B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
LW
Lamb WestonBNYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
North American volume rose 7% and segment adjusted EBITDA rose 11% in fiscal Q1. Higher utilization and cost savings could support the raised full-year outlook if International losses stabilize.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
Company-wide price/mix fell 2%, while management cited unexpected inflation in key inputs and freight; savings may not fully offset these pressures. SEC-filed earnings release [#SEC-8K-2026-10-06].
Momentum
92
Value
58
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $53.00 · Bull $60.00 · Bear $39.00Analysis 2026-10-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $55.18
Why
Momentum92 · Δ7d +20.5
Value58 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -2.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Company-wide price/mix fell 2%, while management cited unexpected inflation in key inputs and freight; savings may not fully offset these pressures. SEC-filed earnings release [#SEC-8K-2026-10-06].
- • International fiscal Q1 sales declined 8% and segment adjusted EBITDA declined 54%, reflecting weaker volume, factory underutilization and higher manufacturing costs. SEC-filed earnings release [#SEC-8K-2026-10-06].
- • The consolidated adjusted EBITDA decline of 5%, International EBITDA decline of 54%, negative price/mix and management-cited input-cost inflation leave the margin recovery uneven.
Catalyst clock
2027-05-31
Raised fiscal 2027 outlook after first-quarter results
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
92
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+20.5
Δ21d
+64.5
Value
58
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-2.3
Sentiment
50
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.1
Δ21d
-16.7
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 92.0 / Value 58.1 / Sentiment 50.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$53.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$39.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$7.39B
Beta
0.43
Shares Out
137.78M
P/E (TTM)
14.9
P/S (TTM)
0.89
P/FCF (TTM)
13.00
Rev YoY
+5.6%
EPS YoY
-6.6%
Gross Margin
+19.5%
Op Margin
+10.2%
Net Debt
$3.97B
Current Ratio
1.42
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data