced, we began temporarily curtailing a production line in the Netherlands at the beginning of the fourth quarter. Further, the company doesn't plan to resume production in one of its previously curtailed Australia locations. While we believe the competitive backdrop in certain international markets may result in less capacity expansion than was anticipated, we are focused on controlling what we can control, acting with urgency across the company, and being disciplined in our capital investments. It has been a year since I joined you for my first earnings call as CEO. Over that time, we have taken significant actions to improve our performance. We developed and in July began executing our Focus to Win strategy to drive targeted decision-making and actions. This strategy is a departure from Lamb Weston's previous focus on growth and scale.
Instead, we are taking a more thoughtful approach to where we are geographically and from a capability perspective, positioned to win long term, including where our customer proposition is strongest, and making sure any investments we make are evaluated through this customer and return-centric framework. As we near a year working with this paradigm, the changes are significant and inform our decision-making and how we compete for business on a daily basis. As part of these efforts, we set a target of $250 million in cost savings by fiscal year-end 2028. Our first goal was to achieve $100 million in savings in fiscal 2026. As of the end of third quarter, we have already delivered on those full year savings and are tracking ahead of our program target.
These savings have afforded us the opportunity to make selective investments in support of our customers. We believe these targeted reinvestments have been the right long-term choice for our business and have been particularly powerful as they are paired with the improvements we have made in execution to deliver higher consistency and quality for customers and our continued commitment to product innovation. Altogether, these have combined to drive substantial improvement in our positioning with customers, which is reflected both in strengthened retention and new customer acquisition. To be clear, the actions we have taken and will continue to take on cost and capital deployment opportunities are structural. As we move forward, we believe they make us a more competitive organization while also positioning us for improved operating leverage in a more favorable price mix environment.
We are also evaluating additional opportunities for improvement and savings across the organization, the details of which we will share in the future. Perhaps most importantly, we believe we are just getting started. Our new Executive Chair, Jan Craps, brings extensive experience and an intense focus on operating execution from his time at AB InBev. Jan is highly focused on helping us evaluate opportunities to improve in international markets, whose experience in a leading global company is providing valuable perspective on how to navigate a dynamic environment. We will also soon welcome Jim Gray, our incoming CFO, who will bring an additional fresh perspective to our work. We also have a refreshed board with seven new members since July with expertise in food, consumer goods, agriculture, supply chain, and finance. This group is focused on improving performance, driving better returns on capital, and driving long-term shareholder value creation.
As I have said before, business turnarounds are not linear, but nine months into Focus to Win, we are making clear progress against our key business objectives. We have significantly improved our position with customers. We are improving our North America operations and are controlling the controllables internationally in a dynamic market while we work to deliver on the cornerstone of our strategy, prioritizing markets and channels. With that, let me get to some specifics to illustrate the progress we are making. First, strengthening customer partnerships is central to executing our strategy. We've made meaningful progress in deepening and strengthening our relationships with customers this past year. As part of the analysis we did last year, we evaluated and streamlined our U.S. commercial go-to-market strategy and structure.
Importantly, our direct sales team has positively impacted our selling on the street, including execution of pricing and working through challenges directly with customers. This is a key market differentiator and a core component of our customer partnership model. Our team is 100% focused on fries in the attractive financial role that they serve our customers. We have also augmented our direct team with a broker model in key channels where we saw this to be the most efficient way to immediately accelerate our near-term competitiveness. Second, in our achieving executional excellence pillar, we are focused on continuing to build an agile and best-in-class supply chain that allows us to operate efficiently and consistently while balancing supply and demand. This includes curtailing production when needed, closing production facilities that don't meet our customer and efficiency standards, and restarting production seamlessly, as we did in North America.
Finally, within our efforts to set the pace for innovation, I want to highlight Grown in Idaho brand. We invested in a landmark category study highlighting how consumers think, feel, and shop for frozen potatoes. This work led to a reinforcement of the Grown in Idaho brand essence. As a result, we are launching a new brand positioning that is rooted in real and created for people who value where their food comes from. Shortly, you'll begin to see this brand show up on shelf with new packaging and a new clear message tied to Made with Real Idaho Potatoes. Moving to slide eight, as you know, over the past several months, we were engaged in contract negotiations for the 2026 potato crop. In North America, contract negotiations are nearly complete.
Overall, we expect a low to mid-single-digit percent decline in raw potato price in the aggregate and have largely secured the targeted number of acres across our primary growing regions. Planting is on schedule for the early potato varieties, and we expect planting for the main harvest to be completed by the end of April. In Europe, fixed price contract negotiations for 2026 crop are underway and progressing as planned. Based on our current indications, overall pricing is pointing toward a mid-teen percent decline in our contracted agreements from 2025. Fixed price contract planning across the European growing regions will continue through the end of April. We will provide our customary update on the outlook for the North American and European potato crops when we report fourth quarter earnings in July.
In addition, we do not currently anticipate a material impact from recent fuel and fertilizer inflation to impact our fiscal 2026. In closing, our Focus to Win strategy is taking hold. Our focus is solidly on our customers as we strive to strengthen our partnerships around the world. It is on executing exceptionally well and delivering on our cost savings work. We are identifying and driving opportunities created from heightened accountability around our goals and by building a culture of continuous improvement in cost and capital management, agility, and improving our capital efficiency. I will now turn the call over to Bernadette to review the quarter and our outlook.
Thank you, Mike, and good morning, everyone. I'm starting on slide 11. Third quarter net sales increased 3%, including a $47 million benefit from foreign currency translation. On a constant currency basis, net sales were essentially flat with last year. Volume increased 7%, led by solid execution in North America, including customer wins, share gains, and strong retention. This more than offset softer demand in key markets in our international segment. Price mix declined 7% at constant currency, reflecting the targeted investments in our customers for price and trade support that Mike mentioned earlier.
Adverse product mix as consumers shift towards value-oriented channels and brands and chain restaurants, which typically carry lower prices and softer industry demand in key international markets, as well as increased competitive export dynamics, which most notably affected our EMEIA business. Let me provide context on what we are seeing in traffic trends.
In the U.S., QSR traffic turned positive for the first time since late fiscal 2024, up 1% for the quarter. QSR burger traffic grew in February, although it was down 1% for the full quarter. QSR chicken remained a bright spot with continued growth. Internationally, most markets saw low single-digit declines in restaurant traffic. In the U.K., our largest international market, QSR traffic declined approximately 1%, showing improvement versus recent quarters. Looking at our segments, North America net sales increased 5%. Volume increased 12%, driven by recent customer contract wins, share gains, and strong retention across our customer base, as well as the relatively lower volume comparisons this quarter last year. Price mix declined 7%, with roughly half of the decline coming from price and trade support.
The remaining half reflects mix as growth with both new and legacy chain customers continues and as consumers shift from branded to private label products. In our international segment, net sales declined 1%, including a $44 million benefit from foreign currency. At constant currency, net sales declined 9%. Volume declined 2%, primarily due to softer demand in key markets and a more challenging comparison. Last year, third quarter volume grew 12%. Outside of EMEIA, volume grew in China and Latin America, and year-to-date volume is up across every region outside of EMEIA. Price mix declined 7% at constant currency, reflecting price and trade support for customers, an unfavorable geographic and customer mix as lower price regions and customers are growing. We also expect some impact from the conflict in the Middle East and excess international capacity remains a factor.
We'll continue managing these dynamics with a disciplined approach. On Slide 12, adjusted EBITDA declined $101 million compared to last year to $272 million. Adjusted gross profit declined $93 million. The primary drivers were unfavorable price mix, a $33 million net pre-tax charge to write off excess raw potatoes in the international segment due to lower than planned sales and a stronger than expected crop yield, and higher fixed factory absorption costs in Europe and Latin America as underutilized production facilities carried higher costs. Finally, a year-over-year headwind. Last year, we realized the benefit of processing directly from the field in the third quarter. This quarter, given lower inventory levels, we realized the benefit beginning in the second quarter, which created a tougher comparison against last year's unusually strong third quarter gross margin.
These headwinds were partially offset by higher sales volumes, benefits from our cost savings initiatives, and improved operating efficiencies in North America. Input costs, excluding raw potato prices, increased year-over-year, driven by tariffs, edible oils, notably canola oil, as well as increased fuel power and water, labor, and transportation costs. As Mike mentioned, we expect potato input costs to decline in the upcoming crop year. Most of our tariff exposure relates to imported palm oil. Recent trade agreements eliminated that tariff, which is a positive development for our cost structure going forward. We will see some tariff expense in the fourth quarter as we sell through existing inventory that was purchased before the change. In the third quarter, we recognized approximately $4 million of tariff expenses, and unless the agreements change, we don't expect to incur this cost after the fourth quarter. Turning to SG&A.
Adjusted SG&A increased $9 million versus last year. The cost savings we delivered in the quarter were more than offset by normalized compensation and benefit accruals tied to performance achievement, along with the write-off of $13 million of capitalized costs from projects no longer under development. To help show these dynamics and the underlying drivers of SG&A performance, turn to Slide 13, which outlines SG&A trends and the actions underway. In the last year, we reviewed our SG&A efficiency, including input from outside advisors. Building on that work, we developed targeted action plans to reduce SG&A through our cost savings program that will continue to drive improvement over time. As a reminder, adjusted SG&A includes several strategic items, revenue-linked advertising and promotion, royalties from growing our retail business, miscellaneous income and expense items such as asset write-downs, and non-cash depreciation and amortization.
Revenue-linked expenses have remained relatively flat as a percent of sales, while amortization has increased as we've implemented new cloud-based and ERP platforms. Adjusted SG&A as a percentage of sales peaked in fiscal 2023, driven largely by the European joint venture consolidation and ERP implementation costs that were incurred ahead of go-live. On a normalized basis, excluding amortization, asset impairments, and normalizing incentives that was a one-time payout, fiscal 2023 SG&A as a percentage of sales was 8.5%. Since then, we have taken action to streamline our cost structure. SG&A now stands at 7.8%, a 70 basis point improvement versus fiscal 2023 and about 70 basis points above the 7.1% level we saw in fiscal 2019 before COVID and our major global expansions. The increase relative to 2019 primarily reflects investments to enhance our IT capabilities.
While we've made meaningful SG&A progress, we continue to identify and execute against additional SG&A efficiency opportunities within the framework of our cost savings program. We will provide an update on our plans and progress as we proceed. Turning to segment EBITDA on slide 14. In the North America segment, adjusted EBITDA declined 4% or $13 million-$290 million. This was fully driven by customer price trade support and mix, while the underlying fundamentals of the business, volume growth, lower manufacturing cost per pound, and lower segment SG&A partially offset the increase in price mix. In our International segment, adjusted EBITDA declined $76 million-$19 million, primarily reflecting lower sales, namely in Europe, where restaurant traffic and softer exports from excess industry capacity remains challenging.
Higher manufacturing cost per pound, including the $33 million net pre-tax charge to write off excess raw potatoes, higher fixed factory burden from underutilized production facilities in Europe and Latin America, and input cost inflation outside of raw potatoes. To mitigate these headwinds, we took the actions Mike spoke about to temporarily curtail production of a line in the Netherlands and permanently close a production facility in Argentina. These impacts were also partially offset by our cost savings initiatives. Turning to the balance sheet and cash flow, slide 15 summarizes the strong cash flow generation that continues to support our strategic and financial priorities. Cash generation has improved meaningfully this year. Through the first three quarters of fiscal 2026, we generated $596 million of cash from operations. That's up $110 million versus last year.
This improvement reflects strong working capital execution, driven primarily by lower inventories in North America and to a lesser extent, the timing of accounts receivable collections. Our focus on execution and capital stewardship enabled us to deliver $339 million year to date in free cash flow, an increase of $417 million year-over-year. Capital expenditures were $257 million in the first three quarters, down $307 million from last year. We now estimate full year cash spend to be approximately $400 million, aligned with our focus on maintenance, modernization, and environmental projects. Our liquidity remains strong. We ended the quarter with approximately $1.3 billion of liquidity.
Net debt was $3.9 billion, and our net debt to adjusted EBITDA leverage ratio was 3.4x on a trailing 12-month basis, consistent with last year's third quarter and aligned with our balance sheet priorities. Turning to slide 16. We remain committed to returning cash to our shareholders through our dividend and opportunistic share repurchases. During the first three quarters of the year, we returned $205 million to shareholders, including $155 million in cash dividends and $50 million of stock repurchases. We did not repurchase shares during the third quarter. After the quarter ended, however, and through March 30, we have repurchased approximately $43 million of stock, or 1.1 million shares at a weighted average price of $41.50 under a 10b5-1 trading plan.
Earlier this week, the board approved the next quarterly dividend of $0.38 per share payable on June 5. Turning to our outlook on slide 17. We are raising the low end of our net sales guidance and increasing the midpoint. We currently expect net sales in the range of $6.45 billion-$6.55 billion, including an approximate 1.8% foreign exchange benefit, or about $95 million year-to-date. Adjusted EBITDA is now expected to be in the range of $1.08 billion-$1.14 billion, which includes our current assessment of the additional risk associated with the ongoing Middle East conflict. In North America, we expect high single-digit volume growth in the second half, which also includes the benefit of an additional week of sales in the fourth quarter.
As I noted earlier, third quarter growth was elevated because we were lapping an unusually low quarter last year. In our international segment, full year volumes are still expected to grow. However, we anticipate year-over-year declines in the second half as we lap unusually strong performance last year and as the fourth quarter is further pressured by the evolving conflict in the Middle East. For reference, sales to the Middle East represent the high single-digit percentage of the international segment volume year-to-date. Price mix in the fourth quarter will remain unfavorable at constant currency. We expect the price declines to moderate slightly in the quarter, supported in part by the recent price increase we implemented in early March to offset inflation. The price increase affects our non-contracted North American business.
On mix, we assume ongoing pressure to persist for now, reflecting continued growth with chain restaurant customers and a shift toward private label offerings with retail customers. In our international segment, we expect to continue to face headwinds from the dynamics we've discussed. Adjusted gross margin is expected to decline seasonally in the fourth quarter, down 250-300 basis points from the third quarter's 20.9%, including our current estimate of the potential impact from the conflict in the Middle East. Adjusted SG&A continues to benefit from our cost savings initiatives. In the fourth quarter, SG&A dollars are expected to increase slightly from the third quarter, due primarily to an extra week of expenses as well as incremental innovation and technology investments. We expect a full year tax rate of approximately 28% with fourth quarter in the mid-teens.
The full year tax rate includes approximately $20 million of adjusted tax impact from losses in jurisdictions where we do not expect to receive tax benefits. We now anticipate full year depreciation and amortization of approximately $395 million, compared with the prior estimate of $390 million. The team continues to execute well in what remains a dynamic environment. We are entering the final quarter with a strong balance sheet, disciplined cost management, and a sharp focus on operational performance. Before I hand it over, I do want to acknowledge the leadership transition. This is my final call as CFO, with Jim stepping into the role tomorrow. I'm fully committed to ensuring a smooth transition, and I'm incredibly proud of the work this team delivers every day. With that, I'll turn it over to Mike.
Thank you, Bernadette. As we shared today, we are committed to doing what we say we will do, recognizing that the environment is evolving quickly. North America is executing well and we continue to have room to grow that business. Internationally, we are taking actions to manage our costs and position us in a fluid market. Our international focus is fortified with Jan being on board. Finally, we are remaining disciplined in our capital investments in evolving Lamb Weston into a business that can enjoy strong and growing returns on capital. Before we turn the call over to Q&A, I wanna thank Bernadette. During her time with the company, she has been a dedicated partner and leader, including the past five years as CFO during a period of tremendous change in our industry. We appreciate all she has contributed to Lamb Weston and wish her continued success moving forward.
We are now happy to take your questions.
If you would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star one on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. Again, press star one to ask a question. We'll take our first question from Tom Palmer with JPMorgan.
Good morning, thanks for the question. Maybe could just start out asking on utilization rates. I know you've done a lot of work in terms of your plant footprint here over the last several quarters, including the updates today internationally. So U.S., I think you had the new lines or the previously shuttered lines ramping back up. You know, where do you sit in terms of ideal rates there? Then with all the actions you're taking internationally, is that gonna get you into kind of more that targeted, you know, 90%+ range? Thanks.
I appreciate the question, Tom. Overall in North America, we're in the low 90s% with some of the adjustments that we've made. To your point, we're excited that we've been able to bring back online some of those previously curtailed lines. That allows us to be more flexible with our customers to make sure that we deliver for our customers at those high fill rates moving forward. I will tell you, though, it also allows us to be more thoughtful about the volume that we bring on board and moving forward. When I look at the international business, we've curtailed some lines. We've closed the Munro facility down in Argentina and moved that volume into the Mar del Plata facility.
We'll continue to evaluate kinda based on supply and demand and the outlook of the business. I will tell you it's a little not all of our plants make the same items, so they have different technologies and different capabilities, so it's not as easy as just turning off one line and bringing another one back on. We wanna make sure that we're delivering the right capabilities to our customers as they expect from Lamb Weston moving forward.
Okay. Thank you. On the pricing environment in Europe, I know it's hard to be overly specific. I think there's kinda two nuances this year. One is just the competitive environment, generally. I think secondarily, spot potatoes, as I understand it, are really cheap.
That is causing some maybe heightened pressure given you guys contracting in terms of margin. When we think about next year and the 15% decrease, if that's how the industry is buying or I guess trying to think more like, do you get more on a even scale with the industry next year is how you look at it, and maybe we could see more of a margin recovery on that basis.
Yeah. You know, it's a combination of multiple factors. It's the capacity imbalance that we're seeing in Europe, it's slower demand and it is that potato crop. When you think about capacity in Europe, it's not only excess capacity in Europe, but it's also they typically would export to markets like the Middle East, China and India, and there's been some new capacity that's there. There's also the restaurant traffic softness that we're seeing across Europe. To your point, the third element of that is the crop. Now, the great thing about our business is each year you have a reset on that crop. Typically in Europe, we will contract in that 70%-80% range of fixed price contracts.
The other kind of 20%-25% range is in open price contracts. With the reset for this year, we are contracting less acres, and we believe that based on the demand in the market, the rest of the growers will be doing the same thing.
Okay. Thank you.
If you find that your question has been answered, you may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star two. We'll go to our next question with Peter Galbo with Bank of America.
Hey, Mike, Bernadette. Good morning.
Morning.
Peter.
Hey, good morning. Mike, my first question is on just North America price mix. There's a few, you know, moving pieces there I think as we get through Q4 and into next year. You know, the mix headwind I think from more chain, but then you mentioned today I think a March price increase. Then with potato costs kind of being, you know, deflationary in North America for this summer.
I just wanna kind of gauge, you know, as we get through the first half of next fiscal year where pricing is kind of set, just the risk that we continue to kind of see slippage in price mix maybe into the back half of 2027 and beyond, just given the, you know, some of the factors that we're outlining today.
A few things, Peter, on that. You know, our expectation is that we're gonna continue to have some price mix pressure into fiscal 2027. Obviously, with those decisions that we made around pricing in the current fiscal year, we'll have that lapping effect into fiscal 2027. We do see price mix moderating, including some of the benefits of the actions that you talked about. Keep in mind that, you know, we see inflation, and we've had inflation over the last several years outside of potatoes, and we need to make sure that we do the best we can to cover that.
You know, we'll provide guidance on fiscal 2027, like we normally do, with our Q4 earnings, and we'll be able to give more clarity on what that might look like, for fiscal 2027 at that time.
Okay. Thanks for that, Mike. If I go to the reduced CapEx guidance, I think you talked a bit more about maintenance CapEx. Thinking back a few years ago, even to the Investor Day, there was discussion around not just capacity expansion, but some kind of elevated structural CapEx for things like wastewater treatment. Like, have you been able to mitigate a lot of maybe what some of those structural step-ups would be? Are those no longer kind of in play? I'm just trying to understand, you know, the $100 million decline with a quarter to go, and then maybe how we might think about that kinda going forward.
Yeah. I think just as a reminder, obviously, we were spending a lot on capital when we were doing the greenfield expansions, and obviously, we have enough capacity in our footprint and don't need that spend. You know, I'd say what you're seeing right now is a reflection of that disciplined decision-making. We'll continue to have those environmental wastewater capitals. We have to do that as regulations change in some of the states in which we operate. We're really trying to manage our capital spending and make sure that we make the right decisions that have strong returns. That being said, there is some timing elements to some of the capital this year that'll flow into next year.
We'll come back next quarter, and we'll talk about what that fiscal 2027 looks like.
Yeah. Peter, just to confirm, we have spent the $100 million that we anticipated spending on environmental expenditures this year, so we are on the path of spending those environmental expenditures over that five-year plan that we had laid out.
Okay. Very clear. Thanks, guys.
Once again, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. We'll take our next question from Matt Smith with Stifel.
Hi, good morning. Mike, I wanted to pick back up on the North America top-line comment. Volumes were quite strong in the quarter and accelerated on a sequential basis. As you exit this year, can you talk about the volume trajectory based on recent business wins and share gains? With the utilization rate back in the low 90s% and QSR traffic sequentially improving, do you take your... You know, do you de-emphasize going after volume to improve your leverage at this point and get more choiceful about volume? Just how does that play out as you look forward over the next year or so?
Yeah, I appreciate the question, Matt. You know, we've been focused on driving those customer partnerships, and that's really focused on the quality, the consistency, innovation and value, and making sure that our customers are getting the product on time and in full when they need them. The great thing that I'm seeing across our organization is we're really creating a culture throughout our organization of putting that customer first, regardless of what function that you're in. Obviously, we've made some great improvements with those customers, and we're seeing the volume flow through.
As I mentioned, you know, earlier, as that volume continues to come through and we see our utilization rates in more of those normalized ranges, it does allow us to be more thoughtful about the business we pick up and about, you know, how we manage, you know, volume into the future. For sure.
Thank you for that. A follow-up on the inflation and cost outlook. You talked about the fourth quarter seeing continued cost pressure. Are you expecting incremental potato write-offs, or was this a full evaluation of the stock you have and think you've cleared the decks at this point? Meaning the carry-in crop to 2027, your inventory levels will be in a reasonable place. Thank you.
Yeah, you know, we don't anticipate additional raw write-offs. I think the third quarter write-off reflected the current expectation of demand view and what we're seeing for this crop season. You know, we continue to evaluate that based on what we see in the Middle East. As of right now, we don't anticipate any additional write-offs based on where the demand's flowing and the best estimates of our business.
Appreciate that. I'll pass it on.
We'll go next to Robert Moskow with TD Cowen.
Hey, thanks. Maybe if you could give any kind of an update on what you're seeing in North America competitors' supply chain footprint. I think they're coming towards the end of some long-term expansion projects, some of them greenfield. Do you think that those are on track? Are they still ramping at this point, or did they fully ramp, and we don't have to worry about, you know, further capacity coming online for the next 12 months?
Yeah, you know, I can't speak to their production and what our competitors are doing. I know that their facilities are up and running. I'll tell you know, based on the work that we're doing around our customers, we're winning. Our customers are continuing to choose Lamb Weston, and we're seeing that volume growth across our business. You know, overall, we're starting to see some of the price mix moderating, including some of the actions that North America recently took. The teams are winning. I think our utilization rates are getting back to where they need to be in the low 90s%, and that allows us to be very thoughtful about that volume that we take on in the future.
Great. Okay, thank you.
We'll take our next question from Alexia Howard with Bernstein.
Good morning, everyone. Can I just ask to begin with about the potato write-off in Europe. Are there actions that you can take to avoid that happening again by better demand planning? Is that something that we should not anticipate going forward, or is it something that's that continues to be a question mark?
Yeah, it's a good question. Listen, we have made some adjustments in how we're procuring raw in Europe for this next crop season that will, you know, hopefully allow us to be a little bit smarter and give us a little bit more flexibility in that moving forward. I think you've seen that this year in North America. You know, we've procured kind of the right amount of potatoes. We have stronger supply and demand signals and some capabilities internally that are making us stronger and allow us to do a better job of predicting what those demand signals will be in the future.
Great. Thank you. Just to hone back in on North America, obviously, the new customer wins recently have been lower priced private label or chain customers on the restaurant side. Now that the capacity utilization is back up into the 90s%, it sounds as though you can be more selective in who you pick up going forward. Does that mean as we look out into fiscal 2027, we could see positive mix growth, price mix, trends? Or is this the new normal? What gives you the right to win in some of those more profitable accounts that might be out there?
Yeah, you know, Alexia, I think we're probably a little bit too early. We're going through our annual operating plan right now. We'll come back at Q4 and share what that might look like for fiscal 2027. The one thing I do wanna remind the group about is the new business that we've picked up with some of those large chain customers or even some of the private label business in retail in North America, those have been new propositions to the industry. They weren't currently purchasing frozen fries. It has created some mix headwind, but it is new business that just makes the industry stronger overall and fills the capacity that's out there in the marketplace.
Thank you. I'll pass it on.
We'll go next to Scott Marks with Jefferies.
Hey, good morning. Thanks. First thing I wanted to ask about just within North America, if we think about the current 90% utilization rate, how much in the way of other curtailed lines do you currently have in North America? And how much, I guess, incremental capacity do you have available to bring back online?
Should conditions warrant such action.
Yeah, for the most part, we've restarted most of our curtailed lines. You know, this allows us to still have flexibility to meet customer demand, but also, as I've said earlier, just be more thoughtful about that business that we bring on in the future.
Okay, clear on that. As we think about internationally and just some of the dynamics going on across the world, wondering what you can share with us in terms of what you're seeing from competitors in terms of their own capacity or where or how they're choosing business in a different fashion versus what they may have done historically.
Yeah, you know, I can't speculate on what competitors are doing and so forth, or others in the industry. You know, I can tell you the pace of announcements has slowed. We have heard of some short-term industry capacity curtailments, specifically in Europe as they manage through the crop and kind of the slower demand. We think, you know, or we believe that the competitive backdrop in some of these international markets may result in less capacity being built than was maybe previously thought, just given kind of the market or industry dynamics.
Appreciate it, and pass it on.
We'll go next to Marc Torrente with Wells Fargo Securities.
Hi, good morning, and thank you for the questions. I guess first on the cost savings program, you now expect to exceed the prior $250 million target. Maybe any more color on where the incremental savings are coming from, more on the COGS or SG&A side, and where do you think you can get those expense levels to over time?
Yeah, you know, we're on track to exceed the plan, like we talked about even here in fiscal 2026. You know, I'd say we're driving a cultural shift and a different mindset around costs in our organization, and we really have a strong focus on continuous improvement. You know, a lot of that incremental cost savings that you're seeing is actually hitting the cost side, supply chain side of things, more so than any other areas. Obviously, we've identified some additional costs as Jan comes in, does his onboarding, as well as Jim.
Given Jim's gonna be the one who's leading this for our organization, allow them to kinda take a look at where the opportunities are, and at the right time, we'll come back and share what any future cost savings plans might look like.
Okay, great. The topic of portfolio management has been brought up recently. Maybe just more on how you're thinking about your positioning right to win and opportunities in certain regions and I guess general strategic approach going forward. Thanks.
Yeah, you know, obviously, what big piece of our Focus to Win plan is prioritizing markets and channels. We're doing that. You know, as Jan comes in, he has a really strong background in those international markets. He's been the CEO and led organizations in a number of the markets in which we operate in. He's going through his onboarding process right now. You know, he's assessing our different businesses around the globe, and he'll be on the call next quarter and be able to give kinda his perspective and insights in what he's seeing.
We continue to look at our business overall and really focused on what are the markets where we have the right to win long term, and, you know, what adjustments we need to make within our markets to make sure we're successful and drive our business and meet our customers' expectations long term.
We'll go to our last question, Carla Casella with JPMorgan.
Hi. Thanks for taking the question. Your tariff discussion was very helpful. I'm just wondering if you can also talk to the Mideast conflict and the costs you could potentially see in higher transportation or key raw materials and if you're seeing any disruption there on the cost side.
Yeah. I think the impact in the Middle East is ultimately gonna depend on, you know, the length and severity of the conflict. You know, there's three areas of risk that I see in the Middle East. One is obviously lower volumes to the region. I think Bernadette shared in the prepared remarks that the Middle East makes up a high single digit percent of our international segment. Obviously, if volumes or if it becomes a prolonged conflict, that does potentially have some impacts on inventories. You know, for me, as I look at this, it's more around the increased volatility in some of the commodities, you know, things like packaging, fuel, and so forth. That impacts, you know, markets around the globe.
Obviously, we're working through our annual operating plan right now. We'll come back in fiscal or next quarter and talk about what the fiscal 2027 outlook looks like, and communicate at that point what those risks could be. We feel good about the opportunities and the abilities that we have in order to pass through some of those costs as they come through.
Yeah. Mike, the only other thing I would add on the cost side is that as part of our broader risk management framework, we do hedge portions of our key inputs to reduce volatility. Now, that doesn't eliminate all of the price risk, but the combination of our hedging program and diversified sourcing and our commercial agreements gives us that balanced level of protection.
Okay, great. Thank you.
That will conclude our Q&A session. I'll turn the conference back to Debbie Hancock for any additional or closing remarks.
Thank you, Lisa, and thank you to everyone for joining us today. The replay of the call will be available on our website later this afternoon, and I hope everyone has a good rest of your day.
That concludes today's call. Thank you for your participation. You all may disconnect now and have a great day.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-30Lamb Weston Q3 Earnings on the Horizon: Is There a Beat in Store?
Zacks
Lamb Weston Q3 Earnings on the Horizon: Is There a Beat in Store?
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. LW is likely to witness a top and bottom-line decline when it reports third-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings on April 1. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $1.48 billion, indicating a 2.4% drop from the prior-year quarter’s reported figure. The consensus mark for earnings has moved down 2 cents in the past seven days to 61 cents per share. The projection indicates a decrease of 44.6% from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter. LW delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 25.6%, on average. Lamb Weston price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Lamb Weston Quote Lamb Weston is likely to have witnessed continued pressure from unfavorable price/mix dynamics in the fiscal third quarter. Pricing actions and trade investments to support customers are likely to have weighed on realized pricing, while an unfavorable shift toward lower-margin channels and private-label offerings is anticipated to have persisted. Our model indicates a 5.6% decline in price/mix for the third quarter of fiscal 2026. Our model implies that net sales in the North America and International segments are expected to decline 1.2% and 4% year over year, respectively, in the fiscal third quarter. Margins are likely to have remained under pressure in the to-be-reported quarter. Higher manufacturing costs in international markets have been acting as a key drag, particularly due to ramp-up expenses related to the Argentina facility and underutilization in Europe. In addition, the company is likely to have faced continued cost inflation across labor, transportation and utilities. Despite these headwinds, Lamb Weston is likely to have benefited from continued volume momentum, supported by customer wins and strong demand in North America. The company’s cost-savings initiatives are likely to have provided some cushion, while improving operational efficiencies and stable demand trends are anticipated to have supported overall performance in the to-be-reported quarter. Our proven model predicts an earnings beat for Lamb Weston this time. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat, which is exactly the case here. Lamb Weston currently has a Zacks Rank #3 and an Earnings ESP of +6.90%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported wit...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-27Will Lamb Weston (LW) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
Zacks
Will Lamb Weston (LW) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
If you are looking for a stock that has a solid history of beating earnings estimates and is in a good position to maintain the trend in its next quarterly report, you should consider Lamb Weston (LW). This company, which is in the Zacks Food - Miscellaneous industry, shows potential for another earnings beat. This frozen foods supplier has an established record of topping earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. The company boasts an average surprise for the past two quarters of 20.01%. For the last reported quarter, Lamb Weston came out with earnings of $0.69 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.67 per share, representing a surprise of 2.99%. For the previous quarter, the company was expected to post earnings of $0.54 per share and it actually produced earnings of $0.74 per share, delivering a surprise of 37.04%. For Lamb Weston, estimates have been trending higher, thanks in part to this earnings surprise history. And when you look at the stock's positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction), it's a great indicator of a future earnings beat, especially when combined with its solid Zacks Rank. Our research shows that stocks with the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time. In other words, if you have 10 stocks with this combination, the number of stocks that beat the consensus estimate could be as high as seven. The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a version of the Zacks Consensus whose definition is related to change. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. Lamb Weston currently has an Earnings ESP of +6.90%, which suggests that analysts have recently become bullish on the company's earnings prospects. This positive Earnings ESP when combined with the stock's Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) indicates that another beat is possibly around the corner. We expect the company's next earnings report to be released on April 1, 2026. When the Earnings ESP comes up negative, investors should note that this will reduce the predictive power...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-24A Look Back at Shelf-Stable Food Stocks’ Q4 Earnings: Lamb Weston (NYSE:LW) Vs The Rest Of The Pack
StockStory
A Look Back at Shelf-Stable Food Stocks’ Q4 Earnings: Lamb Weston (NYSE:LW) Vs The Rest Of The Pack
Quarterly earnings results are a good time to check in on a company’s progress, especially compared to its peers in the same sector. Today we are looking at Lamb Weston (NYSE:LW) and the best and worst performers in the shelf-stable food industry. As America industrialized and moved away from an agricultural economy, people faced more demands on their time. Packaged foods emerged as a solution offering convenience to the evolving American family, whether it be canned goods or snacks. Today, Americans seek brands that are high in quality, reliable, and reasonably priced. Furthermore, there's a growing emphasis on health-conscious and sustainable food options. Packaged food stocks are considered resilient investments. People always need to eat, so these companies can enjoy consistent demand as long as they stay on top of changing consumer preferences. The industry spans from multinational corporations to smaller specialized firms and is subject to food safety and labeling regulations. The 17 shelf-stable food stocks we track reported a mixed Q4. As a group, revenues were in line with analysts’ consensus estimates. Amidst this news, share prices of the companies have had a rough stretch. On average, they are down 15.1% since the latest earnings results. Best known for its Grown in Idaho brand, Lamb Weston (NYSE:LW) produces and distributes potato products such as frozen french fries and mashed potatoes. Lamb Weston reported revenues of $1.62 billion, up 1.1% year on year. This print exceeded analysts’ expectations by 1.8%. Despite the top-line beat, it was still a mixed quarter for the company with a solid beat of analysts’ organic revenue estimates but full-year EBITDA guidance missing analysts’ expectations. Lamb Weston delivered the weakest full-year guidance update of the whole group. Unsurprisingly, the stock is down 32% since reporting and currently trades at $40.36. Is now the time to buy Lamb Weston? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free. Best known for its milk chocolate bar and Hershey's Kisses, Hershey (NYSE:HSY) is an iconic company known for its chocolate products. Hershey reported revenues of $3.09 billion, up 7% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 3.8%. The business had an exceptional quarter with an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates and full-year EPS guidance exceeding analysts’ expectatio...

