B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$455.00
+31.7% vs current
ISRG
Intuitive SurgicalDNasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+1Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$423.00
+22.5% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$360.00
+4.2% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-07-17
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+30.0
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+30.0
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+65.8
Score
AI commentary
News tone is negative immediately after Q2 despite strong reported operating results. Social, options, short-interest, employee, analyst-revision, and target-change data are unavailable; missing analyst reaction is not positive evidence and caps confidence.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-07-17
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-07-24catalystPost-print margin digestionHigh impact
Stored earnings context flags near-term pressure from da Vinci 5 margins, trade-ins, depreciation, tariffs, freight, semiconductor costs, China and Japan conditions, and GLP-1 effects on bariatric volumes. Recent headlines indicate a sharp post-earnings selloff. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-10]
2026-07-31eventQ2 2026 operating printMedium impact
Q2 revenue reached $2.89 billion, up 19% year over year, with GAAP EPS of $2.29 versus $1.81, combined procedures up approximately 16%, and da Vinci placements of 468 versus 395. The immediate market reaction was negative despite strong reported metrics. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-16]
2026-12-31catalystProcedure-volume and installed-base compoundingHigh impact
Q2 da Vinci procedures grew approximately 15%, Ion procedures 36%, the da Vinci installed base increased 12% year over year to 11,710 systems, and the Ion base increased 21% to 1,096. Sustained growth would support recurring instruments, accessories, and leasing revenue. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-16]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-07-17 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology