B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$37.17
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
GTX
Garrett MotionBNasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 demonstrated broad-based sales growth, 200 basis points of adjusted EBIT margin expansion, strong free-cash-flow conversion, debt repayment, buybacks, and new power-generation and electrification awards. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
Debt remains material despite a reported $50 million term-loan repayment; cash-flow conversion and capital allocation should be monitored. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
Momentum
29
Value
59
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $30.93 · Bull $37.17 · Bear $22.00Analysis 2026-08-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $37.17
Why
Momentum29 · Δ7d +7.6
Value59 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d -0.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Debt remains material despite a reported $50 million term-loan repayment; cash-flow conversion and capital allocation should be monitored. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
- • Demand cyclicality and slower OEM or commercial-vehicle program ramps could reverse recent growth.
- • The thesis depends on continued vehicle, commercial-vehicle, industrial, and aftermarket demand plus successful program ramps.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-15
Quarterly dividend payment
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
29
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.6
Δ21d
-2.6
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.2
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-9.6
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 29.1 / Value 59.3 / Sentiment 76.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-27. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$30.93
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.33B
Beta
0.33
Shares Out
186.49M
P/E (TTM)
11.4
P/S (TTM)
0.99
P/FCF (TTM)
10.40
Rev YoY
+6.9%
EPS YoY
+25.0%
Gross Margin
+24.8%
Op Margin
+14.8%
Net Debt
$1.29B
Current Ratio
1.00
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data