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ISRG

Intuitive SurgicalD
Nasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The primary Q2 release showed strong revenue, earnings, procedure, placement, and installed-base growth, with recurring revenue supported by a growing global system footprint [#SEC-8K-2026-07-16]. This supports a durable long-term robotics adoption thesis.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
8 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
What can break
Competition, remanufactured instruments, international execution, and valuation concerns remain cited external risks.
Momentum
76
Value
52
Sentiment
43
Setup hits (3d)
8 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $400.00 · Bull $505.00 · Bear $315.00Analysis 2026-07-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $489.57
Why
Momentum76 · Δ7d -9.3
Value52 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment43 · Δ7d -5.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 8 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Competition, remanufactured instruments, international execution, and valuation concerns remain cited external risks.
  • • Deferred U.S. elective procedures and coverage or premium changes could pressure procedure growth.
  • • The market prioritized slowing U.S.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-31

Q2 earnings beat, but near-term reaction remains mixed

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
76
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.3
Δ21d
+1.3
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
43
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.3
Δ21d
-19.4
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 76.1 / Value 51.5 / Sentiment 43.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-21. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$505.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$400.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$315.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$154.56B
Beta
1.66
Shares Out
346.64M
P/E (TTM)
75.0
P/S (TTM)
20.89
P/FCF (TTM)
88.40
Rev YoY
+18.5%
EPS YoY
+26.6%
Gross Margin
+66.7%
Op Margin
+31.3%
Net Debt
-$5.76B
Current Ratio
4.96
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data