B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$78.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
GSHD
Goosehead InsuranceBNasdaq / Insurance
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$66.62
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-07-27
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+27.1
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+27.1
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-32.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+82.0
Score
AI commentary
The post-print tone is positive but the market reaction was mixed: shares declined 4.37% in regular trading and rose 1.65% after hours. Citizens maintained a Market Outperform rating and $100 target after the reported beat, but the broader analyst revision and target-change set remains incomplete. This supports a tentative positive monitoring view rather than a high-conviction upgrade.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-07-27
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
later post-earnings follow-up lacks concrete company-source and analyst/market reaction evidence
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-07-22catalystQ2 earnings beat and initial reactionMedium impact
The company reported Q2 revenue of $113.4 million, adjusted EPS of $0.64, and adjusted EBITDA of $37.9 million. Reuters-syndicated coverage reported consensus estimates of $103.3 million revenue and $0.48 EPS; shares fell 4.37% in regular trading but rebounded 1.65% after hours. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22]
2026-10-25eventGuidance and recurring-growth validationHigh impact
Post-print transcript coverage reported a raised FY2026 revenue-growth outlook of 12%-19%, unchanged total-written-premium growth guidance of 12%-20%, and expected second-half core-revenue acceleration. The SEC release confirms Q2 written-premium growth of 14%, policy growth of 15%, and 86% retention, but the provided excerpt does not include the guidance ranges. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22]
2027-07-27catalystTechnology and agent-productivity scalingHigh impact
Management cited continued technology evolution, stronger productivity, and growth investments as drivers of durable expansion, but execution and margin outcomes remain unproven. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-07-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology