KNF

Knife RiverB

NYSE / Materials

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

The cleanest post-earnings bull read is operational: double-digit volume gains, 290 bps adjusted EBITDA margin improvement, record backlog and an unchanged full-year outlook suggest Q1 improved confidence ahead of the core construction season. The packet's median target of $102.18 implies moderate upside from the $88.73 anchor, but the target set lacks a confirmed analyst count.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.3.

What can break

Acquisition execution risk remains elevated after three Q1 deals plus ongoing organic projects, with additional integration and capital demands into 2026-2027 [#10-Q-2026-05-05].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $98.00 · Bull $106.00 · Bear $76.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $101.75

Why

Momentum76 · Δ7d +20.1

Value46 · Δ7d -0.1

Sentiment60 · Δ7d -5.3

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+20.1

Δ21d

+28.1

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.1

Δ21d

+0.8

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-5.3

Δ21d

+11.5

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 76.1 / Value 45.7 / Sentiment 60.1

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$4.64B

Beta

Shares Out

56.75M

P/E (TTM)

28.4

P/S (TTM)

1.37

P/FCF (TTM)

27.95

Rev YoY

+16.0%

EPS YoY

+15.1%

Gross Margin

+18.2%

Op Margin

+8.7%

Net Debt

$1.09B

Current Ratio

2.67

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology