B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
GTX
Garrett MotionANasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-10-20
Recent news sentiment (30D)
0.0
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+79.7
Score
AI commentary
The recent company announcement establishes an October 29 Q3 release date, but no Q3 results, post-print price reaction or analyst revisions are available as of this report. The supplied news set is thin. Numerical sentiment fields are unavailable, not neutral readings; the zero entries should not be interpreted as measurements. September Form 4 sales are insider activity, not evidence of deteriorating operations. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-10-14] Garrett Q3 announcement [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-03]
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-10-20
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-10-29eventOctober 29 results test the raised outlookMedium impact
Garrett says it will release Q3 results before the US market opens on October 29. The key test is whether sales, margins and cash generation remain consistent with its July 2026 outlook of $3.7–$3.9 billion in sales, $560–$600 million in adjusted EBIT and $385–$475 million in adjusted free cash flow. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-10-14] Garrett Q3 announcement [#8-K-2026-07-29] [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29] Garrett Q2 release
2026-10-29catalystCash returns versus debt reductionMedium impact
Garrett repurchased $28 million of shares in Q2 and reported $135 million of remaining authorization and $1.386 billion of debt principal at June 30. Further repurchases are discretionary; the next capital-allocation update may clarify the balance between shareholder returns and deleveraging. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29] Garrett Q2 release
2027-12-31catalystConversion of industrial and vehicle program awardsHigh impact
Garrett reported a data-center generator-set award, other generator-set wins and new vehicle turbo programs. Revenue timing and profitability of these awards were not quantified; evidence of production ramps would strengthen the growth case. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29] SEC earnings exhibit
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-10-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology