B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$160.00
+9.1% vs current
LEA
LearANYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
-1.1% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$118.00
-19.5% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-27
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.6
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+45.6
Score
AI commentary
Primary-source evidence is constructive but not euphoric: Q1 operating results improved and capital returns continued, yet tariff-recovery reversal and pricing pressure keep this in monitoring mode rather than a strong bullish call. The packet does not provide analyst revision data or a reliable post-print price move, so conviction should stay moderate even though recent coverage was directionally positive.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-27
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-01eventQ1 results showed clear EPS, margin, and cash-flow improvementMedium impact
Lear's Q1 2026 net sales were $5.823B, up 5% YoY, diluted EPS was $3.34 vs. $1.49 a year ago, gross margin expanded to 7.7%, and operating cash flow turned positive at $98M; the company also repurchased $75M of stock in the quarter [#10-Q-2026-05-01].
2026-06-30catalystPricing pressure and tariff-recovery reversals cap near-term upsideMedium impact
Q1 growth was partly offset by the reversal of certain 2025 tariff recoveries and selling-price reductions, which keeps near-term upside constrained if OEM volumes soften or pricing pressure persists [#10-Q-2026-05-01].
2026-08-31catalystMargin mix and buybacks can support multi-quarter EPS compoundingMedium impact
Seating margin improved to 6.3% from 5.2% and E-Systems margin to 5.2% from 3.9%, while Lear still had about $700M of remaining repurchase authorization; that combination supports a longer-run EPS and FCF compounding case if OEM production stays stable [#10-Q-2026-05-01].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology