B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$32.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
GTES
Gates IndustrialBNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$21.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-09-02
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+70.0
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+69.9
Score
AI commentary
News tone is constructive after the Q2 beat and guidance increase. Social sentiment, options skew, short interest, employee sentiment, analyst target count, and post-print revision data are unavailable; zero values denote unavailable data, not neutral readings. The post-release price reaction is not cleanly attributed in the packet, so the thesis remains constructive monitoring rather than high-conviction bullish.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-09-02
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-07-31eventQ2 beat and raised 2026 guidanceMedium impact
Q2 sales reached a record $941.6 million, adjusted EPS was $0.44, adjusted EBITDA was $211.4 million at a 22.5% margin, and management raised full-year core-sales, EBITDA, and adjusted-EPS guidance. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31] [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2]
2026-09-30catalystNear-term insider-sale overhangMedium impact
Director Zhang Peifang reported three open-market sales totaling 17,000 shares during August 4-6, creating a supply and sentiment risk rather than direct evidence of operating deterioration. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-05] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-07]
2026-12-31catalystImproving industrial demand and order momentumHigh impact
Management cited constructive industrial end markets, double-digit industrial OEM growth, strengthening demand exiting the quarter, and book-to-bill above one. [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-09-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology