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LEA

LearB
NYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 report showed solid year-over-year growth in revenue, adjusted EPS, core operating earnings, and free cash flow, with improved E-Systems margins, new program awards, and raised 2026 outlook midpoints. Capital returns and the remaining repurchase authorization provide additional support.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Lear notes that customer production contracts generally lack specified quantities and may be terminated, while backlog depends on production, foreign exchange, and launch timing. [#IR-2026-07-31]
Momentum
47
Value
70
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $132.00 · Bull $150.00 · Bear $105.00Analysis 2026-08-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $149.00
Why
Momentum47 · Δ7d +31.4
Value70 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +5.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Lear notes that customer production contracts generally lack specified quantities and may be terminated, while backlog depends on production, foreign exchange, and launch timing. [#IR-2026-07-31]
  • • Lower vehicle production or customer platform volumes could offset new-business growth.
  • • The setup remains cyclical: key-platform production was lower, Seating margins weakened, and management's outlook excludes future tariff and production-disruption impacts.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-31

Q2 results and raised 2026 outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
47
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+31.4
Δ21d
+34.7
Value
70
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
64
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.3
Δ21d
-12.8
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 46.7 / Value 69.9 / Sentiment 64.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-28. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$132.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$105.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$6.16B
Beta
1.31
Shares Out
49.32M
P/E (TTM)
14.8
P/S (TTM)
0.27
P/FCF (TTM)
11.05
Rev YoY
+3.0%
EPS YoY
+24.1%
Gross Margin
+7.0%
Op Margin
+4.1%
Net Debt
$2.46B
Current Ratio
1.31
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data