KNF

Knife RiverD

NYSE / Materials

At close

2026-06-02

Current thesis

The cleanest post-earnings bull read is operational: double-digit volume gains, 290 bps adjusted EBITDA margin improvement, record backlog and an unchanged full-year outlook suggest Q1 improved confidence ahead of the core construction season. The packet's median target of $102.18 implies moderate upside from the $88.73 anchor, but the target set lacks a confirmed analyst count.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.9.

What can break

Acquisition execution risk remains elevated after three Q1 deals plus ongoing organic projects, with additional integration and capital demands into 2026-2027 [#10-Q-2026-05-05].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $98.00 · Bull $106.00 · Bear $76.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-06-02

Fundamentals

As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-06-02

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $102.18

Why

Momentum14 · Δ7d -7.2

Value47 · Δ7d -1.0

Sentiment65 · Δ7d -6.9

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-7.2

Δ21d

-50.5

Value

32% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-1.0

Δ21d

+0.1

Sentiment

33% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-6.9

Δ21d

+18.7

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 13.8 / Value 46.9 / Sentiment 65.4

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-06-01

Market Cap

$4.46B

Beta

Shares Out

56.66M

P/E (TTM)

28.4

P/S (TTM)

1.37

P/FCF (TTM)

27.95

Rev YoY

+8.9%

EPS YoY

-3.4%

Gross Margin

+17.9%

Op Margin

+8.7%

Net Debt

$396.25M

Current Ratio

2.39

As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology