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Knife RiverA
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2026-08-06
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Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-06

Knife River Corp (KNF) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth Offset by ...

GuruFocus.com
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Release Date: August 04, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Knife River Corp (NYSE:KNF) reported strong operational performance with revenue up 13% year-over-year, driven by record backlog conversion and double-digit volume growth across all product lines. Aggregate pricing increased by 8% on a product mix adjusted basis, and gross profit improved double-digits for both aggregates and asphalt, showcasing effective price optimization. The company's self-help initiatives are yielding results, with aggregate crews lowering variable operating costs by 1% despite inflationary pressures and ready-mix crews improving cubic yards per delivery hour by 12%. Knife River Corp (NYSE:KNF) raised its full-year revenue guidance to $3.4-$3.6 billion and reaffirmed adjusted EBITDA guidance of $520-$560 million, reflecting confidence in the second-half outlook. The acquisition strategy is performing well, with Strata expected to outperform original EBITDA projections by over 15% in 2026, and Texcrete contributing to a 15% increase in ready-mix volumes. Organic investments are creating value, such as the Spokane pre-stress facility securing a substantial contract for a semiconductor facility in Idaho, and the South Dakota rail-served quarry expanding market reach. The company maintains a strong balance sheet, having amended its term loan to lower interest rates and enhance liquidity, with expectations to end 2026 near its long-term net leverage target of 2.5 times. Backlog expanded to $1.2 billion, up approximately $50 million sequentially, reinforcing confidence in future performance and providing visibility into second-half activity. Higher diesel prices drove a $10 million year-over-year cost increase, with only $4 million recouped through fuel surcharges in Q2, impacting adjusted EBITDA. Project timing shifts and weather-related delays in Texas, Hawaii, and Alaska impacted adjusted EBITDA by approximately $10 million, with some volumes pushed into 2027. Market dynamics, including the type and timing of work, reduced contracting services margins by approximately $8 million, as the company performed more lower-margin asphalt paving versus larger general contracting jobs. The company faces competitive bidding pressures, particularly in Oregon, where limited bid lett…Read full document

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Release Date: August 04, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Knife River Corp (NYSE:KNF) reported strong operational performance with revenue up 13% year-over-year, driven by record backlog conversion and double-digit volume growth across all product lines. Aggregate pricing increased by 8% on a product mix adjusted basis, and gross profit improved double-digits for both aggregates and asphalt, showcasing effective price optimization. The company's self-help initiatives are yielding results, with aggregate crews lowering variable operating costs by 1% despite inflationary pressures and ready-mix crews improving cubic yards per delivery hour by 12%. Knife River Corp (NYSE:KNF) raised its full-year revenue guidance to $3.4-$3.6 billion and reaffirmed adjusted EBITDA guidance of $520-$560 million, reflecting confidence in the second-half outlook. The acquisition strategy is performing well, with Strata expected to outperform original EBITDA projections by over 15% in 2026, and Texcrete contributing to a 15% increase in ready-mix volumes. Organic investments are creating value, such as the Spokane pre-stress facility securing a substantial contract for a semiconductor facility in Idaho, and the South Dakota rail-served quarry expanding market reach. The company maintains a strong balance sheet, having amended its term loan to lower interest rates and enhance liquidity, with expectations to end 2026 near its long-term net leverage target of 2.5 times. Backlog expanded to $1.2 billion, up approximately $50 million sequentially, reinforcing confidence in future performance and providing visibility into second-half activity. Higher diesel prices drove a $10 million year-over-year cost increase, with only $4 million recouped through fuel surcharges in Q2, impacting adjusted EBITDA. Project timing shifts and weather-related delays in Texas, Hawaii, and Alaska impacted adjusted EBITDA by approximately $10 million, with some volumes pushed into 2027. Market dynamics, including the type and timing of work, reduced contracting services margins by approximately $8 million, as the company performed more lower-margin asphalt paving versus larger general contracting jobs. The company faces competitive bidding pressures, particularly in Oregon, where limited bid lettings have led contractors to travel to adjacent states, putting downward pressure on margins. Aggregate gross margins were down slightly due to increased delivery volumes and higher fuel costs, with fuel surcharges being dilutive to margins, and the company now expects margin expansion of only ~100 basis points versus a prior target of 200. The company inherited lower-margin legacy projects from recent acquisitions in the mountain segment, which will continue to weigh on contracting services margins through the third quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was flat year-over-year on an as-reported basis, impacted by external headwinds, and the company now guides toward the midpoint of its EBITDA range rather than the upper end. The West segment underperformed, with revenue down 9% due to weakness in Oregon, Hawaii, and Alaska, and the company expects full-year Oregon performance to be slightly below prior expectations. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 10 Warning Sign with IVT. Is KNF fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Q: Can you walk through the impact of prior-year gains on asset sales on Q2 SG&A and adjusted EBITDA optics, and what should we expect in the second half?A: CFO Nathan Ring explained that SG&A was up about $12.5 million in the quarter, largely due to a $10.3 million gain on asset sales in Q2 2025 (notably the Beaumont, Texas property sale) versus only $600,000 this year. Excluding these gains, SG&A costs were actually up just 3.5%. CEO Brian Gray added that on a like-for-like basis, adjusted EBITDA was up 7% year-over-year, with revenue up 13% and double-digit volume and gross profit growth across all product lines, underscoring solid underlying operational performance. Q: Given the first-half headwinds, do you still expect to reach the upper end of your 2026 guidance, and can you level-set on seasonality effects?A: CEO Brian Gray detailed the $24 million in external headwinds: $6 million from energy costs (with $3-4 million expected to be recouped in Q3 via fuel escalators), $10 million from delayed projects (Texas, Hawaii, Alaska) that will largely push into 2027, and $8 million from market dynamics and timing of project incentives. CFO Nathan Ring clarified the company is now guiding toward the midpoint of the adjusted EBITDA range, with approximately 55% of EBITDA expected to be generated in Q3, assuming normal weather and stable energy costs. Q: Should we expect contracting services margins to recover to last year's levels in the second half, or is there still overhang from lower-margin legacy projects?A: CEO Brian Gray confirmed there is some overhang from legacy projects at recent acquisitions (primarily in Utah) that will impact margins in the second half, but this should be offset by recouping diesel costs and performance/quality bonuses on asphalt paving projects. He expects contracting services margins in the second half of 2026 to be in line with the second half of 2025. Q: Can you parse out the energy impact on the aggregates segment, and is the 200 basis point margin expansion target for the year still achievable?A: CEO Brian Gray noted that higher fuel costs impacted aggregate margins, with fuel surcharges covering costs but being dilutive to margins. He stated that while margin improvement is still expected, the 200 basis point target is unlikely; a safer estimate is around 100 basis points for the year, given continued fuel surcharge impacts. He highlighted that variable operating costs in aggregates were down 1% year-to-date despite headwinds, showing the effectiveness of self-help initiatives. Q: Are you having to get more aggressive to win work, and is the competitive backdrop intensifying?A: CEO Brian Gray acknowledged competitive dynamics are pressuring contracting services margins, particularly in Oregon where bid lettings were minimal, causing mobile contractors to travel to adjacent states. However, he emphasized the company made a conscious decision to bid more aggressively on asphalt paving to secure work, knowing it would drive pull-through demand for higher-margin materials, which contributed to double-digit gross profit growth in all upstream product lines. Q: Can you clarify whether Texas volumes can be recouped by year-end, and what is the impact of the Spokane fires?A: CEO Brian Gray confirmed that the missed paving volumes in Texas on two major highway projects will mostly be pushed into 2027, as crews already have a full schedule for the rest of the year. Regarding the Spokane fires, he assured that teams are safe and production at the pre-stress facility (an indoor operation) was not impacted, though heat and smoke could affect outdoor paving projects, which has not been material in July. Q: What drove the 9% revenue decline in the West segment, and has the Oregon outlook changed?A: CEO Brian Gray attributed the West's weakness to Hawaii's delayed P209 project ($3 million impact), Alaska's late construction season start (roads closed until June 15), and competitive dynamics in Oregon affecting Northern California. He noted Oregon operations were broadly in line with expectations for the first half, but the lack of new bid lettings means the full year will likely be slightly down. Positive signs include 20-30% aggregate volume growth in Portland and a large semiconductor facility contract in Idaho expected to benefit EBITDA later this year and into 2027. Q: Can you explain the wide gap between reported and mix-adjusted aggregate pricing, and how will pricing trends evolve?A: CFO Nathan Ring explained that reported aggregate pricing was up 3.2%, but this was impacted by a 630,000-ton sale of lower-priced natural fines. On a product mix-adjusted basis, pricing was up 8%, reflecting strong underlying price increases. For the full year, he expects as-reported aggregate pricing to be up mid-single-digits. For ReadyMix, pricing was affected by geographic mix, particularly Texcrete's residential lower-spec material, which carries a different pricing profile but remains good margin work. Q: What was organic aggregate volume growth in Q2, and what are expectations for full-year organic volumes?A: CEO Brian Gray stated that approximately 75% of aggregate volume growth came from legacy operations, driven by increased asphalt paving and the pull-through benefit of vertical integration. The remaining 25% came from recent acquisitions, including Texcrete, where the company switched aggregate supply to internal sources. This demonstrates the strength of the legacy business and the strategic benefits of acquisitions. Q: Can you comment on the expected trajectory of total gross margins in Q3 and Q4?A: CFO Nathan Ring indicated that aggregates should see margin expansion of about 100 basis points for the full year, while contracting services margins should be comparable to last year. However, ReadyMix and hot mix asphalt could see some margin compression in the second half due to higher energy costs, lower-margin work, and higher depreciation from recent acquisitions. Overall, gross profit for the material product lines (aggregates, ReadyMix, hot mix) is expected to be higher year-over-year. Q: The maintained EBITDA guidance with higher D&A implies lower EBIT guidancewhat's driving the operating side?A: CFO Nathan Ring explained that the lower EBIT guidance reflects anticipated margin compression in ReadyMix and hot mix asphalt due to higher energy costs, lower-margin work, and increased depreciation from acquisitions. He also For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-05

Knife River Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat
Interested in Knife River Corporation? Here are five stocks we like better. Second-quarter revenue rose 13% year over year as Knife River converted record backlog into sales. Reported adjusted EBITDA was flat, but increased 7% excluding prior-year asset-sale gains, despite $10 million of diesel-cost pressure and roughly $18 million of combined weather, project-timing and contract-mix headwinds. Materials performance was strong, with aggregate volumes up 14%, ready-mix volumes up 15% and asphalt volumes up 24%; product-mix-adjusted aggregate pricing increased 8%. Backlog expanded to approximately $1.2 billion, and the company expects high-single-digit aggregate volume growth for the full year. Knife River raised its 2026 revenue outlook to $3.4 billion-$3.6 billion while reaffirming adjusted EBITDA guidance of $520 million-$560 million, targeting the midpoint. Growth investments include acquisitions and an approximately $85 million rail-served quartzite quarry in South Dakota expected to begin operations in the first half of next year. Knife River (NYSE:KNF) reported second-quarter revenue growth of 13% year over year as it converted a record backlog into higher sales, while adjusted EBITDA was flat on a reported basis amid higher diesel costs, weather-related project delays and lower-margin contracting work. President and Chief Executive Officer Brian Gray said adjusted EBITDA increased 7% from the prior-year period when excluding gains on asset sales in both quarters. He characterized the company’s underlying operating performance as solid, citing double-digit volume growth in materials, higher gross profit across aggregates, ready-mix and asphalt, and an 8% increase in aggregate pricing on a product-mix-adjusted basis. → SpaceX’s First Earnings Report Could Decide Whether Shorts or Bulls Have Control “The fundamentals of our business are strong,” Gray said, pointing to price optimization, cost controls and operational improvement efforts. Gray said higher diesel prices raised costs by approximately $10 million year over year during the quarter. Knife River recovered $4 million through fuel surcharges in the second quarter and expects to recoup an additional $4 million through escalators in Department of Transportation contracts during the third quarter, reflecting a one- to two-month lag in public-agency reimbursements. → 3 Drone Stocks That Should Soar Af…Read full document

Interested in Knife River Corporation? Here are five stocks we like better. Second-quarter revenue rose 13% year over year as Knife River converted record backlog into sales. Reported adjusted EBITDA was flat, but increased 7% excluding prior-year asset-sale gains, despite $10 million of diesel-cost pressure and roughly $18 million of combined weather, project-timing and contract-mix headwinds. Materials performance was strong, with aggregate volumes up 14%, ready-mix volumes up 15% and asphalt volumes up 24%; product-mix-adjusted aggregate pricing increased 8%. Backlog expanded to approximately $1.2 billion, and the company expects high-single-digit aggregate volume growth for the full year. Knife River raised its 2026 revenue outlook to $3.4 billion-$3.6 billion while reaffirming adjusted EBITDA guidance of $520 million-$560 million, targeting the midpoint. Growth investments include acquisitions and an approximately $85 million rail-served quartzite quarry in South Dakota expected to begin operations in the first half of next year. Knife River (NYSE:KNF) reported second-quarter revenue growth of 13% year over year as it converted a record backlog into higher sales, while adjusted EBITDA was flat on a reported basis amid higher diesel costs, weather-related project delays and lower-margin contracting work. President and Chief Executive Officer Brian Gray said adjusted EBITDA increased 7% from the prior-year period when excluding gains on asset sales in both quarters. He characterized the company’s underlying operating performance as solid, citing double-digit volume growth in materials, higher gross profit across aggregates, ready-mix and asphalt, and an 8% increase in aggregate pricing on a product-mix-adjusted basis. → SpaceX’s First Earnings Report Could Decide Whether Shorts or Bulls Have Control “The fundamentals of our business are strong,” Gray said, pointing to price optimization, cost controls and operational improvement efforts. Gray said higher diesel prices raised costs by approximately $10 million year over year during the quarter. Knife River recovered $4 million through fuel surcharges in the second quarter and expects to recoup an additional $4 million through escalators in Department of Transportation contracts during the third quarter, reflecting a one- to two-month lag in public-agency reimbursements. → 3 Drone Stocks That Should Soar After the Summer Slump The company estimated that project timing shifts and adverse weather reduced quarterly adjusted EBITDA by about $10 million. In Texas, excessive rain and schedule changes delayed asphalt production and paving on two major highway projects. In Hawaii, a modified construction schedule delayed the P-209 project, affecting concrete and cement volumes. Alaska’s unusually cold winter extended road restrictions until June 15, delaying the construction season by more than a month. Gray said the affected projects were not canceled, but some of the expected work has shifted to later periods. In particular, most of the volume missed on the Texas highway projects is expected to move into 2027 because crews already have full schedules for the rest of the current year. → Why Rare Earth Processing Could Be the Real 2027 Opportunity Contracting-services results also reflected a change in the type and timing of work. The company performed more asphalt paving during the quarter, which Gray described as lower-risk and generally lower-margin work than the larger general-contracting roadway expansion jobs performed a year earlier. He said performance and quality bonuses on paving jobs are typically received later in projects, and Knife River expects to recognize some of those gains during the second half. The company estimated that these market dynamics, including the timing of project incentives, reduced second-quarter adjusted EBITDA by approximately $8 million. Chief Financial Officer Nathan Ring said aggregate volumes increased 14%, supported primarily by internal demand from the company’s downstream operations. About 75% of aggregate volume growth came from legacy operations and 25% from acquisitions, Gray said. Knife River now expects full-year aggregate volumes to rise by a high-single-digit percentage. Reported aggregate pricing rose 3%, but Ring said the figure was affected by sales of 630,000 tons of lower-priced natural fines. Adjusting for product mix, aggregate pricing increased 8%. The company continues to expect aggregate pricing to rise by a mid-single-digit percentage on a reported basis for the full year. Aggregate gross profit increased 12%, though gross margin declined slightly because of increased delivery volumes and higher fuel costs. Aggregate deliveries rose 41% year over year, and delivery revenue and fuel surcharges generally carry lower margins than materials sold at company plants. Ready-mix volumes increased 15%, aided by the Texcrete acquisition, while gross profit rose 21% and gross margin improved 80 basis points. Asphalt volumes rose 24%, including a 44% increase in internal asphalt volumes tied to more paving activity. Gross profit also increased 24%, while gross margin improved 50 basis points. Contracting-services revenue increased 20%, although margins declined due to project mix, incentive timing and lower-margin legacy jobs acquired in the Mountain segment. Ring said the acquired legacy projects are being completed and replaced with new work, with most of the remaining impact expected to occur in the third quarter. He said Knife River expects second-half contracting-services margins to be in line with those reported in the second half of the prior year. Knife River expanded backlog by about $50 million sequentially to $1.2 billion at the end of the second quarter. Ring said the company expects approximately 55% of its full-year adjusted EBITDA to be generated in the third quarter, assuming normal weather and stable operating conditions. The company raised its 2026 revenue outlook to a range of $3.4 billion to $3.6 billion and reaffirmed adjusted EBITDA guidance of $520 million to $560 million. Ring said the company is guiding toward the midpoint of that EBITDA range following the second-quarter headwinds. During the quarter, Knife River invested $48 million in maintenance and operational improvements and $35 million in growth initiatives, including acquisitions and organic expansion. It also amended its Term Loan B agreement, increasing borrowings by $400 million while lowering its interest rate. Net leverage was 3.2 times at the end of June, compared with 3.1 times a year earlier. Gray said acquisitions remain a central component of Knife River’s growth strategy. Since its 2023 spin-off, the company has integrated 16 acquisitions. He highlighted Strata, which expanded Knife River’s Central segment and added aggregate reserves and rail distribution sites. Supported by a record North Dakota DOT budget and full integration efforts, Knife River expects Strata to post a record year and exceed its original EBITDA projections by more than 15%. The company has invested about $140 million in organic initiatives over the past 18 months, primarily in aggregate reserve expansions and greenfield projects. One major project is an approximately $85 million rail-served quarry near Sioux Falls, South Dakota, with roughly 70 million tons of quartzite reserves and access to two Class I railroads. The first phase is expected to become operational in the first half of next year. Gray also said Knife River’s Spokane, Washington, prestress facility secured a substantial contract during the second quarter to supply components for a semiconductor facility in Idaho. He said the company sees growing opportunities tied to data centers, advanced manufacturing, energy infrastructure and future bridge replacement work. Gray closed by noting that the company recorded the safest second quarter in its history and said management remains focused on execution during the remainder of the construction season. Knife River Corporation, headquartered in Bismarck, North Dakota, is a leading integrated construction materials and contracting company in the western United States. The company specializes in producing and supplying aggregates, asphalt mix, ready-mixed concrete and other heavy construction materials used in highway, commercial and residential projects. In addition to material production, Knife River offers a comprehensive suite of contracting services, including heavy civil construction, road building, underground and open-pit mining and logistics support. This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected]. The article "Knife River Q2 Earnings Call Highlights" was originally published by MarketBeat. View MarketBeat's top stocks for August 2026.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-05

Knife River (KNF) Could Be 33% Undervalued Following Earnings And 2026 Guidance

Simply Wall St.
Track your investments for FREE with Simply Wall St, the portfolio command center trusted by over 7 million individual investors worldwide. Knife River (KNF) shares came under pressure after the company reported second quarter 2026 results on 4 August, with higher revenue alongside lower net income, and issued full year revenue guidance. See our latest analysis for Knife River. The earnings release and new 2026 revenue guidance have coincided with a sharp reset in sentiment toward Knife River, with the share price down 12% over the past week and 24% over the past quarter, while the 3 year total shareholder return remains positive at 34.97%. If the latest move in Knife River has you rethinking your watchlist, this can be a good moment to look at infrastructure exposed opportunities in the Simply Wall St 36 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks Knife River now sits at a crossroads, with a long-established infrastructure business and a sharply lower share price after earnings. The key issue for investors is whether the recent reset leaves the stock fairly valued or still mispriced. Knife River last closed at $69.51 compared with a most followed fair value estimate of $104.11 per share. That gap is built on a detailed story about future projects, margins and capital allocation rather than short term sentiment. Read the complete narrative. Want to understand why this backlog and funding profile underpin that fair value for Knife River? The narrative leans on specific revenue paths, margin targets and a premium earnings multiple that are all explained in detail. Result: Fair Value of $104.11 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, Knife River's heavy reliance on public infrastructure funding and exposure to weather disruption in key regions could challenge project timing, margins, and the narrative that it is 33.2% undervalued. Find out about the key risks to this Knife River narrative. The fair value narrative for Knife River points to $104.11 per share, yet today the stock trades on a P/E of 28.2x. That is higher than the Global Basic Materials industry at 13.9x, the peer average at 27.8x, and the fair ratio of 22x. This gap implies investors are already paying a premium. The key question is whether that premium still looks comfortable if growth or margins come in below expectations. See w…Read full document

Track your investments for FREE with Simply Wall St, the portfolio command center trusted by over 7 million individual investors worldwide. Knife River (KNF) shares came under pressure after the company reported second quarter 2026 results on 4 August, with higher revenue alongside lower net income, and issued full year revenue guidance. See our latest analysis for Knife River. The earnings release and new 2026 revenue guidance have coincided with a sharp reset in sentiment toward Knife River, with the share price down 12% over the past week and 24% over the past quarter, while the 3 year total shareholder return remains positive at 34.97%. If the latest move in Knife River has you rethinking your watchlist, this can be a good moment to look at infrastructure exposed opportunities in the Simply Wall St 36 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks Knife River now sits at a crossroads, with a long-established infrastructure business and a sharply lower share price after earnings. The key issue for investors is whether the recent reset leaves the stock fairly valued or still mispriced. Knife River last closed at $69.51 compared with a most followed fair value estimate of $104.11 per share. That gap is built on a detailed story about future projects, margins and capital allocation rather than short term sentiment. Read the complete narrative. Want to understand why this backlog and funding profile underpin that fair value for Knife River? The narrative leans on specific revenue paths, margin targets and a premium earnings multiple that are all explained in detail. Result: Fair Value of $104.11 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, Knife River's heavy reliance on public infrastructure funding and exposure to weather disruption in key regions could challenge project timing, margins, and the narrative that it is 33.2% undervalued. Find out about the key risks to this Knife River narrative. The fair value narrative for Knife River points to $104.11 per share, yet today the stock trades on a P/E of 28.2x. That is higher than the Global Basic Materials industry at 13.9x, the peer average at 27.8x, and the fair ratio of 22x. This gap implies investors are already paying a premium. The key question is whether that premium still looks comfortable if growth or margins come in below expectations. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. With sentiment on Knife River so divided, it helps to look past headlines and review the full mix of concerns and potential upsides yourself. To see how those trade offs stack up in one place, take a closer look at the 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign If Knife River has sharpened your focus on opportunities, do not stop there. Use the Simply Wall St Screener to quickly surface fresh ideas that fit your style. Target reliable cash generators by scanning a universe of companies with the solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (49 results) that can support operations through different conditions. Spot potential bargains early by checking the screener containing 18 high quality undiscovered gems before they attract wider attention and pricing becomes less forgiving. Prioritise sleep at night holdings by focusing on companies in the 82 resilient stocks with low risk scores that may help smooth out the rougher patches in your portfolio. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Companies discussed in this article include KNF. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email [email protected]

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-04

Knife River (KNF) Reports Q2 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say

Zacks
Knife River (KNF) reported $938.6 million in revenue for the quarter ended June 2026, representing a year-over-year increase of 12.6%. EPS of $0.77 for the same period compares to $0.89 a year ago. The reported revenue represents a surprise of +1.61% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $923.71 million. With the consensus EPS estimate being $1.11, the EPS surprise was -30.63%. While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance. As these metrics influence top- and bottom-line performance, comparing them to the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated helps investors project a stock's price performance more accurately. Here is how Knife River performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts: Average selling price - Aggregates: $19.41 million compared to the $19.9 million average estimate based on two analysts. Average selling price - Ready-mix concrete: $198.45 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $202.25 million. Sales Volumes - Asphalt: 2,030.00 K ton compared to the 1,712.50 K ton average estimate based on two analysts. Sales Volumes - Ready-mix concrete (cubic yards): 1,193.00 K ton versus 1,277.00 K ton estimated by two analysts on average. Sales Volumes - Aggregates: 10,031.00 K ton versus the two-analyst average estimate of 9,262.50 K ton. Revenue- Contracting services: $406.5 million versus the three-analyst average estimate of $366.74 million. Revenues- Aggregates: $194.7 million versus the three-analyst average estimate of $188.46 million. Revenues- Ready-mix concrete: $236.7 million versus the three-analyst average estimate of $260.68 million. Revenues- Asphalt: $133.5 million compared to the $115.13 million average estimate based on three analysts. Revenues- Internal sales: $-207.9 million compared to the $-174 million average estimate based on three analysts. Revenues- Liquid asphalt: $91.4 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $82.5 million. Revenues- Other: $83.7 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $81.5 million. View all Key Company Metrics for Knife River here>>> Shares of Knife River have returned -7…Read full document

Knife River (KNF) reported $938.6 million in revenue for the quarter ended June 2026, representing a year-over-year increase of 12.6%. EPS of $0.77 for the same period compares to $0.89 a year ago. The reported revenue represents a surprise of +1.61% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $923.71 million. With the consensus EPS estimate being $1.11, the EPS surprise was -30.63%. While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance. As these metrics influence top- and bottom-line performance, comparing them to the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated helps investors project a stock's price performance more accurately. Here is how Knife River performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts: Average selling price - Aggregates: $19.41 million compared to the $19.9 million average estimate based on two analysts. Average selling price - Ready-mix concrete: $198.45 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $202.25 million. Sales Volumes - Asphalt: 2,030.00 K ton compared to the 1,712.50 K ton average estimate based on two analysts. Sales Volumes - Ready-mix concrete (cubic yards): 1,193.00 K ton versus 1,277.00 K ton estimated by two analysts on average. Sales Volumes - Aggregates: 10,031.00 K ton versus the two-analyst average estimate of 9,262.50 K ton. Revenue- Contracting services: $406.5 million versus the three-analyst average estimate of $366.74 million. Revenues- Aggregates: $194.7 million versus the three-analyst average estimate of $188.46 million. Revenues- Ready-mix concrete: $236.7 million versus the three-analyst average estimate of $260.68 million. Revenues- Asphalt: $133.5 million compared to the $115.13 million average estimate based on three analysts. Revenues- Internal sales: $-207.9 million compared to the $-174 million average estimate based on three analysts. Revenues- Liquid asphalt: $91.4 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $82.5 million. Revenues- Other: $83.7 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $81.5 million. View all Key Company Metrics for Knife River here>>> Shares of Knife River have returned -7.3% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.7% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Knife River Corporation (KNF) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-04

Knife River (KNF) Q2 Earnings Lag Estimates

Zacks
Knife River (KNF) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.77 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.11 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.89 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -30.63%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this construction materials company would post a loss of $1.42 per share when it actually produced a loss of $1.4, delivering a surprise of +1.41%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. Knife River, which belongs to the Zacks Building Products - Miscellaneous industry, posted revenues of $938.6 million for the quarter ended June 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.61%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $833.8 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Knife River shares have added about 12.1% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 11%. While Knife River has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Knife River was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's…Read full document

Knife River (KNF) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.77 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.11 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.89 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -30.63%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this construction materials company would post a loss of $1.42 per share when it actually produced a loss of $1.4, delivering a surprise of +1.41%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. Knife River, which belongs to the Zacks Building Products - Miscellaneous industry, posted revenues of $938.6 million for the quarter ended June 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.61%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $833.8 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Knife River shares have added about 12.1% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 11%. While Knife River has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Knife River was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $3.03 on $1.3 billion in revenues for the coming quarter and $3.32 on $3.39 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year. Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Building Products - Miscellaneous is currently in the top 40% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1. One other stock from the same industry, Argan (AGX), is yet to report results for the quarter ended July 2026. This builder of energy plants is expected to post quarterly earnings of $2.68 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +7.2%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days. Argan's revenues are expected to be $297.78 million, up 25.3% from the year-ago quarter. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Knife River Corporation (KNF) : Free Stock Analysis Report Argan, Inc. (AGX) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-04

Knife River: Q2 Earnings Snapshot

Associated Press

BISMARCK, N.D. (AP) — BISMARCK, N.D. (AP) — Knife River Corp. (KNF) on Tuesday reported second-quarter earnings of $43.9 million. The Bismarck, North Dakota-based company said it had net income of 77 cents per share. The results did not meet Wall Street expectations. The average estimate of four analysts surveyed by Zacks Investment Research was for earnings of $1.11 per share. The construction materials company posted revenue of $938.6 million in the period, topping Street forecasts. Three analysts surveyed by Zacks expected $923.7 million. Knife River expects full-year revenue in the range of $3.4 billion to $3.6 billion. _____ This story was generated by Automated Insights (http://automatedinsights.com/ap) using data from Zacks Investment Research. Access a Zacks stock report on KNF at https://www.zacks.com/ap/KNF

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-04

Knife River Corporation Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Business Wire
Double-digit volume and gross profit growth across material product lines 20% growth in contracting services revenue Sequentially increased backlog from the first quarter, to $1.2 billion Raised guidance for revenue and aggregate volumes BISMARCK, N.D., August 04, 2026--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Knife River Corporation (NYSE: KNF), an aggregates-based, vertically integrated construction materials and contracting services company, today announced financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. "During the quarter, we delivered 13% year-over-year revenue growth, including 20% revenue growth in contracting services," said Knife River President and CEO Brian Gray. "That pull-through demand, combined with contributions from acquisitions, helped us generate double-digit volume and gross profit growth across our material product lines. Aggregate pricing also improved by 8% on a product mix-adjusted basis. The fundamentals of our business are strong. During the quarter, headwinds related to energy costs, delayed impact projects, and the type and timing of contracting services impacted Adjusted EBITDA and margins. Last year, we also benefited in the second quarter from $10.3 million in gains on asset sales, compared to just $650,000 this quarter. Despite these factors, we delivered strong operational results year-over-year. "With the majority of the construction season still ahead of us, we have opportunities to execute on our $1.2 billion contracting services backlog, driving volume and gross profit improvement in all of our product lines," Gray said. "Additionally, we continue to implement our self-help initiatives to improve margins — including price optimization and operational efficiencies. "The acquisitions we have completed over the last two years also continue to perform as expected, and we have several targets in our pipeline that align with our growth strategy," Gray said. "In addition, we have multiple organic growth projects underway across our footprint, including aggregates reserve expansions designed to strengthen our position, support future earnings growth and create long-term shareholder value." Knife River expects its full-year 2026 financial results to be in the ranges noted in the following table. The company further expects: Aggregates volumes to increase high-single digits and pricing to increase mid-single digits. Ready-mix volumes to inc…Read full document

Double-digit volume and gross profit growth across material product lines 20% growth in contracting services revenue Sequentially increased backlog from the first quarter, to $1.2 billion Raised guidance for revenue and aggregate volumes BISMARCK, N.D., August 04, 2026--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Knife River Corporation (NYSE: KNF), an aggregates-based, vertically integrated construction materials and contracting services company, today announced financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. "During the quarter, we delivered 13% year-over-year revenue growth, including 20% revenue growth in contracting services," said Knife River President and CEO Brian Gray. "That pull-through demand, combined with contributions from acquisitions, helped us generate double-digit volume and gross profit growth across our material product lines. Aggregate pricing also improved by 8% on a product mix-adjusted basis. The fundamentals of our business are strong. During the quarter, headwinds related to energy costs, delayed impact projects, and the type and timing of contracting services impacted Adjusted EBITDA and margins. Last year, we also benefited in the second quarter from $10.3 million in gains on asset sales, compared to just $650,000 this quarter. Despite these factors, we delivered strong operational results year-over-year. "With the majority of the construction season still ahead of us, we have opportunities to execute on our $1.2 billion contracting services backlog, driving volume and gross profit improvement in all of our product lines," Gray said. "Additionally, we continue to implement our self-help initiatives to improve margins — including price optimization and operational efficiencies. "The acquisitions we have completed over the last two years also continue to perform as expected, and we have several targets in our pipeline that align with our growth strategy," Gray said. "In addition, we have multiple organic growth projects underway across our footprint, including aggregates reserve expansions designed to strengthen our position, support future earnings growth and create long-term shareholder value." Knife River expects its full-year 2026 financial results to be in the ranges noted in the following table. The company further expects: Aggregates volumes to increase high-single digits and pricing to increase mid-single digits. Ready-mix volumes to increase mid-teens. Asphalt volumes to increase high-single digits. Depreciation, depletion and amortization to increase mid-teens. The guidance ranges are based on normal weather, economic and operating conditions, and do not include the expected impact of future acquisitions. Second quarter revenue decreased 9% year-over-year, primarily due to less available public-agency work in Oregon, as well as delays in Hawaii and Alaska related to project phasing and weather. EBITDA decreased 19% compared to the prior year, reflecting decreased activity and lower-margin contracting services work, partially offset by higher aggregate and ready-mix pricing across the region. Second quarter revenue increased 34% from the prior year, largely driven by an increase in contracting services as well as acquisitions completed in the first quarter. EBITDA was flat, as the revenue growth was primarily offset by the timing of project performance gains and lower-margin contracting services work. Second quarter revenue increased 28% from the prior year, primarily driven by increased volumes across all product lines as well as contributions from the Texcrete acquisition. EBITDA improved 21%, with a majority of the increase being attributed to aggregate sales, as well as higher margins on contracting services work. However, EBITDA margin declined as the prior-year period benefited from $7.9 million of gains on asset sales that did not recur this quarter. Second quarter revenue increased 6% from the prior year, driven by increased volumes due to improved market opportunities in California. EBITDA improved 16%, largely because of the increased sales volumes in California, as well as lower railcar maintenance expenses compared to prior year. The company is committed to disciplined capital allocation, including reinvesting to maintain fixed assets, strengthening operations and growing the business. The company currently estimates total 2026 capital expenditures for maintenance and improvement to be between 5% and 7% of revenue. For the six months ending June 30, 2026, the company spent $90.1 million, largely on the replacement of construction equipment and plant improvements. Additionally, for the six months ended June 30, 2026, the company spent $244.5 million on growth initiatives, which was comprised of $184.4 million on acquisitions and $60.1 million on aggregate expansions and greenfield projects. For the remainder of 2026, the company expects to spend $76.4 million on organic growth projects. Capital expenditures for future acquisitions and new growth opportunities would be incremental to the outlined capital program. It is anticipated that capital expenditures for the remainder of 2026 will be funded by various sources, including cash from operations and debt. On May 15, 2026, the company issued an incremental $400 million Term Loan B facility which was used to finance recent acquisitions and growth initiatives previously discussed, repay borrowings under the Revolving Credit Facility, and for working capital and general corporate purposes. As of June 30, 2026, Knife River had $40.7 million of unrestricted cash and cash equivalents, $1.6 billion of gross debt and $387.2 million of available capacity under its revolving credit facility, net of outstanding letters of credit. Net leverage, defined as the ratio of net debt to trailing-twelve-month Adjusted EBITDA, was 3.2x at June 30, 2026. Knife River will host a conference call at 11 a.m. EDT today to discuss second quarter results and conduct a question-and-answer session. The event will be webcast at investors.kniferiver.com. To participate in the live call: Domestic: 1-585-542-9983 International: 1-833-461-5787 Conference ID: 137711168 After the conclusion of the call, an on-demand replay of the webcast will be made available. Knife River Corporation, a member of the S&P MidCap 400 index, mines aggregates and markets crushed stone, sand, gravel and related construction materials, including ready-mix concrete, asphalt and other value-added products. Knife River also performs vertically integrated contracting services, specializing in publicly funded DOT projects and private projects across the industrial, commercial and residential space. For more information about the company, visit www.kniferiver.com. The following table summarizes backlog for the company. Margins on backlog at June 30, 2026, are expected to be slightly lower than the margins on backlog at June 30, 2025. Approximately 85% of the company's contracting services backlog relates to publicly funded projects, including street and highway construction projects. Period over period increases or decreases should not be used as an indicator of future revenues or earnings. NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES EBITDA, EBITDA margin, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA margin, as well as total segment measures, as applicable, net debt and net leverage are considered non-GAAP measures of financial performance. These non-GAAP financial measures are not measures of financial performance under GAAP. The items excluded from these non-GAAP financial measures are significant components in understanding and assessing financial performance. Therefore, these non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered substitutes for the applicable GAAP metric. EBITDA, EBITDA margin, Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA margin are most directly comparable to the corresponding GAAP measures of net income and net income margin. Net debt and net leverage are most directly comparable to the corresponding GAAP measures of total debt. We believe these non-GAAP financial measures, in addition to corresponding GAAP measures, are useful to investors by providing meaningful information about operational efficiency compared to our peers by excluding the impacts of differences in tax jurisdictions and structures, debt levels and capital investment. We believe Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA margin are useful performance measures because they allow for an effective evaluation of our operating performance by excluding unrealized gains and losses on benefit plan investments, stock-based compensation, and the impact of selling acquired inventory after markup to fair value as part of acquisition accounting, as they are considered non-cash and not part of our core operations. We believe EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA assist rating agencies and investors in comparing operating performance across operating periods on a consistent basis by excluding items management does not believe are indicative of the company's operating performance, including using EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA to calculate Knife River’s leverage as a multiple of EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA. Additionally, EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA are important financial metrics for debt investors who utilize debt to EBITDA and debt to Adjusted EBITDA ratios. We believe EBITDA, EBITDA margin, Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA margin, including those measures by segment, are useful performance measures because they provide clarity as to the operational results of the company. Management believes net debt and net leverage are useful performance measures because they provide a measure of how long it would take the company to pay back its debt if net debt and Adjusted EBITDA were constant. Net leverage also allows management to assess our borrowing capacity and optimal leverage ratio. Our management uses these non-GAAP financial measures in conjunction with GAAP results when evaluating our operating results internally and calculating employee incentive compensation, and leverage as a multiple of Adjusted EBITDA to determine the appropriate method of funding our operations. EBITDA is calculated by adding back income taxes, interest expense (net of interest income) and depreciation, depletion and amortization expense to net income. EBITDA margin is calculated by dividing EBITDA by revenues. Adjusted EBITDA is calculated by adding back unrealized gains and losses on benefit plan investments, stock-based compensation and the impact of selling acquired inventory after markup to fair value as part of acquisition accounting to EBITDA. Adjusted EBITDA margin is calculated by dividing Adjusted EBITDA by revenues. Net debt is calculated by adding unamortized debt issuance costs to the total debt balance presented on the balance sheet, less any unrestricted cash. Net leverage is calculated by dividing net debt by trailing-twelve-month Adjusted EBITDA. These non-GAAP financial measures are calculated the same for both the segment and consolidated metrics and should not be considered as alternatives to, or more meaningful than, GAAP financial measures such as net income, net income margin and total debt and are intended to be helpful supplemental financial measures for investors’ understanding of our operating performance. Our non-GAAP financial measures are not standardized; therefore, it may not be possible to compare these financial measures with other companies’ EBITDA, EBITDA margin, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA margin, net debt and net leverage measures having the same or similar names. The following information reconciles segment and consolidated net income (loss) to EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA and provides the calculation of EBITDA margin, Adjusted EBITDA margin, net debt and net leverage. Interest expense, net, is net of interest income that is included in other income (expense) on the Consolidated Statements of Operations. The following table provides the reconciliation of net income (loss) to EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA. The following table provides the reconciliation of consolidated net income (loss) to total segment EBITDA. The following tables provide the reconciliation of the net leverage calculation of net debt to Adjusted EBITDA. The following table provides the reconciliation of the net leverage calculation of net debt to Adjusted EBITDA. Knife River’s projections for 2026 Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure that excludes or otherwise has been adjusted for non-GAAP adjustment items from Knife River’s financial statements. When the company provides its forward-looking 2026 Adjusted EBITDA, it does not provide a reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures as Knife River is unable to predict with a reasonable degree of certainty the actual impact of the non-GAAP adjustment items. By their very nature, non-GAAP adjustment items are difficult to anticipate with precision because they are generally associated with unexpected and unplanned events that impact our company and its financial results, including, but not limited to, the potentially high variability, complexity and low visibility with respect to the items that would be excluded from the applicable GAAP measure in the relevant future period, such as unusual gains and losses, the impact and timing of potential acquisitions and divestitures, certain financing costs and other structural changes or their probable significance. Therefore, Knife River is unable to provide a reconciliation of these measures without unreasonable efforts. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS The information in this news release highlights the key growth strategies, projections and certain assumptions for the company and its subsidiaries. Many of these highlighted statements and other statements not historical in nature are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Although the company believes that its expectations are expressed in good faith and based on reasonable assumptions, there is no assurance the company’s statements with respect to its EDGE strategy, shareholder value creation, financial guidance, expected long-term goals, expected backlog margin, or other proposed strategies will be achieved. Please refer to assumptions contained in this news release, as well as the various important factors listed in Part I, Item 1A - Risk Factors in the company's most recent Form 10-K and subsequent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Changes in such assumptions and factors could cause actual future results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements in this news release are expressly qualified by such cautionary statements and by reference to the underlying assumptions. Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date they are made. Except as required by law, the company does not undertake to update forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260804756159/en/ Contacts COPRORATE CONTACTSIR Contact: Dara Dierks, Vice President of Investor Relations, [email protected] Media Contact: Tony Spilde, Vice President of Communications, [email protected]

TranscriptFY2026 Q22026-08-04

FY2026 Q2 earnings call transcript

Earnings source - 99 paragraphs
Operator

Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us, and welcome to the Knife River Corporation Q2 results conference call. After today's prepared remarks, we will host a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star one again. I will now hand the conference over to Dara Dierks, Head of Investor Relations. Dara, please go ahead.

Dara Dierks

With me today are President and Chief Executive Officer, Brian Gray, and Chief Financial Officer, Nathan Ring. A question-and-answer session will follow their prepared remarks. Today's discussion will contain forward-looking statements about future operational and financial expectations. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in today's forward-looking statements. For further detail, please refer to today's earnings release and the risk factors disclosed in our most recent filings with the SEC, which are available on our website and the SEC website. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to update our forward-looking statements. During this presentation, we will make references to certain non-GAAP information. These non-GAAP measures are defined and reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP measure in today's earnings release and investor presentation. These materials are also available on our website. I would now like to turn the call over to Brian.

Brian Gray

Thank you, Dara. Good morning, everyone. I'd like to start today's call by highlighting our strong operational performance in the Q2. Despite a few external headwinds that weighed on our financial results, the underlying performance of the business was solid. We executed well in the field, converting record backlog into revenue increases of 13% year-over-year. Our materials product line saw double-digit volume growth, driven by the pull-through demand from contracting services and the contributions from recent acquisitions. Gross profit improved double digits for aggregates, ready-mix, and asphalt. Aggregate pricing increased by 8% on a product mix adjusted basis. I'd like to thank our teams for the good job they did optimizing prices and controlling costs. The fundamentals of our business are strong. Excluding gains on asset sales from Q2 this year and Q2 last year, adjusted EBITDA was up 7% year-over-year.

Brian Gray

This is a testament that our crews are controlling what they can, our self-help initiatives are working. On an as-reported basis, adjusted EBITDA was flat with last year, related to a few external factors. First was a delay in recouping higher energy costs. Second was project timing shifts related to adverse weather and construction schedules. Third was a type of work and timing of projects incentives, which affected contracting services. Starting with the energy costs, higher diesel prices drove an increase in cost of about $10 million year-over-year. With the mitigation practices we discussed last quarter, we recouped $4 million of that through fuel surcharges in the Q2. We expect to recover an additional $4 million through escalators on our DOT contracts.

Brian Gray

However, that won't occur until the Q3, as there are one to two-month lag between incurring the costs and recovering them from public agencies. While we anticipate diesel costs will remain elevated through the remainder of the year, we expect to continue recovering the majority of these increases. Next, adjusted EBITDA was affected by project schedule changes and weather-related delays on several impact projects. In Texas, we were scheduled to produce a significant amount of asphalt and pave two major highway projects, both of which were pushed back by excessive rain and schedule changes. In Hawaii, our P-209 project was delayed as part of a modified construction schedule, impacting concrete and cement volumes. In Alaska, an exceptionally cold winter prolonged road restrictions. This kept trucks off the roads until June 15th, delaying the start of the construction season by over a month.

Brian Gray

In each of these cases, it's important to note that the projects have not been canceled, but the volume curve we expected was shifted to a later timeframe. We are confident the revenue and earnings opportunities remain. But for the quarter, we estimate this timing shift impacted adjusted EBITDA by approximately $10 million. Lastly, market dynamics, primarily the type and timing of work, played a factor on our quarterly performance, impacting contracting services margins. The type of projects we performed in the Q2 last year were larger general contracting jobs with multiple scopes of work. These roadway expansion projects enabled us to achieve significant gains related to value engineering and project performance. We didn't have as much of that work in the Q2 this year. Instead, we performed much more asphalt paving, which is generally lower risk and lower margin work.

Brian Gray

As we've discussed in the past, Knife River is very good at this work. It's in our wheelhouse, and we often earn sizable performance bonuses for quality on this type of work. However, these bonuses are typically received as the project nears completion. During the Q2, many of our projects were still in their early stages, so we have yet to see the bonuses. We expect to pick up gains on these jobs in the H2 of the year. For the Q2, we estimate market dynamics, primarily the type and timing of work, impacted adjusted EBITDA by approximately $8 million. As we enter the heart of the construction season, we expect H2 contracting service margins to improve year-over-year, while we execute on our $1.2 billion of backlog, benefit from the timing of project bonuses, and collect on fuel escalators.

Brian Gray

The additional paving we are performing this year will also benefit the pull-through of our higher margin materials, which we expect will drive margin expansion for aggregates. We remain laser focused on our self-help initiatives, including price optimization and cost controls. As an example of these efforts, our aggregate crews lowered their variable operating costs by 1% year-to-date, despite increased energy costs and inflationary headwinds. Our ready-mix crews improved their cubic yards per delivery hour by 12%. It's performance metrics like these that give me confidence that our crews are executing on our EDGE initiatives, and we are controlling what we can control. I believe Knife River is built for long-term success. The underlying demand for our products and services remains healthy. Critical infrastructure work needs to get done, and we are in a great position to do it.

Brian Gray

Public funding is expected to remain strong, with 38% of IIJA funds yet to be spent in our states. There's a tail on IIJA, and if Congress requires extra time to complete BUILD America 250 Act, a continuing resolution is likely to preserve current funding levels. On the private side, we continue to see expanding opportunities driven by investments in data center development, semiconductor projects, and energy infrastructure. We also see exciting acquisition and organic growth opportunities, which I'll talk about in a few minutes. Altogether, these factors, including the operational execution that we have demonstrated, give us confidence in our ability to continually improve our financial performance and deliver value for our shareholders. Next, I'll turn the call over to Nathan to walk through our product line financial results. After that, I'll share some thoughts on our growth strategy. Nathan?

Nathan Ring

Thank you, Brian, and good morning. As Brian just mentioned, we are pleased with the overall performance of our operations and, in particular, our material product lines, which had a strong quarter. Starting with aggregates, we had impressive volume growth of 14% over last year, primarily supported by the internal demand from our downstream product lines across all segments, demonstrating the benefits of our vertical integration. With this increased demand for aggregates, we now expect volumes to be up high single digits for the year. We have also seen an increase in third-party demand, particularly in the Central segment, where they are executing on a commercial strategy to increase external sales to industrial projects, such as data centers and power generation. Part of that volume increase was related to an opportunity to sell 630,000 tons of lower-priced natural fines.

Nathan Ring

This was positive for our cash flow and gross profit, but it did have a downward impact on consolidated pricing, which was up 3% as reported. Normalizing for overall product mix, including the natural fines sale, pricing was up 8%. With our continued optimization initiatives, pricing is still expected to be up mid-single digits for the year on an as-reported basis. Aggregate gross margins were down slightly for the quarter, partly as a result of increased delivery volumes and higher fuel costs. We delivered 41% more aggregates this year compared to the Q2 of last year and have implemented delivery surcharges to cover the increased input cost of diesel. However, delivery revenue is typically at cost plus a small margin, and fuel surcharges are at cost, both of which were dilutive to aggregate margins for the quarter.

Nathan Ring

Even so, we still expect gross margins to be up for the year, and overall, we are pleased with the aggregate product line performance, which saw a 12% increase in gross profit over last year. Ready-mix also had an impressive quarter, with volumes increasing 15%, driven by contributions from our Texcrete acquisition. As we have mentioned, this acquisition is expected to double our volumes in Texas this year. We maintain our forecast shared in the Q1 and expect mid-teen volume growth for ready-mix in 2026. Gross margin improved 80 basis points, thanks in part to the continued traction and strong execution of our ready-mix PIT Crew. Our production cost decreased 6% per cubic yard, resulting in higher gross profit of 21% over last year. Moving to asphalt, volumes increased 24% as a direct result of increased paving in our contracting services product line, with internal asphalt volumes increasing 44%.

Nathan Ring

As we look at the full-year, we now expect volumes to be up high single digits. Our purchasing and storage strategy for liquid asphalt resulted in lower cost and pricing for hot mix asphalt produced in the Q2. We also reduced production cost 10% per ton, leading to an increase of 50 basis points in gross margin and a 24% increase in gross profit. As for liquid asphalt, we experienced improved market opportunities in California during the quarter, which helped the product line continue to perform in line with our expectations. Within contracting services, the increase in paving projects resulted in revenue growth of 20% in the quarter. As Brian mentioned, we saw a decline in gross margins related to market dynamics, primarily the type of work and timing of incentives. We also inherited a number of lower-margin legacy projects at our recent acquisitions in the Mountain segment.

Nathan Ring

These legacy jobs are completed and replaced with new work, we expect a corresponding improvement in profitability. Even with our strong revenue growth in the quarter, we also expanded our backlog by approximately $50 million sequentially. Our Q2 backlog of $1.2 billion reinforces the confidence we have in our future performance. Switching to SG&A, our costs continue to be in line with the expectations shared earlier this year. The main variance for the quarter relates to higher gains on sales of assets last year of about $10 million, most notably the sale of our property in Beaumont, Texas. Adjusting for these gains, the SG&A increase would have been 3.5%. As we look at the full-year, we expect SG&A to be broadly in line with last year as a percent of revenue.

Nathan Ring

Turning to capital allocation, we remain committed to our disciplined approach of reinvesting in our business, including maintaining fixed assets, improving operations, and growing the business. During the quarter, we invested $48 million in maintenance and improvements and $35 million in growth initiatives, including acquisitions and organic expansion. For the full-year, we still expect maintenance and improvement to be between 5% and 7% of revenue, with acquisitions and new organic projects being incremental to this forecast. We continue to maintain a strong balance sheet and liquidity to support our growth initiatives and future investment opportunities. During the quarter, we amended our Term Loan B credit agreement, increasing the borrowed amount by $400 million, while also lowering the interest rate.

Nathan Ring

This transaction finances our recent acquisitions from earlier in the year, while also enhancing our liquidity, reducing our cost of capital, and providing additional financial flexibility to execute on our strategic priorities. The Q2 is typically our peak seasonal borrowing period as we build working capital to support construction activity. This resulted in net leverage of 3.2x at the end of June, compared to 3.1x at this time last year. Looking ahead, we expect to end 2026 with no borrowings outstanding on our $500 million revolving credit facility and cash on hand, leading to an anticipated net leverage near our long-term target of 2.5x. Finally, I'll provide an update on our guidance for the year.

Nathan Ring

Based on our performance to date and our expectations for the remainder of 2026, we are raising our revenue guidance to a range of $3.4 billion-$3.6 billion and reaffirming our adjusted EBITDA range of $520 million-$560 million. We are encouraged by the underlying strength of our business. Again, on a like-for-like basis, adjusted EBITDA increased 7% from the Q2 of 2025 to the Q2 of 2026, excluding gains on asset sales from both periods. Our teams are performing well, and the continued strength of our operations gives us confidence in our adjusted EBITDA outlook. I'll now turn the call back over to Brian.

Brian Gray

Thank you, Nathan. While there's a little bit of noise in the quarter with fuel and the type and timing of projects, the bottom line is our operations continue to perform well. We're looking forward to the H2 of the year as well as the years to come. Knife River is in a good position to deliver long-term, profitable growth for our shareholders. A large part of our optimism comes from the growth opportunities we see. I'd like to spend the last part of today's prepared remarks highlighting two additional drivers of long-term growth and value creation, acquisitions and organic investments. I'll start with acquisitions, which have been a cornerstone of our growth strategy. We have completed 100 acquisitions since 1992, helping us expand our geographic reach, strengthen our materials platform, and build leading positions across our markets. Our approach is consistent.

Brian Gray

Our primary focus is on materials-led transactions in higher growth, mid-sized markets within our footprint or in adjacent new markets. We are the acquirer of choice in our markets, helping us maintain valuation discipline and prioritize opportunities that create long-term value. Looking ahead, we continue to have a healthy acquisition pipeline. Our markets are highly fragmented with vertically integrated family-owned businesses, creating hundreds of potential opportunities that align with our strategy. We place particular emphasis on aggregates-based opportunities in markets with strong demand fundamentals and less seasonality. We believe we are well positioned to continue executing acquisitions that improve the quality, resilience, diversity, and growth profile of our business. Our M&A investment success starts with a disciplined and repeatable process. Since our spin in 2023, we have successfully integrated 16 acquisitions.

Brian Gray

The first step in our process is keeping the pipeline full by taking advantage of our local relationships with targeted potential sellers. Second, we conduct rigorous due diligence to evaluate culture, strategic fit, operational improvements, synergy potential, and expected financial returns. Third, we execute a structured integration plan to capture identified synergies, leverage buying power, and optimize performance. We begin capturing these benefits as quickly as possible. While year one is often characterized by cultural, back office, and operational integration, the most meaningful financial benefits from synergies typically materialize in years two and three as a business becomes fully merged into our platform. Strata is a great example of this. The acquisition of Strata expanded our presence in key markets within the central region. It added significant aggregate reserves and rail distribution sites, strengthened our vertical integration, and came with a highly respected workforce.

Brian Gray

As part of the acquisition, we focused on executing our integration plan while preserving the strengths that made Strata successful. More than a year later, we are pleased with the contribution Strata has delivered to our central segment and the synergies we've captured. Supported by a record North Dakota DOT budget and the full integration of the two teams, we expect Strata to have a record year in 2026 and outperform our original EBITDA projections by more than 15%. Strata demonstrates how we identify high-quality businesses, integrate them successfully, and create value through our platform. In addition to acquisitions, organic investments are an important component of our long-term growth strategy also. Over the past 18 months, we've invested approximately $140 million in organic initiatives, primarily focused on aggregate reserve expansions and greenfield development projects to strengthen our position in existing markets.

Brian Gray

Similar to our acquisition strategy, we take a disciplined approach to organic investment opportunities. Once projects are identified by our local operating teams, we evaluate each opportunity with rigor similar to any of our acquisitions, including market opportunity, long-term growth potential, and meeting our financial criteria. As a result, these projects are expected to generate returns that exceed our cost of capital and are accretive to our margin profile. One of our largest organic investments is underway in South Dakota. Over the past several quarters, we have invested approximately $85 million to develop a strategic rail served quarry near Sioux Falls that will expand our market reach, enhance distribution capabilities, and serve as a long-term replacement for our primary quarry there. The quarry contains approximately 70 million tons of high-quality quartzite reserves and has access to two Class I railroads.

Brian Gray

The first phase expands rail service in South Dakota and establishes rail distribution into Nebraska and Iowa, including support for our Sioux City operations. This phase is expected to be operational in the H1 of next year. This investment strengthens our transportation network, lowers delivery costs to our plants, improves supply flexibility, and positions us to provide high-quality aggregates to customers across the region for decades to come. Another example of organic growth delivering results is the prestress facility we built in Spokane, Washington. We've discussed this investment previously, but its value continues to grow as demand increases for the products it provides. The Spokane plant is a state-of-the-art facility that is unique to the Western United States. It has expanded our production capacity, geographic reach, and ability to serve complex infrastructure and commercial construction projects.

Brian Gray

In the Q2, we secured a substantial contract to supply prestress components for a semiconductor facility in Idaho. We would not have been able to pursue and win this project without the capabilities and scale provided by the Spokane plant. Beyond this large impact project, we're seeing increasing opportunities in data centers, advanced manufacturing, and from other large-scale infrastructure developers that desire prefabricated concrete products. We also believe the facility is well-positioned to benefit from future bridge replacement and infrastructure spending, providing a strong runway for growth in the years ahead. Ultimately, Spokane and Sioux Falls are exactly the type of organic investments we seek to make, projects that enhance our capabilities, increase profitability, and deliver attractive long-term returns for shareholders. Acquisitions and organic investments are an important part of our growth strategy, along with successful execution in our legacy operations.

Brian Gray

Before we conclude, I'd like to recognize our team for delivering the safest Q2 in our company's history. This achievement reflects our team members' commitment to our safety culture and to looking out for one another on every task, every job, every day. Looking ahead, the fundamentals of our business are strong. With the majority of the construction season still in front of us, our focus is clear: execute safely, serve our customers well, and capture opportunities across our markets to improve profitability and drive long-term value creation. Thank you for your time today. Operator, we're now ready to open the line for questions.

Operator

We will now begin the question-and-answer session. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star one again. We ask that you pick up your handset when asking a question to allow for optimum sound quality. If you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from Kathryn Thompson with Thompson Research Group. Please go ahead.

Kathryn Thompson

Hi. Thank you for taking my questions today and also for the details that you gave in prepared commentary. I just want to circle back to some of the headwinds in the quarter. More specifically, walking through SG&A and the gain on sales last year and how that impacted optics, particularly in Q2. How does this impact optics' H1 performance? More importantly, what can we expect in the H2 of the year? Thank you.

Brian Gray

Yeah. Good morning, Kathryn. This is Brian, I will let Nathan take the first part of that question and specifically talk about the prior year's gains on asset sales and the impact on that had on SG&A and our EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA. Nathan?

Nathan Ring

Yeah. Thank you. Good morning, Kathryn. Good to hear from you. I'm glad you brought that up. I do want to take that in pieces. I think it's an important part of understanding how the quarter really performed. As you noted, it's an SG&A which was up about $12.5 million in the quarter compared to the prior year. In our SG&A, we include the gains on the sale of assets, which I noted in my remarks. When I say asset sales, I am just talking property, plant, and equipment sales. Last year, we had about $10.3 million in gains on the sale of assets, most notably a Texas sale of property land. This year, we've got about $600,000. There's a considerable difference between the two years in the gain on the sale of assets.

Nathan Ring

If we set those aside and first just look at SG&A, our costs were actually up 3.5% within SG&A, again, setting those gains aside. First of all, we continue to manage our SG&A well, and I'll just note here, we expect overall, including the gains, to be comparable to last year as a percent of revenue. The next part here, I want to just refer to page four of the slide deck. I think it's really helpful to see how this comes together as part of our presentation. When you take a look at these gains and do the comparison of adjusted EBITDA, you can see that the overall company performed very well, and I mentioned this in my prepared remarks. We're up 7% on adjusted EBITDA, setting aside these gains.

Nathan Ring

Kathryn, I do appreciate the question. The gains kind of represent more, not necessarily one time, but they're not indicative of how the operations are actually performing. I think it's really helpful to take a look at that slide four and take into account the gains on the sale of assets.

Brian Gray

Kathryn, I'll just add on to your question. As far as the operations performing well, specifically, our revenue was up 13% and volumes across the board for all of our product lines were up double digits. That led to a double-digit increase in gross profit as well across all those product lines. The demand remains strong. We're very happy with what we're seeing with pricing, specifically adjusting for product mix on the aggregate side, an 8% increase. We're very pleased with that. Just the KPIs within the operations, the self-help initiatives we've talked so much about, there's a number of different indicators that, again, the underlying business, the performance of the operations was very solid for the quarter.

Kathryn Thompson

Okay, thanks. A follow-up on that. You're implying the underlying business is running pretty well, particularly in the product line, with some headwinds with the contracting services. Maybe discuss what is driving some of those fundamental gains that you're seeing. Is it by region or is it by product mix? Just any additional color on some of the gains in the quarter. Thank you.

Brian Gray

As you saw in the earnings release, the central segment certainly had an outstanding quarter, 21% better in EBITDA year-over-year. That's being driven by a number of different things in the central region. We've made a concentrated effort, as we've talked about as far as our EDGE initiatives, to increase third-party sales. Part of our product mix adjustment this quarter was impacted from the 630,000 tons of natural fines they sold. They did that in packages with some higher valued, higher margin materials. We've done a great job at increasing our third-party sales in the central region by 34% for the quarter. Probably the biggest movers in the central is really the North Dakota DOT budget and the fully integrated teams at Strata and Knife River working together to go out and capture that work.

Brian Gray

Like I mentioned on my prepared remarks, very excited to see what we expect to be a record year for Strata, and frankly, about 15% better than we even modeled. That's doing great. That acquisition is performing as expected and frankly better. So is Texcrete. Texcrete is having an outstanding year. They were impacted by weather for the quarter. They do deliver and supply a lot more residential, lower specification concrete. That's had a little bit of an impact on our product mix on pricing. As far as integration, we were able to capture early synergies as it relates to our purchasing power. We are continuing to integrate those teams together and expect that Texcrete is going to continue to perform well.

Brian Gray

The last thing I'll just mention is we have several data centers in the central region. We're supplying materials to support construction around a data center up in Fargo. There's a number of different end markets that are performing well, not just in the central, but throughout all of our regions that would be driving those double-digit volume improvements across all of our product lines. A number of good things going on there, Kathryn. Thanks for the question.

Kathryn Thompson

Thanks again for the details, I'll hop back in the queue.

Operator

Your next question comes from Brent Thielman with Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.

Brent Thielman

Hey, thanks. Good morning.

Brian Gray

Good morning, Brent.

Brent Thielman

Brian, apologize, my line dropped towards the end of your closing commentary. If you talked about this again, I apologize. If you look at what's transpired through the H1, including the Q2, do you still think you can get to the upper end of your guidance range for 2026? Then maybe just also with that, can you level set us on kind of the seasonality effects built into the guidance? You've been pretty acquisitive. I am not sure if that is kind of morphed anything from what you typically see.

Brian Gray

Yeah, Brent. The external headwinds I talked about in my prepared remarks, they add up to $24 million-ish. A large part of that, we will not get back this year. It would be moving into next year, or it would just be an impact that would bring us back to more of the midpoint of our guidance. Those three external factors that I mentioned. Energy, that is a $6 million headwind impact for us for the quarter. We expect to get $3 million-$4 million of that back in the Q3 as we recoup our escalation clauses from those public contracts. We will get a portion of that back. We had about $10 million of delayed projects. $2 million or $3 million down in Texas, $3 million in Hawaii, a couple of million dollars up in Alaska with a late start.

Brian Gray

I would say that our crews were scheduled to pave 200,000 tons in Texas for the quarter and on those two big impact projects and performed less than 15,000 tons. Our crews are also already scheduled to continue to pave on those jobs for the rest of this year, and that work really is going to push into next year because we had already had a full schedule of paving in Texas. That will actually be pushing into next year. As you know, the construction season is relatively short up in Alaska. Those projects that were delayed would also be pushed into next year. Then the P-209 at Pearl Harbor in Hawaii, we are hopeful that can start late this year.

Brian Gray

I would say that the majority of that benefit, again, that lost EBITDA for the quarter is going to get pushed into either late Q4 or early next year. Brent, I think that is the delayed projects. As it relates to the timing and the type of work, as we categorize that as the market dynamics that are going on. Really, the timing of incentives, the difference this quarter versus last year's quarter, we had $8 million less in project gains.

Brian Gray

Those project gains come from performance, they come from value engineering and change orders, and they come from quality bonuses. Because we had so many larger, new road construction projects that had multiple scopes last year, we were able to take advantage of some value engineering change orders to the tune of a difference of $8 million. We will get incentives. We will get paving bonuses on that lower margin, lower risk asphalt paving work. We did a lot more of that work this last quarter, 44% more

Brian Gray

In Q2 that we did last year, that comes with a different timing of incentives. We will get those incentives in a one to two-month lag from when we perform the work, or in some cases, we don't get the smoothest bonuses until the job is completed. The timing and the type of work is going to have about an $8 million impact for the quarter, and we'll get part of that back later in the year. Nathan, I'll let you answer the last part of the question.

Nathan Ring

Yeah. Good morning, Brent. Good to hear from you. Just to make sure, in case you did drop off there, I'll reiterate a couple pieces and then I'll get to the other part of your question in terms of the cadence for the rest of the year. We did raise our revenue guidance in part due to acquisitions and the strength of the quarter on revenue, and then holding adjusted EBITDA margin range, similar to what we gave earlier in the year, and Brian went through a lot of the pieces for that. We are guiding more towards the midpoint of our guidance range that we gave earlier in the year. As you're looking to see how to model that for your look forward pieces, we're very similar, actually, to what we see in the prior year in terms of when EBITDA will be recognized.

Nathan Ring

We're actually looking at about 55% of our adjusted EBITDA to be generated in the Q3 and the remainder, of course, into the Q4. The last thing I'll say, just from an administrative standpoint, is these guidance ranges are based on normal weather. Last year, we did have a pretty good Q4. As well as energy costs continuing the way they are without a major change in those as far as upward side on diesel, for example, and operating conditions remaining relatively the same. Of course, no impact to future acquisitions. Brent, hopefully that helps you on the modeling side as well.

Brent Thielman

Okay. I appreciate all that. Maybe just as a follow-up on contracting services, should we be thinking about margins closer to what you saw a year ago as we work through the H2? Or is there still some overhang? I think you talked about some acquired business that you still have to work through with carries lower margins. There is still some overhang there that might prevent that.

Brian Gray

Yeah. No, Brent, you're right. There is some overhang with some legacy projects that we brought on from recent acquisitions that will have an impact on margins for the H2 of the year. We also plan to recoup some of those diesel costs that I talked about that we incurred in the Q2. That will help offset that in the H2 of the year. Like I mentioned, we have a lot of asphalt paving, and that asphalt paving typically has performance and quality bonuses that get paid towards the end of those projects that will help offset that. Yes, I think you can look at our margins in the H2 of last year, and that we should be in line with those margins, in the H2 of this year in our contracting services.

Brent Thielman

Okay, guys. Really appreciate it. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Trey Grooms with Stephens. Please go ahead.

Trey Grooms

Good morning, everybody. Quickly on the energy impact, thanks for some of the detail there. Any way to kind of parse out specifically impact on the aggregate side, how you're navigating that, and then, I know there was a target for this year, 200 basis points of margin expansion there and aggregates. Is that still on the table for this year, just given the headwinds we've seen from energy, et cetera?

Brian Gray

I appreciate the question, Trey. Yes, the increased energy costs, specifically fuel, did have an impact on our aggregates for the quarter. Frankly, more so on the margins, like Nathan mentioned, we did a good job at charging our customers a fuel surcharge to cover most of that cost. Now when we do that, it's at cost. There's no margin on that, and we actually delivered a lot more materials this year than we did last year, to the tune of, I think it was delivery volume was up 41%. When we deliver materials, as you know, our margin is an all-in margin, just like our pricing is all in. Our delivery typically is at a lower margin than our aggregates are at the plant. With these fuel surcharges being at cost, that had an impact on our margins for the quarter.

Brian Gray

We see that going forward. We fully expect to have a margin improvement in aggregates. I don't know that we're going to be able to hit the 200. I would say that a safer bet right now would be in that 100 basis point range based on what we're projecting for the continued impact on fuel, the fuel surcharge with the increase in delivery, some of the other headwinds. Like I've mentioned before, we like what we're seeing on pricing. I like the KPIs and looking at our variable operating costs and aggregates being down 1% in light of these headwinds year-to-date. The KPIs, the PIT Crews, and our dynamic pricing is helping us certainly navigate those headwinds.

Trey Grooms

Got it. Okay. Thanks for all that. There's a lot of noise in the quarter, especially on contracting services. Just to be clear, and there's a lot of stuff going on, clearly, but are you having to get more aggressive to win work? Is there a more competitive kind of backdrop as far as the bidding process goes? Is this all just a lot of these things just kind of happening at the same time that has created a lot of these headwinds that are largely transitory?

Brian Gray

No, that's a great question, Trey. I appreciate you asking that. Every market and every product line is different. Yes, there are competitive dynamics that are feeding into that lower margin, specifically on contracting services. We've talked a lot in the past about Oregon. Unfortunately, Oregon's bid lettings did not result in any additional paving that we secured. There was only literally less than $5 million of bid lettings in Oregon for asphalt paving. That caused contractors in that region that are highly mobile to travel to adjacent states. That could be Northern California, Idaho, Montana. Yes, there is bidding dynamics that are happening in the bid room that would be putting some pressures on our contracting services margins. There's other markets that have very healthy DOT budgets that are helping offset that. I'd say that the bidding dynamics are competitive.

Brian Gray

We made the conscious decision, we've talked about this previous quarters, to get more aggressive because we know there's a benefit of the pull-through of those higher margin materials. You can see that our gross profit had double-digit increases in all of our upstream materials. That partly was a result of that conscious decision to bid asphalt paving at a more competitive margin to go out and secure that work. I think it was the right decision, and we'll continue to monitor that and be very transparent with you guys about that.

Trey Grooms

Oh, okay. Thanks, Brian. That makes sense, thanks for all the color. Best of luck. Thank you.

Brian Gray

Yep.

Operator

Your next question comes from Timna Tanners with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Timna Tanners

Yeah. Hey, good morning. Thanks for all the detail. I wanted to actually really ask about some of the dynamics in terms of the range you talked about in Texas. I think you're able to recoup in Q3, or was that also pushed out? On the fires, I know Spokane's been hit really hard, and Oregon I hear a lot about. I hope your teams are all safe and wondering if you have any impact from those as well.

Brian Gray

No, I appreciate that, Timna. The devastating fires in Spokane the last couple of days, we do have operations in Spokane. I talked to our general manager, vice president, and fortunately, our team is safe, but it did not have an impact on our production at our prestress facility. It's an indoor facility. Certainly, the fires and the smoke and the heat can have an impact on paving projects and working outside. I would say that's not been material for the month of July, and we've been able to navigate that fairly well. Your first question, what was your question, Timna? I apologize.

Timna Tanners

Oh, I think same. I was just trying to understand. You said that Hawaii and Alaska might have to spill over into 2027 to recoup, and I was just wondering if, just to clarify any of the other impacts, like Texas in particular, if you can recoup lost volumes by the end of the year.

Brian Gray

Yeah. No, I would say that in Texas, that our crews were scheduled to pave on those two large impact projects for seven or eight more months, starting in that Q2. We were planning on being very busy. That volume that we missed in the Q2 due to schedule changes and weather delays, most of that work on those two particular jobs will be pushed into 2027. We still plan on being very busy in Texas, having a very solid year in Texas. Part of that is because we had such good backlog down there that we really have been scheduled. We have some capacity left to take on additional work there. I'd just say that the majority of that missed opportunity, specifically in Texas, as it relates to contracting services on those two impact projects, most of that would be get pushed into 2027.

Timna Tanners

Okay, great. Thanks for the color.

Operator

Your next question comes from Rohit Seth with B. Riley Securities. Please go ahead.

Rohit Seth

Hey, thanks for taking my question. Just on the West revenue down about 9%, it says there's less public work in Oregon and in the West, and your backlog was down 16% or so. In February, you said the 2026 Oregon outlook would look more or less like last year, and the backlog had recovered. Just curious on what's changed and heading into the H2 here.

Brian Gray

Yeah. Certainly, the West's performance was not all related to Oregon. I'll talk about each one of those states separately. We've talked about Hawaii, the delayed P-209 project we think had about a $3 million impact. The wet weather we had late in the Q1 that carried into the Q2 in Hawaii certainly impacted our cement and ready-mix sales. Definitely an impact in Hawaii that did not meet our expectations for the quarter. Same with when you don't open up the roads to dump trucks and ready-mix trucks until June 15th in Alaska. That had several million dollar impact to us in the quarter. If you look at our West results this quarter versus last year, certainly had an impact.

Brian Gray

What's going on in Oregon, and the impact it's having on Northern California, and the competitive dynamics, those market dynamics, did have an impact for the quarter. We had been talking that Oregon was stabilized and that we expected their performance from the operations to be broadly in line with last year. That was the case for the H1 of the year. We were slightly up, in the Q1, we were slightly down from what our expectations were. I could say that, for the first six months that we were broadly in line with our expectations, which was to be similar to last year.

Brian Gray

For the second part, which kind of feeds into the guidance, because we were very disappointed with the amount of work and the type of work that bid, the very limited amount of work that was new, that we were expecting to pick up and have some better improvements in that DOT and other public agency work, that did not come to fruition in the Q2. I would say that from our expectations of being broadly in line for the entire year, that I think that we're going to be slightly down from that. I would say there's some good signs in Oregon that is important for us to look at. As we continue to look at aggregate sales, specifically in the Portland, Oregon market, that's a good indicator of what's going to happen in the state.

Brian Gray

Usually they're about a year ahead of what happens down in Southern Oregon and over in Central Oregon. We continue to see solid sales that are up 20% to 30% in volumes in that Portland, Oregon market. That is a positive sign. The last thing I'd say is in prestress in Oregon, that's part of our Oregon operations, they picked up a very large, very good contract with a semiconductor facility in Idaho, and we expect that to begin construction and see some improvements and impact to our EBITDA later this year and primarily into the beginning of next year. Some good things going on there. That's kind of what happened in the West.

Rohit Seth

Okay. Just on the mixes on pricing trends, you had a pretty wide gap between reported and mix adjusted. I know that's affecting aggregates maybe to some degree, your concrete with the acquisitions layering in, and asphalt ASP was down a bit. Maybe you can talk about how you see pricing trends trending over the next couple of quarters, how that mix adjusted sort of unwinds and gravitates towards the reported end color. It'd be helpful. Thanks.

Brian Gray

I'll let Nathan address that one.

Nathan Ring

Good morning. You're right. There are some differences there that worthy of additional explanation. As reported, we had, and I'll talk aggregates first, we had our average selling price of 3.2%, I think was the number. In that number, and I talked about this in my prepared remarks, and Brian mentioned it just a moment ago, we did have a sizable amount of natural fines that we sold, 630,000 tons. It's part of an effort for commercial strategy, but it does have an impact on average selling price. What we did with the product mix adjusted is we took a look and said, "What are the products actually doing on a per product basis? Are we seeing the price increases that we talked about earlier in the year?" What that indicates is that we are.

Nathan Ring

On a product mix adjusted basis, kind of like for like, what would this look like if I sold the same last year as I did into this year with the pricing increases, we're up 8% on a product mix adjusted basis. For the rest of the year, what we're giving as guidance is we are doing it on an as reported basis. As we continue to optimize our pricing, we see those revenues come in from surcharges and delivery. We expect our average selling price to be up mid-single digits on an as reported basis for aggregates. On ready-mix, you just mentioned you noticed the pricing there. A good portion of that does have to do, and we've talked about this a little bit in the past, is just related to the geographic mix. Brian talked about Texcrete having the residential lower spec material.

Nathan Ring

That does come at a different pricing. Still good margin work for us, but it is a different pricing profile. As Texcrete and Texas ramp up relative proportionally to the rest of the company, we do see that average selling price change again, but not indicative that we're not getting the price increases that we're looking for in those particular markets. On a go-forward basis, not necessarily giving guidance on ready-mix or hot mix because there's a lot of contingency there with what cement prices do, what asphalt prices do. What we've seen so far is positive and again, on aggregate side, seeing good pricing dynamics for us going forward.

Rohit Seth

Okay, what about asphalt?

Brian Gray

On asphalt, I think Nathan mentioned that's heavily influenced by the input costs, the energy costs specifically for natural gas and liquid asphalt. We like our price over cost spread for the quarter. I think you might see some headwinds in that into next year. We've used a fair amount of lower priced, secured asphalt in our mix the H1 of this year. That will begin to change. I think you'll see those costs and prices be reflective of that input increase from specifically liquid asphalt.

Rohit Seth

All right. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Ivan Yi with Wolfe. Please go ahead.

Ivan Yi

Hey, guys. Good morning. Thanks for the time. Starting on the aggregates side, what was organic aggregates volume growth in Q2, and what are you expecting for organic volumes in full-year 2026 relative to your guidance for total aggregates volumes up high single digits? Thank you.

Brian Gray

Yeah. We had about 75% of the growth in volume come from our legacy operations. I think that's indicative of a lot of the asphalt paving that we did and the pull-through benefit of being vertically integrated. About 25% came from our acquisitions. Part of that is selling aggregate from those new acquisitions, but also in Texcrete's case, we were able to switch their aggregate supply internal, whereas before they were buying it external. So that also improved our aggregate sales. So about 25% from recent acquisitions and 75% from the legacy business, primarily driven by the increased asphalt paving.

Ivan Yi

Great. Thank you. You've talked in great detail about the gross margin, the headwinds in Q2. Can you comment on the expected trajectory of total gross margins in Q3 and Q4? I know you don't give quarterly guides, but just any color on the shape of that in the back half. Thank you.

Brian Gray

We were pleased with our margin expansion in all the product lines. Year-to-date, we've got margin expansion in aggregates, ready-mix, and asphalt. We had those headwinds that we've discussed that impacted aggregates for the year. Some of those headwinds are going to continue. The energy and some of the market dynamics that we talked about, specifically in Oregon that's having an impact on some of those adjacent states, will continue to have some downward pressure on the margins. I'll let Nathan specifically talk about the H2 of this year, what we expect.

Nathan Ring

If we take a look at this on a product line basis, we've talked about some of the pieces already. From an aggregate standpoint, we are seeing margin expansion for the full-year. In the latter half of the year, as you can take a look at what we've done for the H1, that would tell you, like Brian said, for the full-year, about 100 basis points. An improvement there. Contracting services, we did talk about that as well, having comparable margins to last year and a little bit of a lift there. The other two product lines that you're maybe getting at that we haven't discussed, but we've talked about the pieces that impact it. Very proud of the performance through the H1 of the year.

Nathan Ring

What we talked about, there could be some margin compression in those two product lines, ready-mix and asphalt hot mix, that would be driven by higher energy costs. There is some lower margin work that Brian mentioned and higher depreciation expense related to our recent acquisitions. The Q4 was better weather this year. Like I said in my guidance comment, we're anticipating normal weather this year for the H2. Those could put some margin compression on those two product lines. Like we said, overall, the gross profit increase for aggregates, ready-mix, hot mix, those material product lines we do see higher year-over-year.

Ivan Yi

Thank you so much.

Operator

Your next question comes from Garrett Greenblatt with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Garrett Greenblatt

Hi. Thanks for taking my question this morning. If we look at your EBITDA guidance and back out the increased expectation for DD&A, it implies that the EBIT guide is down about $20 million versus prior. I wonder if you can talk us through the pieces of that. I know it's probably related to these projects being pushed out to 2027, the Oregon weakness, as well as energy costs. Trying to really debate which portion of this is recapturable as we look into 2027. Thanks.

Nathan Ring

Yeah, I think a piece of that does relate, as we talked about. We did have higher DD&A. We noted that in the guidance, that it is up mid-teens, as before it was mid-single digits. A piece of that really does have to do, we've updated our forecast relative to our recent acquisitions, also our revenue, as you noticed. Actually, as we look in the full-year as it relates to DD&A, the percent of DD&A relative to revenue is about the same year-over-year. Does that answer your question on the increase in DD&A?

Garrett Greenblatt

More so I'm talking about the, if we back out that higher DD&A expectation now from the maintained EBITDA guidance, it implies a lower EBIT guide. I'm just curious what's driving that operating side of things.

Nathan Ring

Yeah, I think part of that has to do with, as I just shared. We've got a couple of our product lines that we do anticipate having some margin compression due to the reasons I listed there. That's probably a piece of it. Of course, the type of work we're doing could have some margin impact as it relates to those upstream product line materials.

Garrett Greenblatt

Got you. As we think about the legacy projects that are lower margin from the acquisitions, when do we expect those to fully roll off?

Brian Gray

Yeah, I would say primarily in the Q3. That's when we perform most of our revenue. That would be some legacy work, specifically in Utah. That would be primarily in the Q3.

Garrett Greenblatt

Got it. Thank you very much.

Operator

This concludes the Q&A session. I will now turn the call back to Mr. Brian Gray for closing remarks.

Brian Gray

We appreciate everyone joining us today. Thank you for the questions, and we look forward to speaking with you all again next quarter. Thank you.

Operator

This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-03

Earnings To Watch: Knife River Corp (KNF) Q2 2026 -- GF Value Sees 28% Upside

GuruFocus.com

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Knife River Corp (NYSE:KNF) is set to release its Q2 2026 earnings on Aug 4, 2026. The consensus estimate for Q2 2026 revenue is 930.43 million, and the earnings are expected to come in at 1.12 per share. The full year 2026's revenue is expected to be $3429.55 million and the earnings are expected to be $3.28 per share. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Forecast page Warning! GuruFocus has detected 6 Warning Signs with USAC. Is KNF fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Over the past 90 days, revenue estimates for Knife River Corp (NYSE:KNF) have increased from $3398.37 million to $3429.55 million for the full year 2026, and from $3570.74 million to $3604.50 million for 2027. During the same period, earnings estimates have increased from $3.21 per share to $3.28 per share for the full year 2026, and from $3.69 per share to $3.77 per share for 2027. In the previous quarter of 2026-03-31, Knife River Corp's (NYSE:KNF) actual revenue was $410.10 million, which beat analysts' revenue expectations of $390.11 million by 5.13%. Knife River Corp's (NYSE:KNF) actual earnings were $-1.40 per share, which beat analysts' earnings expectations of $-1.43 per share by 1.89%. After releasing the results, Knife River Corp (NYSE:KNF) was down by -3.52% in one day. Based on the one-year price targets offered by 9 analysts, the average target price for Knife River Corp (NYSE:KNF) is $103.48 with a high estimate of $119.00 and a low estimate of $81.00. The average target implies an upside of 41.42% from the current price of $73.17. Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Knife River Corp (NYSE:KNF) in one year is $93.30, suggesting an upside of 27.51% from the current price of $73.17. Based on the consensus recommendation from 10 brokerage firms, Knife River Corp's (NYSE:KNF) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.00, indicating an "Outperform" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-30

Analysts Estimate Installed Building Products (IBP) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for

Zacks
The market expects Installed Building Products (IBP) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2026. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 6, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise. This residential insulation installer is expected to post quarterly earnings of $2.57 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -12.9%. Revenues are expected to be $740.43 million, down 2.6% from the year-ago quarter. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.71% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period. Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise Estimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction). The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consen…Read full document

The market expects Installed Building Products (IBP) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2026. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 6, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise. This residential insulation installer is expected to post quarterly earnings of $2.57 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -12.9%. Revenues are expected to be $740.43 million, down 2.6% from the year-ago quarter. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.71% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period. Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise Estimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction). The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only. A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP. Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell). For Installed Building Products, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -0.39%. On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #2. So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Installed Building Products will beat the consensus EPS estimate. While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number. For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Installed Building Products would post earnings of $2.09 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.79, delivering a surprise of -14.35%. Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times. An earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss. That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported. Installed Building Products doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release. Knife River (KNF), another stock in the Zacks Building Products - Miscellaneous industry, is expected to report earnings per share of $1.11 for the quarter ended June 2026. This estimate points to a year-over-year change of +24.7%. Revenues for the quarter are expected to be $923.71 million, up 10.8% from the year-ago quarter. Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for Knife River has been revised 3.1% up to the current level. Nevertheless, the company now has an Earnings ESP of +1.57%, reflecting a higher Most Accurate Estimate. This Earnings ESP, combined with its Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), suggests that Knife River will most likely beat the consensus EPS estimate. Over the last four quarters, the company surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Installed Building Products, Inc. (IBP) : Free Stock Analysis Report Knife River Corporation (KNF) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-28

Knife River (KNF) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?

Zacks
Wall Street expects a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when Knife River (KNF) reports results for the quarter ended June 2026. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 4. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise. This construction materials company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.11 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +24.7%. Revenues are expected to be $923.71 million, up 10.8% from the year-ago quarter. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 3.06% higher over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period. Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise Estimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core. The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's pr…Read full document

Wall Street expects a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when Knife River (KNF) reports results for the quarter ended June 2026. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 4. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise. This construction materials company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.11 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +24.7%. Revenues are expected to be $923.71 million, up 10.8% from the year-ago quarter. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 3.06% higher over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period. Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise Estimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core. The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only. A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP. Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell). For Knife River, the Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bullish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of +1.57%. On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3. So, this combination indicates that Knife River will most likely beat the consensus EPS estimate. While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number. For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Knife River would post a loss of$1.42 per share when it actually produced a loss of -$1.40, delivering a surprise of +1.41%. Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times. An earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss. That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported. Knife River appears a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release. Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Knife River Corporation (KNF) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-28

Armstrong World Industries (AWI) Surpasses Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks
Armstrong World Industries (AWI) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.36 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.33 per share. This compares to earnings of $2.09 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +1.29%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this ceiling and wall systems manufacturer would post earnings of $1.82 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.69, delivering a surprise of -7.14%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times. Armstrong World Industries, which belongs to the Zacks Building Products - Miscellaneous industry, posted revenues of $472 million for the quarter ended June 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.97%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $424.6 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates three times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Armstrong World Industries shares have lost about 13.5% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 8.3%. While Armstrong World Industries has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Armstrong World Industries was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform…Read full document

Armstrong World Industries (AWI) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.36 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.33 per share. This compares to earnings of $2.09 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +1.29%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this ceiling and wall systems manufacturer would post earnings of $1.82 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.69, delivering a surprise of -7.14%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times. Armstrong World Industries, which belongs to the Zacks Building Products - Miscellaneous industry, posted revenues of $472 million for the quarter ended June 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.97%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $424.6 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates three times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Armstrong World Industries shares have lost about 13.5% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 8.3%. While Armstrong World Industries has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Armstrong World Industries was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $2.34 on $464.8 million in revenues for the coming quarter and $8.31 on $1.76 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year. Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Building Products - Miscellaneous is currently in the top 38% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1. One other stock from the same industry, Knife River (KNF), is yet to report results for the quarter ended June 2026. The results are expected to be released on August 4. This construction materials company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.11 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +24.7%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days. Knife River's revenues are expected to be $923.71 million, up 10.8% from the year-ago quarter. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Armstrong World Industries, Inc. (AWI) : Free Stock Analysis Report Knife River Corporation (KNF) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

As of 2026-08-08 • Updated weeklySource: Earnings sourceIngestion runbook